The role of the Oncotype DX® assay in breast cancer management Objectives • Brief overview of the Oncotype DX® assay and reports • Review assay development strategy and supporting studies – Technical feasibility studies – Gene discovery and refinement studies – Analytical validation studies • Review clinical validation studies in women with breast cancer – Prognostic studies – Predictive studies • Discuss future development plans 2 Case study presentation • A 55-year-old post-menopausal woman presents with an infiltrating ductal carcinoma – – – – – Tumor size 1.0 cm ER/PR IHC positive HER2 IHC negative Sentinel lymph node negative Excellent overall health How should this patient be evaluated for treatment? What is her risk of disease recurrence? How likely is she to benefit from hormonal or chemotherapy? 3 Breast cancer treatment in the United States (2009) • Approximately 110,000 women with ER+, lymph node-negative breast cancer are diagnosed annually in the United States – This represents ~50% of newly diagnosed patients today – Many women are offered chemotherapy, but all do not receive substantial benefit Better identification of disease markers is needed to help make therapeutic decisions 4 Prognostic & predictive markers utilized in breast cancer management Prognostic (recurrence risk) Predictive (treatment benefit) • • • • • • • • • ER/PR status • HER2 neu status • Oncotype DX® test Axillary node status Histologic type/grade Tumor size Patient age Lymphatic/Vascular invasion ER/PR status HER2 neu status Oncotype DX® test These markers can be used to estimate the risk of disease recurrence Cianfrocca and Goldstein. Oncologist. 2004;9(6):606-616; Lonning PE. Ann Oncol. 2007;18(suppl 8):viii3-viii7. These markers can be used to predict treatment benefit 5 The Oncotype DX® assay • Quantitatively predicts the likelihood of breast cancer recurrence in women with newly diagnosed, early stage, ER+ invasive breast cancer • Assesses the likely benefit from both hormonal therapy and chemotherapy • Is recommended by both ASCO and NCCN clinical practice guidelines Harris L, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2007;33(25):5287-5312. NCCN, National Comprehensive Cancer Network Adapted from NCCN Practice Guidelines in Oncology – v.1.2010 6 Oncotype DX® Report Samples • Oncotype DX report provides valuable information on: – Clinical prognosis – Predicted chemotherapy benefit – Quantitative data on ER / PR / HER2 • Node positive report contains an additional page with prognosis and predicted chemo benefit information specific to node-positive patients 7 Oncotype DX® Technology Development Overview Technical Feasibility 2001 Gene Discovery & Refinement 2002 Analytical Validation 2002 Clinical Validation (prognostic) 2004 Clinical Validation (predictive) 2005 8 Oncotype DX® Technology Development Overview Technical Feasibility Gene Discovery & Refinement Analytical Validation Clinical Validation (prognostic) Clinical Validation (predictive) 9 Purpose of technical feasibility studies Technical feasibility studies were designed to assess: • RNA yield and the quality of RNA after extraction from FPET tissues • Gene expression differences and similarities between whole section and enriched tumor tissue sections – To establish criteria for manual microdissection • Gene expression heterogeneity within breast tumor tissues – Assess within block and between block gene expression heterogeneity • Selection of reference genes (important for normalization of pre-analytical factors) – Delay to fixation, duration of fixation, fixative 10 Importance of manual microdissection Example from study of 16 breast cancer blocks for ER expression 14 • Most cases show minimal differences in ER expression between WS and ET ER Whole Section ER 12 • Some tumors contain significant amounts of nontumor elements (e.g., biopsy cavities, skin, smooth muscle) which require manual microdissection r = 0.73, p = 0.001 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 ER Enriched Tumor ER = estrogen receptor Differences in non-tumor tissue may impact single gene assessment • Thus, if < 50% invasive carcinoma, manual microdissection is always performed 11 Evaluation of tumor gene expression heterogeneity Example of the differences in gene expression within & among 3 FPET blocks from two patients 3 Blocks from spatially distinct tumor regions Block 1 2 ER/PR/HER2 IHC Status H&E ER+ PR+ HER2– 3 • The three FPET blocks were step sectioned at five different levels • Quantitative RT-PCR was performed on all 15 samples Poster presented at: United States-Canadian Academy of Pathology 93rd Annual Meeting; March, 2004; Vancouver, British Columbia. 