Chapter 10 Solutions 1. specs: 24 oz. to 25 oz. .0062 .0062 = = 24.5 oz. [assume = x ] = .2 oz. -2.5 0 a. [refers to population] 24 24.5 .5 z 2.5 2(.0062 ) .0124 .2 .2 b. 2 24 .5 2 24 .5 .10 or 24 .40 to 24 .60 n 16 2. +2.5 z-scale 25 16 = 1.0 liter = .01 liter n = 25 a. Control limits : 2 n b. 1.0043 [z = 2.17 for 97%] .01 UCL is 1.0 2.17 1.0043 25 LCL is 1.0 2.17 1.006 .01 .9957 25 (liters) 1.002 Mean out UCL * 1.000 .998 LCL .9957 * .994 out 3. a. n = 20 A2 = 0.18 D3 = 0.41 D4 = 1.59 = = X = 3.10 Mean Chart: X ± A2 R = 3.1 ± 0.18(0.45) = 3.1 ± .081 R = 0.45 Hence, UCL is 3.181 and LCL is 3.019. All means are within these limits. Range Chart: UCL is D4R = 1.59(0.45) = .7155 LCL is D3R = 0.41(0.45) = .1845 In control since all points are within these limits. 4. Sample Mean Range 1 79.48 2.6 2 80.14 2.3 3 80.14 1.2 4 79.60 1.7 5 80.02 2.0 6 80.38 1.4 = Mean Chart: X ± A2R = 79.96 ± 0.58(1.87) = 79.96 ± 1.1 UCL = 81.04, LCL = 78.88 Range Chart: UCL = D4R = 2.11(1.87) = 3.95 LCL = D3R = 0(1.87) = 0 [Both charts suggest the process is in control: Neither has any points outside the limits.] Solutions (continued) 5. n = 200 a. 1 2 3 4 .020 .010 .025 .045 b. (2.0 + 1.0 + 2.5 + 4.5)/4 = 2.5% c. mean = .025 Std. dev. p (1 p ) .025 (.975 ) .011 n 200 d. z = 2.17 .025 ± 2.17(0.011) = .025% ± .0239% = .0011 to .0489. e. .025 + z(.011) = .047 Solving, z = 2, leaving .0228 in each tail. Hence, alpha = 2(.0228) = .0456. f. Yes. g. mean = .02 .02 (.98) .0099 [round to .01] 200 h. .02 ± 2(.01) = 0 to .04 The last sample is beyond the upper limit. Std. dev. 6. n = 200 p 25 .0096 13(200 ) Control Limits = p 2 p (1 p ) n .0096 2 .0096 (.9904 ) 200 .0096 .0138 Thus, UCL is .0234 and LCL becomes 0. Since n = 200, the fraction represented by each data point is half the amount shown. E.g., 1 defective = .005, 2 defectives = .01, etc. Sample 10 is too large. Omitting that value and recomputing limits with 18 p .0075 yields 12 (200 ) UCL = .0197 and LCL = 0. 7. c 110 7.857 14 Control limits: c 3 c 7.857 8.409 UCL is 16.266, LCL becomes 0. All values are within the limits. Solutions (continued) 21 8. c 1.5 14 Control limits: c 3 c 1.5 3.67 UCL is 5.17, LCL becomes 0. All values are within the limits. 9. p total number of defectives 87 .054 total number of observatio ns 16 (100 ) p(1 p) .054 (.946 ) .054 1.96 n 100 .054 .044 . Hence, UCL = 0.10 LCL = 0.01 Note that observations must be converted to fraction defective, or control limits must be converted to number of defectives. In the latter case, the upper control limit would be 7.9 defectives and the lower control limit would be .1 defective. Even though all points are within these limits, the process appears to be out of control because 75% of the values are above 4%. Control limits are p z 10. There are several slightly different ways to solve this problem. The most straightforward seems to be the following: 1) Observe that the upper control limit is six standard deviations above the lower control limit. 