El Niño in the Eocene Greenhouse Recorded by Fossil Bivalves and Wood from Antarctica Linda C. Ivany, Thomas Brey, Matthew Huber, Devin P. Buick, Bernd Schöne Auxiliary Material (AM) Geologic and Paleoenvironmental Setting Seymour Island is located roughly 100 km east of the Antarctic Peninsula near its northern end (Fig. S1). Specimens used in this analysis were collected from the Eocene La Meseta Formation, a shallow marine succession comprised of sandstones, mudstones, and shell beds [MTM, Elliot and Trautman, 1982; S. A. Marenssi et al., 1998; S.A. Marenssi et al., 2002; Porebski, 1995; 2000; Sadler, 1988] that accumulated in a fault-bounded basin. The formation has been divided into seven members termed TELMs [Tertiary Eocene La Meseta, Sadler, 1988], with Telm 1 being the oldest; samples used in this analysis come from Telm 5. Internal architecture is complex, with stacked and interfingering sediment lenses and occasional slumps of variable thickness. Different authors have variously stressed estuarine, deltaic, and channel or valley fill interpretations for the depositional setting of different parts of the La Meseta Formation [Elliot and Trautman, 1982; S. A. Marenssi et al., 1998; S.A. Marenssi et al., 2002; Porebski, 1995; 2000; Sadler, 1988; Stilwell and Zinsmeister, 1992; L S Wiedman and Feldmann, 1988], though stable oxygen and strontium isotope analyses of included shell material suggest limited if any freshwater influx [Dutton et al., 2002; Ivany et al., 2008] and the diverse invertebrate fauna preserved within the unit [Baumiller and Gazdzicki, 1996; D B Blake and Zinsmeister, 1988; D D Blake and Aronson, 1998; Filkorn, 1994; McKinney et al., 1988; Stilwell and Zinsmeister, 1992; L A Wiedman et al., 1988] suggests accumulation under relatively normal marine conditions. Age control within the La Meseta Formation has been based primarily on biostratigraphy and suggests that deposition spanned much of the Eocene [e.g., Wrenn and Hart, 1988, many others]. Strontium isotope stratigraphy has recently offered new constraints on the age of sediments within the unit, and suggests that Telm 5 is early Eocene to earliest middle Eocene in age [Ivany et al., 2008]. As such, fossils recovered from this interval come from organisms that experienced some of the warmest conditions on the planet during the Cenozoic. Paleontological studies suggest cool- to warm-temperate conditions at this time even in Antarctica [Askin, 1997; Askin and Fleming, 1982; Case, 1988; Doktor et al., 1996; Francis and Poole, 2002; Stilwell and Zinsmeister, 1992; L A Wiedman et al., 1988], a conclusion supported by oxygen isotope paleothermometry [Ditchfield et al., 1994; Dutton et al., 2002; Gazdzicki et al., 1992; Ivany et al., 2008; Pirrie et al., 1998]. Stable isotope data from Telm 5 bivalves Cucullaea raea (Arcoida) and Eurhomalea antarctica (Veneroida), the shells of some of which are used in this study, suggest temperatures of around 15°C at the time of deposition [Dutton et al., 2002; Ivany et al., 2008]. Detailed Methodology. Fossil bivalve shell preparation and growth increment reading Shells of Cuculaea raea and of Eurhomalea antarctica from TELM 5 were sectioned through the umbo along the maximum growth axis and polished to reveal internal growth increments (Fig. 2). We measured the distances between consecutive pairs of dark bands, moving around the outer margin of the shell from umbo to commissure until bands were too compressed to be resolved. In the present analysis, we include only data from shells that span a minimum of 55 consecutive years. Tree-disk preparation and growth increment reading Sections of trees that entered the marine shelf environment as driftwood were recovered from the same unit in which the bivalves were collected. Most were colonized by boring bivalves (‘shipworms’) that left traces known as Teredolites in the fossilized wood (Fig. S6A). Annual growth increments are evident in the wood, and one section preserved a record long enough to be considered in this analysis. The fossil log was cut across its diameter, polished to reveal growth bands, photographed, and the digital images enhanced so as to make growth increments more apparent. No single trajectory across all growth increments was preserved