STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF INHALABLE PARTICLES (PM10) AND FINE PARTICLES (PM2.5) IN URBAN REGION OF KOLKATA, INDIA Control # 1340 Scheduled in session : AB-1a (1) Subhankar Naga A. K. Guptab U. K. Mukhopadhyayc Department of Civil Engineering ,Indian Institute of Technology,Kharagpur Pin-721302, West Bengal,, India. C West Bengal Pollution Control Board, LA-10A,Sector-III,Salt Lake City,Kolkata,Pin700098, West Bengal India Corresponding Author. Email address : a - snag@iitian.iitkgp.ernet.in a & b ABSTRACT In this study, the relationship between inhalable particulate (PM10), fine particulate (PM2.5), coarse particles (PM2.5-10) and meteorological parameters such as temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, wind speed were statistically analyzed and modelled for urban region of Kolkata during winter of 2003-2004. Ambient air quality was monitored with a sampling frequency of twenty-four hours at three monitoring sites covering a period of three months from December 2003 to February 2004. The monitoring sites were located 3-5 m above ground near highly trafficked and congested areas. The 24-h average PM10 and PM2.5 samples were collected using Thermo-Andersen high volume samplers. Meteorological parameters such as temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, and wind speed were also recorded simultaneously during the sampling period. The ratios between PM2.5 and PM10 were found to be in the range of 0.6 to 0.9 and the highest ratio was found in the most polluted urban site. Concentrations of PM10 and PM2.5 show the monthly, weekly and daily variations during winter. Statistical analyses have shown a strong positive correlation between PM10 and PM2.5 and strong correlation was observed between particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) and wind speed. Regression equations for PM10 and PM2.5 and meteorological parameters were developed. KEYWORDS: PM10, PM2.5, PM2.5-10, statistical analyses, meteorological parameters, urban air pollution. INTRODUCTION Respiratory health effects are biologically expected to be associated with particles less than 10 µm, passing the nose and entering lung alveoli (Monn Ch. et. al., 1995, Dockery et al., 1992,1993, Pope et al., 2002). The impact of ambient particles on human health has been known since the early 1980s (Lippmann, 1989). Over the last two decades a large number of epidemiological studies have been conducted around the world that observed associations between ambient particle concentrations and excesses in daily mortality and morbidity (Katsouyanni et al., 1997). The health effects range from increased incidences of pneumonia and asthma, exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, increased respiratory symptoms and decreased lung function, to an increased mortality rate (USEPA, 1995). It has been estimated that for every increase of 10 µg/m 3 of PM10 there will be a rise in mortality of 3.4% from respiratory diseases and 1.4% from cardiovascular diseases (WBPCB, 2002). The findings on epidemiological studies around the world have underlined the importance of ambient particles and the need for monitoring PM10 (inhalable particles) and PM2.5 (fine particles). In addition to negative health effects, particulate matter reduces visibility and accelerates the deterioration of buildings. It is assumed that PM10 represents anthropogenic pollutants, whilst the origin of coarser (>10µm) is mainly natural. The major objectives of the present study were as follows: To collect baseline data of PM10 and PM2.5 from a selected area of study; to assess the fraction of PM2.5 within PM10 and its variation over sites and time; and to analyze correlation between air pollutants and meteorological parameters in the urban region of Kolkata city. MONITORING AND ANALYSIS Description of Study Area Kolkata city, the second-largest metropolis in South Asia is centred around latitude 22° 34’ N and longitude 88° 24’ E. The city is bounded to the west and north-west by the Hooghly River. The core area of the city is generally flat with elevations ranging from 5 to 6 m above mean sea level. Kolkata Municipal Corporation (KMC) covers an area of 187 km2. However, the wider urban agglomeration surrounding the KMC, which covers an area of 1,380 km2. Kolkata City has a tropical Savannah climate with a marked monsoon