Math 1342 Test #3 Review Chapters 9 and 10 Concepts to know in Chapter 9: Compute a point estimate Construct a Confidence Interval Interpret a Confidence Interval Margin of Error Sample Size Concepts to know in Chapter 10: 1. State the Claim in English 2. Determine the null and alternative Hypotheses 3. State the Level of significance 4. Find the Critical Value 5. Draw the Picture 6. Find the Test Statistic 7. Find the P-value 8. Make a Decision 9. State the Conclusion Summary of Major Concepts for Chapters 9 and 10 p̂ x n z Sample Size Estimate for Proportions: n p̂q̂ 2 E Confidence Interval for µ: Confidence Interval for p: T-Interval 1-PropZInt Confidence Interval for 2 : Lower bound = 2 z if a p̂ is known and n 0.25 2 E (n 1)s 2 2 2 Test Statistics: Means: T-Test Proportions: 1-PropZTest (n 1)s 2 SD/Variance: 2 2 Upper bound = (n 1)s 2 2 1 2 2 otherwise Math 1342 Test #3 Review Chapters 9 & 10 1. A simple random sample of size n = 25 is drawn from a population that is normally distributed. The sample variance is found to be s2 = 3.97. Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the population standard deviation. 2. A simple random sample of size n = 20 is drawn from a population that is normally distributed. The sample variance is found to be 49.3. Determine whether the population variance is less than 95 at the =0.1 level of significance. 3. A simple random sample of size n = 320 adults was asked their favorite ice cream flavor. Of the 320 individuals surveyed, 85 responded that they preferred mint chocolate chip. Do less than 25% of adults prefer mint chocolate chip ice cream? Use the =0.01 level of significance. 4. A simple random sample of size n = 14 is drawn from a population that is normally distributed. The sample mean is found to be 60 with a sample standard deviation of 20. Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the population mean. 5. In October 1945, the Gallup organization asked 1,487 randomly sampled Americans, “Do you think we can develop a way to protect ourselves from atomic bombs in case other countries tried to use them against us?” with 788 responding yes. Did a majority of Americans feel the United States could develop a way to protect itself from atomic bombs in 1945? Use the =0.05 level of significance. 6. Fifty rounds of a new type of ammunition were fired from a test weapon, and the muzzle velocity of the projectile was measured. The sample had a mean muzzle velocity of 863 meters per second and a standard deviation of 2.7 meters per second. Construct and interpret a 99% confidence interval for the mean muzzle velocity. 7. According to the Insurance Information Institute, the mean expenditure for auto insurance in the United States was $774 in 2002. An insurance sales person believes that mean expenditure for auto insurance is different now. He obtains a random sample of 35 auto insurance policies and determines the mean expenditure to be $735 with a standard deviation of $48.31. Is there enough evidence to conclude that the mean expenditure for auto insurance is different from the 2002 amount at the =0.01 level of significance? 8. A pharmaceutical company manufactures a 200-milligram (mg) pain reliever. Company specifications require that the standard deviation of the amount of the active ingredient must not exceed 5 mg. The quality-control manager selects a random sample of 30 tablets from a certain batch and finds that the sample standard deviation is 5.9 mg. Assume that the amount of the active ingredient is normally distributed. Determine whether the standard deviation of the amount of the active ingredient is greater than 5 mg at the =0.05 level of significance. 9. In a February 2007 Harris Poll, 881 of 1,013 randomly selected adults said that they always wear seat belts. Construct and interpret a 98% confidence interval for the proportion of adults who always wear seat belts. Express the confidence interval in the form of p̂ ± E. 10. With a previous contractor, the mean time to replace a streetlight was 3.2 days. A city councilwoman thinks that the new contractor is not getting the streetlights replaced as quickly. She selects a random sample of 12 streetlight service calls and obtains the following times to replacement (in days). Is there enough evidence to support the councilwoman’s belief at the =0.05 level of significance? 6.2 7.1 5.4 5.5 7.5 2.6 4.3 2.9 3.7 0.7 5.6 1.7 11. A city councilwoman selects a random sample of 12 streetlight service calls and obtains the following times to replacement (in days). Construct and interpret a 98% confidence interval for the mean amount of time for replacement of streetlights. 6.2 4.3 7.1 2.9 5.4 3.7 5.5 0.7 7.5 5.6 2.6 1.7 12. A simple random sample of size n = 320 adults was asked their favorite ice cream flavor. Of the 320 individuals surveyed, 85 responded that they preferred mint chocolate chip. State p̂ . Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the true percentage of all adults that have high blood pressure. 