93rd EAAE Seminar “Impacts of Decoupling and Cross

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93 rd

EAAE Seminar “Impacts of Decoupling and Cross-Compliance on Agriculture in the New EU Member States”, Prague, 22-23 September 2006

ABSTRACT

Decoupling and Cross-Compliance as Concepts and Instruments in Agricultural

Multifunctionality

Kenneth J. Thomson

1

, TOP-MARD Project

2

Multifunctionality in agriculture has been defined and analysed in a number of ways, most notably by the OECD and in a WTO context, and has been promoted directly and indirectly via various EU policy instruments in pursuit of the “European Model of

Agriculture”. This paper first reviews the concept(s) of multifunctionality, and then proposes a 20*15 “Policy-Function Matrix” as a framework for analysing this concept in more empirical terms. The Matrix forces consideration of the ways in which different policy areas, such as components of the CAP, the Structural Funds, biodiversity policy, etc., influence - positively or negatively - the delivery of beneficial “functions” by affecting the extent and nature of “activities” which use farm resources, including farm household labour as well as land etc. This framework is then applied to a number of Case Study Areas within the TOP-MARD project, and the “completions” of the Matrix for these Areas provide a cross-section of initial judgements about the practical significance of the multifunctionality concept across several Member States of the EU.

A second part of the paper considers the special features of decoupling and crosscompliance within the CAP in the context of agricultural multifunctionality, in both the “old” and the New Member States. Some limitations and inefficiencies of these particular instruments are noted, and their prospects during the 2007-2013 period are assessed.

1 Emeritus Professor, Department of Geography, University of Aberdeen, St Marys, Elphinstone Road,

Aberdeen AB24 3UF, Scotland UK. Tel.: +44(0)1224 274138. E-mail: k.j.thomson@abdn.ac.uk

.

2 This publication derives from the EU-funded project on ‘Towards a Policy Model of Multifunctional

Agriculture and Rural Development’ (TOP-MARD), with collaborating partners: the University of

Highlands and Islands, UK (co-ordinator); the Agricultural University of Athens, Greece; the

Institute for Rural Development Research, Germany; the Federal Institute for Less-Favoured and

Mountainous Areas, Austria; the Autonomous University of Barcelona, Spain; the Rural Economy and Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland; the University of Rome, Italy; the Nordic Centre for Spatial

Development, Sweden; the Norwegian Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Norway; the

University of Ljubljana, Slovenia; the Budapest University of Economic Sciences and Public

Administration, Hungary; and the University of Aberdeen, UK.

Decoupling and Cross-Compliance as Concepts and Instruments in Agricultural

Multifunctionality

Definitions of Multifunctionality

Kenneth J. Thomson

According to FAO (1999): “

There are no internationally agreed definitions of the multifunctional character of agriculture. However, … there exist several internationally agreed references to the term

”, including the “Agenda 21” of the

United Nations Conference on Environment and Development in Rio de Janeiro in

1992, and Commitment 3 of the 1996 Rome Declaration on World Food Security and the World Food Summit Plan of Action. The concept has also been the source of some discussion and tension in WTO circles, especially as regards concerns in the U.S. and elsewhere that the EU has tried to use it to justify trade-distorting subsidies to agriculture (Garzon, 2005).

Following Shumway (1984), Blandford and Boisvert (2002) suggest that “ the simplest view of multifunctionality is one in which two or more outputs are technically interdependent”

. While this originally involved only simple physical outputs

(“commodities”: see below) produced for sale, such as milk and beef, a broader approach includes both marketed services such as farmhouse bed-and-breakfast, and unsold “non-commodity” outputs such as landscape.

The major source of reference as regards the definition of multifunctionality is OECD

(2001), which specified (Box 1.1) that " multifunctionality is ... an activity-oriented concept that refers to specific properties of the production process and its multiple outputs ". This represents a still broader approach, since “ the production process

” could include (say) the treatment of livestock, labour practices, or land ownership, which is not reflected in actual outputs unless differentiation is introduced by organic certification etc.

According to the "working definition" of the OECD (2001, p. 7), the " key elements " of (agricultural) multifunctionality are: " (i) the existence of multiple commodity and non-commodity outputs that are jointly produced by agriculture; and (ii) the fact that some of the non-commodity outputs exhibit the characteristics of externalities or public goods

". A “non-commodity” is a product which is not usually traded, usually because it is an externality, i.e. it cannot be sold and bought on the market (and so is

“external” to the market). OECD (2001, Box 1.4 and Annex 1) also analyses in some detail (not reproduced here) associated terms such as “jointness in production”, “byproducts”, “side-effects”, and “multiple outputs” 3

.

3 In English, “commodity” has two meanings, not always strictly distinguished or defined. In one (nonspecialist) sense, a “raw” commodity is an unprocessed (or lightly processed) farm product, such as grain, milk or timber. In a more economic sense, a commodity is a product, i.e. a good (see below) or service - or possibly even a resource or asset, such as land and labour (Vatn et al.

, 2002)

- that is supplied/provided, usually in sufficient quantities and with sufficient homogeneity

(substitutability) to enable a price to be established in market trading. OECD (2001, Box 1.4) uses

2

Mathematically, the joint production of two or more outputs from one activity (e.g. a land use) or set of resources raises some difficulties. A standard mathematical function such as y = f(x

1

, x

2

, …) is single-valued; multiple values can only be simply derived from x-values for fixed-proportion (linear) cases. Multiple outputs y

1

, y

2

,

…can be handled by “product-substitution” functions such as g(y

1

, y

2,

…, y n

) = 0, where g( ) expresses the (not necessarily linear) trade-offs between the different outputs. Optimality, of course, requires some overall welfare function, or at least some lexicographic ordering.

