Name: KEY CSS 590 – Experimental Design in Agriculture Second Midterm Winter 2008 14 pts 1) Name a statistical test or briefly describe a diagnostic test that can be used to determine if the assumptions for the ANOVA listed on the left have been met (use a different answer for each of the assumptions). Assumption Statistical or Diagnostic Test Homogeneity of Variance Levene’s Test or Bartlett’s test Effects in the model are additive Tukey’s Test for Additivity Residuals are randomly and independently distributed Residual plots – the points should be evenly scattered above and below zero, without any obvious patterns in relation to the predicted values Residuals are normally distributed Normal probability plots – the residuals should graph on a straight line 1 2) You are studying the effect of three cultivation methods on fresh weight of spinach. You decide to use a Randomized Block Design with 5 Blocks. This is your first experience collecting data of this sort, and you are not sure about the optimum harvest time nor the appropriate plot size needed to obtain an acceptable level of precision. On one harvest date you collect samples from two quadrats in each plot, and you then ask your assistant to enter the data and calculate the ANOVA. He provides you with the output below: The GLM Procedure Dependent Variable: weight 8 pts Source DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F Model 6 16.35733333 2.72622222 7.03 0.0002 Error 23 8.92266667 0.38794203 Corrected Total 29 25.28000000 R-Square Coeff Var Root MSE weight Mean 0.647046 11.12232 0.622850 5.600000 Source DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F Block Method 4 2 4.16333333 12.19400000 1.04083333 6.09700000 2.68 15.72 0.0570 <.0001 a) Looking at the degrees of freedom and F ratios, you realize that the analysis has been done incorrectly. Draw a skeleton ANOVA with sources of variation and degrees of freedom for the correct analysis, and indicate what F ratios would be required to make an appropriate test for cultivation methods (hint: there may be more than one correct answer – choose one). Option 1 – analyze means Source df SS Block 4 Method 2 SSM Error 8 SSE Total 14 Option 2 – include subsamples F ratio Source MSM/MSE SS F ratio Block 4 Method 2 SSM MSM/MSE Block*Method 8 SSE MSE/MSS Sampling Error 15 SSS Total 2 df 29 6 pts b) How would you justify your answer to your assistant, and explain why his analysis was not valid? The residual in his analysis includes variation among plots treated alike (true experimental error) and variation among quadrats within each plot. Pooling the two sources of variation together will give you too many degrees of freedom in the error term, and will probably provide an estimate of error that is too small, thereby inflating the Type I error rate. One approach is to calculate the means for each plot and perform ANOVA on the means. The other option is to keep the data for individual quadrats in the data set, but specify that the appropriate error for testing methods is the block*method interaction. In an RBD, this term represents the error among experimental units to which the treatments were randomly applied. 3 3) A researcher is evaluating the effect of 5 soil mixes on growth of strawberries in the greenhouse. A heater on the north wall blows warm air into the greenhouse, and the windows to the outside on the east wall provide extra light in the morning. Consequently, she decides to use the benches, and the position of pots on each bench as blocking factors in a Latin Square Design. North Heater 1 (Numbers indicate the position of pots on a bench) 2 East 3 Windows 4 5 3 pts a) Which environmental factor is accounted for by the benches? The variation due to light from the East Windows. 