ULAANBAATAR CITY’S AIR POLLUTION – SOURCE APORTIONMENT MANAGEMENT S.Lodoysamba, National University of Mongolia 0 Contents • Air pollution of Ulaanbaatar City, • What is main sources of pollution, • Management of mitigation of UB air pollution 1 Management of air pollution mitigation •Starts from measurements, • • • • • • • • • Air pollution concentration, Identification and apportionment of pollution sources, Modeling, Health impact study, Air pollution mitigation scenarios, Health benefit calculation Planning a target, Activity Monitoring •Ends with measurement. 2 Main Air Quality Indicators - Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) - Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) - PM (Particulate Matter) PM10 - PM 2.5 - Carbon Monoxide (CO) - Ozone (03) Particulate Matter Distribution Health Effect of PM Methodology • Position of sampler: UB City- Nuclear Research Center Zuun Ail 3 Horoolol • Duration: 2004.10 – 2009. 6 • Flow rate of sampler: 16 l/мin (18-14) • Height of sampling: 1.6м, 6m, 4m • Sampling frequency: Twice a week • • • • • Sampler: GENT Sampler with Polycarbonate filters Type of analysis: PIXE ВС measurement: Reflectometer Number of samples: 400 (2004-2006) Data interpretation was made using software EPA PMF1.1(USA) PIXE analysis were done in the New Zealand Institute of Geosciences and Nuclear Sciences, 30 elements are analysed Used samplers Sampling site number 1 2, 3 4, 7, 8 5 6 Characteristics Kosa Monitor (Japanese make), Measures PM10 and PM2.5. Beta absorption.. Continuous monitoring. Gives hourly values. GENT Sampler, Schulberger Model 250, Measures PM10-2.5 and PM2.5. Polycarbonate (nuclepore) filters. Dust Trak-8520, measures PM2.5 or PM10. Laser light scattering. Continuous monitoring; Gives hourly values. Rotary Bebicon, Type 35RC28SD5 (Japanese make). Measures PM10, 15 l/min, filter. Site position 106o54,704 47o55,220 106o58,311 47o54,811 Height of PM size sampling head from the fraction ground (m) PM10 and PM2.5 Remarks 20 PM10-2.5 and PM2.5 1.6;6 PM2.5 3;2;3 Elemental analysis, Black carbon determination 106o54,159 47o54,719 106o52,967 PM10 3 PM10 4 47o53,64 Partisol FRM-Model 2000, 106o52,167 Measures PM10, 16.7 l/min, filter 47o55,582 (nuclepore). Replaced by EcoTech monitor (beta absorption) from Nov.2008 Elemental analysis, Black carbon determination Projects • RCA/ IAEA PROJECT IMPROVED INFORMATION ABOUT URBAN AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT, RAS/7/013, 2004-2007 • CHARACTERIZATION AND SOURCE IDENTIFICATION OF PARTICULATE AIR POLLUTION IN THE ASIA REGION RAS/7/015, 2007-2010 • АГААРЫН ЧАНАР БА БОХИРДОЛЫН ЗӨӨГДЛИЙГ СУДЛАХ Шинжлэх ухаан, технологийн сэдэв, 2006-2008 • АГААРЫН БОХИРДЛЫН ҮҮСГҮҮР, ТЭДНИЙ БОХИРДОЛД ОРУУЛЖ БУЙ ХУВИЙГ РМ2,5, РМ10 АРГААР ТОДОРХОЙЛОХ СУДАЛГАА Шинжлэх ухаан, технологийн сэдэв, 2009-2011 • ESTABLISHMENT OF AN AIR QUALITY MONITORING AND HEALTH IMPACT BASELINE (AMHIB) FROM AIR POLLUTION IN ULAANBAATAR (UB) CITY, MONGOLIA. World Bank Contract 7146873, 2008-2009 • TA - 7462 (MON) : ULAANBAATAR CLEAN AIR 2010-2011 • EVALUATION OF AIR POLLUTION MITIGATION IN ULAANBAATAR CITY AND ITS HEALTH IMPACT 2012-2013 • MEASURING AND SHARING PM2.5 THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA 2013-2014 Sampling Sites PM10, PM2.5 Concentrations PM2.5 PM10 Months Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Annual average NAMHEM NRC Zuun ail CLEM 3 khoroolol NAMHEM NRC Zuun ail 6 buudal Bayan Airport