12 Importance of standardized quantitative measurement using RT-PCR: Expression by RT-PCR (relative to reference genes) Expression by RT-PCR (relative to reference genes) minimal gene expression heterogeneity within & among tumor blocks Reproducibility • Within block expression: standard deviation < 0.5 normalized expression units • Among block expression: standard deviation < 1.0 normalized expression units Poster presented at: United States-Canadian Academy of Pathology 93rd Annual Meeting; March, 2004; Vancouver, British Columbia. 13 Oncotype DX® Technology Development Overview Technical Feasibility Gene Discovery & Refinement Analytical Validation Clinical Validation (prognostic) Clinical Validation (predictive) 14 Oncotype DX® gene panel was developed from clinical trial evidence • 250 cancer-related genes were selected • Genes were analyzed for expression and relapse-free interval correlations across 3 independent studies of 447 breast cancer patients N Node status ER status Treatment NSABP B-20, Pittsburgh, PA 233 N– ER+ Tamoxifen (100%) Rush University, Chicago, IL 78 ≥ 10 positive nodes ER+/– Tamoxifen (54%) Chemotherapy (80%) Providence St. Joseph’s Hospital, Burbank, CA 136 N+/– ER+/– Tamoxifen (41%) Chemotherapy (39%) Study site From these studies, 21 genes were selected Paik et al. SABCS 2003. Abstract #16. Cobleigh et al. Clin Cancer Res. 2005;11(24 Pt 1):8623-8631. Esteban et al. Proc ASCO 2003. Abstract #3416. 15 Oncotype DX® Recurrence Score® result: calculated from 21 different genes 16 CANCER RELATED GENES Estrogen Proliferation HER2 Invasion Others ER PR Bcl2 SCUBE2 Ki-67 STK15 Survivin Cyclin B1 MYBL2 GRB7 HER2 Stromelysin 3 Cathepsin L2 CD68 GSTM1 BAG1 5 REFERENCE GENES Beta-actin GAPDH RPLPO GUS TFRC 16 Paik et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. Oncotype DX® Recurrence Score® result calculation and risk categories Recurrence Score = + 0.47 × HER2 Group Score – 0.34 × Estrogen Group Score + 1.04 × Proliferation Group Score + 0.10 × Invasion Group Score + 0.05 × CD68 – 0.08 × GSTM1 – 0.07 × BAG1 Risk group Recurrence Score Low risk < 18 Intermediate risk 18 - 30 High risk ≥ 31 17 Paik et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. The Oncotype DX® Recurrence Score® result is a continuous predictor of recurrence risk Distant recurrence at 10 years What is the 10-year probability of distant recurrence LOWER RISK HIGHER RISK for a patient with a Recurrence Score of 30? 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% Recurrence Score 30 = 20% risk of distant recurrence at 10 years 10% 5% 0% 0 5 Dotted lines represent 95% CI 10 15 20 25 30 Recurrence Score 35 40 45 50 18 Oncotype DX® Technology Development Overview Technical Feasibility Gene Discovery & Refinement Analytical Validation Clinical Validation (prognostic) Clinical Validation (predictive) 19 The Oncotype DX® assay is analytically validated Analytical validation is the assessment of assay performance characteristics and the optimal conditions to generate accuracy, precision and reproducibility Elements of analytic validation • Analytical sensitivity (limits of detection and quantitation) • Assay precision and linear dynamic range • Analytical reproducibility • PCR amplification efficiency • Sample and reagent stability • Reagent calibration • Instrument validation and calibration 20 Chau CH, et al. Clin Cancer Res. 2008;14(19):5967-5976. Oncotype DX® uses RT-PCR technology Reporter Forward Primer R Probe Quencher Q Polymerization Reverse Primer R Q Strand displacement and cleavage of probe • RT-PCR provides > 65,000fold range of measurement – Maximizes ability to discriminate the full range of gene expression differences among individual samples • RT-PCR reactions can be repeated with high quantitative precision – Provides required reliability for individualized reporting Q R Polymerization completion and signal detection • RT-PCR works well with RNA from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue 21 Cronin M, et al. Am J Pathol. 2004;164:35-42. Oncotype DX® assay process • Standardized RT-PCR – Optimized for the small RNA fragments extracted from fixed paraffin embedded tissue (FPET) – Optimized to be robust with regard to sources of preanalytic variability such as • • • • Delay to fixation Duration of fixation Fixative type Sample age 22 Cronin et al. Am J Pathol. 