Hume Regional Growth Plan Summary of Issues from the Draft Background and Issues Report December 2011 This publication may be of assistance to you but the State of Victoria and its employees do not guarantee that the publication is without flaw of any kind or is wholly appropriate for your particular purposes and therefore disclaims all liability for any error, loss or other consequence which may arise from you relying on any information in this publication. Introduction A summary of the key issues of phase 2 of the Hume Regional Growth Plan project are listed below. Issues were identified by working closely with key stakeholders, reviewing the Hume Strategy for Sustainable Communities (and supporting documents) and analysing state government policies and strategies. Key issues are listed under the following thematic headings: supporting communities, settlement, rural land use, transport, environment, environmental hazards, water and land use, economy, utilities and waste management. Summary of Key Issues 1. Supporting Communities Limited capacity of service providers to meet the needs of a growing / changing population A heavy reliance on private vehicles by those who live outside major centres to access services (inequality of access to services) The number of persons in the 55+ age cohort is predicted to increase significantly by 2026, increasing pressures on health and other social services Significant numbers of young people moving from the area seeking education, employment and entertainment opportunities elsewhere Pockets of relatively high disadvantage, generally in settlements but also some rural areas Highest rates of homelessness in regional Victoria Lack of diversity of housing type (currently dominated by detached dwellings) Rising house prices, resulting in some populations becoming concentrated in low service / economic opportunity areas Some of the lowest levels of educational attainment in regional Victoria Twenty five percent of local government authorities have more than 30 percent nonresident ratepayers Social impacts of climate change and structural adjustment (such as in agriculture and manufacturing) on the community Cost of providing and maintaining sport and recreational facilities 2. Settlement The need for a coordinated approach to land use planning and development in the Region Peri-urban growth pressures Long distances travelled by communities in the southern part of the Region (expected to grow significantly) to access higher order services and facilities and employment in larger settlements within and outside of the Region The need for a coordinated approach to the provision of services and facilities in “crossborder” settlements Relatively high population growth rates in ‘high amenity’ areas The need for collaboration between regional cities and centres to complement each other Long distance commuting to employment, shops and services and the need to minimise carbon emissions The role of the Alpine Resorts as part of the settlement network in the Region and development pressures in these resorts and the valleys leading to them Appropriateness of growth in some areas, given the potential impacts of climate change (such as fire, flood risk) and cumulative impacts on other values (such as environmental and agricultural) 3 Inefficient urban form (structure) of some key settlements The need for improved urban design and renewal in certain localities Limited housing diversity and the impacts of climate change on dwelling types The need to provide a range of housing options (to match demand) in appropriate localities Cost of growth (providing the necessary range of facilities for new communities) A dispersed pattern of dwelling development in rural areas and the location of some of these dwellings in areas of high environmental risk The need to accommodate residential growth pressures while minimising impacts on agriculture and landscape/environmental assets Growth pressures in the southern parts of the Region as a result of the extension of Melbourne’s Urban Growth Boundary Conservation of cultural heritage assets The need for settlement planning to respond to seasonal demands 3. Rural Land Use Impacts of changing global and national economic conditions on rural land use Uncertainty about the direction and / or impact of government policy (such as the Murray-Darling Basin Plan) on rural land use Impacts of climate change (reduction in water, seasonal changes) and predicted increase in floods, frosts and bushfires Declining health of the landscape (salinity, erosion, loss of biodiversity) Rising fuel costs and impacts on transport and supply chains Capacity issues including an ageing farming population, declining interest by young people in farming and a mismatch between skills and employment opportunities The appropriate future use of significant areas of farmland Impacts of change on industries and settlements reliant on the agricultural sector Fragmentation of agricultural land where farming areas are ‘broken-up’ by the introduction of non-farming uses (such as housing and boutique industries) and inconsistent decision making Conflicting land uses and activities (such as residential development) that can limit agricultural activities Impacts on visual amenity from rural landscape change Impacts on food security as a result of an irreversible loss of productive farmland Loss of biodiversity and impacts on waterways in rural areas, especially in ‘high production’ areas Impacts of plantations on adjacent agricultural and residential land uses Reserves of quarry products can be 'sterilized' by inappropriate planning decisions reducing the ability of such resources to be realized 4. Transport The difficulty of providing effective and affordable public transport in many parts of the Region and the resulting high dependence on private cars (vulnerable to rising fuel prices). The lack of connectivity between many townships and settlements exacerbates this problem. An ageing population will mean a diminished capacity to drive and a decline in mobility for many residents Hume rail corridor passenger services should be returned and spread throughout the day to allow for in-commuting as well as improved links to Melbourne The need to review the number of rail services between Melbourne and Shepparton considering services to comparable settlements elsewhere in the state The need for rail gauge standardisation in the Goulburn Valley corridor The role of public transport linkages between settlements, major natural attractions such as ski resorts and national parks and between states and regions in facilitating tourism, need to be considered The need to co-locate services and public transport at specific localities within major corridors to maximise the efficient use of these services 4 The need to plan for an expanded role for the freight and logistics