Other definitions of multifunctionality, explicit or implied, and associated comments, appear from time to time in the literature, e.g.

“… there is still considerable confusion among World Trade Organisation (WTO) member states about what is really meant by the term ‘NTCs’

[non-trade concerns] or its synonym ‘multifunctionality’

(Guyomard and Le Bris, 2004). From a New Institutional Economics (NIE) perspective, Hagedorn (2005) has provided a paper on "the role of integrating institutions for multifunctionality", with eight "interpretations" of the concept, and distinguishing technical and institutional jointness. Freshwater (2005) has suggested that: “ multifunctionality is largely an urban-fringe issue for agriculture. Most of the public good outputs of farming, whether positive or negative, require the presence of non-farmers to be significant

”; this re-focusses attention (see OECD quotation above) on how important the non-commodity outputs of agriculture should be, compared to its commodity outputs.

Furthermore, the multifunctionality concept can be, and has been, broadened from the already wide range of public and private “goods and services” to outputs which may be considered more “soft” if no less important, such as “social cohesion”, rural culture, and a sense of entrepreneurship amongst rural residents. A TOP-MARD colleague (Spissoy, 2006) has suggested that local farming can enhance “agro-

(il)literacy” i.e. understanding of the food chain by urban residents. And recently, a

German Minister of Agriculture (Seehofer, 2006) has pointed to “ the agricultural sector’s special responsibility towards society which can be seen in, for example, the above-average proportion of disabled persons working in this sector. It is this ‘lived multifunctionality’ that will make European agriculture a source of important economic, scientific and political impetus in Europe in the future as well.

OECD (2001, Box 1.2) notes that multifunctionality is not specific to agriculture; for example, forestry is another widespread rural land-using activity that has long been considered as a source of “non-timber products” as well as “softer” benefits. Other industries might be considered in a similar light, e.g. the visual and environmental aspects of buildings, or the cultural implications of public and private service provision. However, it seems that land-extensive sectors, and agriculture in particular, almost inevitably involve the mixture of multiple outputs implied by the term, and, given the contention over the sector and its policies, thus attract particular attention.

“commodity output” in the second sense defined above, and considers this term as preferable to

“food output” since farms may produce fibre, energy, etc.

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Economic Characteristics of Multifunctionality

OECD (2001, Box 1.3) also considers whether multifunctionality is a characteristic of an economic activity or is an objective of society and therefore policy. The first or

“positive” approach is adopted in its report. However, as noted by OECD, this does not exclude a discussion of the second or “normative” approach, which is implied by the 1998 OECD Agricultural Ministerial Communiqué (which stimulated the 2001 study), and by EU declarations such as the “European Model of Agriculture”.

The “opponents” of multifunctionality (e.g. Rude, 2001) argue that some “functions”, e.g. food security and viability of rural areas, are not external effects associated with agricultural production. This approach may have led more recent OECD literature on multifunctionality to deal mostly (or solely) with environmental effects. However, both sides agree at least that agriculture generates both positive and negative externalities.

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The homogeneity or substitutability (and hence what is considered an economic

“commodity”) mentioned above is a matter of context and judgement. For example, litres of milk may differ in microbiological quality (and hence producer price) but are generally regarded as equivalent; a battlefield may be locally unique, but from the tourist point of view is comparable with other cultural sites; an eagle may be ecologically rare, but to most people is simply another interesting species.

OECD (2001, Box 1.4) considers “market(ed)” and “non-market(ed)” outputs as alternative terms to “commodity” and “non-commodity” outputs, but point out that the policy issue is partly to decide which outputs can, in fact, be traded or not

(consider carbon, or organic products). Several recent CAP developments offer farmers, but do not entitle them to, a range of payments for the supply of various services, or the avoidance of potentially damaging operations. Hence, classifying a product per se as “marketed” or otherwise pre-judges or confuses matters.

The term “function” in “multifunctionality” is therefore taken to mean the production of a specific output (commodity or non-commodity). That is, there is a one-to-one correspondence between each “function” and each type of output. Of course, since outputs may be considered at different levels of aggregation (“the environment”,

“wildlife”, “birds”, etc.), the level of such functions must be similarly decided.

Most of the above discussion assumes commodities and non-commodities to be

“goods” (i.e. physical products) or services which are supplied to the market or provided otherwise. The underlying assumption is that they are valued by at least some people who are prepared to pay to “consume” them: they are “goods” in a value

(not just a physical) sense, as in the standard English meaning of generally useful or beneficial 5 . However, as mentioned above, agriculture also produces negative effects or “bads” such as pollution or atmospheric carbon 6

.

4 Thanks are due to Dimitrios Psaltopoulos for this point.

5 However, different people have different valuations, depending on their tastes, incomes or economic situation; consider moorland (beautiful or ugly), landscape (familiar or otherwise), or eagles

(fascinating, or dangerous to livestock).

6 Some standard farm products, such as tobacco or alcohol, may be considered as “bad”. However, the existence of a legal market with a positive price means that these are economic “goods” in a social

4

In some approaches, these “bad” or unwanted products are simply included in the analysis symmetrically, i.e. as negatives. However, this gives rise to two problems. A terminological difficulty, or confusion, derives from the (normal) English use of

“goods” as physical products (alongside services) whereas “bads” can be physical or otherwise (e.g. ugly landscape). The other, economic, problem is that policy measures to address public goods and public bads (see below), such as taxes and subsidies, or regulations, are unlikely in practice be symmetrical in their administration or effects.