6 pts b) Calculate the F statistics for Position and Bench in the ANOVA. Are the effects of Position and Bench significant? (Use the tables at the end of the exams and indicate how you reached your conclusion) Source df SS Total 24 338.16 Treatment 4 Position Bench Error MS F 180.56 45.14 15.53 4 80.56 20.14 6.93 4 42.16 10.54 3.63 12 34.88 2.91 The critical F with 4 and 12 df (=0.05) is 3.26. Both of the observed F values are greater than 3.26, so we conclude that the effects of the bench and position on the bench were significant. c) Calculate the relative efficiency of the Latin Square Design compared to a Randomized Block Design with Benches as Blocks. RE MSP (t 1)MSE 20.14 (5 1) * 2.91 2.1858 t * MSE 5* 2.91 The Latin Square Design which accounts for benches and for position on the bench is 118% more efficient than the RBD with benches as the only blocking factor. 4 4) A Sugar Company conducted an experiment to compare two varieties of sugar cane in combination with three levels of nitrogen (150, 210, and 270 lbs. N per acre respectively). The experiment was run in 4 complete blocks. a) Fill in the shaded cells to complete the following ANOVA. (There is an F table at the end of this exam) 16 pts ANOVA Source Blocks Variety Nitrogen VxN Error df 3 1 2 2 15 SS 249 600 532 28 672 Total 23 2081 MS 83 600 266 14 44.8 F 13.393 5.938 0.313 F crit 4.54 3.68 3.68 Mean Yield (tons) 4 pts N-150 N-210 N-270 Mean Variety 1 66 72 75 71 Variety 2 54 61 68 61 Mean 60 66.5 71.5 66 b) Show how you could calculate the Sums of Squares for Varieties from the table of means above (the value you obtain should agree with the number in the ANOVA table) SST r *b j Yj Y 4 pts 2 2 2 4*3* 71 66 61 66 600 c) Is there a significant difference in yield among the varieties? Justify your answer. The interaction between variety and nitrogen is not significant, therefore we can interpret the main effects. The calculated F for varieties is greater than the critical value of 4.54, so we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there are differences among the varieties. Those differences do not depend on the amount of nitrogen applied. 3 pts d) Calculate a standard error for a variety mean. sY MSE rb 44.8 1.93 4 *3 5 5) A plant breeder made selections for seed size in a population of pigeon peas, and developed two experimental varieties. One had large seeds and the other had small seeds. She wished to determine if seed size showed any association with early vigor, growth and development of seedlings, and if the level of soil compaction would influence that relationship. She applied 3 levels of compression (0, 10 and 20 kJm-3) to soils in PVC tubes. The two varieties were planted in tubes at all three levels of compression. Each treatment combination was replicated in 6 tubes, which were randomly arranged in the greenhouse (making a total of 36 experimental units). The weights of seedlings in each tube were measured at 3 weeks after planting. 10 pts a) Write orthogonal contrast coefficients that would address the following questions, and fill in the appropriate coefficients below the corresponding treatment combinations in the table (there is a table of orthogonal polynomial coefficients at the end of this exam). 1) Does seed size affect seedling weight? 2) Is there a linear relationship between soil compaction and seedling weight? 3) Is there a curvilinear relationship between soil compaction and seedling weight? 4) Do the varieties show a similar linear response to soil compaction? 