2004;164:35-42 Normalization accounts for all sources of pre-analytic variability Hollandes • Delays to fixation, duration of fixation, different fixatives and sample age can affect RNA quality • Reference normalization compensates for these differences in sample processing and sample age Formalin 23 Oncotype DX® assay process steps 1) PRE-ANALYTIC – Pathology review of the FPET sample by a Board Certified Anatomic Pathologist with Breast Expertise – Determine whether manual microdissection for tumor enrichment is required (~40% of submissions are microdissected for tumor enrichment) 2) ANALYTIC – – – – – RNA extraction and quantitation (RiboGreen® method) qPCR test for residual genomic DNA Reverse transcription TaqMan PCR Data quality control 3) POST-ANALYTIC – Calculation of Recurrence Score® result – Report preparation and approval 24 Pre-analytic processing: all FPET blocks are bar-coded before entering histology 25 Pre-analytic processing: all tumors assessed by surgical pathologists with breast expertise Pathology review to assess: • Is tumor present? • Is there sufficient tumor? 26 Patient samples are barcode tracked from submission to report 27 Automation is central to laboratory processes 28 Patient sample tracking: LIMS bar-coding integrates reagents and robots for tracking and process control Patient FPET sample RNA extraction 96-well 96-well Plate 96-well Plate 96-well Plate Plate SARP GEMTools Primers Pool Material manager Reverse primer pool QPCR master mix Material manager Oligo plate assembly 96-well plate Probe Reverse transcription cDNA plates 384-well plate QPCR reaction plate Assay detection system Tecan Robotics Plate layout template and assembly for primers and samples 29 Patient report delivery: automated output and delivery Print FedEx Report distribution service E-mail Fax Web PDF report w/ electronic signature approval 30 Oncotype DX® Technology Development Overview Technical Feasibility Gene Discovery & Refinement Analytical Validation Clinical Validation (prognostic) Clinical Validation (predictive) 31 Clinical validation of Oncotype DX® breast cancer assay in node-negative disease Oncotype DX® clinical validation: NSABP B-14 • Objective: Prospectively validate Recurrence Score® result as predictor of distant recurrence in nodenegative, ER+ patients Placebo—not eligible Randomized Registered Tamoxifen—eligible Tamoxifen—eligible • Multicenter study with prespecified 21-gene assay, algorithm, endpoints, analysis plan 33 Paik S, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. Oncotype DX® clinical validation: Proportion without distant recurrence NSABP B-14, Distant Recurrence Distant recurrence over time 100% 10-Year rate of recurrence = 6.8%* 90% 95% CI: 4.0%, 9.6% 80% 10-Year rate of recurrence = 14.3% 70% 95% CI: 8.3%, 20.3% 60% 10-Year rate of recurrence = 30.5%* 95% CI: 23.6%, 37.4% 50% 40% All Patients, n = 668 30% RS < 18, n = 338 20% RS 18-30, n = 149 10% RS ≥ 31, n = 181 P < 0.001 0% 0 2 4 RS, Recurrence Score® result 6 8 10 12 16 Years *10-Year distant recurrence comparison between low- and high-risk groups: P < 0.001 Paik S, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. 14 34 Oncotype DX® assay NSABP B-14 subgroup analysis Oncotype DX® NSABP B-14: Recurrence Score® result subgroups by tumor grade All patients N = 668 Well 224 166 41 17 Moderate 296 139 80 77 All patients Low risk (RS < 18) Int risk (RS 18-30) High risk (RS ≥ 31) Poor RS, Recurrence Score result Paik S, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. 148 33 28 87 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% % Distant recurrence-free at 10 years 37 Oncotype DX® clinical validation: conclusions, NSABP B-14 • Oncotype DX® Recurrence Score® result is validated as a predictor of recurrence in node-negative, ER+ patients • Oncotype DX Recurrence Score performance exceeds standard measures (patient age, tumor size, and tumor grade) • Oncotype DX Recurrence Score result (based on tumor gene expression) more accurately quantifies the risk of distant recurrence than do the NCCN guidelines (based on patient age, tumor size, and tumor grade) 38 Paik et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. Oncotype DX® clinical validation: the Kaiser Permanente study Study design Matched case-control Study population (N = 4964) Kaiser Permanente patients < 75 years old in 14 Northern California hospitals diagnosed with nodenegative breast cancer between 1985-1994, no adjuvant chemotherapy Cases: Deaths from BC (n = 220) Controls: Randomly selected, matched on age, race, diagnosis year, KP facility, tamoxifen (n = 570) Data sources Cancer registry, medical records, archived diagnostic slides, and tumor blocks 39 Habel LA, et al. Breast Cancer Res. 2006;8(3):R25. The Kaiser Permanente study: risk of BC death at 10 years: ER+, Tam-treated patients (Recurrence Score® group) 10-Year absolute risk1 Kaiser 10-Year absolute risk1 NSABP B-14 Low 2.8% 3.1% Intermediate 10.7% 12.2% High 15.5% 27.0% Risk classification 1Based on methods by Langholz and Borgan, Biometrics 1997;53:767-774. • The Recurrence Score result has now been shown to be strongly associated with risk of breast cancer-specific mortality among nodenegative, ER+, Tam-treated patients participating in a clinical trial and among similar patients from the community setting. • Results from our study suggest that combining Recurrence Score result, tumor grade, and tumor size provides better risk classification than any one of these factors alone. 40 Habel LA, et al. Breast Cancer Res. 2006;8(3):R25. Oncotype DX® Technology Development Overview Technical Feasibility Gene Discovery & Refinement Analytical Validation Clinical Validation (prognostic) Clinical Validation (predictive) 41 Oncotype DX® clinical validation: NSABP B-20 • Objective: To determine the relationship between Recurrence Score® value and chemotherapy benefit in node-negative, ER+ patients Tam + MF Randomized Tam + CMF Tam • Multicenter study with prespecified 21-gene assay, algorithm, endpoints, analysis plan 42 Paik S, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:3726-3734. High Recurrence Score® result correlates with greater benefit from chemotherapy (NSABP B-20) Proportion without distant recurrence 1.0 0.9 PATIENTS WITH HIGH RS 28% absolute benefit from tamoxifen + chemotherapy 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 Tamoxifen + chemotherapy Tamoxifen 424 227 33 31 P = 0.02 RS < 18 Tamoxifen + chemotherapy Tamoxifen 218 135 8 4 P = 0.61 RS 18-30 Tamoxifen + chemotherapy Tamoxifen 89 45 9 4 P = 0.39 RS ≥ 31 Tamoxifen + chemotherapy Tamoxifen 117 47 13 18 0.3 0.1 0.0 0 Events All patients 0.4 0.2 N 2 RS, Recurrence Score result Paik S, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:3726-3734. 4 6 Years 8 10 4.4% absolute benefit from tamoxifen + chemotherapy P < 0.001 12 43 Recurrence Score® result can add prognostic discrimination not always provided by traditional prognostic factors • Age – 44% of patients < 40 years old had low Recurrence Score results (ie, there is a large fraction of younger patients for whom chemotherapy benefit may be minimal) • Tumor size – 46% of patients with large tumors (> 4 cm) had low Recurrence Score results – Some patients with small tumors (< 1 cm) had intermediate or high Recurrence Score results • Tumor grade – Assessment by local pathologists revealed that, even for poorly differentiated tumors, 36% of patients had low Recurrence Score result – Approximately 20% of poorly differentiated tumors still had a low Recurrence Score result 45 Paik S, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:3726-3734. NSABP B-20: Many younger patients have low Recurrence Score® results P=0.018 41% 24% 28% 19% 14% 21% 22% 21% 44% 55% 50% 60% N=63 N=226 N=166 N=196 46 Paik S, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:3726-3734. NSABP B-20: Many small tumors have Intermediate to High Recurrence Score® values P=0.001 Recurrence Score 100 80 60 40 20 16% 25% 30% 33% 20% 19% 23% 21% 64% 56% 46% 46% 0 N=110 ≤1 cm N=318 1.1 - 2 cm N=196 2.1 - 4 cm Clinical tumor size Paik S, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:3726-3734. N=24 >4 cm 47 NSABP B-20: Significant proportion of high-grade tumors have low Recurrence Score® values P<0.001 P<0.001 12% 22% 42% 5% 12% 61% 16% 22% 22% 12% 24% 19% 73% 56% 36% 83% 64% 19% N=77 N=339 N=163 N=119 N=340 N=190 48 Paik S, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:3726-3734. Tamoxifen benefit and the Oncotype DX® assay NSABP B-14 tamoxifen benefit study in node-negative, ER+ patients Placebo-eligible Randomized Tamoxifen-eligible Objective: determine whether the Oncotype DX assay provides information on 1) Prognosis (likelihood of recurrence) 2) Response to tamoxifen (change in likelihood of recurrence with tamoxifen) 3) Both 49 Paik S, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. B-14 overall benefit of tamoxifen Proportion without distant recurrence All patients (N = 645) 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 Placebo Tamoxifen 0.1 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 Years Paik S, et al. ASCO 2004; Abstract 510. 