well enough to measure inter-annual distances consecutively, so three overlapping trajectories were identified and measured using ScionImage software. We adjusted increment widths of the inner and outer series to the middle series by the average ratio of overlapping increments thus obtaining a combined series of 157 annual growth increments (Fig. S6B). Computation of standardized growth index time series Bivalves: The five shells with the longest growth increment records were selected for further analysis, i.e. four C. raea (58, 72, 79, and 82 yr) and one E. antarctica (76 yr). We removed the ontogenetic trend of decreasing increment size ([see Buick and Ivany, 2004]) by means of standard individual-based detrending as developed in dendrochronology ([e.g., Cook and Kairiukstis, 1990]) and used in a number of mollusc studies ([e.g., Schöne et al., 2003]). For each individual, a cubic spline was fitted to the series of measured growth increments Mi (i = 1, 2, … n; software JMP 7 by SAS Institute expected increments Ei,. Growth indices GIi were computed by GIi = Mi / Ei and standardized growth indices by SGIi = (GIi - mean of all GIi) / S.D. of all GIi (see Fig. S2) Tree cross section: The growth increment time series was detrended by cubic spline interpolation (smoothing parameter λ = 10000) as described above. Subsequently, significant autocorrelation was removed by means of a 1st order AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model (Fig. S7). Spectral analysis of SGI time series Bivalves: A variogram, i.e. a plot of the variance of the differences of SGI values versus the time lag between these values, served as a first check for SGI oscillation patterns (Fig. S3). We analysed each SGI time series by a two-step procedure using the software package kSpectra by SpectraWorks Inc. In the first step we applied Singular Spectrum Analysis [SSA; settings: window length 15, covariance estimation by Vautard & Ghil [Vautard and Ghil, 1989] approach, Monte Carlo significance test] to reduce the noise level in the time series [Vautard and Ghil, 1989]. Ranked by variance explained, the first eight SSA components (singular values) captured more than 65% of total variance in each SGI time series. These eight components were used to reconstruct a “filtered” SGI time series. In the second step, the reconstructed SGI time series was subjected to the nonparametric Multi-Taper method (MTM; settings: significance = “red noise”, 3 tapers, adaptive procedure, robust background noise) of spectral analysis that is a common tool in geophysics, oceanography, climatology, and geochemistry [e.g., Mann and Lees, 1996]. Within the frequency range zero to 0.5, spectral density is computed for 512 equally spaced frequencies. See Ghil et al. [2000] for more detailed information on SSA and MTM (Fig S4). The resulting matrix of 512 frequencies x 5 individuals is subjected to Principal Component Analysis (on the covariance matrix) and an average composite frequency series is computed from the first three principal components. In order to verify the MTM spectrum, we constructed a second composite spectrogram from the simple Fourier Series of the five SGI time series (Fig. S5). This spectrogram should resemble the most distinct peaks of the MTM spectrum in order to confirm the latter. Tree cross section: The tree chronology was treated as the bivalve data, except with slightly different SSA settings (window length 30) and the construction of the “filtered” SGI time series from the first 20 SSA components (singular values) that captured 78% of total variance (Fig. S7). Correlation of environmental factors with fossil bivalve growth. High-resolution stable oxygen and carbon isotope data collected across 17 years of growth in the fossil bivalve Cucullaea provide insight into the environmental variables that correlate with thicker or thinner growth bands. Measured increment widths for the 17 years of isotope data [Buick and Ivany, 2004] were detrended, and deviations each compared to the mean 18O and 13C values for the corresponding year, as well as seasonal extremes for each year (Fig. S8). Thinner growth increments exhibit a range of oxygen isotope values, but all thick increments correspond to lower 18O values and hence warmer temperatures. This