Indeed, most fiscal and regulatory measures (carbon trading is an exception) deal only with one side or the other, in encouraging/discouraging or enforcing/prohibiting the

“good” or “bad” respectively. If both “goods” and “bads” must be considered together, OECD (2001, Box 1.4) suggests that the term “effects” is used (though no

“cause” is directly implied).

A Policy-Function Matrix for Multifunctionality 7

The main aim of the TOP-MARD study is to “ develop the concept of multifunctionality as a rural development policy instrument

( http://www.policyweb.uhi.ac.uk/topmard ). The study has therefore involved the consideration and review of a number of relevant policy areas (chosen from an EU perspective, rather than a local, regional or national one), and the specification of a number of “multiple functions” of agriculture defined broadly, i.e. as including the activities of farm household members, and possibly also (non-farm) forestry, which is important for many EU rural regions. The study also involves 11 Case Study Areas

(CSAs), each roughly a NUTS3 region, and selected by a project Partner in each of 11

EU countries.

In order to analyse more precisely the concept of multifunctionality and its relationship to policy, a matrix framework was adopted, as a tool with which to consider the effects of various policies on the selected functions. Table 1 shows this

“Policy-Function Matrix” as it has been developed to date.

The columns of the Matrix represent various policy areas, i.e. collections of public measures or instruments, whether expenditures (“subsidies” or “payments”), or nonexpenditures, e.g. border tariffs, regulations. Some column labels have been generalised beyond CAP terminology, so as not to exclude Norway, which is a TOP-

MARD Partner. The following comments on each policy area have been written to clarify their usage for TOP-MARD purposes:

Market Support comprises import barriers, export subsidies, domestic market

“intervention” purchasing, geographical indicator regulations, etc. for agricultural products. In the EU, this is mostly “the old CAP”, now a diminishing component of Pillar 1 expenditure but still important in OECD

PSE terms. sense. The problems of classifying illegal products such as opium and child labour are not considered here.

7 This concept arose from the author’s conversations with Prof. Demetrios Psaltopoulos, of the

Department of Economics, University of Patras, Greece. He therefore shares (at least) the credit for the idea, but bears no blame for this author’s use of it.

5

Farm Income Support includes partly or mainly decoupled payments such as those made on the basis of crop or grass area, breeding livestock numbers, etc. In the

EU, these include the new Single Farm Payment (or Single Area Payment in 8 of the 10 New Member States), i.e. the greater part of CAP Pillar 1. Crosscompliance requirements should be included here.

Agricultural Development policy includes subsidies for farm development and modernisation, and for agricultural product processing and marketing, mainly for capital (i.e. grants, interest subsidies) but also for training, information, advice, etc. Tax exemptions for agriculture, especially for land and farm capital investment, might be included. In the EU, Axis 1 of the new RDR covers some of this.

Agri-Environment policy includes specific payments for agricultural management activities promoting environmental protection and enhancement, including

Less Favoured Area payments. In the EU, Axis 2 of the new RDR covers most of this.

Biodiversity policy includes measures for wildlife or wildlife habitat more general than specifically or mainly farmland.

Other (i.e. Non-Agricultural) Environment policy includes the Directives for Birds,

Habitat, Water, etc.

Structures policy includes the EU Cohesion Fund and Norwegian regional measures.

LEADER etc. comprises locally based schemes to promote socio-economic development.

Land Use policies include “development control”, “spatial planning”, etc.

Transport policy includes measures for road, rail, water and air transport, including e.g. fuel taxation.

Energy policy includes general measures but also e.g. specific arrangements for taxation of diesel for agricultural use, and subsidies for biofuel crops.

Housing, Forestry and Other policy columns have been included for completeness, but have not yet been much utilised within TOP-MARD. One strong candidate is policy for tourism.

The rows of the Matrix are the “functions” of agricultural multifunctionality, i.e. the output of physical goods and/or non-physical services, whether “private” or “public” or in-between (e.g. “club goods”).

Farm products means physical farm “commodities”, whether conventional or nonconventional, e.g. organic, crocodiles. At the request of some TOP-MARD

Partners, separate rows have been inserted (lower in the Matrix) for Food

Security (presumably at national/EU level) and Food Quality , although these may overlap somewhat.

Processed Products include those processed for drink etc., e.g. of grapes (for wine), wool, cotton, tobacco, timber, straw (for heating).

Tourist Accommodation means bed-and-breakfast, camping or similar services in or near the farmhouse (on the farm), but may include providing occasional meals in that accommodation.

Tourist Activities means marketed on-farm facilities such as a café/restaurant, fishing,

“pick-your-own” fruit, etc.

Landscape means the visual aspect of the countryside, e.g. maintaining openness, field features, etc.

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Water includes flooding (control or worsening), aquifers (extraction or replenishment), purification (or pollution).

Soil includes erosion, avalanches, landslips, etc.

Air includes smells.

Climate includes emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs) or carbon (C) sequestration.

Culture includes the preservation and “marketing” (not necessarily for payment) of archaeological or historical remains, local customs (e.g. farming festivals), etc.

Entrepreneurship means business self-confidence, competence, innovation, etc.

Social Cohesion means contacts and trust between local people.

Food Security overlaps somewhat with (quantity of) Farm Products.

