Chap 7 7.20a. P(X 2) = P(2) + P(3) = .4 + .2 = .6 xP (x) = 0(.1) + 1(.3) + 2(.4) + 3(.2) = 1.7 = V(X) = ( x ) P( x ) = (0–1.7) (.1) + (1–1.7) (.3) + (2–1.7) b. = E(X) = 2 2 2 7.30 = E(X) = 2 = V(X) = 2 2 2 (.4) + (3–1.7) (.2) = .81 xP (x) = 0(.04) + 1(.19) + 2(.22) + 3(.28) + 4(.12) + 5(.09) + 6(.06) = 2.76 ( x ) 2 2 2 2 P( x ) = (1–2.76) (.04) + (2–2.76) (.19) + (3–2.76) (.28) 2 2 2 + (4–2.76) (.12) + (5–2.76) (.09) + (6–2.76) (.06) = 2.302 2 2.302 = 1.517 = xP (x) = 1(.24) + 2(.18) + 3(.13) + 4(.10) + 5(.07) + 6(.04) + 7(.04) + 8(.20) = 3.86 = V(X) = ( x ) P( x ) = (1–3.86) (.24) + (2–3.86) (.18) + (3–3.86) (.13) + (4–3.86) (.10) 7.32 = E(X) = 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 + (5–3.86) (.07) +(6–3.86) (.04) + (7–3.86) (.04) + (8–3.86) (.20) = 6.78 2 6.78 = 2.60 = 7.54 a b Refrigerators, x P(x) 0 .22 1 .49 2 .29 Stoves, y P(y) 0 .34 1 .39 2 .27 xP (x) = 0(.22) + 1(.49) + 2(.29) = 1.07 = V(X) = ( x ) P( x ) = (0–1.07) (.22) + (1–1.07) (.49) + (2–1.07) (.29) = .505 d = E(Y) = yP( y) = 0(.34) + 1(.39) + 2(.27) = .93 = V(Y) = ( y ) P( y) = (0–.93) (.34) + (1–.93) (.39) + (2–.93) (.27) = .605 e xyP ( x , y) = (0)(0)(.08) + (0)(1)(.09) + (0)(2)(.05) + (1)(0)(.14) + (1)(1)(.17) c x = E(X) = 2 2 2 2 2 y 2 2 2 2 2 all x all y + (1)(2)(.18) + (2)(0)(.12) + (2)(1)(0.13) + (2)(2)(.04) = .95 1 COV(X, Y) = xyP (x, y) – x y = .95 – (1.07)(.93) = –.045 all x all y x 2x .505 = .711, y 2y .605 = .778 COV (X, Y ) .045 = = –.081 xy (.711)(. 778 ) 7.68 a Stock 1 2 3 Means .0463 .1293 –.0016 Variances .0152 .0103 .0040 (Note that if you use the Covariance tool, all entries in the output should be modified by the factor n/(n-1). The Correlation tool can also be used; in that case, no correction is necessary.) b Invest all your money in stock 2; it has the largest mean return. c Invest all your money in stock 3; it has the smallest variance. 7.70 a A Portfolio of 3 Stocks 1 2 3 Variance-Covariance Matrix 4 5 6 7 Expected Returns 8 9 Weights 10 11 Portfolio Return 12 Expected Value 13 Variance 14 Standard Deviation B Stock 1 Stock 2 Stock 3 C D E Stock 1 Stock 2 Stock 3 0.0152 0.0038 0.0103 0.0016 -0.0012 0.0404 0.0463 0.1293 -0.0016 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0616 0.0062 0.0788 b The mean return on this portfolio is greater than the mean returns on stocks 1 and 3 and the portfolio in Exercise 7.69, but smaller than that of stock 2. The variance of the returns on this portfolio is smaller than that for stocks 1 and 2 and larger than that of stock 3 and the portfolio in Exercise 7.69. 7.72 a 2 A Portfolio of 3 Stocks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 B Variance-Covariance Matrix Stock 1 Stock 2 Stock 3 Expected Returns C E Stock 1 Stock 2 Stock 3 0.0973 -0.0293 0.2384 0.0004 0.0247 0.0524 0.0232 0.0601 0.0136 0.3 0.4 0.3 Weights Portfolio Return Expected Value Variance Standard Deviation D 0.0351 0.0506 0.2249 b The mean return on the portfolio is greater than the mean returns on stocks 1 and 3, but smaller than that of stock 2. The variance of the returns on the portfolio is smaller than that for the three stocks. 