2) Compute the value of the upper control limit at the start: 15 6 .01 15.06 cm. 1 3) Determine how many pieces can be produced before the upper control limit just touches the upper tolerance, given that the upper limit increases by .004 cm. per piece: 15.2cm. – 15.06cm. = 35 pieces. .004 cm./piece 11. Out of the 30 observations, only one value exceeds the tolerances, or 3.3%. [This case is essentially the one portrayed in the text in Figure 10–9A.] Thus, it seems that the tolerances are being met: approximately 97 percent of the output will be acceptable. 12. a. = .146 n = 14 x x 150 .15 3.85 39 39 .146 .385 3 3.85 .117 Control limits are x 3 N 14 So UCL is 3.97, LCL is 3.73. Sample 29 is outside the UCL, so the process is not in control. Solutions (continued) b. [median is 3.85] 13. Sample A/B Mean U/D Sample A/B Mean U/D 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 A A B B B B A A B B A A A B B A B A B A 3.86 3.90 3.83 3.81 3.84 3.83 3.87 3.88 3.84 3.80 3.88 3.86 3.88 3.81 3.83 3.86 3.82 3.86 3.84 3.87 U D D U D U U D D U D U D U U D U D U 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 B B A A A A B A A A A B B B A B B B [B] 3.84 3.82 3.89 3.86 3.88 3.90 3.81 3.86 3.98 3.96 3.88 3.76 3.83 3.77 3.86 3.80 3.84 3.79 3.85 D D U D U U D U U D D D U D U D U D U Test Median Up/down obs. 18 29 3.08 2.57 exp. 20.5 25.7 Z –.81 1.28 Conclusion random random a. A A B B A B A B B A B A A B A A A B B B A B A B A B D D D U D U D D U D U U D U U D D D U U D U D U D b. A A A A B A A B B B B B A B B B A A A A B B B B B B U D U D U D D U D U D U D U D U D U D D U D U D D Solutions (continued) 14. z 14 2.50 1.6 17 17 8 14 22 17 2.07 2.50 2.07 Summary: obs. exp. a. median up/down b. median up/down 18 Conclusion random 0.0 random –2.40 nonrandom 2.41 nonrandom a. [Data from Chapter 10, Problem 8] Median is 1.5 A = Above, B = Below, U = Up, D = Down. Sample: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Median: A A B B B A A B A B A B A B Data: 2 3 1 0 1 3 2 0 2 1 3 1 2 0 Up/down: – U D D U U D D U D U D U D b. [Data from #11] Median is 7.5. Day: Median: 1 B 2 A 3 A 4 A 5 A 6 B 7 B 8 A 9 A 10 B 11 B 12 B 13 B 14 A Data: 4 10 14 8 9 6 5 12 13 7 6 4 2 10 Up/dow n – U D U D D D D U D U U D U For part a and b: N 14 E(r)med = 1 1 8 runs 2 2 E(r)u/d = 2 N 1 2(14 ) 1 9 runs 3 3 med N 1 14 1 1.803 runs 4 4 16 N 29 224 29 1.472 runs 90 90 For part a: 10 8 10 9 1.109 Zup/down .679 Zmed = 1.803 1.472 For part b: 68 79 1.109 Zup/down 1.36 Zmed = 1.803 1.472 Since the absolute values of all Z statistics calculated above are less than 2, all patterns appear to be random. u / d Solutions (continued) Summary: Test a. median up/down b. median up/down Exp. 8 1.80 z 1.11 Conclusion random 10 9 1.47 .68 random 6 8 1.80 –1.11 random 7 9 1.47 –1.36 random obs. 10 15. Day 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 B B A B A A A A A A B A A B B B A A B B Amount 27.69 28.13 33.02 30.31 31.59 33.64 34.73 35.09 33.39 32.51 27.98 31.25 