Multi-lateral Sponsored Regional Swap Facility Outline of Proposed Concept: Apart from convertibility and transfer risk, one of the major issues facing emerging market issuers is currency exchange rate volatility and depreciation. Due to limitations imposed by the ability to raise capital in the local markets, lack of liquidity, size of the market, availability of long term capital, etc. issuers frequently need to rely on the international capital markets and foreign currency denominated debt. As the projects and/or companies typically generate local currency revenues they have inherent asset/liability mismatches which they need to resolve. However, in the majority of cases, derivative markets are not developed sufficiently to allow the issuers of foreign currency denominated debt to hedge their exposures via the local markets. In addition, the international providers of hedging mechanisms (major financial institutions such as Citibank, JP Morgan Chase, Deutsche Bank, etc.) are often unwilling to enter into transactions due to country risk limits, credit restrictions, political/currency risk, size and tenor of the transactions, counter party risks, etc. To address these and other issues this proposal calls for the establishment of a Special Purpose Vehicle (“SPV”), or Multi-lateral Sponsored Regional Swap Facility (“MSRSF”) analogous to the SPV’s created by Investment Banks such as Goldman Sachs Financial Products, Lehman Brother Financial Products, Salomon Swapco, and others. These SPV’s were established for the sole purpose of intermediating a wide variety of derivative products such as interest rate and currency swaps and options. The proposed MSRSF would be established as a Special Purpose Vehicle sponsored and “owned” by the Multi-lateral community such as the World Bank (or IFC), Inter American Development Bank, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (“EBRD”). In addition, regional development banks would be the key sponsors and “owners”, such as CAF, Bladex, and CABEI in the case of a Latin American sponsored Swap Facility. Similar regional SPV’s could be established in Asia, Middle East and Africa, as well as Eastern Europe. Proposed Key considerations for the MSRSF are: Legal Risks: The SPV should be established as a separate legal entity, bankruptcy remote and subject to preferably UK or US law. Financial Risks: Capital for the SPV would come from equity injections by the sponsors (owners) and contingent capital and access to liquidity lines from the parents. In addition, the SPV will need to monitor closely its leverage of existing capital and its credit exposure to maintain a high investment grade rating. Agreements with the owners to enter into offsetting transactions to mitigate the risks should be considered and analyzed. To what degree existing preferential creditor status of the sponsors could be transferred upon the facility would need to be explored, however, if applicable would serve to enhance the functionality of the facility and reduce financial risk. Operating Risks: To ensure that the operating risks are minimized, a strong management board will need to be created and clear operational guidelines will need to be established. Through a transfer of existing experienced personnel from the sponsors these risks can be controlled and mitigated. Product Lines: The facility should focus on a narrow product array which addresses the key hurdles faced in the region to attract foreign capital and risks associate therewith for the local market participants. It is the author’s recommendation that products offered by the MSRSF be interest and currency swaps and related derivates. The purpose of the facility is to provide for risk mitigation in asset/liability mismatches arising from local vs. foreign currency issues. Counterparty Risks: In order to minimize the counterparty risks and to build on the experience of the owners/operators of the facility, it is proposed that the MSRSF would act as a counterparty to regional sovereigns, local Governments, and local/regional financial institutions. The local financial institutions are best equipped and have the credit experience and knowledge to intermediate for the local and or regional corporations. The facility would provide those financial institutions with the ability to lay of the interest and currency risk, but not the credit risks of the financial institutions’ counterparties. In turn, the MSRSF would look to enter into offsetting currency and interest rate as well as credit derivative transactions with the owner institutions, international financial institutions or regional sovereigns. Benefits: Ability to hedge cross currency and interest rate exposures which are a key deterrent for foreign capital to enter the local markets. Potential to address tenor extensions by providing local financial institutions with the ability to hedge assets and liabilities. Potential for intermediating between generators of hard currency revenues (with local currency liabilities) and local currency generators (with foreign currency liabilities). A pooling of resources and a coordinated approach by the Multilaterals for the region. Channeling of technical assistance to further the development of the local capital markets. Attract additional sources of funding from the international financial community which might otherwise be restricted due to country risk exposures (i.e. currency risk due to perceived government risks). Obstacles: Clearly there are a large number of obstacles to overcome, not withstanding the “competitive nature” of the Multi-lateral community itself. Questions that come to mind are (and these are by no means all inclusive): How to enlist a Regional Multi-lateral as the champion of the Facility? How to coordinate and meet the individual Multi-lateral objectives as well their charter mandates within the context of the facility? How to staff the facility with experienced people from the region or with Multi-lateral personnel? Should a Regional Multi-lateral, in the case of a Latin American Facility, such as CAF be the main partner which would coordinate the involvement and resources of the facility? Would they be prepared to assume this role and provide the necessary resources and management? Would Governmental agencies need to be involved, such as the US treasury, to provide the impetus needed? Would the IMF support and endorse this type of facility? Especially if Sovereigns use the facility to manage their debt, and or support the facility’s activities by acting as counterparties to currency swap transactions? What role can and should domestic financial institutions play in the initial phase of the facility and should they be allowed to take equity stakes in the facility? Can undeveloped local markets and lack of appropriate local hedging instruments and government debt markets/instruments and yield curves be overcome? Next Steps for implementation: Discussion with Multi-laterals on a coordinated approach to creating a Special Purpose Vehicle channeling their combined efforts for a region Lobbying Multi-laterals as well as IMF (and possible US Treasury) to provide support for the concept and refine and define proposed structure as well as strategy Stress developmental impact of facility on local/regional capital markets and how existing Multi-lateral sponsored technical assistance projects targeted to capital market developments can be tied to the facility Stress the potential for attracting foreign direct investments by providing infrastructure as well as project capital raising activities ability to hedge currency-asset/liability mismatches Develop clear understanding of scope of the products and services the proposed facility can deliver (should the facility only provide political risk guarantees for swap transactions, or should it intermediate between International Financial Institutions and the end users of Swaps –both pure interest rate as well as cross currency swaps?) Provide the regional/local financial market participants (banks, investment banks, etc.) ability to assume greater responsibility and ownership of the facility over time (exit strategy for Multi-laterals?) Discuss and develop structure to meet rating agency criteria for investment grade ratings. Additional Steps to be explored and addressed: Feasibility to replicate ADB transaction on a larger scale and or in more countries, i.e. Multilateral Swap with host Governments to raise local currency for domestic on-lending (Local Currency swap mechanism) Domestic regulatory environment and issues which will need to be addressed to encourage and foster longer term domestic capital markets Are domestic resources within the investment community able to invest in project risk, ie. Pension plans, mutual funds, retirement funds, insurance companies? Encourage and assist local financial institutions to actively intermediate swap transactions between domestic companies which complement each other through their generation of foreign currency receivables with those of foreign currency liabilities. How could multilateral or international financial institutions aid in the further development of this market? Odo Habeck OGH Advisors October 2004