SLOVENIA IN EUROPE Population Slovenia is a small country as regards its territory and the number of population. Of all old and new EU Member States, only Luxembourg, Malta, Cyprus (under 1 million) and Estonia have a lower population number. At the end of 2002 there were 1,995,033 people living in Slovenia, which is on average 98 people per square kilometre. The least densely populated European countries are in the north of the continent where between 3 and 20 people live per square kilometre, while the most densely populated country in Europe is Malta with close to 1,300 people per square kilometre. Chart 1.1: Population of Slovenia and EU–25 by sex and age (proportion), 2002 Of all new EU Member States, Slovenia has the lowest share of young population. Only 15.2% of its population is under 15 years of age, which is 5.6 % less than in Cyprus, where more than a fifth of the population is under 15 years of age. Among EU–15 only Italy, Spain and Germany have less young population than Slovenia, while most young people live in Ireland (21.8%). In 2002, 14.6% of people living in Slovenia were 65 or more years old. Eleven old Member States and four new Member States have higher shares of old people than Slovenia does. The age structure of the population is the most worrying in Italy where in 2002 the relationship between people under 15 and people over 65 was 0.8 : 1, i.e. only 0.8 young person per one older person. The situation in Spain, Germany, Greece and Portugal was only slightly better (0.9 : 1). In EU–25, Ireland had the most favourable population structure with almost two young people per one old person. In Slovenia the ratio between young and old people is almost even. At the end of 2002 there were barely 4,000 people under 15 more than people over 65. In 1990 only three European countries (Germany, Bulgaria and Hungary) had a natural decrease, while in 2002 natural decrease was registered in 17 countries, of which eight were new Member States. Among them, Slovenia is the worst off with a natural decrease of –0.6 per 1000 population. Among new EU Member States, the highest natural decrease was registered among Baltic States: Latvia –5.3 per 1000 population and Estonia –3.9 per 1000 population. Three EU–15 countries had a natural decrease (Germany, Italy and Greece). The highest natural increase among EU–15 was registered in Ireland (7.3 per 1000 population) and among new Member States in Cyprus (3.8 per 1000 population). Chart 1.2: Natural increase per 1000 population, EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. 2) Data for 2000. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003 In 1990 most transition countries had a negative net migration. Among new EU Member States, the highest negative net migration in 1990 was registered in Latvia and Estonia and among EU–15 in Portugal, which at that time was economically the weakest EU Member State. In 2002 three Member States had a negative net migration (Latvia, Lithuania and Poland). The most attractive countries in terms of immigration are located in Southern and Western Europe (Cyprus, Portugal and Ireland), which in 2002 had a positive net migration of more than 6 per 1000 population. Slovenia too experienced positive net migration (0.9 per 1000 population). Among new Member States, the highest positive net migration was registered in the island countries of Cyprus and Malta. Chart 1.3: Net migration per 1000 population, EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. 2) Data for 2000. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003 Births With 8.8 live births per 1000 population, Slovenia has one of the lowest fertility rates in Europe and the world. Low fertility is characteristic of all new EU Member States. In 2002 fewer children per 1000 population were only born in Lithuania and Latvia and among EU–15 in Germany, because of low fertility in the former German Democratic Republic. In EU–15 (except in Italy and Austria) on average more than 10 children per 1000 population were born, the most in Ireland (15). Ireland is also the only country in which the number of live births per 1000 population increased compared to 1992. A better indicator to compare fertility between countries is the total fertility rate, which indicates the average number of children per woman in her reproductive age (15–49) in the year of observation and the population replacement rate. In all European countries except Turkey fertility is too low for simple population replacement. It is the lowest among new Member States. While in 1990 most of them had total fertility rates sufficiently high to provide population replacement (over 2), Slovenia already had a lower total fertility rate than the average of EU Member States. In 2002 the total fertility rate was lower than in Slovenia (1.21) only in the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Ukraine. Among EU–15, low total fertility rates were registered in Southern Europe: Italy, Greece and Spain. The highest fertility rates in Europe were registered in Ireland (2.00), Scandinavian countries (Norway, Finland and Sweden), Iceland, France and Macedonia. Among countries of former Yugoslavia, the highest fertility rate is in Macedonia and the lowest in Slovenia. Chart 1.4: Total fertility rate, EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003 Women are deciding to have children later on in their lives. The mean age of a mother at birth of all children is rising and in some countries (Sweden, Switzerland and the Netherlands) it has already exceeded 30 years. Of all new Member States, the mean age of mother at birth of her first child is the highest in Slovenia. In 2002 it was 27.2 years, which is 3 years more than in Lithuania, which has the lowest average of all these countries. Only in two old EU Member States (Austria and Portugal) was the mean age of mother at birth of her first child lower than in Slovenia. In Spain and the United Kingdom women who gave birth for the first time in 2000 were already over 29 years old. Chart 1.5: Mean age of mother at birth of first child, EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. 2) Data for 2000. 3) Data for 1995. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003 In all European countries the share of children born outside marriage has been on the rise. In Estonia, Sweden and Norway more than a half of children born in 2002 were born outside marriage, while Iceland has the highest share in Europe with 63.3%. In Slovenia the share of children born outside marriage is the highest of all countries of former Yugoslavia (40.2%), while the neighbouring Croatia has the lowest share (9.6%). Chart 1.6: Illegitimate live births (proportions), EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. 2) Data for 2000. 3) Data for 1995. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003 Deaths In most European countries mortality is decreasing. Among EU-15 and new Member States slight increase was registered between 1992 and 2002 only in five countries. The number of deaths per 1000 population grew in Spain, the Netherlands and in all three Baltic States, while in all other countries the number of deaths decreased. In recent years strong increase of the number of deaths has been registered in Eastern European countries such as the Russian Federation, Bulgaria, Romania, Belarus, Ukraine and Turkey. Among European countries, in 2002 the death rate was between 6.3 per 1000 population in Iceland and 16.2 per 1000 population in the Russian Federation. In Slovenia it was 9.3. Even though the death rate is not the most appropriate indicator for comparing mortality, because it depends on the age structure of the population, let us mention that similar death rates as in Slovenia were registered in Austria, Poland, Finland and Slovakia. Chart 1.7: Life expectancy at births by sex, EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. 2) Data for 2000. 3) Data for 1999. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003 A much better indicator of mortality is the life expectancy at birth. As a rule, life expectancy is longer in Northern, Western and Southern countries. In Iceland people can expect to live longest. A boy born in Iceland in 2000/2001 can expect to live 78.0 years and a girl 81.4 years. In ten of the 15 old EU Member States a boy born in 2001 or 2002 can expect to live at least 75 years and in thirteen of them a girl born in this period can expect to live at least 80 years. Among these countries life expectancy of men is the longest in Sweden (77.7 years) while life expectancy of women is the longest in France (82.1 years). Life expectancy is much shorter in countries of Eastern Europe. In 2002 life expectancy for men was the shortest in the Russian Federation (less than 59 years), while in Ukraine and Belarus the situation was only slightly better (just over 62 years). In 2002 the shortest life expectancy for women was registered in Turkey (70.6 years), in the Russian Federation it was a year longer and in Ukraine and Belarus another two to three years longer. Life expectancy at birth in Slovenia is shorter than in EU–15, but one of the longest among new Member States. Among the latter people living in the two Mediterranean countries can expect to live the longest. A boy born in Slovenia in 2001/2002 can expect to live 72.3 years and a girl 79.9 years. A boy born in 2002 in Cyprus or Malta can expect to live over three years longer than a boy born in Slovenia does. Life expectancy of a girl born in Slovenia in 2002 is 1.1 years shorter than of a girl born in Cyprus and 0.6 year shorter than of a girl born in Malta. Chart 1.8: Infant mortality rate per 1000 live births, EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. 2) Data for 2000. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003 Data on mortality of children under 1 year of age also divide Europe into Eastern and Western. Even tough mortality of children decreased considerably in all European countries, it still differs greatly: from 2.7 per 1000 live births in Iceland to 39.4 in Turkey. In 2002, 67 children under age 1 died in Slovenia. The infant mortality rate was 3.8 per 1000 live births. With this coefficient Slovenia is ranked among countries with the lowest infant mortality rates, which is characteristic of Scandinavian countries. Namely, all Scandinavian countries had lower infant mortality rates than Slovenia. The infant mortality rate in Slovenia was lower than the EU average (4.5 per 1000 live births). Marriages and divorces As in Slovenia, in other European countries the number of marriages is decreasing while the number of consensual unions and the number of divorces are increasing. With 3.5 marriages per 1000 population, Slovenia is a country with the lowest number of marriages of all EU Member States. In 2002 fewer than 4 marriages per 1000 population were registered only in Belgium. The country with the most marriages per 1000 population is Cyprus (13.5). Cyprus is the only European country in which the number of marriages is on the rise. In the past 20 years the number doubled. The most frequent indicator for analysing the formation of families is the total first marriage rate of women aged 15 to 49 or the number of first marriages per woman, taking into account that age–specific marriage rates will not change. In most European countries the rates are around 0.50. Slovenia with its 2002 rate of 0.44 is at the end of the European countries. Of all EU Member States for which the data are available, the first marriage rate of women is only lower in Estonia. In 2002 it was the highest in Cyprus (1.54) and it was over 0.60 in Denmark, Portugal, Finland and Italy. Chart 1.9: Marriages and divorces per 1000 population, EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. 2) Data for 2000. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003 The decrease of the number of marriages is accompanied by the increase in the mean age at first marriage. In all countries in transition the mean age of the bride at first marriage was relatively low. It started to rise at the beginning of the 1990s. Ten years ago brides in countries in transition were on average 22–25 years old at first marriage, which was considerably less than in Western Europe, especially in Scandinavian Countries where already at that time brides were over 26 years old at first marriage. In 2002 the mean age of brides at first marriage in Sweden was over 30 years. In five old EU Member States it was over 28 years. In 2002 the mean age of brides at first marriage in new Member States was between 24.0 and 27.4 years. On average, brides were the oldest in Slovenia (27.4 years). The only other new Member State in which brides were more than 27 years old at first marriage is Cyprus. Chart 1.10: Mean age of women at first marriage, EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. 2) Data for 2000. 3) Data for 1995. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003 Even though it seems that with the low number of marriages the number of divorces is high in Slovenia (2,457 or 1.1 per 1000 population), Slovenia is actually one of the European countries with the lowest number of divorces per 1000 population. High above the average of 1.7 is the Russian Federation with 5.3 divorces per 1000 population. The number of divorces is also high above the European average in Baltic States. In 2002 the total divorce rate or the number of divorces per one marriage was 0.25 in Slovenia. Of all EU Member States it was only lower in Poland and Cyprus. Total divorce rates of over 0.50 were registered in Western European countries such as Sweden, Belgium and Luxembourg. Chart 1.11: Total divorce rate, EU–25, 2002 1) Data for 2001. 2) Data for 2000. 3) Data for 1995. Sources: for Slovenia, Statistical Office of the RS for other european countries, Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003, Council of Europe, December 2003