33.98 25.56 24.46 29.65 31.08 33.03 29.10 25.19 Day 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 U U D U U U U D D D U U D D U U U D D Amount B 28.60 B 20.02 B 26.67 A 36.40 A 32.07 A 44.10 A 41.44 B 29.62 B 30.12 B 26.39 A 40.54 A 36.31 B 27.14 B 30.38 A 31.96 A 32.03 A 34.40 B 25.67 A 35.80 A 32.23 U D U U D U D D U D U D D U U U U D U D Day 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Amount B 26.76 B 30.51 B 29.35 B 24.09 B 22.45 B 25.16 B 26.11 B 29.84 A 31.75 B 29.14 A 37.78 A 34.16 A 38.28 B 29.49 B 30.81 B 30.60 A 34.46 A 35.10 A 31.76 A 34.90 D U D D D U U U U D U D U D U D U U D U Summary: Test median up/down obs. 22 35 exp. z Conclusion 31 3.84 –2.34 non-random 39.67 3.22 –1.45 random Since one of the tests suggests non-randomness, the conclusion must be that the process is not in control. In other words, the variation in daily expenses is not random. Further investigation would be necessary in order to determine what sort of pattern is present. Solutions (continued) 16. 3.5 Cm UCL n=1 = 0.01 cm 3.44 Mean LCL 3.0 Cm 3 sigma 3 sigma (i) The upper control limit is 6 standard deviations above the lower control limits. 0.01 (ii) When UCL = 3.5 Cm, the LCL = 3.5 – 6 3.5 0.06 3.44 Cm 1 (iii) Determine how many pieces can be produced before the LCL just crosses the lower tolerance of 3 Cm. 3.44 – 3.00 0.44 440 = = = 440 pieces 0.001 0.001 1 17. It is necessary to see if the process variability is within 9.96 and 10.35. Two observations have values above the specified limits, i.e., 10% of the 20 observations fall outside the limits. Perhaps the process mean should be set a bit lower. 18. 1 Step 10% scrap, 2nd 6%, and 3rd 6%. a. Let x be the number of units started initially at Step 1. With a scrap rate of 10% in Step 1 the input to Step 2 is 0.9x. The input to Step 3 is (1 – 0.06) (1 – 0.10)x. With a scrap rate of 6% at Step 3 the number of good units after Step 3 = (1 – 0.06) (1 – 0.06) (1 – 0.10)x = (0.94)2(0.90)x. The required output is 450 units (0.94)2(0.90)x = 450 units x = 565.87 566 units b. (1 – 0.03)2(1 – 0.05)x = 450 units (0.97)2(0.95)x = 450 units x = 503.44 504 units Savings of 566 – 504 = 62 units c. From (a) The scrap = 566 – 450 = 116 units @ $10 per unit, The Total Cost = $1,160.00 Solutions (continued) 19. Sample # Median = 2.5 A/B Up/Down N = 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 3 2 4 5 1 2 4 1 2 1 3 4 2 4 2 1 3 1 3 4 A B A A B B A B B B A A B A B B A B A A – D U U D U U D U D U U D U D D U D U U Observed Expected Median 13 11 Up/down 14 13 20. a. 1 4.3 2 4.5 3 4.5 Standard Deviation 2.1794 1.7981 Z Conclude 0.9177 Random 0.5561 Random 4 4.7 b. = x = (4.3 + 4.5 + 4.5 + 4.7)/4 = 4.5 std. dev. (of data set) = .192 21. c. mean = 4.5, std. dev. = .192 / 5 .086 d. 4.5 ± 3(.086) = 4.5 ± .258 = 4.242 to 4.758 The risk is 2(.0013) = .0026 e. 4.5 + z(.086) = 4.86 Solving, z = 4.19, so the risk is close to zero f. None g. R = (.3 + .4 + .2 + .4)/4 = .325 n=5 Means: A2 = 0.58 = x ± A2R = 4.5 ± 0.58(.325) = 4.3115 to 4.6885. The last mean is above the upper limit. Ranges: D3 = 0 0 to 2.11(.325) = 0 to .6875 All ranges are within the limits. h. Two different measures of dispersion are being used, the standard deviation and the range. 