GRMD 2102 FUNDAMENTAL STATISTICS FOR GEOGRAPHERS 2010-2011 Semester One Lecturer: Prof. Yee Leung (yeeleung@cuhk.edu.hk) SB 237 2609 6473 Tutors: Mr. Wong Wai Fung (waifung28@gmail.com) SB 251 2609 6643 Mr. Zhou Yu (zynova@gmail.com) FYB221A 2696 1025 Lecture Venue: FYB LT4 (H3-4) Course Materials: [Course Outline] __________________________________________________________________________ Theme This course emphasizes fundamental concepts of statistical methods which are applicable to geographic analysis. Topics covered include elementary probability theory, descriptive statistics, hypothesis testing, correlation analysis, simple and multiple regression analysis. Course syllabus I. General Background Developments of Quantitative Analysis in Geography Ideas of Probability and Statistics Applications of Probability and Statistics in Geographical Research II. Geographic Data and Description Geographic Data Describing Geographic Data III. Probability Distribution Probability Density Function and Mass Function Normal Probability Law IV. Concepts of Sampling V. Descriptive and Inferential Statistics Sample mean Sample variance VI. Testing of Hypotheses Probability Arguments of Hypothesis Testing Significance Test of Model Parameters and Linear Hypothesis 1 VII. Simple Correlation and Regression Concepts and Estimations of Simple Correlation Concepts and Estimations of Simple Regression VIII. Multiple Regression Concepts of Multivariate Statistics Concepts and Estimations of Multiple Regression Expected Learning Outcome After taking this course, students are expected to be able to (a) understand the basic concepts in simple statistics that are useful to geographical data analysis, (b) set up the framework for hypothesis testing with respect to the population mean and difference of population means, (c) employ probability distributions, particularly the normal distribution to describe data and test hypotheses, (d) test simple geographical relationships through the concepts of simple correlation and simple regression. Learning Activities There will be lectures, tutorials and homeworks in this course. Lectures emphasize concepts, computational methods, and illustrations. Tutorials focus on discussion of assigned readings and materials complementing or substantiating the lectures. Homeworks involve essentially computational exercises designed to strengthen the understanding of concepts and data analysis methods. WebCT will be used to facilitate the dissemination of teaching and learning materials as well as course management. Assessment Homework Tutorial Mid-term Exam Final Exam 10 % 10 % 30 % 50 % 2 Feedback for evaluation In order to improve the teaching and learning quality for this course, the following feedback mechanisms are implemented. Feedback To whom Where When Qualitative feedback from Tutors and/or teacher During lecture and Throughout students through informal outside class the term Lecture room End of the interaction Course evaluation Teacher and department term Visiting examiner report University, department Overseas and teacher Reflection of teacher Teacher and tutors (including evidence from End of the term All learning Throughout activities the term Department End of the assessment) Curriculum review Related teachers and Curriculum & Teaching term Committee Recommended Readings General References Barbar, G.M. Elementary Statistics for Geographers. N.Y.: Guilford, 1988. Burt, J.E. and Barber, G.M. Elementary Statistics for Geographers. N.Y.: Guilford, 1996. Chao, L.L., Statistics, Methods and Analyses. Tokyo; McGraw-Hill, 1974. Clark, W.A.V. & P.L. Hosking, Statistical Methods for Geographers. Singapore: Johny Wiley & Sons, 1986. Clelland, R.C., J.S. deCani, & F.E. Brown, Basic Statistics with Business