Avera Average Months (1) (2) (3) (5) (6) (1) (2) (3) (4) hoshuu (7) (8) ge 28.9 7.2 8.0 37.7 128.5 277.5 173.7 115.4 62.5 34.0 32.5 160.2 154.3 120.0 126.7 112.5 17.6 238.0 179.1 27.9 221.4 131.4 38.8 223.1 127.6 79.6 365.8 673.2 112.9 180.2 926.8 61.4 200.1 1850.0 65.8 302.1 1007.3 86.0 205.2 488.6 63.7 316.0 300.2 59.8 501.2 739.3 33.6 187.3 56.4 85.4 70.4 161.2 800.8 693.5 932.3 463.7 358.2 272.8 183.1 130.2 64.1 132.6 94.0 125.8 416.2 427.9 644.4 394.9 235.6 196.5 297.9 82.3 253.3 355.4 262.5 557.5 63.91 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Annual average 16.9 1.2 5.7 8.0 38.1 81.4 224.5 138.3 99.6 45.3 25.2 24.3 29.0 21.7 64.9 18.8 46.3 121.6 106.9 121.3 141.4 80.1 128.8 279.3 25.5 84.6 13.3 48.7 37.9 37.3 38.7 281.3 330.6 527.3 575.5 1205.1 1291.1 858.5 358.1 342.4 345.5 179.3 119.6 93.9 370.8 41.9 47.0 498.3 567.5 1421.2 1536.1 971.3 321.0 137.3 58.9 37.6 184.7 406.3 892.9 514.5 413.3 207.3 91.8 52.9 59.1 96.7 296.3 617.6 297.1 288.6 365.2 169.3 65.1 12.1 39.7 31.1 181.2 339.1 737.7 743.3 387.7 196.4 99.4 138.0 PM 10 Concentration Annual average concentration PM10 600.0 500.0 400.0 300.0 200.0 100.0 0.0 NAMHEM(1) NRC (2) Zuun ail (3) CLEM (5) 3 khoroolol (6) 400 2500 2000 1000 0 Timeseries PM10 (NANHEM) 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1600 0 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 6/4/08 6/14/08 6/24/08 7/4/08 7/14/08 7/24/08 8/3/08 8/13/08 8/23/08 9/2/08 9/12/08 9/22/08 10/2/08 10/12/08 10/22/08 11/1/08 11/11/08 11/21/08 12/1/08 12/11/08 12/21/08 12/31/08 1/10/09 1/20/09 1/30/09 2/9/09 2/19/09 3/1/09 3/11/09 3/21/09 3/31/09 4/10/09 4/20/09 4/30/09 5/10/09 5/20/09 5/30/09 Timeseries PM10(Zuun ail) 6/4/08 6/14/08 6/24/08 7/4/08 7/14/08 7/24/08 8/3/08 8/13/08 8/23/08 9/2/08 9/12/08 9/22/08 10/2/08 10/12/08 10/22/08 11/1/08 11/11/08 11/21/08 12/1/08 12/11/08 12/21/08 12/31/08 1/10/09 1/20/09 1/30/09 2/9/09 2/19/09 3/1/09 3/11/09 3/21/09 3/31/09 4/10/09 4/20/09 4/30/09 5/10/09 5/20/09 5/30/09 6/4/08 6/14/08 6/24/08 7/4/08 7/14/08 7/24/08 8/3/08 8/13/08 8/23/08 9/2/08 9/12/08 9/22/08 10/2/08 10/12/08 10/22/08 11/1/08 11/11/08 11/21/08 12/1/08 12/11/08 12/21/08 12/31/08 1/10/09 1/20/09 1/30/09 2/9/09 2/19/09 3/1/09 3/11/09 3/21/09 3/31/09 4/10/09 4/20/09 4/30/09 5/10/09 5/20/09 5/30/09 3500 6/4/08 6/14/08 6/24/08 7/4/08 7/14/08 7/24/08 8/3/08 8/13/08 8/23/08 9/2/08 9/12/08 9/22/08 10/2/08 10/12/08 10/22/08 11/1/08 11/11/08 11/21/08 12/1/08 12/11/08 12/21/08 12/31/08 1/10/09 1/20/09 1/30/09 2/9/09 2/19/09 3/1/09 3/11/09 3/21/09 3/31/09 4/10/09 4/20/09 4/30/09 5/10/09 5/20/09 5/30/09 PM 10 Concentration Time Series Timeseries PM10 (III khoroolol) 3000 1200 1500 800 400 500 Timeseries PM10 (NRC) PM 2.5 Concentration Annual average concentration PM2.5 700.0 600.0 500.0 400.0 300.0 200.0 100.0 0.0 NAMHEM (1) NRC (2) 100 ail (3) 6 buudal (4) Bayan hoshuu(7) Airport(8) PM 2.5 Concentration Time Series Timeseries PM2.5(NAMHEM) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Timeseries PM2.5(Zuun ail) Timeseries PM2.5(Bayan hoshuu) 2200 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Timeseries PM2.5(6 Buudal) 1400 1800 1600 1200 1400 1000 1200 1000 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 0 200 0 1360 1340 1330 Monthly Average Concentrations PM10 PM2.5 mg/m3 mg/m3 1600.0 2000 NRC (2) 1800 NRC (2) 1600 Zuun ail (3) 1400 1200 1000 800 1400.0 1200.0 100 ail (3) 6 buudal (4) Bayan hoshuu(7) 3 khoroolol (6) 1000.0 Average 800.0 600.0 600 