0.18 i. 4.4 3 4.4 .241 4.16 to 4.64. The last value is above the upper limit. 5 Solution specificat ion width .02 .02 1.11 a. C p process width 6(.003 ) .018 b. In order to be capable, the process capability ratio must be at least 1.33. In this instance, the index is 1.11, so the process is not capable. Solutions (continued) 22. 23. Machine Standard Deviation (in.) Job Specification (in.) Cp Capable ? 001 0.02 0.05 0.833 No 002 0.04 0.07 0.583 No 003 004 0.10 0.05 0.18 0.15 0.600 1.000 No No 005 0.01 0.04 1.333 Yes Machine Cost per unit ($) Standard Deviation (mm.) Cp A 20 0.059 1.355 B 12 0.060 1.333 C 11 0.063 1.27 D 10 0.061 1.311 You can narrow the choice to machines A and B because they are the only ones with a capability ratio of at least 1.33. You would need to know if the slight additional capability of machine A is worth an extra cost of $8 per unit. 24. Let USL = Upper Specification Limit, LSL = Lower Specification Limit, X = Process mean, = Process standard deviation For process H: X LSL 15 14 .1 .93 3 (3)(.32 ) USL X 16 15 1.04 3 (3)(.32 ) C pk min .938 , 1.04 .93 .93 1.0, not capable For process K: X LSL 33 30 1.0 3 (3)(1) USL X 36 .5 33 1.17 3 (3)(1) C pk min{ 1.0, 1.17} 1.0 Since 1.0 < 1.33, the process is not capable. Solutions (continued) For process T: X LSL 18 .5 16 .5 1.67 3 (3)(0.4) USL X 20 .1 18 .5 1.33 3 (3)(0.4) C pk min{ 1.67 , 1.33} 1.33 Since 1.33 = 1.33, the process is capable. 25. Let USL = Upper Specification Limit, LSL = Lower Specification Limit, X = Process mean, = Process standard deviation. USL = 90 minutes, X 1 = 74 minutes, LSL = 50 minutes, 1 = 4.0 minutes X 2 = 72 minutes, 2 = 5.1 minutes For the first repair firm: X LSL 74 50 2.0 3 (3)(4.0) USL X 90 74 1.333 3 (3)(4.0) C pk min{ 2.0, 1.33} 1.333 Since 1.333 = 1.333, the firm 1 is capable. For the second repair firm: X LSL 72 50 1.44 3 (3)(5.1) USL X 90 72 1.18 3 (3)(5.1) C pk min{ 1.44,1.88} 1.18 Since 1.18 < 1.33, the firm 2 is not capable. Solutions (continued) 26. Let USL = Upper Specification Limit, LSL = Lower Specification Limit, X = Process mean, = Process standard deviation. USL = 30 minutes, LSL = 45 minutes, X Armand = 38 minutes, Armand = 3 minutes X Jerry = 37 minutes, Jerry = 2.5 minutes X Melissa = 37.5 minutes, Melissa = 2.5 minutes For Armand: X LSL 38 30 .89 3 (3)(3) USL X 45 38 .78 3 (3)(3) C pk min{. 89, .78} .78 Since .78 < 1.33, Armand is not capable. For Jerry: X LSL 37 30 .93 3 (3)(2.5) USL X 45 37 1.07 3 (3)(2.5) C pk min{. 93, 1.07} .93 Since .93 < 1.33, Jerry is not capable. For Melissa, since USL X X LSL 7.5 , the process is centered, therefore we will use Cp to measure process capability. Cp USL LSL 45 30 1.39 6 (6)(1.8) Since 1.39 > 1.33, Melissa is capable.