East Midland’s Residential Care Statistics From POPPI Information collated by Katy Town, katy.town@nottscc.gov.uk Figures in this document are from the Projecting Older People Population Information system. This site is provided by the Care Services Efficiency Delivery (CSED) and the Department of Health, copyright Crown 2008. All graphs come with two sets of projected figures. The first has each year from 2008 to 2013 and the second every five years from 2010 to 2030. Data has been collected from the POPPI website (www.poppi.org.uk) and collated to allow comparison between the councils within the East Midlands. The figures are projected up to 2030 to show the trend in the number of people using the service described. Index: 1. Older people admitted to permanent residential and nursing care homes and financially supported by the council 2. Older people living in a care home (local authority or non-local authority) 1. Older people admitted to permanent residential and nursing care homes and financially supported by the council The following graphs show the projected figures for the number of people aged 65 or over admitted to permanent residential and nursing care homes, including local authority and non-local authority care homes. The information is taken from Social Services Performance Assessment Framework Indicators: Adults 2007-08, Care Quality Commission, reference A0/C72. While admission to a care home is appropriate for some older people, it can be inappropriate for a significant number, who with the help of effective community-based respite or rehabilitative services can be enabled to live at home, or to return home following hospital treatment. Councils' preventative services and rehabilitation strategies, in partnership with health services, should reduce numbers of permanent admissions to residential and nursing care. For this indicator, good performance is generally low, although a very low figure may suggest people in need of residential or nursing care are not receiving it. The performance assessment framework indicators are a collection of performance indicators which together give a view of how local councils are serving their residents. The rates per 10,000 have been applied to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) population projections of the 65 and over population to give projections of the numbers of admissions to supported permanent residential and nursing care, with 2007/08 performance levels. Figure 1.1: Projected figures for the number of older people (aged 65 or over) admitted to permanent residential and nursing care and financially supported by the council each year from 2008 to 2013 1400 1200 Number of People 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Nottingham Nottinghamshire Lincolnshire Rutland Leicester Leicestershire Northamptonshire Derby Derbyshire 2008 258 1,075 1,002 40 312 817 726 301 1,019 2009 257 1,102 1,034 41 312 841 747 304 1,048 2010 255 1,130 1,068 43 312 867 771 310 1,076 2011 255 1,157 1,103 44 312 891 797 313 1,105 2012 258 1,201 1,154 47 317 930 836 321 1,150 2013 259 1,240 1,200 48 321 964 836 329 1,191 Authority Figure 1.2: The number of older people (aged 65 or over) admitted to permanent residential and nursing care and financially supported by the council, projected every five years from 2010 to 2030 2000 1800 1600 Number of People 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Nottingham Nottinghamshire Lincolnshire Rutland Leicester Leicestershire Northamptonshire Derby Derbyshire 2010 255 1,130 1,068 43 312 867 771 310 1,076 2015 262 1,301 1,273 51 333 1,020 926 336 1,255 2020 271 1,428 1,434 59 363 1,134 1,047 359 1,383 2025 291 1,570 1,612 66 405 1,253 1,181 391 1,527 2030 320 1,754 1,825 75 449 1,397 1,347 435 1,705 Authority 2. Older people living in a care home (local authority or non-local authority) These graphs show the projected figures for the number of people in care homes run by the local authority or not. Figures are taken from ONS 2001 Census, Standard Tables, Table S126 Type of communal establishment and sex by resident type and age. The most recent census information is for year 2001 (the next census will be conducted in 2011). Numbers have been calculated