400.0 400 200 200.0 0 0.0 Airport(8) Average Monthly Average Concentrations Average Concentration Measured Site No Site name Average Concentration Calculated PM2.5 PM10 2 NRC 96.7 253.3 3 Zuun ail 296.3 557.5 4 6 Buudal 365.2 - 6 3 khoroolol - 355.4 7 Bayanhoshuu 617.6 - 8 Airport 297.1 - Average all stations 334.6 388.7 Area Central part UB РМ10 (mg/m3) 300 Ger area 350-900 UB РМ2.5 (mg/m3) Exceedence 150 6 300620 7-18 Monthly Average Concentrations 350-900 Polluted Ulaanbaatar 18 19 Who is polluting the Ulaanbaatar air? 20 Chemical Analysis Set-up Experimental setup of the New Zealand Institute of Geosciences and Nuclear Sciences PMF mass vs Gravimetric mass Elemental Concentrations (ng/m3) Arithmetic Samples > StdDev Median Maximum Minimum S/N Mean LODa PM 2.5 51800 91400 28200 1210000 5700 BC 7290 10454 4242 94206 680 235 2.75 Na 290 425 112 2642 0 88 0.13 Mg 326 276 235 2083 31 200 0.62 Al 1150 1224 745 7627 0 227 0.81 Si 2305 1740 1871 10554 129 236 17.2 S 1969 3978 900 40079 125 236 17.55 Cl 139 133 88 849 12 236 2.14 K 324 239 243 1558 35 235 7 Ca 789 559 652 3194 50 236 11.92 Ti 37 33 28 156 0 191 0.27 Mn 15 14 11 65 0 178 0.18 Fe 523 388 416 2150 26 236 0.62 Cu 10 29 3 373 0 105 0.21 Zn 44 54 30 400 0 213 0.55 Pb 31 73 7 525 0 50 0.08 Elements PM 2.5 PROFILES Mass Contribution PM2.5 (Example NRC) Source PM2.5 mass μg/ m3 Soil 5.0 (0.3)a Coal combustion 1 12.2(1.6) Coal combustion 2 11.5(0.9) Motor vehicles 1.9(0.2) Biomass burning 1.1 (0.1) Road dust 2.9 (0.2) Zinc 0.6(0.1) Pollution Source Apportionment Source contribution PM10-2.5 NRC Source contribution PM10-2.5 No3 11% 1% 3% 5% 10% Soil 1 45% Soil 2 Coal combustion Combustion Motor vehicles+Road dust Road dust Soil Biomass burning 34% 91% Sourse contribution PM2.5 NRC 8% 3% 2% 14% ContributionPM2.5 in site No3(Zuun ail)-a 3% 5% 3% 2% Soil Motor vehicles+Road dust Coal combustion 1 Combustion 1 5% Coal combustion 2 33% 35% Soil Motor vehicles Biomass burning Biomass burning Combustion2 Road dust Zinc 87% Pollution Source Apportionment PM10 Sourse contribution PM10 No 3 Source contribution PM10 No 2(2004-2008) 2% 0% 1% Soil 12% 4% Motor vehicles+Road dust Combustion Soil Motor vehicles+ Road dust 22% 64% 47% 48% Combustion Biomass burning Biomass burning Zinc PM10 in 3 khoroolol 12% 45% 16% Soil Biomass burning Motor vehicles+Road dust Combustion1 27% Daily time Series of PM concentrations (Example TV site, GTZ station) Working days Weekend Toxic Elements Average concentration of Pb, As, Hg Concentration ng/m3 60 50 40 Pb As Hg 30 20 10 0 3 khoroolol NRC Zuun Ail 29 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 25/May/09 11/May/09 27/Apr/09 13/Apr/09 0 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 31-Mar-09 30-May-09 Hg NRC 30-May-09 450 30-Apr-09 500 30-Apr-09 31-Mar-09 250 01-Mar-09 30-Jan-09 31-Dec-08 01-Dec-08 01-Nov-08 02-Oct-08 300 01-Mar-09 30-Jan-09 31-Dec-08 01-Dec-08 01-Nov-08 02-Oct-08 0 02-Sep-08 50 02-Sep-08 100 03-Aug-08 150 03-Aug-08 200 04-Jul-08 250 04-Jun-08 Pb 3 khoroolol Concentration ng/m3 350 04-Jul-08 Hg 3 khoroolol Concentration ng/m3 25/May/09 11/May/09 27/Apr/09 13/Apr/09 30/Mar/09 16/Mar/09 02/Mar/09 16/Feb/09 02/Feb/09 19/Jan/09 05/Jan/09 22/Dec/08 08/Dec/08 300 30/Mar/09 16/Mar/09 02/Mar/09 16/Feb/09 02/Feb/09 19/Jan/09 05/Jan/09 22/Dec/08 08/Dec/08 24/Nov/08 0 24/Nov/08 Concentration ng/m3 400 04-Jun-08 Concentration ng/m3 Time Series of Toxic Elements 400 350 Pb NRC 200 150 100 50 Air Quality