suggests that, while poor annual growth might be due to a variety of factors, robust growth only happens during warmer years on average. Increment thickness shows a weak positive relationship with carbon isotope values (p=.03), suggesting a connection with primary production on the shelf. These relationships are complicated by the general pattern by which Cucullaea grows, with more shell accretion in the cold months than in the warm months. ‘Summertime’ isotope values represent a truncated or time-averaged meaure of warm month means, and underestimate actual values. Most of the variation in increment width is associated with accretion during the winter (see light growth bands in Fig. 2), thus it appears that more metabolic energy can be devoted to precipitation of shell material following warmer, more productive summers. Coupled climate model. The simulations analyzed for this study included long, fully coupled, Eocene Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3) runs which were carried out with CO2 mixing ratios of 1120 and 2240 ppmv and they have been described in Hollis et al. [2009] and Liu et al. [2009]. Both simulations produce similar teleconnection patterns, and both are similar to the Eocene CSM version 1.4 results presented in Huber and Caballero [2003]. We focus here on the results of the simulation with 2240 ppmv CO2 because that simulation produces SSTs in the Seymour Island region that match the Early Eocene SST proxy records of Ivany et al. [2008]. We present a time series correlation analysis and spectral analysis of the last 360 years of a 3000 year long, coupled, equilibrated Eocene simulation at 2240 ppmv CO2. Analysis of annual and monthly-mean timeseries reveals robust teleconnections, which are maximized in July. In Figure 4 we show the global correlation between SST variations in the Eocene Quasi-Nino Index region of Huber and Caballero [2003], the mean SST from 5°N to 5°S and 190° to 240° Longitude. Seymour Island SST variability in July has a correlation of 0.20 with EQNI variability. As revealed by analyzing the spectral coherence of the two modeled timeseries, variability on time scales of ~2, 4, and 6 years is coherent (0.2, 0.2, and 0.4, respectively). Supplementary Figures. Figure S1. Geologic map of TELMs 1 through 7 of the La Meseta Formation, exposed on the NE half of Seymour Island (Isla Marambio), Antarctica [modified from Ivany et al., 2008; based on Sadler, 1988]. Age of TELM 5 sediments from which the samples come is about 50 MA [Ivany et al., 2008]. Figure S2. Standardized Growth Index (SGI) time series derived from the five shells. Pink dots indicate increments unmeasurable owing to obscured growth bands. Figure S3. Variograms of the Standardized Growth Index (SGI) time series of the five shells in Fig. S2. The variogram measures the variance of the differences between two points with time lag k years and compares it to that for points one year apart. It is computed from the autocorrelation as Vk = 1 – rk+1 / 1- r1 Figure S4. Relative spectral density (adjusted to the range 0 - 1) of the five bivalve SGI time series as computed by the Multi Taper Method [MTM, Ghil et al., 2000]. Red line indicates “red noise” 95% significance level. Figure S5. Mean Variogram, Fourier series (composite of first three PCA components of individual Fourier series) and spectral density plot (composite of first three PCA components of MTM based frequencies) of the five bivalve SGI time series. Error bars represent one standard error. Figure S6. A) Section of tree recovered from TELM 5 of the La Meseta Formation. Cement- and sediment-filled voids are borings (Teredolites) made by bivalves (‘shipworms’) during the time the wood was floating in the sea as driftwood. Red lines mark the positions of growth increments along trajectories 1, 2, and 3. B) Corresponding composite time series. Figure S7. Standardized Growth Index time series derived from tree cross section measurements (upper plot) and corresponding time series analysis (lower plots). Red line indicates “red noise” 95% significance level. Figure S8. Relationship between detrended growth increment width of Cucullaea and (A) annual average 18O and (B) summer average 13C. 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