Rhode Island Greenhouse Gas
Revised Baseline Scenario:
Extended Figures and Tables
Prepared for
The Rhode Island Greenhouse Gas Policy Stakeholder Group
Prepared by
Alison Bailie, Steve Bernow, Rachel Cleetus,
Bill Dougherty, Charlie Heaps and Chella Rajan
Tellus Institute
11 Arlington Street
Boston, MA 02116
1/24/2002
1
Figure A: Baseline Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Rhode Island: Increase Since 1990 (Carbon
Equivalent)
1,200
1,150
Revised Baseline
Baseline
1,100
1,050
1,000
thousand tonne
950
900
850
800
750
700
650
600
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
2
Figure B: Growth in Greenhouse Gas Emissions since 1990
thousand tonne
1,200
1,150
1,100
1,050
1,000
950
900
850
800
750
Wastewater Treatment
Transport
Solid Waste
Residential
Industry
Industrial Steam
Forestry
Electric Generation
Commercial
Agriculture
700
650
600
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3
Figure C: Energy Demand in 1999 by Sector and Fuel
65
Steam
Oil Products
Natural Gas
Electricity
Coal
Biomass
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Commercial
Industry
Resi
dential
4
Transport
Figure D: Residential Sector GHG Emissions By Housing Type
700
Single Family
Multiple Family
Mobile Homes
650
600
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
5
2015
2017
2019
Figure E: Residential Sector Energy Consumption by End-Use (Final Energy Units)
52
50
48
46
44
42
40
38
36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Water Heating
Space Heating
Space Cooling
Secondary Heating
Refrigeration
Other Electric Appliances
Other Appliances
Lighting
Freezing
Dish Washing
Cooking
Clothes Washing
Clothes Drying
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
6
2017
2019
Figure F: Residential Sector Energy Consumption by Fuel (Final Energy Units)
52
50
48
46
44
42
40
38
36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Oil Products
Natural Gas
Electricity
Coal
Biomass
1999 2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Household energy consumption is dominated by energy used for space and water heating and by
the fuels natural gas, fuel oil and electricity, and to a lesser degree wood. However, this picture
is misleading from an emissions perspective since it undercounts the fuels used in generating
electricity. Figures G and H respectively redisplay these same charts, with electricity
consumption counted in primary energy equivalent units (i.e. the amount of primary energy
required to generate a unit of electricity). In New England 1 GJ of electricity consumed requires
about 4 GJ of primary energy be consumed in electric generation).
7
Figure E1: Residential Sector Energy Consumption by End-Use (Primary Energy Units)
85
Water Heating
Space Heating
Space Cooling
Secondary Heating
Refrigeration
Other Electric Appliances
Other Appliances
Lighting
Freezing
Dish Washing
Cooking
Clothes Washing
Clothes Drying
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
Notes: When redisplayed in primary energy equivalent units, residential electricity consumption
appears much more important, as do electric appliances and space cooling.
8
Figure F1: Residential Sector Energy Consumption by Fuel (Primary Energy Units)
85
Oil Products
Natural Gas
Electricity
Coal
Biomass
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1999 2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
9
2014
2016
2018
2020
Figure G: Commercial Sector GHG Emissions By End Use
360
340
Water Heating
Space Heating
Space Cooling & Ventilation
Other
Cooking
All Non building
320
300
280
260
thousand tonne
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
Notes: Space and water heating are again important in the commercial sector.
10
Figure H: Commercial Sector Energy Consumption by End-Use (Final Energy Units)
36
34
Water Heating
Space Heating
Space Cooling & Ventilation
Refrigeration
Other
Lighting
Cooking
All Non building
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
11
2017
2019
Figure I: Commercial Sector Energy Consumption by Fuel (Final Energy Units)
36
34
Oil Products
Natural Gas
Electricity
Coal
Biomass
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1999 2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
12
2014
2016
2018
2020
Figure H1: Commercial Sector Energy Consumption by End-Use (Primary Energy Units)
80
Water Heating
Space Heating
Space Cooling & Ventilation
Refrigeration
Other
Lighting
Cooking
All Non building
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
13
2017
2019
Figure I1: Commercial Sector Energy Consumption by Fuel (Primary Energy Units)
80
Oil Products
Natural Gas
Electricity
Coal
Biomass
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1999 2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
14
2014
2016
2018
2020
Figure J: Freight Transport Emissions by Mode (Carbon Equivalent)
280
260
Road
Rail
International Shipping
Domestic Shipping
240
220
200
thousand tonne
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
15
2015
2017
2019
Figure K: Private Vehicles GHG Emissions: Cars vs Light Trucks and SUVs
1,000
950
SUVs & Light Trucks
Cars
900
850
800
750
700
thousand tonne
650
600
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
16
2015
2017
2019
Figure L: Transport Sector Energy Demand by Fuel
70
Residual Oil
Jet Kerosene
Gasoline
Electricity
Distillate Oil
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1999 2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
17
2014
2016
2018
2020
Figure M: Industrial Sector Energy Consumption by Subsector (Final Energy Units)
30
Paper
Other Agriculture
Non Intensive Industries
Metals
Glass
Food
Construction
Bulk Chemicals
Agricultural Crops
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
18
2015
2017
2019
Figure N: Industrial Sector Energy Consumption by Fuel (Final Energy Units)
30,000
Steam
Oil Products
Natural Gas
Electricity
Coal
Biomass
28,000
26,000
24,000
22,000
20,000
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
19
2013
2015
2017
2019
Figure O: Industrial Steam Production
9,000
CHP Oil
CHP Natural Gas
Boilers Residual Oil
Boilers Natural Gas
Boilers LPG & Other Oil
8,500
8,000
7,500
7,000
6,500
6,000
5,500
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
20
2015
2017
2019
Figure P: Electric Sector Generation (GWhr)
10.0
Wind
Oil Steam Turbines
Nuclear
Natural Gas Steam Turbines
Natural Gas Combustion Turbines
Natural Gas Combined Cycle
MSW
Imports International
Imports Domestic
Hydropower
Distillate Steam Turbines
Distillate Combustion Turbines
Distillate Combined Cycle
Coal
Biomass
9.0
8.0
terrawatt-hour
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
21
2019
Figure Q: Nitrogen Oxide Emissions by Sector
32
Transport
Residential
Industry
Industrial Steam
Electric Generation
Commercial
30
28
26
24
thousand tonne
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1999 2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
22
2014
2016
2018
2020
Figure R: Sulfur Dioxide Emissions by Sector
36
34
Transport
Residential
Industry
Industrial Steam
Electric Generation
Commercial
32
30
28
26
thousand tonne
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1999 2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
The temporary increase over the years 2010-2020 is largely due to the phase-out of some nuclear
power, and the consequent increased reliance on fossil fuels.
23
Figure S: VOC Emissions by Sector
17
16
Transport
Residential
Industry
Industrial Steam
Electric Generation
Commercial
15
14
13
12
thousand tonne
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1999 2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
24
2014
2016
2018
2020
Figure T: Partculate (PM10) Emissions by Sector
2,600
Transport
Residential
Industry
Industrial Steam
Electric Generation
Commercial
2,400
2,200
2,000
1,800
tonne
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
25
2015
2017
2019
Figure U: Summary of Residential Analysis Data Structure
26
Figure V: Summary of Commercial Analysis Data Structure
27
Figure W: Summary of Industrial Analysis Data Structure
Figure X: Summary of Transport Analysis Data Structure
28
Figure Y: Summary of Energy Supply Analysis Data Structure
Figure Z: Summary of Non-Energy Sector Analysis Data Structure
29