by applying percentages of people living in care homes/nursing homes in 2001 to projected population figures. Figures 2.1 - 2.2 shows the projected figures for the number of people living in a care home (local authority or non-local authority). Figures 2.3 – 2.4 shows the projected figures for the number of people living in a local authority care home. Figures 2.5 - 2.6 show the projected figures for the number of people living in non-local authority care homes. Figure 2.1: Projected figures from the number of people aged 65 and over living in a care home (LA and NLA) with or without nursing each year from 2008 to 2013 8,000 7,000 Number of People 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Nottingham Nottinghamshire Lincolnshire Rutland Leicester Leicestershire Northamptonshire Derby Derbyshire 2008 1,053 5,606 6,120 280 1,255 3,105 4,029 1,579 5,003 2009 1,058 5,737 6,313 281 1,253 3,198 4,129 1,596 5,100 2010 1,060 5,887 6,515 303 1,264 3,308 4,237 1,641 5,218 2011 1,068 6,026 6,720 307 1,275 3,394 4,370 1,660 5,353 2012 1,080 6,203 6,972 330 1,282 3,506 4,505 1,705 5,496 2013 1,087 6,369 7,206 334 1,288 3,629 4,637 1,751 5,645 Authority Figure 2.2: The number of people aged 65 and over living in a care home with or without nursing (LA and NLA). Figures are projected for every five years from 2010 to 2030 16,000 14,000 Number of People 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Nottingham Nottinghamshire Lincolnshire Rutland Leicester Leicestershire Northamptonshire Derby Derbyshire 2010 1,060 5,887 6,515 303 1,264 3,308 4,237 1,641 5,218 2015 1,097 6,698 7,733 361 1,331 3,879 4,928 1,808 5,941 2020 1,158 7,807 9,247 458 1,439 4,601 5,785 2,031 6,940 2025 1,268 9,388 11,453 575 1,668 5,627 7,183 2,346 8,433 2030 1,393 11,079 13,832 698 1,891 6,724 8,719 8,719 10,058 Authority Figure 2.3: Projected figures for the number of people aged 65 and over living in a LA care home with or without nursing each year from 2008 to 2013 1200 1000 Number of People 800 600 400 200 0 Nottingham Nottinghamshire Lincolnshire Rutland Leicester Leicestershire Northamptonshire Derby Derbyshire 2008 112 595 192 71 204 535 773 311 893 2009 114 609 197 71 203 550 793 314 912 2010 114 625 204 76 206 569 813 323 933 2011 114 641 199 77 207 583 838 327 957 2012 116 660 217 84 209 602 863 336 983 2013 118 677 224 85 209 624 889 346 1,010 Derbyshire Authority Figure 2.4: The number of people aged 65 and over living in a LA care home with or without nursing projected every five years from 2010 to 2030 2000 1800 1600 Number of People 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Nottingham Nottinghamshire Lincolnshire Rutland Leicester Leicestershire Northamptonshire Derby 2010 114 625 204 76 206 569 813 323 933 2015 118 713 242 90 216 665 944 357 1,062 2020 125 830 289 116 232 788 1,110 403 1,239 2025 104 998 361 146 271 963 1,389 466 1,504 2030 151 1182 433 175 308 1144 1696 534 1796 Authority Figure 2.5: Projected figures to show the number of people aged 65 and over living in a NLA with or without nursing each year from 2008 to 2013 8,000 7,000 Number of People 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Nottingham Nottinghamshire Lincolnshire Rutland Leicester Leicestershire Northamptonshire Derby Derbyshire 2008 940 5,011 5,929 209 1,050 2,570 3,256 1,268 4,109 2009 945 5,128 6,116 210 1,049 2,647 3,336 1,281 4,188 2010 946 5,261 6,312 227 1,059 2,740 3,424 1,317 4,285 2011 954 5,385 6,510 230 1,068 2,810 3,531 1,333 4,397 2012 964 5,543 6,755 247 1,074 2,903 3,642 1,369 4,514 2013 970 5,691 6,981 250 1,080 3,005 3,749 1,405 4,635 Authority Figure 2.6: The number of people aged 65 and over living in an NLA with or without nursing, projected figures every five years from 2010 to 2030 16,000 14,000 Number of People 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Nottingham Nottinghamshire Lincolnshire Rutland Leicester Leicestershire Northamptonshire Derby Derbyshire 2010 946 2,421 6,312 227 1,059 2,740 3,424 1,317 4,285 2015 978 5,984 7,492 269 1,115 3,213 3,985 1,451 4,878 2020 1,033 6,976 8,959 343 1,206 3,813 4,675 1,629 5,700 2025 1,130 8,391 11,094 430 1,398 4,664 5,794 1,881 6,928 2030 1241 9897 13398 522 1182 5581 6523 2141 8262 Authority