Food Quality overlaps somewhat with(quality of) Farm Products.

Animal Welfare may be taken to include Animal Health (a public good amongst farmers, at least).

The first two of the three final “functions”, i.e. the provision of

Employment, Incomes and Wealth have been inserted at the request of some TOP-MARD Partners (and the third by the author of this paper, for the sake of economic completeness). There is debate whether these are “commodities” and/or “non-commodities” which are

“supplied” by agriculture, or whether they are higher-level concepts, e.g. policy objectives. Ollikainen & Lankowski (2005) consider agricultural employment as a measure of "rural viability".

Finally, each entry in a cell of the Matrix should indicate how a particular policy area affects a specific “output” (either of farmers in their use of land etc., or of farm household members in their pluriactvity or diversification activities) as the production of a “function”. So far in TOP-MARD, the actual cell entries are only symbolic indicators, such as a plus or minus sign, sometimes with an indication of relative significance (e.g. two pluses, or the use of a larger font) and/or descriptive text in an endnote, which may describe the measure(s) in more detail, or explain the time pattern. A cell can contain more than one entry - perhaps for different policy components, or different parts of the Case Study Area. It is not necessary to insert a cell entry in all cells: in fact, only the important influences (direct and indirect) should be shown.

In most cases, quantity or quality (or both) of the function can be affected by the policy. Moreover, policy may be considered to reduce the provision of a “bad” (e.g. pollution) rather than the better (i.e. greater, more timely, cleaner, etc.) provision of a

“good”. In “completing” the Matrix for a Case Study Area (or otherwise), the key (but not always simple!) question is: what would happen if the relevant policy measure were removed (and not replaced by an equivalent national or other measure, and not changing other policies). It is the policy influence that is wanted, not the absolute quantity or quality of the function. There are many difficult issues of policy effectiveness (e.g. per Euro) and efficiency, but these have not so far been considered within TOP-MARD.

Matrix Completions

The entries in the cells of Table 1 summarise the “completions” of the Policy-

Function Matrix received from all TOP-MARD Partners for their respective Case

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Study Areas. Each supplied short textual descriptions and explanations (not recorded here) of their entries.

Since not all Partners used exactly the same conventions as regards positive, negative, ambiguous or “significant” effects (of Policy X on

Function Y), and in one or two cases a slightly different version of the Matrix was used, some interpretation of the submitted material has been necessary. Moreover, not all Partners chose to utilise the three “extra“ functions of Employment, Incomes and

Wealth (see above); therefore the relative number of entries for these rows is not very meaningful. However, although some judgemental differences from CSA to CSA (i.e. country to country) are to be expected, these factors are not thought to have altered the general meaning of the aggregated material. The clustering of entries suggests the following points:

For policies (columns):

Agricultural policies of all types (market support, direct payments, structural aid and agri-environmental schemes) have major effects on almost all the identified

“functions“, though negative or ambiguous ones in some cases.

As is to be expected, biodiversity and other general (non-agricultural) environmental policies have positive effects for natural resources such as water, soil, air and wildlife.

General (non-agricultural) structural policies such as Regional Fund measures and

LEADER schemes have generally positive effects on several agricultural functions, with LEADER cited in many cases.

Energy policy is considered to have a positive effect on farm production

(unprocessed and processed) and on the (global) climate.

Forestry policy (considered generally, i.e. not only for farm forestry) has effects on farm production (directly or indirectly, depending on whether timber is a

„farm product“, or the product of a neighbouring industry offering jobs and perhaps competition for land), and also on landscape and wildlife; these latter effects may be negative for landscape.

For functions (rows):

The supply of farm products - unprocessed and processed - is affected (generally positively) by a number of policies, not all „agricultural“. Food security is enhanced by agricultural (and transport) policy. Food quality (actual or perceived) is generally considered to be improved by several policies. Animal welfare

(including health) is also affected by several policy areas, generally positively.

Tourist facilities are promoted by both agricultural (farm) development policies and LEADER-type schemes.

Landscape and natural resources (water, soil, air, wildlife) are affected, both positively and negatively, by most policies; this is the main area of conflicting policy effects.

 „Soft“ functions such as encouraging entrepreneurship and social cohesion are promoted by several types of policy, but other policies may have uncertain or negative effects.

It is likely that these initial entries will be modified during further “completion rounds” and discussion, by clarifying mutual understanding of the concepts involved, by suggesting further policy-function effects, and/or by raising or lowering the significance of such effects. If so, one or more revised versions will be published in due course.

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Some countries - notably Italy (I) and Eire (J) - have several of their entries in cells unoccupied by other countries (and probably the reverse, although this is more difficult to measure). This may be due to differing conceptions of the matrix by the experts responsible for these entries, or to the special situation in those countries and/or their case study areas.

Policy Scenarios for TOP-MARD

The TOP-MARD “Description of Work” specifies that the study should “… analyse the consequences of various policy scenarios

”. Work has only begun to address this requirement, and this section sets out some initial thinking.

One consideration is the time horizon to be adopted: relevant future dates include:

 2006: final agreement on Financial Perspective (budget allocations), e.g. for CAP

Pillar 2 and structural funds, for forthcoming EU programming period

 2007: start of forthcoming EU budget/programming period

 2008: possible signing of WTO agreement, and/or start of implementation period

2009: decisions following the Mid-Term Review of the CAP scheduled for 2008

 2010 middle of Kyoto Protocol commitment period (2008-2012)

2010/2011: next decennial population census date (for which official projections

 available?); also end of some EU Action Plan periods, e.g. Transport.