Index Ger Area UB Center UB Concentrations Ozone 14.3 mg/m3 PM2.5 150.0 mg/m3 PM10 300.0 mg/m3 CO 2214 mg/m3 SO2 18.1 mg/m3 NOx 30.0 mg/m3 AQI Ozone PM2.5 PM10 CO SO2 NOx 6 200 173 21 10 0 Concentrations Ozone 14.3 mg/m3 PM2.5 500.0 mg/m3 PM10 625.0 mg/m3 CO 2214 mg/m3 SO2 18.1 mg/m3 NOx 30.0 mg/m3 AQI Ozone PM2.5 PM10 CO SO2 NOx 6 500 582 21 10 0 AQI 582 AQI 200 Conditional pollutant Average of WORST two 187 Average of WORST two 541 Average of ALL 82 Average of ALL 224 Conditional pollutant PM2.5 Descriptor AQI Risk Message Good 0 - 50 No message Moderate 51 - 100 Unusually sensitive individuals (ozone) Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups 101 - 150 Identifiable groups at risk – different groups for different pollutants Unhealthy 151 - 200 General public at risk; groups at greater risk Very Unhealthy 201 - 300 General public at greater risk; groups at greatest risk PM10 Conclusion 1 Main pollution sources are: • PM10- Soil erosion, Combustion, Motor vehichle, Biomass burning, • PM2.5- Coal combustion, Motor Vehicle+Road dust, Biomass burning, Soil Ulaanbaatar is most polluted capital city of the world; @ 50% of PM concentrations corresponds to ignition phase (cold start) and reloading of stoves; There is presence of toxic elements: Hg, Ni, V, F, Cl, Br, As in the air; Pb in the air is below the standard; AQI is 82 (Moderate) in the Central area and more than 200(Very unhealthy) in the Ger areas; What to do? 33 STOVE EMISSION AND EFFICIENCY TESTING LABORATORY 34 Testing stoves 35 Data acquisition system 36 SEET Lab. Diagram To atmosphere Gas sampling Chimney Dust Trak 13 100 Stove 13 829 13 815 13 818 13 812 13 684 Gas analyzer Thermocouple Warn i ng Hotsu rfaces Agile n t 3 00 0 Micro GC Computer analysis Ethernet Hub Temperature measurement Electronic scale Mass recorder 37 Operator room Gases 39 Temperature Measurements 40 Particle Measurement 41 MONGOL STOVE BLUD Mode of Mongol Stove MODIFIED MONGOL STOVE GTZ-7.5 STOVE Conclusion 2 • PM Emission can be reduced more than 99% using raw coal, • The PM emissions are so low that for much of the time the improved stove substantially cleans the ambient air that passes through it. The chimney gases are usually cleaner than the outdoor air. Management ? Air Pollution Concentration reductions due to emission reduction scenarios. • PM emissions needs to be reduced with about 94% to reach Mongolias own air quality standards for PM10: Annual Health Benefits From Abatement Scenarios - benefits of different solutions accrue at different times. The Cost of Delaying Short Term Measures: The decisive Argument for the project! Some of the Lessons: - Paid off to make a full-scale AQM study. - Most critical argument for getting actual the projects through: - - Health Impacts (physical & economic). - - Cost effectiveness of abatement options, Cost of Inaction. - - Comparing concentration levels with other countries/cities. Good News Comparison of PM concentration at Zuun ail 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Oc-12 Jul-12 Apr-12 Dec-11 Sep-11 Jun-11 Mar-11 Dec-10 Sep-10 Jun-10 Mar-10 Dec-09 Sep-09 May-09 Feb-09 Nov-08 Aug-08 Apr-08 Jan-08 Oct-07 Jul-07 Apr-07 Jan-07 Oct-06 Jul-06 Apr-06 Jan-06 Oct-05 Feb-05 Nov-04 Good, but not very good (NRC 2004-2012) 800.0 700.0 600.0 500.0 400.0 PM2.5 PM10 300.0 PM2.5 Avarage (year) PM10 Avarage (year) 200.0 100.0 0.0 Thank You for Your Attention! XRF Spectrometer SPECTRO Xepos, GENT, GRIMM Samplers