13. A school administrator wishes to estimate the proportion of high school seniors who are planning to go to college after graduation. How many students must the administrator sample to be within 2.5 percentage points of the true proportion with 96% confidence? 14. In a previous study, it was reported that 68% of a local town’s high school seniors planned to go to college after graduation. A school administrator needs an updated estimate of the proportion of high school seniors who are planning to go to college after graduation. How many students must the administrator sample to be within 2.5 percentage points of the true proportion with 96% confidence? Math 1342 Answers Test #3 Review 1. s2 = 3.97 n = 25 df = 24 , 95% CI Chapters 9 & 10 = .05 X2 = 12.401 and 39.364 (from chi-square table) (1.556, 2.772) We are 95% confident that the population standard deviation is between 1.556 and 2.772. 2. Claim: The population variance is less than 95. Hypothesis: H0: H1: 2 = 95 < 95 2 _________________ Level of significance: ts =0.1 11.651 Critical Value: X2 = 11.651 (from chi-square table, df = 19) Test Statistic: 9.86 ts = 19(49.3) 95 Decision: Reject H0 Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence to claim that the population variance is less than 95. 3. Claim: Less than 25% of adults prefer mint chocolate chip ice cream. Hypothesis: H0: = .25 H1: < .25 Level of significance: =0.01 Critical Value: z = -2.33 Calculator: z = invNorm(.01) Test Statistic: 0.645 Calculator: 1-PropZTest x = 85 n = 320 P-value: .7407 Calculator: 1-PropZTest Decision: Do Not Reject H0 _______ ts______ -2.33 ts is NOT in the rejection region; p > Conclusion: There is NOT sufficient evidence to conclude that less than 25% of adults prefer mint chocolate chip ice cream. 4.(50.534, 69.466) Calculator: TInterval We are 90% confident that the population mean is between 50.534 and 69.466. 5. n = 1487, x = 788, p̂ = 788/1487 = 0.53 Claim: A majority of Americans feel the US could develop a way to protect itself. Hypothesis: H0: = .5 H1: > .5 Level of significance: =0.05 ______________ Critical Value: z = 1.645 Calculator: z = invNorm(.05) Test Statistic: 2.31 Calculator: 1-PropZTest P-value: .01 Calculator: 1-PropZTest Decision: Reject H0 ts is in the rejection region; p < 1.645 ts = 2.31 Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the majority of Americans feel that the US could develop a way to protect itself. 6. (861.98, 864.02) Calculator: TInterval Interpretation: If many different samples of size 50 were selected and, based on each sample, a confidence interval were constructed, in the long run 99% of the confidence intervals would contain the true value of µ. 7. Claim: The mean expenditure for auto insurance is different than $774. Hypothesis: H0: = 774 H1: ≠ 774 Level of significance: =0.01 Critical Value: t = ±2.728 (from t-table, df = 34) Test Statistic: -4.776 Calculator: T-Test P-value: .00003 Calculator: T-Test Decision: Reject H0 ts -2.728 2.728 ts is in the rejection region [ts < cv]; p < Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean expenditure for auto insurance is different than $774. 8. Claim: The standard deviation of the amount of the active ingredient is greater than 5 mg. Hypothesis: H0: = 5 H1: > 5 Level of significance: Critical Value: X2 =0.05 ts 42.557 = 42.557 (from chi-square table, df = 29) ts = 29(5.92) 52 Decision: Do Not Reject H0 Test Statistic: 40.38 No p-value ts is NOT in the rejection region Conclusion: There is Not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the standard deviation of the amount of the active ingredient is greater than 5 mg. 8. (.845, .894) p̂ ± E: Calculator: 1-PropZInt 0.894 0.845 ± 2 0.894 0.845 = 0.8695 ± 0.0245 2 Interpretation: If many different samples of size 1,013 were selected and, based on each sample, a confidence interval were constructed, in the long run 98% of the confidence intervals would contain the true value of p. 10. Claim: Streetlights are not getting replaced as quickly as 3.2 days. Hypothesis: H0: = 3.2 H1: > 3.2 Level of significance: =0.05 Critical Value: t = 1.796 (from the t-table, df = 11) _____________ 1.796 Test Statistic: 1.989 Calculator: T-Test P-value: .0361 Calculator: T-Test Decision: Reject H0 ts is in the rejection region [ts > cv]; p < ts = 1.989 Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence to support the claim. Based on the evidence, it can be concluded that streetlights are not getting replaced as quickly as 3.2 days. 11. (2.748, 6.1186) Calculator: TInterval We are 98% confident that the true mean amount of time for replacement of streetlights is between 2.748 and 6.1186 days. 12. (0.2172, 0.3140) 21.72% < p < 31.4% Calculator: 1-PropZInt We are 95% confident that the true percentage of all adults that have high blood pressure is between 21.72% and 31.4%. 13. = 0.04 2 = 0.02 z / 2 = 2.05 E = 2.5% = 0.025 2 2.05 n = .25 = 1681 0.025 14. = 0.04 = 0.02 z / 2 = 2.05 E = 2.5% = 0.025 2 2 2.05 n = 0.68∙0.32 = 1463.1424 round up 0.025 n = 1464 p̂ = 0.68 q̂ = 1 – 0.68 = 0.32