industry in the Hume Region, while minimising impacts on communities and the environment to meet freight transport needs, freight logistics centres in key localities in the Region will need further support to: - Provide infrastructure in the form of an intermodal terminal to expand and capitalise on the local employment opportunities of the Hume corridor at the Logic Centre in Wodonga - Facilitate investment into the ‘GV Link’ centre to enable construction to commence The need to confirm state government plans for the development of an interstate freight terminal on the southern edge of the Region at Donnybrook / Beveridge The need to improve east-west transport links in the Region 5. Environment Climate change is predicted to have negative impacts on species viability and distribution Significant loss of native vegetation on private land, particularly in the Goulburn Broken CMA area The loss of environmental assets and corridors as a consequence of settlement expansion Remaining biodiversity on private land is generally in poor to very poor condition An increased threat of biosecurity (from pest plants and animals) as a result of future growth in the Region. Approximately 30 percent of Ecological Vegetation Classes (EVCs) classified as endangered or vulnerable Approximately 60 percent of the rivers in the Region are in moderate to poor condition Significant impacts on natural waterways and wetlands from channelisation and water storage Impacts of stormwater run-off and septic tank leakage from urban and rural areas on waterways Impacts on waterway and the ecological health of catchments including run-off from forestry (sediments and chemicals), irrigation tailwater as well as the impacts of water regulation of flow and temperature. Some species only occurring in remnant or relict landscapes are unlikely to survive in the long-term because of degraded ecological processes Vegetation in the production landscapes differs to that protected in reserves in other landscapes Revegetation and protection are occurring more than in the past, but more needs to occur in order to achieve resilient landscapes A lack of regional or sub regional open space plans or strategies 6. Environmental Hazards Climate change impacts including: - Increased severity of natural disasters such as fire, flood, drought and storms - Reduced water for communities, industry and the environment - Constraints on mobility due to potential rising fuel prices - Impacts on freight and logistics and agricultural industries as input costs rise - Increased health problems due to hotter temperatures - Changing agricultural margins and the resultant impact on economies - Decreasing snow cover, depth and reliability, with consequences for the Alpine Resorts and local tourist industries - Increased investment in urban environments to adapt - Increased economic pressure on the community to meet rising energy costs resulting from a hotter and more variable climate Fire and flood hazards: - More extreme and frequent flood and fire events predicted to occur as a result of climate change 5 Smoke from controlled burns and wildfires can impact on the region’s communities, agricultural industries, cultural heritage sites and tourism Salinity impacts: - Including corrosion of infrastructure, buildings and roads - A reduction in productive agricultural land - Impacts on biodiversity - Impacts on water quality in waterways and wetlands - 7. Water and Land Use Reduced water availability and reliability (as a result of climate change) resulting in: - less water available for agriculture (from rainfall and irrigation) - impacts on the environment - impacts on amenity and tourism - impact on growth in some townships - impacts on low-income households as water prices rise Viability of some irrigated farms that have become isolated (as a result of the buyback of irrigation water) and not being able to share costs (of water services) with neighbours Some land purchasers are unaware of the consequences of purchasing properties that have been ‘dewatered’ Impacts of bushfires on water quality (as a result of ash and increased sediment) High dependency by some sectors on water Uncertainty about the Murray-Darling Basin Plan Stormwater and rainwater recycling not ‘common practice’ A number of small communities do not have reticulated drinking water, some of which have non-drinking community supply schemes 8. Economy Providing jobs for the additional projected 100,000 residents by 2031 Lack of diversity in the economy (reliance on agriculture and manufacturing) Lack of appropriately zoned land for industrial use in some locations Social and economic costs of commuting Ability to attract an appropriate workforce Issues identified in other sections relevant to the economy include: - water security - ageing infrastructure - climate change - information and communication technology (ICT) demand and supply - constraints to establishing renewable energy supplies 6 9. Utilities Communities are high users of energy due to wide temperature variations Limited areas in the region have access to reticulated natural gas Increased pressures on utilities from population growth and from industrial / commercial premises Potential climate change risks to energy supplies and to the security of other utilities from temperature extremes, flood and fire Dependency on the use of firewood for heating (with issues associated with cost, emissions and impacts on the environment) Constraints on some agri-industries due to a high energy demand (such as dairies) High dependency on petroleum for personal transport and from major industries including transport, logistics and agriculture Impacts of ‘Peak oil’ and carbon pricing Ageing infrastructure Providing for peak seasonal populations Mobile phone, broadband and wireless access is problematic with increasing proximity from major centres 10. Waste Management There are no landfills in the northern parts of the Region and councils are ‘exporting’ their waste to NSW The cost to councils of collecting waste in sparsely populated areas Residents dumping waste (particularly green and hard waste) due to limited (or no) collection service Small shires with limited resources having to deal with peak visitor waste during the snow season, long weekends and school holidays Some smaller shires do not produce a volume of waste for recycling that would make a dedicated trip to Melbourne viable A large number of small communities are unsewered and provision of conventional sewerage services is generally cost prohibitive Unplanned development of land that is unsewered, but has already been zoned for residential development may cause adverse environmental impacts to the catchment and to water quality Land in unsewered locations that has been subdivided and zoned for residential development may in future drive inefficient servicing decisions 7