 2013: budget and other decisions taken for 2014+ programming period

2020/2021: next but one decennial population census (for which official projections may be available?); and possibly also 2030/2031 etc.

The effects of policies to be covered by TOP-MARD are very widespread. Some of these effects may be short-term (e.g. falls in farm incomes if direct payments are reduced); others will be gradual and much longer-term, e.g. farm structural adjustment, local economic development, environmental effects. Moreover, successive policy changes (e.g. of the last two or three CAP reforms, and of different structural measures in the last two or three programming periods, and future changes) have overlapping as well as extended effects, making analysis difficult. However, perhaps at least 3 years should be allowed for rural (economic) development measures to take effect, i.e. for new enterprises to become established, or to fail; this suggests a time horizon of say 2009/2010 for structural measures to date, and 2015/2016 if the effects of measures taken in 2007-2013 are to be captured. A similar time horizon might be considered for other techno-economic policy measures, e.g. for biodiesel.

Environmental effects may take much longer to have their full effects, e.g. up to 100 years for afforestation, even if action “on the ground” (e.g. planting) has already taken place. However, excluding climate change (as non-local), perhaps 10 years is a reasonable time period, suggesting say 2023 for forthcoming measures to take effect.

Social effects of policy changes may be quite short-term, e.g. LEADER-type encouragement to community groups to be formed, thus creating social capital, but also medium- and long-term, e.g. continued emigration of young people from remote areas, and eventual collapse of some community structures.

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All in all, a time horizon for TOP-MARD policy scenarios (whether “gradual” or

“sudden”) of 2013 has been proposed, but with model simulation to be continued until at least (say) 2033, i.e. 20 years beyond the policy changes being modelled, or 30 years from the base year of 2001.

Of course, future policy change is not the only influence on the variables included in

POMMARD; others include past policy changes, e.g. the “final” effects of recent

Structural Fund measures, future market changes (e.g. in relative price of food, energy, transport), future social changes (e.g. more households, falling birth rates) and future environmental change (e.g. climatic). Ignoring the possibility of an economic or environmental collapse, either local or general, most of these changes can be considered long-term steady pressures with resultant trends in POMMARD output variables. However, some (e.g. an oil price shock) might be considered as a once-forall event, to which policy might or might not react. In any case, it has to be determined whether POMMARD (and/or TOP-MARD scenarios) seeks to include these non-policy phenomena, or whether a simpler “comparative-static/dynamiceffect” or “shock/evolution” approach to modelling is to be taken, i.e. “once-for-all” changes (mostly/all policy changes) are imposed on the modelled system, whose medium/long-term dynamic effects are then simulated and studied, largely in terms of differentials.

Within the policy area, scenario specification might be carried using the structure of the policy function matrix, i.e. explicit specifications for each of Market or Direct

Income Support, Development (Structural) Policies, Environmental Policy,

Transport/Energy Policies, etc. However, this would make for a very complicated set of specifications. Instead, it is proposed that a smaller number of policy change dimensions be used, e.g.:

A)

CAP “reduction” (lower total CAP budget, tariff protection, etc.)

B) Further CAP reform (modulation of finance from Pillar 1 to Pillar 2)

C) More (or less) total structural fund spending, either as a result of overall EU budgetary decisions, or by switching from (or to) large-scale and/or urbanfocussed targets to smaller-scale rural targets

D) Switching of structural fund spending from EU-15 to New Member States

E) More intensive/expensive environmental policy intervention

F) More intensive energy/transport policy action.

Each of these dimensions actually contains a multitude of sub-dimensions (e.g. which

Pillar 2 Axes are in B) above? Does F contain biocrop subsidies as well as fuel taxes?). However, rather than introduce more dimensions, it seems better to limit the number of possibilities, which already total 2 6 = 64 possible policy scenarios if each dimension contains one alternative to the baseline policy. Thus the following “joint”

Policy Scenarios are proposed (for “2013” and afterwards):

I.

Baseline: CAP as at (approximately) 2001; structural and other policies as during 2000-2006

II.

Current (2006): as I, but CAP as reformed in 2005/06 by 2003 decisions, especially as regards decoupling and cross-compliance (see below)

III.

Further CAP Reform: modulation of (say) 20% of Pillar 1 funds to Pillar 2; structural policy as (to be) agreed in 2006; possibly implementation of a

(weak) WTO Doha Agreement after 2008

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IV.

Major CAP etc. Reform: modulation of (say) 50% of Pillar 1 funds to Pillar 2; further structural policy reforms beyond those (to be) agreed in 2006; implementation of a (weak) WTO Doha Agreement after 2008

V.

Axis 2 (or pro-Agricultural Multifunctionality?) Reform: as III, but no (more?) funds for EAFRD Axes 1 and 3, all extra funds going to farmers and landowners for environmental purposes, land-based tourism, etc.

VI.

Axis 3 (or pro-Rural?) Reform: as III, but no (more?) funds for EAFRD Axes

1 and 2, all extra funds going to individuals (trainees, entrepreneurs) and/or communities for non-agricultural (i.e. “rural”) development purposes.

All the above are “plausible” scenarios, rather than “extreme” ones which might have the attraction of greater simplicity in specification and results (impacts). However,

TOP-MARD is intended as a policy-oriented project rather than a purely academic exercise.