season. Monthly mean temperatures range from 20 to 31°C, and the maximum temperatures often exceed 40°C. Summers are hot, the temperatures fluctuating between maximum 30oC to 35oC and a minimum 14oC to 25oC. Relative humidity is 66% and 69% in winter and summer, respectively. The pre-monsoon and monsoon season is dominated by strong south- westerly winds with greatest air ventilation potential (UNEP/WHO, 1992). Moderate northwesterly winds prevail for most of the year with a high frequency of calms. Kolkata city is located in coastal area and influenced by seabased disturbances. The average wind speed blowing throughout the year is 7 km/hour. The average solar radiation was recorded 1428 W/m2. Three stations were established (in the busiest urban agglomeration) to measure PM10 and PM2.5 concentration. The air quality monitoring stations are shown in Figure 1. Additional justifications for various sites are given in Table 1. Collection and Analysis of Particulate Matter PM10 (inhalable particles) and PM2.5 (fine particles) were collected at three monitoring stations from December 2003 to February 2004 in the study area. Thermo Andersen flow manager high volume Sampler was used for collecting PM10 and PM2.5 and operated at an average flow rate of 68.0 m3/h. The PM10 and PM2.5 samples were collected on preweighed glass fibre filters (GF/A), as per the most widely recommended (IS 5182 PartIV, 1999) technique. The monitoring at each station has been covered at least once in a week and the sampling period was twenty-four hours throughout the study period. Meteorological Data The meteorological station was located in Victoria Memorial, which is very close to the air quality monitoring stations. The location of meteorological station is shown in Figure 1. The height of the meteorological tower is 10 m. from ground level. On line continuous meteorological data with an averaging time interval of 1 hour comprising of temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, wind speed and wind direction, which were measured by Environment S.A automatic Analyzers (Envidas,2002). Figure 1: Location of monitoring sites in the study area Site Index BE MP PS Table 1. Justification of air quality monitoring stations. Location Land use Road Gradient Beleghata & Eastern Metropolitan Byepass crossing Minto Park Park Street Type Industrial/Residential Flat Industrial influence and medium traffic Commercial Commercial/ Industrial Flat Flat High traffic density High traffic density with industrial influence RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Precision and data capture Total of 53 samples were collected during the study period from December 2003 to February 2004 from three different sites for PM10. Also, a total of 53 samples of PM2.5 have been collected from three different sites during from December 2003 to February 2004.A blank control procedure for particulate sampling was performed, the result of which showed high accuracy of sampling in most cases. The initial and final weights of the blank sampler mounted at one of the sites were almost the same and within the permissible measurement error. Only in few cases final weight was slightly higher, with maximum difference of 0.1%. Frequency distribution of PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations The frequency distributions of PM10 concentrations in intervals of 50 µg/m3 are shown in Figure 2. A peak in the distribution of PM10 concentrations occurred at 250 to 300 µg/m3. Approximately 24% of PM10 concentrations (n=53) were below 200 µg/m3, 81% below 400 µg/m3 and 64% below 300 µg/m3. Approximately 90% of PM10 concentrations were exceeding the standard value of 150 µg/m3, as compared with the standard given in Table 2. Figure 2: Frequency distribution of PM10 concentration Number of frequency 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 100 200 300 400 500 PM10 concentration (µg/m3) Table 2. National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQMS, 1997) Concentration in ambient air Time weighted average PM10 PM2.5 3 Annual average 50 µg/m 15 µg/m3 24 h average 150 µg/m3 65 µg/m3 On the other hand, the peak in the PM2.5 concentrations was at in intervals of 50 to 200 µg/m3 are shown in Figure 3. Approximately 74 % of PM10 concentrations (n=53) were below 200 µg/m3, 98 % below 400 µg/m3. Approximately 96% of PM2.5 concentrations were exceeding