Chapter 20: Additional Topics in Sampling 20.1 Answers should refer to each of the steps outlined in Figure 20.1 20.2 Answers should refer to each of the steps outlined in Figure 20.1 20.3 Answers should refer to each of the steps outlined in Figure 20.1 20.4 Answers should refer to each of the steps outlined in Figure 20.1 20.5 Answers should refer to each of the steps outlined in Figure 20.1 20.6 Answers should deal with issues such as (a) the identification of the correct population, (b) selection (nonresponse) bias, (c) response bias 20.7 Answers should deal with issues such as (a) the identification of the correct population, (b) selection (nonresponse) bias, (c) response bias 20.8 Answers should deal with issues such as (a) the identification of the correct population, (b) selection (nonresponse) bias, (c) response bias 20.9 While the recall method will lower the number of nonresponses, a bias may be built in since this technique will reduce the participation of individuals who are absent on Thursday evenings (e.g., night students, second shift workers, shopping mall employees, etc.) 20.10 Within Minitab, go to Calc Make Patterned Data… in order to generate a simple set of numbers of size ‘n’ or ‘N’. Enter first value as 1, last value as the total number of stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange. Go to Calc Random Data Sample from Columns… in order to generate a simple random sample of size ‘n’ from the number of all stocks. “Sample ____ rows from column(s):” For Exercise 20.10 enter 20 as the number of rows to sample from. The results will be the observation numbers in the list to include in the sample. 500 Statistics for Business & Economics, 6th edition 20.11 Within Minitab, go to Calc Make Patterned Data… in order to generate a simple set of numbers of size ‘n’ or ‘N’. Enter first value as 1, last value as the total number of houses advertised for sale in your city. Go to Calc Random Data Sample from Columns… in order to generate a simple random sample of size ‘n’ from the number of all houses advertised for sale in your city. “Sample ____ rows from column(s):” For Exercise 20.11 enter 15 as the number of rows to sample from. The results will be the observation numbers in the list to include in the sample. 20.12 Within Minitab, go to Calc Make Patterned Data… in order to generate a simple set of numbers of size ‘n’or ‘N’. Enter first value as 1, last value as 12,723. Go to Calc Random Data Sample from Columns… in order to generate a simple random sample of size ‘n’. “Sample ____ rows from column(s):” Enter 100 as the number of rows to sample from. The results will be the observation numbers in the list to include in the sample. 20.13 Within Minitab, go to Calc Make Patterned Data… in order to generate a simple set of numbers of size ‘n’ or ‘N’. Enter first value as 1, last value as 984 which is the total number of pages in the text. Go to Calc Random Data Sample from Columns… in order to generate a simple random sample of size ‘n’. “Sample ____ rows from column(s):” Enter 50 as the number of rows to sample from. The results will be the observation numbers in the list to include in the sample. 