A certain genetic characteristic occurs in mice with probability 0

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Answer key for Quiz 4 (collected the take home quiz on: 2/28/2005 in class)

1.

0.9987 2.

0.0228 3. 2917.75 4.

3000

5. 0.1587

6. 0.091 7. 3.4657 8. 0.0498

The compressive strength of samples of cement can be modeled by a normal distribution with a mean of

3000 kg/cm 2 and a standard deviation of 50 kg/cm 2 . Answer questions 1 to 5 using this information.

1.

What is the probability that a sample’s strength is less than 3150 kg/cm 2 .

P(X<3150)= P Z

3150

50

3000

P ( Z

3 ) =0.9987

2.

What is the probability that a sample’s strength is between 2800 and 2900 kg/cm 2 .

P(2800

X

2900)= P

2800

50

3000

Z

2900

50

3000

P (

4

Z

 

2 )

=0.0228-0=0.0228

3.

What strength is exceeded by 95% of the samples?

P(X>x*)= P Z

 x *

3000

50

0 .

95 then x *

3000

50

 

1 .

645

If you solve for x*=2917.75, that is the strength exceeded by 95% of the sample.

4.

What is the median strength?

P(X

 median)= P

Z

 median

3000

50

0 .

5 then median

50

3000

0

Median=3000.

Since we already know that normal distribution is symmetric (that means mean=median), we could directly answer without solving it.

5.

What is the probability that strength exceeds the mean strength by more than 1 standard deviations?

P(X>3000+1(50))= P Z

3050

50

3000

=P(Z>1)=0.1587

The time between two successive arrivals at the drive-up window of a local bank is exponentially distributed with the expected time between two successive arrivals of 5 minutes. Answer the next 3 questions using this information.

X ~ Exponential (

=1/

=5) then f(x)=

P(X

 x)= 1

 e

0 .

2 x

P(X>x)= e

0 .

2 x

P(a < X < b) = e

0 .

2 a

e

0 .

2 b

0 .

2 e

0 .

2 x

, x>0.

6.

What is the probability that time until the next arrival is between 9 and 13 minutes?

P(9 < X < 13) = e

0 .

2 ( 9 )

e

0 .

2 ( 13 )

=0.1653-0.0743=0.091

7.

What is the median time between two successive arrivals?

P(X

 median)= 1

 e

0 .

2 median

=0.5 then median=3.4657

8.

What is the probability that time between two successive arrivals exceeds the mean time by more than

2 standard deviations?

P(X>5+2(5))=P(X>15)= e

0 .

2 ( 15 )

=0.0498

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