Decoupling and Cross-Compliance for Agricultural Multifunctionality

Given the above background, this section of the paper considers the special features of decoupling and cross-compliance within the CAP in the context of agricultural multifunctionality, in both the “old” and the New Member States. The development of

“decoupling” of agricultural support in the EU and elsewhere has been widely discussed in the official and academic literature (e.g. OECD, 2006; Swinbank and

Tranter, 2005). However, its exact nature (e.g. the degree of decoupling, purposes), and its direct and indirect effects (e.g. on production, investment and wildlife), are still hotly debated. Both the mixed situation (i.e. partial decoupling, and country-tocountry differences) and theoretical uncertainties (should the decoupled direct payments be treated as pure lump sums paid annually to households indefinitely, or as perhaps temporary transfers to farm businesses enmeshed in developing agri-rural policy?) present modellers with difficult issues when trying to simulate the likely effects of recent reforms of the CAP.

Cross-compliance, i.e. the need to meet technical requirements in terms of ensuring

“good agricultural and environmental conditions” (GAECs) as a condition for receiving the Single Farm Payment (SFP), has been somewhat less subject to analysis.

This is possibly because the CAP requirements so far specified by Member States in terms of land management etc. are not difficult for most farmers, and the degree of policing, including the risk and level of payment loss for lack of compliance, is uncertain.

At least initially, cross-compliance in the New Member States (NMSs) which apply the Single Area Payment Scheme (SAPS) rather than SFPs

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has been required only for permanent pasture (European Commission, undated), which however is a type of land use subject to great variation of definition. Hofhanzl and Postulka (2004) have summarised the development and implementation of GAECs in the NMSs, and report that varied approaches have been adopted, though with emphasis on agricultural aspects, compared to the EU-15. They report that it has often proved difficult in the

8 Slovenia and Malta implemented SFPs directly, and so are subject to full cross-compliance.

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NMSs to deal with the problems of land abandonment and with the protection of features of high nature and landscape value.

All agricultural schemes of course carry some conditionality. In fact, “crosscompliance” may be simply a convenient but temporary term for the conditions attaching to eligibility for SFPs, which have been introduced with no clear rationale.

As (or if) the environmental or other (e.g. animal health and welfare) conditions are made more strict over time, SFPs may become more like an environmental scheme transfer, with the amounts (rates of payment) becoming more and more recognisable as a reward (i.e. a payment, and not a subsidy) for “multifunctional” services provided to the general population.

In different parts of the UK, various new schemes are making this clearer, with SFP recognised as “Tier 1” (basic legal requirements being Tier 0), and higher-level payments (e.g. the Land Management Contracts in Scotland) as Tiers 2 and 3

9

.

However, this approach may not be adopted in all other member states, especially those in the south and east of the EU-25, where the social, rather than the environmental, rationale for SFPs (or the SAPS) is more widely assumed. Moreover, the political forces attempting to maintain this form of income support are very strong, and are not directed at clarifying, e.g. by differentiation, the more precise

“value for money” aspects of the new CAP arrangements.

When the difficult concept of multifunctionality is added to those of decoupling and cross-compliance, the problems of analysis and quantification are multiplied

10

, although Dwyer and Guyomard (2006) have recently presented a brave attempt at a

“framework” for such work. Most other papers attempting quantitative analysis in this area appear to have selected only a few aspects of multifunctionality, e.g. Brunstad et al . (2005), who investigate the efficiency of current policies in Nordic countries in terms of measures of landscape preservation and national food security.

The 2007-2012 EU financial planning period will see the adoption and implementation of new Rural Development Programmes by all Member States of the

EU-25 (about to become the EU-27). Many of these Programmes explicitly or implicitly

Conclusions

Agricultural multifunctionality continues to stimulate controversy and discussion in both official and academic circles, and, despite the recent suspension of the WTO

9 An interesting situation has arisen in Scotland, where SFP payments to individual farmers (or at least to farm businesses) have been made available to the public (e.g. the media) under Freedom of

Information legislation. However, payments made to farmers under agri-environmental schemes are not being so released, apparently on grounds of commercial confidentiality attaching to all public contracts. Since such schemes include (for example) the creation and improvement of public paths (access to the countryside), the apparent beneficiaries (the general public) and their representatives (e.g. local council and tourist agents, walking clubs) are finding it difficult to locate the recreational improvements purchased with their tax contributions!

10 For example, the “key question” raised above for the PFM analysis - i.e. the with/without comparison - is not appropriate, nor can the “before/after decoupling” point be confidently answered.

12

Doha Round, this seems likely to continue, especially within the EU where the task of reforming the CAP continues. In order to maintain progress, detailed and clear-headed assessment of the effects of recent reforms is essential, so as to identify which components are beneficial, and efficiently and effectively administered

(implemented), thus putting the necessary political pressure on those parties opposed to further reform, or attempting to utilise the reform process in less efficient ways.

The broad-based nature of the multifunctionality concept may be its main attraction as a political term, but this should not be allowed to allow the evasion of specific identification and measurement of the various “functions” involved, even if this cannot be pressed to a final conclusion, due to e.g. the problems of quantifying e.g.

“cohesion”, or of arriving at aggregate measures such “quality of life” indicators.

Within the TOP-MARD project, a Policy-Function Matrix has been developed as a tool for clarifying and identifying - and perhaps ultimately for quantifying and aggregating - the effects of various EU policy areas on a number of agricultural functions, the latter considered as the outputs of the activities of farmers and other farm household members. The use of this tool has already suggested some judgemental conclusions that may be confirmed in further work, both from model construction and policy scenario analysis, and from more detailed and focussed measurement work in each case study area. The ultimate use of the tool to reach aggregate conclusions at an EU level remains to be explored.