Applications. N.Y.: John Wiley & Sons, 1973. Daniel, W.W., Applied Nonparametric Statistics. Boston: Houghton, 1978. Draper, N.R., and H. Smith, Applied Regression Analysis. N.Y.: John Wiley, 1966. Dixon, C. &B. Leach. Sampling Methods for Geographical Research. CATMOG, No. 17. Ferguson, R., Linear Regression in Geography. CATMOG, No. 15. Hammond, R. & P.S. McCullagh, Quantitative Techniques in Geography. London. Johnston, R.J., Multivariate Statistical Analysis in Geography. London: Longman, 1978. King, L.J., Statistical Analysis in Geography. N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1969. 3 Larson, H.J., Introduction to Probability Theory and Statistical Inference. N.Y.: John Wiley, 1974. Maxwell, A.E., Multivariate Analysis in Behavioral Research. London: Chapman and Hall, 1977. Mendenhall, W., Introduction to Probability and Statistics. Mass.: Duxburg, 1979. Spiegel, M.R. Theory and Problems of Probability and Statistics. Schaum’s Outline Series. Singapore: McGraw Hill, 1980. Williams, R.B.G. Introduction to Statistics for Geographers and Earth Scientists. London: Macmillan, 1986. Specific References: Key: R=reference A=application M=methodology Introduction and History R Barber, G.M. Elementary Statistics for Geographers. N.Y.: Guilford, 1988. (Ch.1) R Carrison, W.L., “Applicability of Statistical Inferences to Geographical Research” Geographical Review, 46, pp. 427-29, 1956. A Lo, C.P., “Some Aspects of Statistical Geography, “ The Geography Bulletin, No. 8. pp. R 7-12, 1967. R 樓恩德, 『統計方法與地理學』 The Geography Bulletin, No.12, pp. 64-73, 1971. Geographic Data and Description R Burt, James E. and Barber, Gerald M., 1996. Elementary Statistics for Geographers, Section 1.3, 1.4, 2.1-2.3. New York: The Guilford Press. (G70.3. B.37 1996) R. McGrew J.C. and Monroe C.B., 1993. An Introduction to Statistical Problem Solving in Geography, Section 3.1 & 3.2 Dubuque: Wm.C. Brown Publishers (G70.3 M4 1993) R Shaw G. and Wheeler D, 1994, Statistical Techniques in Geographical Analysis, 2nd e.d., ch. 3, 4.5-4.7. London; David Fulton Publishers (G70.3 S52 1994) Probability R Clelland, R.C., J.S. de Cani & F.E. Brown., Basic Statistics with Business Applications. New York: John Wiley & Sons. (esp. Ch. 1,3) (HA29 C63 1973) R Chao, L.L., Statistics: Methods and Analyses. Tokyo: McGraw-Hill. (exp. Ch.0,2) (HA29 C5425 1974) R Burt, James E. Barber, Gerald M., 1996, Elementary Statistics for Geographers, ch. 5. New York: The Guilford Press. (G70.3 B37 1996) R Shaw G. and Wheeler D. 1994, Statistical Techniques in Geographical Analysis, 2nd ed., Section 5.2, 5.3, 5.4. London: David Fulton Publishers (G70.3 S52 1994) 4 Describing Spatial Distributions R Abler R., Adams J.S. and Gould P. 1971, Spatial Organization: the Geographer’s View of the World, Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice hall (G112.A25) R Burt, James E. and Barber, Gerlad M., 1996, Elementary Statistics for Geographers, Section 3.1, 3.2, 3.4. New York: The Guilford Press. (G70.3.B37 1996) R Neft D, 1966, Statistical Analysis for Areal Distributions, Philadelphia: Regional Science Research Institute (G74.N45) R Shaw G. and Wheeler D, 1994, Statistical Techniques in Geographical Analysis, 2nd Ed, Section 13.1-13.6. M London: David Fulton Publishers (G70.3 S52 1994) Wong, David W.S., 1997, Spatial dependency of segregation indices, The Canadian Geographer, 41, 128-36 (G1.C288) Sampling R Barber, G.M., Elementary Statistics for Geographers. N.Y.: Guilford, 1988. (Ch.6) Testing of Hypothesis R Barber, G.M., Elementary Statistics for Geographers. N.Y.: Guilford, 1988. (Ch.7,8,9, pp.289-303) R Chao, L.L., Statistics: Methods and Analyses. Tokyo: McGraw-Hill. Ch.9, 14. (HA29 C5425, 1974) R Clark, W.A.V. & P.L. Hosking. Statistical Methods for Geographers. Singapore: John Wiley & Sons, Ch.7, “ Statistical Inference: Interval Estimation & Hypothesis Testing.” pp. 219-248, Ch.8.1, “Testing Differences of Summary Measures.” pp.249-261, 1986. R Larson, H.J., Introduction to Probability Theory and Statistical Inference. N.Y.:John M Wiley, Ch.10 (QA 273 L352, 1974). M Williams, R.B.G., Introduction to Statistics for Geographers and Earth Scientists. London: Macmillan, Ch. 11-15, p.123-217, 1986). (G70.3W54) Correlation and Regression R Barber, G.M., Elementary Statistics for Geographers. N.Y.: Guilford, 1988. (Ch.11, pp.367-377; Ch.12) R Ferguson, R., Linear Regression in Geography. CATMOG 15, 1977. (G70.23F47) R Clark, W.A.V. & P.L. Hosking, Statistical Methods for Geographers. Singapore: John Wiley & Sons, Ch.9.2, “The Simple Linear Regression”, pp. 291-331, 1986. A Marble, Spatial Analysis: A Reader in Statistical Geography. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, pp. 269-89, 1968. (GA9 B53) M Williams, R.B.G. Introduction to Statistics for Geographers and Earth Scientists. London: Macmillan, Ch.17. The Product-Moment Coefficient of Correlation.” pp.226-257, 1986 (G70.3 W54) 5 Multiple Regression M Draper, N.R. & H. Smith, Applied Regression Analysis. N.Y.: John Wiley, p.9, data: Parts 2.5-2.10, “Multiple Regression Mode”; 3.6-3.11, “Residuals and Durbin Watson Test”; 4.2, “regression equation”; Ch.6, 1966. (QA 278.2 D7 1981) =DS M Edwards, A.L. An Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation. Part 6.5-6.7, pp.61-65, and Ch.14, “Multiple Correlation and Regression”, pp. 150-169. M Ferguson, R., Linear Regression in Geography. Norwich, England: Geo Abstracts, CATMOG 15, 1977. (G70.23F47) A Greenwood, M.J., “A Regression Analysis of Migration to Urban Areas of A Less- M Johnston, R.J., Multivariate Statistical Analysis in Geography. London: Longman. “Assumptions of Multiple Regression”, pp. 38-45; Ch.3, “Multiple Correlation and Regression”, pp.60-68, 1978. (G70.3J65) M Maxwell, A.E., Multivariate Analysis in Behavioral Research. London: Chapman & Hall. Ch.7, “Multiple Linear Regression”, (esp. pp.70-73, 1977). (BF39M36) M Yeates, M., An Introduction to Quantitative Analysis in Human Geography. Ch.5, “Multiple Regression”. 1974. (HF1025.Y4 1974) M Thordike, R.M. Correctional Procedures for Research. N.Y.: Gardner Press. Ch.5, “Part and Partial Correlation”, pp.125-137, Ch.6, “Multiple Regression”, pp.139-173, 1978. (QA278.2T48. 1978) M Williams, R.B.G. Intermediate Statistics for Geographers and Earth Scientists. London: Macmillan, Ch.27, “The Effects of Major Violations of the Assumptions of the Linear Regression Model,” pp. 480-530; Ch.29, “Curvilinear Regression,” pp. 554-595; Ch.30, “Multiple Linear Regression and Correlation,” pp. 596-629, 1986. (G70.3W5) Required Readings T Chakravorty, Sanjoy, 1996, A measurement of spatial disparity: the case of income inequality, Urban Studies, 33, 1671-86 (HT 103.U7) T Plane, David A, 1997, Measuring spatial focusing in a migration system, Demography, 34, A251-62 (HB881.A1D53) T Alexander, J.W., and J.B.Lindberg. “Measurements of Manufacturing: Coefficients of Correlation,” Journal of Regional Science, 3(1), pp. 71-81, 1961. T Knos, D.S., “The Distribution of Land Values in Topeka, Kansas.” In B.J.L. Berry & D.F. T Clark, W.A.V. & P.L. Hosking, Statistical Methods for Geographers. Singapore: John Wiley & Sons, Ch.11, “Issues in the Application of General Linear Model”, pp. 365-410; Ch.12 “Extensions of Multivariate Linear Regression Methods”, pp.413-433, 1986. T Developed Country: The Case of India”, Journal of Regional Science, 11(2), pp. 253-262, 1971. T Hauser, D.P., “Some Problems in the Use of Stepwise Regression Techniques in Geographical Research”, The Canadian Geographer, 18(2), pp. 148-158, 1974. 6