5) Do the varieties show a similar curvilinear response to soil compaction? Small Seed Size Large Soil Compaction 0 10 20 0 10 20 Means 81.3 44.5 38.5 86.1 65.9 52.4 L 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 2 -1 0 1 -1 0 3 1 -2 1 1 4 1 0 -1 5 -1 2 -1 k2 SS(L) 40.1 6 1608.01 30.23 1 -76.5 4 8778.37 165.01 -2 1 37.5 12 703.12 13.22 -1 0 1 9.1 4 124.22 2.33 1 -2 1 -24.1 12 290.41 5.46 F Contrast # 4 pts b) Describe how you would verify that these contrasts are orthogonal to each other (give one example). The sums of crossproducts of the corresponding coefficients must equal zero. For contrasts 1 and 2: (-1)(-1)+ (-1)(0)+ (-1)(1)+ (1)(-1)+ (1)(0)+ (1)(1) = 1-1-1+1=0 6 (Problem 5 cont’d. – means are repeated here for ease of reference) Small Seed Size 9 pts Large Soil Compaction 0 10 20 0 10 20 Means 81.3 44.5 38.5 86.1 65.9 52.4 c) Fill in the values for L, 2, and Sums of Squares for contrast #4 using the means in the table (show your work here). L = 81.3 – 38.5 - 86.1 + 52.4 = 9.1 2 2 2 2 2 (1) (1) (1) (1) 4 r*L2 6*(9.1)2 SSL 124.22 2 k 4 d) Interpret the results from this experiment. What can you say about the effects of seed size and soil compaction on seedling growth? (Use the F table at the end of this test and refer to specific contrasts to justify your answer) There was no indication that blocks were used, so assume a CRD (or state that you have assumed an RBD). The error df = 6*(6-1) = 30, so Fcritical for each contrast is 4.17. All of the contrasts are significant except for #4. Contrast #5 indicates that the response to soil compaction depends on seed size (which is represented by the two varieties). Both varieties showed a linear decrease in seedling weight with increased compaction levels, but the response for the small-seeded variety was slightly curvilinear. On the average, the small-seeded variety had lower seedling weight than the large-seeded variety, but there was little difference between the varieties in uncompacted soils. 100 Seedling Weight 8 pts 80 60 small 40 large 20 0 0 5 10 15 Compaction kJm 7 20 -3 25 F Distribution 5% Points Denominator df 1 1 161.45 2 18.51 3 10.13 4 7.71 5 6.61 6 5.99 7 5.59 8 5.32 9 5.12 10 4.96 11 4.84 12 4.75 13 4.67 14 4.60 15 4.54 16 4.49 17 4.45 18 4.41 19 4.38 20 4.35 21 4.32 22 4.30 23 4.28 24 4.26 25 4.24 26 4.23 27 4.21 28 4.20 29 4.18 30 4.17 Student's t Distribution Numerator (2-tailed probability) 2 3 4 5 6 7 199.5 215.71 224.58 230.16 233.99 236.77 19.00 19.16 19.25 19.30 19.33 19.36 9.55 9.28 9.12 9.01 8.94 8.89 6.94 6.59 6.39 6.26 6.16 6.08 5.79 5.41 5.19 5.05 4.95 5.88 5.14 4.76 4.53 4.39 4.28 4.21 4.74 4.35 4.12 3.97 3.87 3.79 4.46 4.07 3.84 3.69 3.58 3.50 4.26 3.86 3.63 3.48 3.37 3.29 4.10 3.71 3.48 3.32 3.22 3.13 3.98 3.59 3.36 3.20 3.09 3.01 3.88 3.49 3.26 3.10 3.00 2.91 3.80 3.41 3.18 3.02 2.92 2.83 3.74 3.34 3.11 2.96 2.85 2.76 3.68 3.29 3.06 2.90 2.79 2.71 3.63 3.24 3.01 2.85 2.74 2.66 3.59 3.20 2.96 2.81 2.70 2.61 3.55 3.16 2.93 2.77 2.66 2.58 3.52 3.13 2.90 2.74 2.63 2.54 3.49 3.10 2.87 2.71 2.60 2.51 3.47 3.07 2.84 2.68 2.57 2.49 3.44 3.05 2.82 2.66 2.55 2.46 3.42 3.03 2.80 2.64 2.53 2.44 3.40 3.00 2.78 2.62 2.51 2.42 3.38 2.99 2.76 2.60 2.49 2.40 3.37 2.98 2.74 2.59 2.47 2.39 3.35 2.96 2.73 2.57 2.46 2.37 3.34 2.95 2.71 2.56 2.45 2.36 3.33 2.93 2.70 2.55 2.43 2.35 3.32 2.92 2.69 2.53 2.42 2.33 8 df 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 0.4 0.05 0.01 1.376 12.706 63.667 1.061 4.303 9.925 0.978 3.182 5.841 0.941 2.776 4.604 0.920 2.571 4.032 0.906 2.447 3.707 0.896 2.365 3.499 0.889 2.306 3.355 0.883 2.262 3.250 0.879 2.228 3.169 0.876 2.201 3.106 0.873 2.179 3.055 0.870 2.160 3.012 0.868 2.145 2.977 0.866 2.131 2.947 0.865 2.120 2.921 0.863 2.110 2.898 0.862 2.101 2.878 0.861 2.093 2.861 0.860 2.086 2.845 0.859 2.080 2.831 0.858 2.074 2.819 0.858 2.069 2.807 0.857 2.064 2.797 0.856 2.060 2.787 0.856 2.056 2.779 0.855 2.052 2.771 0.855 2.048 2.763 0.854 2.045 2.756 0.854 2.042 2.750 9