As major features of the most recent CAP reform, decoupling and cross-compliance are of intrinsic interest, as well as being potentially important for the development of the multifunctional nature, or the European Model, of agriculture. In this paper, it is argued that decoupling has not yet operated widely or long enough to discern its effects on farm production or on non-production functions of agriculture, although some form of extensification, and thus lower production on the same or smaller EU farmland area, seems inevitable.

Cross-compliance is seen as a so far weak, if widespread, form of a payments scheme to farmers for public-good services. In this interpretation, further development of this instrument would convert it into a more conventional - if not everywhere acceptable - scheme, or schemes, for the delivery of specified services, such as the protection and enhancement of natural resources. However, disagreement over the scope of such services - specifically, whether they include the sheer survival of farm businesses and

“ways of life”, and/or greater connection of farming with the rest of the EU community - make such development uncertain, and probably slow. In that case, the proponents of further and faster CAP reform will face a strategic choice between focussing on this aspect of the CAP’s “market and income support” Pillar 1, emphasising the “rural development” Pillar 2 (including the role of modulation in switching funds between the two Pillars), or urging the general reduction of the CAP per se

, in favour of broader “territorial” socio-environmental measures open to allcomers.

References

13

Blandford D. and Boisvert R. (2002) Multifunctional Agriculture and Domestic/

International Policy Choice, Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade

Policy .3: 106-18.

Brunstad R. J., Gaasland I. and Vårdal E. (2005) Multifunctionality of Agriculture: an inquiry into the Complementarity between Landscape Preservation and Food

Security, Eur. Rev. agric. Econ ., 32(4), 469-488.

Dwyer J. and Guyomard H. (2006) International Trade, Agricultural Policy Reform and the Multifunctionality of European Agriculture , paper presented to ENARPRI conference on Trade Agreements and EU Agriculture, Brussels, June.

European Commission (undated) Cross-compliance in CEECs.

http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/capreform/infosheets/crocom_en.pdf

FAO (1999) Outcome of the Conference on the Multifunctional Character of

Agriculture and Land (Maastricht, Netherlands, September 1999), Rome. http://www.fao.org/docrep/meeting/X3577E.htm

Freshwater, D. (2005) Rural and Agricultural Intersections and Analytical

Opportunities , comments for OECD Workshop, Bratislava, 24-26 October, and published in Coherence of Agricultural and Rural Development Policies , OECD,

Paris.

Garzon, I. (2005) Multifunctionality in the European Union: Is There Substance behind the Discourse’s Smoke?

, seminar paper, University of California at

Berkeley. http://www.agecon.ucdavis.edu/uploads/seminars/multifunctionality.pdf

Guyomard, H. and Le Bris, K. (2004) Multilateral Agricultural Negotiations and

Multifunctionality: Some Research Issues , ENARPRI Policy Brief no. 4 February.

CEPS, Brussels.

Hagedorn K. (2005) The Role of Integrating Institutions for Multifunctionality , paper presented to EAAE Congress, Copenhagen. Humboldt University, Germany.

Hofhanzl A. and Postulka Z. (2004) Cross-compliance in CEECs , summary of presentations and discussions at seminar ‘Cross-compliance in CEECs’ , Prague. http://www.ieep.org.uk/publications/pdfs/crosscompliance/seminar5summary.pdf

Ollikainen M. and Lankowski J. (2005) Multifunctional Agriculture: the Effects of

Non-Public Goods on Socially Optimal Policies , Discussion Paper no. 1, MTT,

Helsinki (version also presented to EAAE Congress, Copenhagen)

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (2001) Multifunctionality:

Towards an Analytical Framework . OECD, Paris.

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (2006) The Challenge of

Decoupling Agricultural Support

. OECD website “Reform Options and Analysis”,

Paris.

Rude J. (2001) Multifunctionality: An Examination of the Issues and Remedies, in

Globalization and Agricultural Trade Policy (ed. Michelmann, Rude, Stabler, and

Storey), Lyne Rienner, Boulder.

Seehofer, H. (2006) European Agriculture in the Wake of Globalisation: What are the

Prospects for Diversity?, guest editorial in EuroChoices , 5(2), 6-11.

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Shumway, C., Pope, R. and Nash E. (1984) Allocable Fixed Inputs and Jointness in

Agricultural Production: Implications for Economic Modeling, American Journal of Agricultural Economics . 66: 72-78.

Spissoy, A. (2006) Comments on the Policy Matrix , TOP-MARD study paper, June.

NILF, Oslo.

Swinbank, A. and Tranter, R. (2005) Decoupling EU Farm Support: Does the New

Single Payment Scheme Fit within the Green Box? Estey Centre Journal of

International Law and Trade Policy , 6(1) , 47-61.

Vatn, A., Kvakkestad, A. and Rørstad, P. C. (2002)

Policies for Multifunctional

Agriculture: the Trade-off between Transaction Costs and Precision , Report no.

23, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Agricultural University of

Norway, Ås.