7.74 a Stock 1 2 3 4 Means .0187 –.0176 .0153 .0495 Variances .0633 .0238 .0532 .0234 b Invest all your money in stock 4; it has the largest mean return. c Invest all your money in stock 3; it has the smallest variance 7.76 a 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 A Portfolio of 4 Stocks Variance-Covariance Matrix B Stock 1 Stock 2 Stock 3 Stock 4 Expected Returns Weights Portfolio Return Expected Value Variance Standard Deviation C D E F Stock 1 Stock 2 Stock 3 Stock 4 0.0633 -0.0012 0.0238 0.0173 -0.0023 0.0234 0.0133 0.0184 -0.0006 0.0532 0.0187 -0.0176 0.0153 0.0495 0.20 0.20 0.10 0.50 0.0265 0.0238 0.1543 b The mean return on this portfolio is greater than the mean return on stocks 1, 2, and 3, and the mean return on the portfolio in Exercise 7.75. It is smaller than the mean return on stock 4. The variance of the 3 returns on this portfolio is smaller than that for stocks 1, 2, and 4, but larger than the variance on the returns of stock 3 and the variance of the returns on the portfolio in Exercise 7.75. 7.96 Table 1 with n = 25 and p = .3: P(X 10) = .902 7.98 Table 1 with n = 25 and p = .75: P(X 15) = 1 – P(X 14) = 1 – .030 = .970 7.104 Excel with n = 100 and p = .20: P(X > 25) = P(X 7.108 Excel with n = 50 and p = .45: P(X 19) = 1 – P(X 18) = 1 – .12735 = .87265 7.112 a Table 2 with = 3.5: P(X = 0) = P(X b Table 2 with = 3.5: P(X 26) = 1 – P(X 25) = 1 – .91252 = .08748 0) = .030 5) = 1 – P(X 4) = 1 – .725 = .275 c Table 2 with = 3.5/7: P(X = 1) = P(X 7.116 P(X = 0 with = 2) = 1) – P(X 0) = .910 – .607 = .303 e x e 2 (2) 0 = = .1353 0! x! 7.118 P(X = 0 with = 80/200) = 7.120 a Table 2 with = 1.5: P(X e x e .4 (.4)0 = =.6703 0! x! 2) = 1 – P(X 1) = 1 – .558 = .442 b Table 2 = 6: P(X < 4) = P(X 3) = .151 7.122 a P(X = 0 with = 1.5) = e x e 1.5 (1.5) 0 = .2231 0! x! b Table 2 with = 4.5: P(X 5) = .703 c Table 2 with = 3.0: P(X 3) = 1 – P(X 2 = 1 – .423 = .577 7.126 a P(X = 10 with = 8) = e x e 8 (8)10 = = .0993 10! x! b Table 2 with = 8: P(X > 5) = P(X 6) = 1 – P(X 5) = 1 – .191 = .809 c Table 2 with = 8: P(X < 12) = P(X 11) = .888 4 7.130 Table 1 with n = 10 and p = .20: P(X 6) = 1 – P(X 5) = 1 – .994 = .006 7.132 a Excel with n = 80 and p = .70: P(X > 65) = P(X 66) = 1 – P(X 65) = 1 – .99207 = .00793 b E(X) = np = 80(.70) = 56 c = np(1 p) 80(.70)(1 .70) = 4.10 7.136 a = E(X) = 2 = V(X) = xP (x) = 0(.36) + 1(.22) + 2(.20) + 3(.09) + 4(.08) + 5(.05) = 1.46 ( x ) 2 2 2 2 P( x ) = (0–1.46) (.36) + (1–1.46) (.22) + (2–1.46) (.20) 2 2 2 + (3–1.46) (.09) + (4–1.46) (.08) + (5–1.46) (.05) = 2.23 = 2 2.23 = 1.49 xP (x) = 0(.15) + 1(.18) + 2(.23) + 3(.26) + 4(.10) + 5(.08) = 2.22 = V(X) = ( x ) P( x ) = (0–2.22) (.15) + (1–2.22) (.18) + (2–2.22) (.23) b = E(X) = 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 + (3–2.22) (.26) + (4–2.22) (.10) + (5–2.22) (.08) = 2.11 = 2 2.11 = 1.45 c Viewers of nonviolent shows remember more about the product that was advertised. 5