20.14 x 9.7, s 6.2 , ˆ x 9.7 1.96 (.7519) ( s)2 N n (6.2)2 139 = .7519 n N 50 189 (8.2262, 11.1738) 20.15 a. x 127.43 s 2 N n (43.27) 2 760 2 ˆ b. x = 28.9216 n N 60 820 c. 127.43 1.645 ( 28.9216 ) (118.5834, 136.2766) d. [137.43 – 117.43]/2 = 10 = z / 2 28.9216 , solving for z: 1.86 tabled value of .9686 yields a confidence level of 93.72% or an of .0628 (5.32)2 85 = .6936 40 125 7.28 2.58 (.6936) (5.4904, 9.0696) 20.16 ˆ x Chapter 20: Additional Topics in Sampling 20.17 a. false: as n increases, the confidence interval becomes narrower for a given N and s2 b. true c. true: the finite population correction factor is larger to account for the fact that a smaller proportion of the population is represented as N increases relative to n. d. true 2 20.18 ˆ x ( s) 2 N n s 2 n 2 1 1 1 s n N n N n N 20.19 99% confidence interval: Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x N Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x where, Nx (189)(9.7) 1833.30 s2 (6.2) 2 N ( N n) 189(189 50) = 142.1167 n 50 1833.30 2.58(142.1167) 1466.6390 < N < 2199.9610 Nˆ x s 2 N n (43.27) 2 760 n N 60 820 Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x N Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x , where Nx (820)(127.43) 104, 492.6 20.20 95% confidence interval: using ˆ x 2 s2 (43.27)2 N ( N n) 820(820 60) = 4,409.8619 n 60 104,492.6 1.96(4409.8619) 95,849.2706 < N < 113,135.9294 Nˆ x 20.21 90% confidence interval: Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x N Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x , where Nx (125)(7.28) 910 s2 (5.32)2 N ( N n) 125(125 40) = 86.7054 n 40 910 1.645(86.7054) 767.3696 < N < 1,052.6304 Nˆ x 501 502 Statistics for Business & Economics, 6th edition 20.22 x = 143/35 = 4.0857 90% confidence interval: Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x N Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x , where Nx (120)(4.0857) 490.2857 s2 (3.1)2 N ( N n) 120(120 35) = 52.9210 n 35 490.2857 1.645(52.9210) 403.2307 < N < 577.3407 Nˆ x 20.23 p̂ = x/n = 39/400 = .0975 pˆ [ pˆ (1 pˆ ) /(n 1)][( N n) / N ] [(.0975)(.9025) /(399)][(1395 400) /1395] = .0125 95% confidence interval: .0975 1.96(.0125): .073 up to .1220 20.24 p̂ = 56/100 = .56 pˆ [ pˆ (1 pˆ ) /(n 1)][( N n) / N ] [(.56)(.44) / 99][(420 100) / 420] = .0435 90% confidence interval: .56 1.645(.0435): .4884 up to .6316 20.25 p̂ = 37/120 = .3083 pˆ [ pˆ (1 pˆ ) /(n 1)][( N n) / N ] [(.3083)(.6917) /(119)][(257 120) / 257] = .0309 95% confidence interval: .3083 1.96(.0309): .2477 up to .3689 20.26 p̂ = 31/80 = .3875 pˆ [ pˆ (1 pˆ ) /(n 1)][( N n) / N ] [(.3875)(.6125) /(79)][(420 80) / 420] = .0493 90% confidence interval: .3875 1.645(.0493): .3064 up to .4686 128.688 < Np < 196.812 or between 129 and 197 students intend to take the final. 