the standard value of 65 µg/m3, as per the standard given in Table 2. Figure 3: Frequency distribution of PM2.5 concentration 18 Number of frequency 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 50 100 200 300 400 500 PM2.5 concentration (µg/m3) Temporal Variation of PM10 and PM2.5 The daily PM10 average concentration of all the sites are presented in Figure 4. Figure 5 presents the same information for PM2.5. The average concentrations of PM10 and PM2.5 all the sites during the study period were 286.1±123.4 µg/m3 and 179.5±91.5 µg/m3, respectively. The maximum concentration (637.7 µg/m3 in the month of January, while minimum (66.7 µg/m3) was recorded in the month of December. The maximum and minimum concentration of PM2.5 was 537.8 µg/m3 and 49.5 µg/m3 in the month of January and December, respectively. Spatial Variation of PM10, PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 Figure 6 shows the average concentrations of PM10, PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 at all the three monitoring stations during the study period. The ratio of highest to lowest concentration of all sites varies from 5.0 to 9.0 for PM10, 5.3 to 10.9 for PM2.5 and 6.7 to 8.9 for PM2.5-10, respectively. The ratio of PM2.5/PM10 was highest at the site PS (0.92). This may be due to heavy traffic and surrounding industrial activities. The ratio of PM2.5/PM10 was lowest at the site MP (0.60). The concentration of PM2.5-10 was about 39% of PM10 concentration. The ratio of PM2.5-10/PM10 was highest at MP (0.47) in the month of February, while the lowest was at BE (0.27) during the month of January. Figure 4: Daily PM10 average concentration of all the sites 700 BE 600 PM10 (µg/m3) MP 500 PS 400 300 200 100 0 10 Dec 15 Dec 17 Dec 22 Dec 29 Dec 08 Jan 12 Jan 21 Jan 28 Jan 04 Feb 11 Feb 18 Feb 25 Feb Sampling date Figure 5: Daily PM2.5 average concentration of all the sites 400 350 PM2.5 (µg/m3) 300 250 200 BE MP PS 150 100 50 0 10 15 17 22 29 Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 08 Jan 12 Jan 21 Jan Sampling date 28 Jan 04 Feb 11 Feb 18 Feb 25 Feb Figure 6: Concentrations of PM10, PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 at all the three monitoring stations Concentration (µg/m3) 400 December 350 January 300 February 250 200 150 100 50 0 PM10 PM2.5 PM2.5- PM10 10 BE PM2.5 PM2.5- PM10 10 MP PM2.5 PM2.510 PS Sampling stations Relationships between PM10, PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 Results from recent studies have shown that PM10 in urban locations is mainly composed of fine particles. The particle size analysis shows that concentration of PM2.5 is about 62% of PM10 concentration at all the three sites. Harrison et al., (1997) found that in Birmingham, approximately 60% of PM10 was PM2.5. Clarke et al., (1999) reported that 60-70% of urban PM10 mass is typically in the PM2.1 fraction and 50% is below approximately 1.5m. The PM2.5/PM10 value had shown little variability, and ranged from 0.61 to 0.64. This suggests that the contributions of PM2.5-10 (coarse particle) and PM2.5 (fine particles) to PM10 are similar. Finally the relationships between PM10, PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 were investigated. Annual mean PM2.5/PM10 ratios measured in a large number of urban and semi-rural US areas varied between 0.3 and 0.7 (USEPA, 2001). Harrison et al. (1997), analyzed data collected in Birmingham, UK, and found that PM2.5 comprises about 80% of PM10 during the winter months in UK and a lower fraction was reported for the summer months with PM2.5 concentration accounting for approximately 50% of PM10 concentrations. High PM10 concentrations were strongly associated with both PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 concentrations, with Spearman correlation coefficients of 0.93 and 0.76, respectively. This is expected, since both fine (primary and secondary particles) and coarse particles (road dust re-suspension, which is enhanced in dry winter climates) are associated with local traffic. Correlation between Particulate Data Sets Figure 7 shows the scatter plots of PM2.5 concentration against that of PM10 concentration. The Figure indicates that these two parameters are highly related to one another with a linear relationship. The least-square regression line for the daily data has the following equation: [PM2.5]= 0.69[PM10] - 