15

Table 1: Policy-Function Matrix: Case Study Area Completions

Local Functions

(outputs)

Farm products

Processed products

Tourism x

On-Farm xii ix

Tourist Accom.

xi

GDA

EJIS

NTH

U

G-

JISU

H

GDA

E±JI

STU

G

GAE

JNT

H

GAE

JINT

U

GAE

INH

GAE

INT

U

±GA

TH

JT GT J

-IS

GSU

GS

GAE

N

GEJ

N

EJIN

U

-T

GJ

-J

EJ

DJS

UH

JSH

U

-J

T

GA±

JSU

N

G±J

±J

Landscape xiii

G-

DA-

JS-

N-U

G±D

A±JS

N

GEJ

H

GDA

EJTH

IN H

G±D

JI

G±J ±D±J

-NT -J

GAE

±JIS-

NH-

U

Water xiv

-G-

D-J-I

G-

D±J

±GJ

H

GDJI

TH

IS

DAE

JIS

NHU

G J T -J G

Soil

Air xv xvi

-GE-

I-N

-G-J-

N

GDE

±GE

TH

-GE

GAI

H

H

I

I

ISHU

SHU

G

-

DTH

-D -D GE

G

Wildlife

±G-

D-J

G±D

J

±GJ

U

GDA

JH

GDE

JISN

THU

AJN

±H

S GU

Climate xvii -N E H H SU

Culture xviii

G-S-

J-N-

U

±J

GEH J I

GAE

JINH

U

G J

Entrepreneurship xix

GJH -E

GAJI

H

I

GEJI

STH

GAE

JHU

Social

Cohesion xx

GSH GS J J

GJS-

NTH

GEJ

HU

±J

S?

±JN

U?

Food Security xxi

GAE

JSN

HU

AN

GJT

H

N

Food Quality xxii G-I-J GJ

GEJS

THU

GDA

JN

GJN

U

Animal

Welfare xxiii

-G--

JIU

GA-

JISN

?

AEJS

HU

JT -N SNU

Recreation

Fire Reduction

Manure

Absorption

E

Employmentxxiv EJI E-J -JI

Incomes xxiv

IT

AIN

T

I

Wealth xxiv

JIN AIN I

J

A

I I

I

IT

IT

I

A

A

DAJ

D

NB: G = Greece, D = Germany, A = Austria, E = Spain, J = Eire, I = Italy, S = Sweden, N = Norway, T =

Slovenia, H = Hungary, U = UK (Scotland); signs (-, ±, ?) refer to letter immediately following.

* Other Functions: Fire Reduction and Manure Absorption (Spain), Recreation (Germany, Austria)

GE±J

HU

GE

J

E

EN

±J

i Market Support comprises import barriers, export subsidies, domestic market “intervention” purchasing, geographical indicator regulations, etc. for agricultural products. In the EU, this is mostly “the old CAP”, now a diminishing component of Pillar 1 expenditure but still important in

PSE terms. ii Farm Income Support includes partly or mainly decoupled payments such as those made on the basis of crop or grass area, breeding livestock numbers, etc. In the EU, these include the new Single Farm

Payment (or Single Area Payment in 8 of the 10 New Member States), i.e. the greater part of CAP

Pillar 1. Cross-compliance requirements should be included here. iii “Agricultural Development” policy includes subsidies for farm development and modernisation, and for agricultural product processing and marketing, mainly for capital (i.e. grants, interest subsidies) but also for training, information, advice, etc. Tax exemptions for agriculture, especially for land and farm capital investment, might be included. In the EU, Axis 1 of the new RDR covers some of this. iv Agri-Environment policy includes specific payments for agricultural management activities promoting environmental protection and enhancement, including Less Favoured Area payments. In the EU, Axis 2 of the new RDR covers most of this. v Biodiversity policy includes measures for wildlife or wildlife habitat more general than specifically or mainly farmland vi Non-Agricultural Environment policy includes the Directives for Birds, Habitat, Water, etc. vii “Structures” policy includes the EU Cohesion Fund and Norwegian regional measures viii “Land Use” policies include “development control”, “spatial planning”, etc. ix “Farm products” means physical farm “commodities”, whether conventional or non-conventional, e.g. organic, crocodiles. On request, separate rows have been inserted for “Food Security”

(presumably at national/EU level) and “Food Quality”, although these may overlap somewhat. x Including processing for drink etc., e.g. of grapes (for wine), wool, cotton, tobacco, timber, straw (for heating). xi “Tourist Accommodation” means bed-and-breakfast, camping or similar services in or near the farmhouse (on the farm), but may include providing occasional meals in that accommodation. xii “Tourist Activities” means marketed on-farm facilities such as a café/restaurant, fishing, “pickyour-own” fruit, etc. xiii “Landscape” means the visual aspect of the countryside, e.g. maintaining openness, field features, etc. xiv “Water” includes flooding (control or worsening), aquifers (extraction or replenishment), purification (or pollution), xv “Soil” includes erosion, avalanches, landslips, etc. xvi “Air” includes smells. xvii “Climate” includes emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs) or sequestration of carbon (C). xviii “Culture” includes the preservation and “marketing” (not necessarily for payment) of archaeological or historical remains, local customs (e.g. agricultural festivals), etc. xix “Entrepreneurship” means business self-confidence, competence, innovation, etc. xx Social Cohesion” means contacts and trust between local people. xxi “Food Security” overlaps somewhat with (quantity of) “Farm Products” xxii “Food Quality” overlaps somewhat with(quality of) “Farm Products” xxiii “Animal Welfare” may be taken to include Animal Health (a public good amongst farmers, at least). xxiv These three “functions” have been inserted at the suggestion of a PGA participant. They may represent higher-level policy goals rather than the simpler “agricultural functions” in the rows above, and so have been italicised. “Employment” should be taken to include all local (Case Study Area) employment, and similarly for “Incomes” and “Wealth” (e.g. rises in land values or property prices).

17

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