20.27 a. xst 820(290) 540(352) 440(427) 1 k = 342.089 N j xj = 1800 N j 1 Chapter 20: Additional Topics in Sampling 503 s 2 N n (47) 2 820 120 15.714 n N 120 820 (61) 2 540 90 (93)2 440 90 34.454 , ˆ 2 x3 76.443 90 540 90 440 (820)2 (15.714) (540) 2 (34.454) (440) 2 (76.443) 10.93 (1800)2 b. ˆ 2 x1 ˆ 2 x 2 ˆ 2 x st c. 95% confidence interval: 342.089 1.96 10.93 335.609 up to 348.569 s 2 N n (12.3)2 208 50 2.2984 n N 50 208 90% confidence interval: 43.3 1.645 2.2984 : 40.806 up to 45.794 152(27.6) 127(39.2) 208(43.3) 1 k b. xst N j x j = = 37.3306 487 N j 1 20.28 a. x3 43.3 , ˆ 2 x3 (7.1)2 152 40 (9.9) 2 127 40 .9286 , ˆ 2 x2 1.6785 40 152 40 127 (152)2 (.9286) (127) 2 (1.6785) (208) 2 (2.2984) .6239 (487)2 c. ˆ 2 x1 ˆ 2 x st 90% confidence interval: 37.3306 1.645 .6239 : 36.0313 up to 38.6299 95% confidence interval: 37.3306 1.96 .6239 : 35.7825 up to 38.8787 s 2 N n (.8) 2 240 40 .0133 n N 40 240 90% confidence interval: 2.5 1.645 .0133 : 2.3102 up to 2.6897 2.5(240) 3.6(190) 3.9(350) 2.8(280) 1 k b. xst N j x j = = 3.2387 1060 N j 1 20.29 a. ˆ 2 x1 c. ˆ 2 x1 ˆ 2 x 3 (.8)2 240 40 (.9)2 190 40 2 .0133 , ˆ x2 .0160 40 240 40 190 (1.2)2 350 40 (.7)2 280 40 .0319 , ˆ 2 x4 .0105 40 350 40 280 ˆ 2 x st (240)2 (.0133) (190) 2 (.0160) (350) 2 (.0319) (280)2 (.0105) .0054 (1060)2 90% confidence interval: 3.2387 1.645 .0054 : 3.1177 up to 3.3596 95% confidence interval: 3.2387 1.96 .0054 : 3.0947 up to 3.3827 504 Statistics for Business & Economics, 6th edition s 2 N n (1.04)2 632 50 .0199 ; 3.12 1.96 .0199 : n N 50 632 2.8435 up to 3.3965 (.86)2 529 50 2 ˆ b. x2 .0134 ; 3.37 1.96 .0134 : 3.1431 up to 50 529 3.5969 (632)2 (.0199) (529) 2 (.0134) c. ˆ 2 xst .0087 ; xst = 3.2339 (1161)2 20.30 a. ˆ 2 x1 3.2339 1.96 .0087 : 3.0513 up to 3.4166 20.31 a. 90% confidence interval: Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x N Nx Z / 2 Nˆ x , where Nx (208)(43.3) 9006.4 s2 (12.3) 2 Nˆ x N ( N n) 208(208 50) = 315.3409 n 50 9006.4 1.645(315.3409) 8487.6642 < N < 9525.1358 b. from Exercise 20-28: xst 37.3306, ˆ 2 xst .6239 Nxst (487)(37.3306) = 18,180.0022 N 2ˆ 2 xst (152)2 .9286 (127)21.6785 (208)2 2.2984 147,964.8785 Nˆ xst 147964.8785 384.6620 90% confidence interval: 18,180.0022 1.645(384.6620): 17,547.2332 < N < 18,812.7716 20.32 a. Nxst = 237(120) + 198(150) + 131(180) = 81,720 b. ˆ 2 x1 ˆ 2 x 2 ˆ 2 x st s 2 N n 932 120 40 144.15 , n N 40 120 642 150 45 47 2 180 50 63.7156 , ˆ 2 x3 31.9078 45 150 50 180 (120)2 (144.15) (150)2 (63.71556) (180)2 (31.9078) 22.4354 (450)2 95% confidence interval: 181.6(450) 1.96 22.4354 (450) : 77,542.3153 < N < 85,897.6847 20.33 a. pˆ st [364 10 8 1031 ] /1395 .1638 40 60 Chapter 20: Additional Topics in Sampling pˆ1 (1 pˆ1 ) N1 n1 .25(.75) 364 40 .0043 n1 1 N1 40 1 364 .1333(.8667) 1031 60 ˆ 2pˆ 2 .0018 60 1 1031 (364)2 (.0043) (1031) 2 (.0018) ˆ 2pˆ st .0013 (1395)2 b. ˆ 2pˆ1 95% confidence interval: .1638 1.96 .0013 : .0931 up to .2345 6 14 50 ] /150 .3467 25 25 ˆ ˆ p (1 p ) N .24(.76) 100 25 1 1 n1 .0057 b. ˆ 2pˆ1 1 n1 1 N1 25 1 100 .56(.44) 50 25 ˆ 2pˆ 2 .0051 , 25 1 50 (100)2 (.0057) (50) 2 (.0051) ˆ 2pˆ st .0031 (150)2 20.34 a. pˆ st [100 90% confidence interval: .3467 1.645 .0031 : .2550 up to .4383 95% confidence interval: .3467 1.96 .0031 : .2375 up to .4559 31 29 34 127 208 ] / 487 .7214 40 40 50 p (1 p ) N n .775(.225) 152 40 1 1 1 .0033 b. ˆ 2pˆ1 1 n1 1 N1 40 1 152 .725(.275) 127 40 .68(.32) 208 50 ˆ 2pˆ 2 .0035 , ˆ 2pˆ 3 .0034 40 1 127 50 1 208 (152)2 (.0033) (127) 2 (.0035) (208) 2 (.0034) ˆ 2pˆ st .0012 (487)2 20.35 a. pˆ st [152 90% confidence interval: .7214 1.645 .0012 : .6649 up to .7779 95% confidence interval: .7214 1.96 .0012 : .6541 up to .7887 208 130 55.52 = 56 observations 487 208(12.3) b. n3 130 67.95 = 68 observations 152(7.1) 127(9.9) 208(12.3) 20.36 a. n3 20.37 a. n1 240 160 36.23 = 37 observations 1060 505 506 Statistics for Business & Economics, 6th edition 240(.8) b. n1 160 31.38 = 32 240(.8) 190(.9) 350(1.2) 280(.7) observations 632 100 54.43 = 55 observations 1161 632(1.04) b. n1 100 59.09 = 60 observations 632(1.04) 529(.86) 20.38 a. n1 120 135 36 observations 450 120(93) b. n1 135 51.56 = 52 observations 120(93) 150(64) 180(47) 20.39 a. n1 1031 100 73.91 = 74 observations 1395 1031(219.9) b. n2 100 87.71 = 88 observations 364(87.3) 1031(219.9) 20.40 a. n2 2000 812(20000) 2 1020.4 , n 20.41 x 261.0038 = 262 1.96 811(1020.4) 2 (20000) 2 observations 20.42 How large n? N 2 (400)(10, 000) 2 n = 57.988, take 58 2 2 2 ( N 1) x 2 (399)(1215.8055) (10, 000) observations .05 .0194 2.575 .25 N (.25)320 n 216.18 = 217 observations 2 ( N 1) px .25 319(.0194) 2 .25 20.43 pˆ 20.44 pˆ .04 417(.25) .0243 , n 210.33 = 211 observations 1.645 416(.0243) 2 .25 Chapter 20: Additional Topics in Sampling 507 25 15.1976 1.645 200(400)2 86250000 20.45 Proportional allocation: x N 2 j j 500(150)2 86250000 224.05 = 225 observations 1400(15.1976) 2 86250000 /1400 Optimal allocation: N j j 500(150) 200(400) 325000 n n (325000)2 /1400 195.98 = 196 observations 1400(15.1976) 2 86250000 /1400 500 255.1020 1.96 1150(4000)2 2120(6000)2 930(800000)2 15424 107 20.46 Proportional allocation: x N 2 j j 15424 107 497.47 = 498 observations 4200(255.1020) 2 15424 107 / 4200 Optimal allocation: N j j 1150(4000) 2120(6000) 930(8000) 24760000 n n (24760000) 2 / 4200 470.78 = 471 observations 4200(255.1020) 2 15424 107 / 4200 20.47 a. xc 28(29.6) 35(18.4) 343 42(24.1) 24.979 b. ˆ 2 xc 65 10 (28)2 (29.6 24.979) 2 (42) 2 (24.1 24.979) 2 1.655 65(10)(34.3)2 10 1 90% confidence interval: 24.979 1.645 1.655 : 22.8627 up to 27.0953 20.48 a. xc 69(83) 75(64) 497 71(98) 91.6761 b. (52 8) (69) 2 (83 91.67605634) 2 (71) 2 (98 91.67605634) 2 8 1 52(8)(61.125) 2 = 66.409 99% confidence interval: 91.6761 2.58 66.4090 70.6920 up to 112.6602 ˆ 2XC 20.49 a. pˆ c 12 26 .4636 343 508 Statistics for Business & Economics, 6th edition b. 2 2 12 26 (28) .4636 (42) 2 .4636 65 10 28 42 .0012 2 65(10)(34.3) 10 1 2 ˆ 2pˆ c 90% confidence interval: .4636 1.645 .0012 : .4069 up to .5203 20.50 a. pˆ c 24 34 .4507 497 b. 2 ˆ 2pˆ c 2 24 34 (69) 2 .4507 (71) 2 .4507 52 8 69 71 .0013 2 52(8)(62.125) 8 1 95% confidence interval: .4507 1.96 .0013 : .38 up to .5214 20.51 128 131 172 .2310 1866 2 2 2 2 128 2 131 2 172 (611) .231 (521) .231 (734) .231 50 3 611 521 734 .0001 2 50(3)(622) 3 1 pˆ c ˆ 2pˆ c 90% confidence interval: .231 1.645 .0001 : .2146 up to .2489 5000 720(37600)2 3039.5 , n 126.34 = 127 1.645 719(3039)2 (37600)2 observations. Additional sample observations needed are 127-20 = 107 20.52 x 5 3.0395 1.645 (3200(40) 800(58)) 2 / 4000 n 195.49 = 196 4000(3.0395)2 (3200(40) 2 800(58) 2 ) / 4000 observations. Additional sample observations needed: 196-60 = 136 20.53 x 20 10.2 1.96 (100(105) 180(162) 200(183)) 2 / 480 n 