17.878 [R2 = 0.87] [PM10] = Concentration of PM10 in µg/m3 [PM2.5] = Concentration of PM2.5 in µg/m3 (1) The regression Equation (1) obtained by using the data of all the monitoring stations viz; BE, MP and PS, respectively. The above equation reveals that the PM10 concentration increases with increasing PM2.5 concentration. The correlation analyses of data have been carried out using Spearman rank correlation coefficient using the commercial package of SPSS package (SPSS, 2003). Table 3 shows the correlation between PM10 and PM2.5 data sets during the study period and the results show that PM10 and PM2.5 was strongly correlated at all the site. The highest correlation 0.98 was obtained between PM10 and PM2.5 at the site MP site, while 0.96 at BE and 0.66 at the site PS, respectively. Figure 7: Scatter plots of PM2.5 concentration against that of PM10 concentration 600 PM2.5 = 0.6899PM10 - 17.878 3 PM2.5 (µg/m ) 500 R2 = 0.87 400 300 200 100 0 0 100 200 300 400 3 PM10 (µg/m ) 500 600 700 Table 3. Spearman rank correlation coefficient for particulate data. PM10BE PM10MP PM10PS PM2.5BE PM2.5MP PM2.5PS PM10BE 1.00 PM10MP 0.92** 1.00 PM10PS 0.73** 0.72** 1.00 PM2.5BE 0.96** 0.97** 0.71** 1.00 PM2.5MP 0.90** 0.98** 0.71** 0.96** 1.00 PM2.5PS 0.86** 0.96** 0.66** 0.93** 0.96** 1.00 ** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level PM10 refers to inhalable particle data sets, PM2.5 refers to fine particle data sets and sites BE, MP, PS, represents Beleghata EM Byepass Crossing, Minto Park and Park Street, respectively. Values were rounded to two places of decimal. Influence of Meteorological Parameters on Particulate matter The air quality of any place varies from time to time, though the emissions may not undergo many variations, because air quality strongly depends on the dynamics of the atmosphere and meteorological conditions play a vital role in governing the fate of air pollutants. In this study, the relationship between ambient particulate matter data and meteorological factors, such as temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation and wind speed is statistically analyzed using the SPSS package (SPSS, 2003). Table 4 shows the descriptive statistics of particulate matter and meteorological factors. Table 5 depicts the relationship between particle concentrations (PM10 and PM2.5) and meteorological parameters (temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation and wind speed). The PM10 and PM2.5 is found to be strongly correlated with each other and inversely correlated with wind speed with correlation coefficient of -0.63 and –0.66, respectively. Very poor correlation was observed between particulate matters (PM10, PM2.5) and meteorological parameters including temperature, relative humidity and solar radiation. Table 4. Descriptive statistics of particulate matter and meteorological factors. Parameters Minimum Maximum Mean Std. N Deviation PM10 (µg/m3) 66.66 637.70 286.07 123.37 53 PM2.5 (µg/m3) 49.47 537.77 179.49 91.50 53 o TEMP. ( C) 12.40 23.60 18.96 2.53 53 RH (%) 64.00 98.00 79.07 6.80 53 2 SR (W/m ) 535.00 1428.00 1141.36 213.17 53 WS (m/s) 1.60 3.00 2.24 0.31 53 TEMP, RH, SR, WS refers to temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation and wind speed, respectively Values were rounded to two places of decimal Table 5. Spearman rank correlation coefficient of particulate data and meteorological factors. PM10 PM2.5 TEMP RH SR WS PM10 1.000 PM2.5 0.90** 1.00 TEMP -0.10 -0.11 1.00 RH -0.07 -0.01 -0.11 1.00 SR 0.04 0.01 -0.23 -0.63* 1.00 WS -0.63* -0.66* -0.13 0.30 0.06 1.00 ** Correlation is significant at .01 level * Correlation is significant at .05 level PM10 refers to PM10 data, PM2.5 to PM2.5 data; TEMP, RH, SR, WS refers to temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation and wind speed, respectively. Values were rounded to two places of decimal. Figure 8 shows the temporal variation of PM10 and wind speed, while Figure 9 shows the temporal variation of PM2.5 and wind speed at all the monitoring stations. It was found that an inverse relationship exists between wind speed and particulate data, and therefore the predominance of local sources, in this case strong winds flush pollution out of the system whereas low winds allow pollution level to rise. The correlation studies of the daily average of PM10 and PM2.5 concentration of all the sites