Experimental Designs 1 Experimental Designs I. After-Only Design Experimental variable introduced “After” means Experimental Group yes yes (X1) X1 = effect of experimental variable e.g., spend $1 million on advertising in the beginning of the year and sales are $20 million, claiming $20 sales per $1 of adv. Note that even if there is a correlation between sales and advertising expenditures, correlation does not prove causality. We need an experiment to demonstrate that advertising sales. II. Before-and-After Design Before means Experimental variable After means Experimental Group yes (X1) yes yes (X2) Effect of experimental variation = (X1 - X2) e.g., 687322417 1 of 5 Experimental Designs 2 Experimental errors: History - A change in the environment external to the experiment that can cause before and after measurements to differ. It’s an uncontrolled variable. The longer the time period between measurements the greater the danger. Maturation - changes occurring with the passage of time on test subjects. These changes may be biological or psychological. E.g., older, tired, thinner, more educated, … Instrument variation - changes in the measuring instrument, e.g., different interviewers. Measurement error = random error - bias (bias tends to be in one direction). Selection bias - results from the way in which test subjects were selected or assigned to different groups. Researcher should: [1] select subjects randomly [2] assign to groups randomly (or, at least, by matching). Mortality - loss of subjects due to moving away, disinterest, death, etc. Mainly refers to differential loss of subjects from various groups, i.e., attrition rate for one group differs from that of another. Testing effect - occurs when the process of measurement has an influence on what is being measured. 2 types: [a] Main testing effect - occurs when the first observation affects the second observation. (The subj. is now familiar with the questionnaire and may respond differently the second time as they are now “experts.”) Affects internal validity. [b] Interactive testing effect situation in which the prior measurement affects the subject’s reaction to the experimental variable. E.g., an initial question about shampoo may make one more aware of the shampoo market and the subj. notices a new brand of shampoo (the external variable). Affects external validity. Experimenter Effects - Rosenthal suggests that experimenters, througfh subtle and unintentional actions communicate their expectations, desires, 687322417 2 of 5 Experimental Designs 3 and biases to their subjects and thus influence the outcome of the experiment. (see Rosenthal, Experimenter Effects in Behavioral Research) Demand Artifacts - can cause subjects to perceive, interpret, and act upon what they believe is expected or desired of them in the experiment. Hawthorne Effect - distortion in behavior that occurs when ppl know they are subjects in a study. The best kind of study is an unobtrusive study. Placebo Effect - … - but, a double-blind design doesn’t always work either: In one study (NYT 8/17/93) 78% of patients and 97% of doctors could tell who had the real drug because of side effects. 687322417 3 of 5 Experimental Designs 4 Experimental Designs (continued) III. Before-and-After with control Group Design “Before” means Experimental variable “After” means Experimental Group yes (X1) yes yes (X2) Control Group yes (Y1) no yes (Y2) Effect of experimental variable = (X1 - X2) - (Y1 - Y2) Problems: [a] selection must be random [b] mortality. IV. After-only with Control Group (most widely used design in marketing) Experimental variable “After” means Experimental Group yes yes (X1) Control Group no yes (Y1) Effect of experimental variable = (X1 - Y1) e.g., Ad 1 uses celebrity; Ad 2 doesn’t. Split run w/ 2 types of (coded) coupons. ‘celebrity’ ad ‘control’ ad Experimental variable yes no % redeemed 40% 2% V. Ex Post Facto Design [same as ===== surveys???] This is a variation of After-only With Control Group design. Control group and experimental group are chosen after the experimental variable is introduced instead of before. Prevents subjects from knowing whey are being tested. E.g., [a]compare ppl who watch violent programs with ppl who do not watch violent programs on a violence-prone measure [b] short vs. tall ppl on life expectancy [c] bottle-fed vs. breast-fed. 687322417 4 of 5 Experimental Designs 5 Problem: “differential selection” This design is only effective if we have an objective way of determining whether subjects were exposed to experimental variable (e.g., married vs. unmarried; car owners vs. non-owners, etc.) VI. Factorial Design 687322417 5 of 5