159.35 = 160 480(10.2)2 (100(105) 2 180(162) 2 200(183) 2 ) / 480 observations. Additional sample observations needed: 160-30 = 130 20.54 x Chapter 20: Additional Topics in Sampling 20.55- 20.57 Discussion questions – various answers 747 (11.44) 2 90 10 74.7 , s = 11.44, ˆ 2 x 11.633 10 10 90 90% confidence interval: 74.7 1.645 11.633 : 69.089 up to 80.311 b. The interval would be wider; the z-score would increase to 1.96 20.58 a. x (149.92) 2 272 50 20.59 a. ˆ x 366.888 50 272 99% confidence interval: 492.36 2.58 366.888 : 442.9139 up to 541.7501 b. 95% confidence interval: 492.36 1.96 366.888 : 454.8175 up to 529.9025 c. The 90% interval is narrower; the z-score would decline to 1.645 2 38 .623(.377) 100 61 .623 , ˆ 2pˆ .0015 61 61 100 90% confidence interval: .623 1.645 .0015 : .559 up to .687 b. If the sample information is not randomly selected, the resulting conclusions may be biased 20.60 a. pˆ 20.61 36 .6(.4) 148 60 .6 , ˆ pˆ .0024 60 60 148 95% confidence interval: .6 1.96 .0024 : .504 up to .696 pˆ 20.62 a. xst 11.5845 ˆ 2 x .7321 , ˆ 2 x 1.9053 , ˆ 2 x 1.7508 (352)2 (.7321) (287) 2 (1.9053) (331) 2 (1.7508) ˆ 2 x .4671 (970)2 1 2 3 st 99% confidence interval for managers in subdivision 1: 9.2 2.575 .7321 : 6.997 up to 11.403 b. 99% confidence interval for all managers: 11.5845 2.575 .4671 : 9.8247 up to 13.3444 509 510 Statistics for Business & Economics, 6th edition 120(1.6) 180(.74) 325.2 1.084 300 300 s 2 N n (.98)2 120 20 ˆ 2 x1 .0400 n N 20 120 (.56)2 180 20 ˆ 2 x2 .0139 , 20 180 (120)2 (.04) (180)2 (.0139) ˆ 2 xst .0114 (300)2 95% confidence interval for mean number of errors per page in the book: 1.084 1.96 .0114 : .8747 up to 1.2933 20.63 a. xst b. Nxst Z / 2 Nˆ xst N Nxst Z / 2 Nˆ xst where, Nxst (120)(1.6) (180)(.74) 325.2 N 2ˆ 2 xst (120)2 .0400 (180)2 .0139 1,029.3408 Nˆ xst 1029.3408 32.08334 , 325.2 2.58(32.08334) 99% confidence interval for the total number of errors in the book: 242.4279 up to 407.9721 or from 243 total errors up to 408 total errors. 20.64 pˆ1 pˆ pˆ st 9 15 .45, pˆ 2 .75 20 20 pˆ (1 pˆ1 ) N1 n1 .45(.55) 120 20 .63, ˆ 2pˆ1 1 .0109 n1 1 N1 20 1 120 ˆ 2pˆ 2 pˆ1 (1 pˆ1 ) N1 n1 .75(.25) 180 20 .0088 n1 1 N1 20 1 180 (120)2 (.0109) (180) 2 (.0088) .0049 st (300)2 90% confidence interval is: .63 1.645 .0049 or 0.5147 up to 0.7453 ˆ 2pˆ 352 80 29.03 = 30 observations 970 352(4.9) b. n1 80 22.7 = 23 observations 352(4.9) 287(6.4) 331(7.6) 20.65 a. n1 120 40 16 observations 300 120(.98) b. n1 40 21.54 = 22 observations 120(.98) 180(.56) 20.66 a. n1 Chapter 20: Additional Topics in Sampling 20.67 Refer to section 20.4 – Stratified Random Sampling 2000 328(12000) 2 1215.8 , n 75.28 = 76 1.645 327(1215.8) 2 (12000) 2 observations 20.68 x 20.69 pˆ .06 527(.25) .0306 , n 177.43 = 178 observations 1.96 526(.0306) 2 .25 20.70 Various answers. Answers should include a discussion of the potential for stratification of the population. Because different counties utilize different ballots and ballot techniques, a stratification by county may prove reasonable. The method used by the county could also be utilized in the stratification – e.g., butterfly ballots and hand-punched vs. electronic ballots. 511