with different meteorological factors have been conducted to establish their relationship. The multiple regression equation obtained for PM10 is expressed as: [PM10] = 1098.0 - 253.6 [WS] –12.9 [TEMP] [R2 = 0.45] (2) According to this equation the level of PM10 decreases with increasing wind speed and temperature. The regression equation obtained for PM2.5 is expressed as: [PM2.5] = 793.8 –171.3 [WS] - 12.17 [TEMP] [R2 = 0.42] (3) The above equation reveals that the PM2.5 concentration is also decreasing with increasing concentration of wind speed and temperature. [PM10] = Concentration of PM10 in µg/m3, [PM2.5] = Concentration of PM2.5 in µg/m3 [WS] = Wind speed in m/s, [TEMP] = Temperature in oC. The above equation reveals that the PM10 (inhalable particle) concentration increases with increasing PM2.5 (fine particle) concentration and PM10 (inhalable particle) concentration decreases with increasing wind speed. The equation (2) and (3) is obtained by using 24-hr average values of PM10, PM2.5 and wind speed. Figure 8: Temporal variation of PM10 and wind speed 700 y= 1/x 500 3 PM10 (µg/m ) 600 400 300 200 100 0 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 Wind speed (m/s) Figure 9: Temporal variation of PM2.5 and wind speed 600 PM2.5 (µg/m3) 500 y=1/x 400 300 200 100 0 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 Wind speed (m/s) 2.7 3 3.3 CONCLUSIONS The study provides a valuable baseline data on PM10 and PM2.5 levels and first of its kind in which such data has been collected in any urban region of India. Data capture rate was high and the precision of the results was good. The total data were analysed to investigate temporal variation, meteorological effects and correlation using the code SPSS in order to gain more understanding on their variability and interrelations. The following conclusions were reached: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) The maximum PM10 concentrations at Belaghata EM Byepass crossing, Minto Park and Park Street stations were 602.63µg/m3, 508.67µg/m3 and 637.70µg/m3 respectively. The minimum PM10 concentrations at Belaghata EM Byepass crossing, Minto Park and Park Street stations were 66.66 µg/m3, 83.02 µg/m3 and 127.02 µg/m3 respectively. The maximum PM2.5 concentrations at Belaghata EM Byepass crossing, Minto Park and Park Street stations were 537.77µg/m3, 330.85µg/m3 and 363.63µg/m3 respectively. The minimum PM2.5 concentrations at Belaghata EM Byepass crossing, Minto Park and Park Street stations were 49.47µg/m3, 53.94 µg/m3 and 69.14 µg/m3 respectively. The maximum PM10-2.5 (coarse particles) concentrations at Belaghata EM Byepass crossing, Minto Park and Park Street stations were 153.53µg/m3, 224.06µg/m3 and 274.06µg/m3 respectively; the minimum PM10-2.5 concentrations at Belaghata EM Byepass crossing, Minto Park and Park Street stations were 17.19 µg/m3, 27.43 µg/m3 and 40.81 µg/m3 respectively. The average PM10 concentrations at Belaghata EM Byepass crossing, Minto Park and Park Street stations were 287.02 µg/m3, 278.24 µg/m3 and 177.63 µg/m3 respectively. The average PM2.5 concentrations at Belaghata EM Byepass crossing, Minto Park and Park Street stations were 201.48 µg/m3 , 166.58 µg/m3 and 163.64 µg/m3 respectively . The average PM10-2.5 (coarse particles) concentrations at Belaghata EM Byepass crossing, Minto Park and Park Street stations were 85.54 µg/m3, 111.67 µg/m3 and 130.27 µg/m3 respectively. It was found that in the winter (worst season) the PM10 quality was in noncompliance (in 96% cases) with the NAAQM, 1997 and NAAQS, 2003 standards. In the Park Street area the concentration shows higher value due to higher traffic congestion along with industrial influence from adjacent Park Circus area. PM2.5 data appears to be a constant fraction of the PM10 at all the sites, indicating common influences of meteorology and sources. Statistical analysis of air quality data shows PM10 and PM2.5 are showing poor correlation with temperature, relative humidity and solar radiation, but very significant but inverse correlation with wind speed. There are clear associations between PM10 and PM2.5 data sets at all the measured sites. The highest correlation (0.98) was obtained between PM10 and PM2.5 at Minto Park, followed by 0.96 at Beleghata EM Byepass crossing and 0.66 at Park Street station. 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