10 12 14 16 50 B-14 benefit of tamoxifen by Recurrence Score® risk category DISTANT RECURRENCE-FREE INTERVAL RS ≥31* RS 18-30 RS < 18 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 P = 0.039 0.6 P = 0.82 P = 0.02 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 N 171 142 Placebo Tamoxifen 0.0 N 85 69 Placebo Tamoxifen 0.2 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 10 Years 12 14 16 N 99 79 Placebo Tamoxifen 0.2 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Years 16 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Years Interaction P = 0.06 *Results should not be used to indicate that tamoxifen should not be given to the high-risk group RS, Recurrence Score result Paik et al. ASCO 2004; Abstract 510. 51 The Oncotype DX® assay identifies patients for whom tamoxifen alone may be appropriate therapy Recurrence Score® Result < 18 ≥ 31 18-30 NO SYSTEMIC TREATMENT Tamoxifen benefit Tamoxifen benefit TAMOXIFEN 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 10-Year absolute risk BC death (%) (95% CI) Paik S, et al. ASCO. 2005; Abstract 510. 40 52 The Oncotype DX® assay can predict benefit from chemotherapy and tamoxifen Recurrence Score® Result < 18 ≥ 31 18-30 TAMOXIFEN Chemotherapy benefit TAMOXIFEN + CHEMO 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 10-Year absolute risk BC death (%) (95% CI) Adapted from Paik S, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:3726. 40 53 ASCO guidelines on the use of tumor markers in breast cancer • Oncotype DX® testing can be used to determine prognosis in newly diagnosed patients with node-negative, estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer who will receive tamoxifen To predict risk of recurrence in patients considering treatment with tamoxifen To identify patients who are predicted to obtain the most therapeutic benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen and may not require adjuvant chemotherapy Patients with high Recurrence Score® result appear to achieve relatively more benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy (specifically CMF) than tamoxifen • Conclusions may not be generalizable to hormonal therapies other then tamoxifen or to other chemotherapy regimens 54 Harris L, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2007;33(25):5287-5312. NCCN guidelines include Oncotype DX® testing in the treatment-decision pathway for nodenegative and micrometastatic disease Hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative disease pT1, pT2, or pT3 and pN1mi • Tumor 0.6-1.0 cm, moderately or poorly differentiated, intermediate or high grade, or vascular invasion No test Consider Oncotype DX • Tumor > 1 cm with favorable or unfavorable pathologic features RS < 18 Adjuvant endocrine therapy ± adjuvant chemotherapy Adjuvant endocrine therapy RS 18-30 Adjuvant endocrine therapy ± adjuvant chemotherapy RS ≥ 31 Adjuvant endocrine therapy + adjuvant chemotherapy RS, Recurrence Score® result NCCN, National Comprehensive Cancer Network Adapted from NCCN Practice Guidelines in Oncology – v.1.2010. 55 Oncotype DX® testing in node-positive disease Oncotype DX® clinical validation in node-positive patients (ECOG trial 2197) ECOG TRIAL 2197 Operable breast cancer 0-3 positive nodes T.1cm if node negative N = 2885 eligible patients AC Doxorubicin 60 mg/m2 Cyclophosphamide 600 mg/m2 Every 3 weeks × 4 cycles AT Doxorubicin 60 mg/m2 Docetaxel 60 mg/m2 Every 3 weeks × 4 cycles Tamoxifen × 5 years If HR-positive (amended to allow Als) Plus RT if indicated Tamoxifen × 5 years If HR-positive (amended to allow Als) Plus RT if indicated 776 samples with genomic data, including Recurrence Score® results Paraffin blocks with cancer cells occupying < 5% of the section area excluded Manual micro-dissection RNA extraction • No difference between arms • Median follow-up 76 months • 96.8% reported follow-up until death or for at least 5 years 57 Goldstein LJ, et al. ASCO 2007. Abstract 526. Patients with 1-3 positive nodes and low Recurrence Score® result do well without chemotherapy* 5-Year event rates by nodal status & Recurrence Score result RS < 18 18-30 ≥ 31 Nodes RFI (%) DFS (%) OS (%) Negative 96 93 95 Positive 95 91 97 Negative 86 87 97 Positive 87 77 86 Negative 87 80 92 Positive 75 61 72 *Including micrometastases (pN1mi) • Low Recurrence Score results (< 18) in patients with 1-3 positive axillary nodes may eventually be used to select individuals for a short course of chemotherapy plus hormonal therapy • Elevated Recurrence Score results (≥ 18) may eventually be used to select individuals for participation in clinical trials evaluating novel treatment strategies or for more aggressive chemotherapy regimens RS, Recurrence Score result Goldstein LJ, et al. ASCO 2007. Abstract 526. 58 Oncotype DX® clinical validation in node-positive patients (SWOG 8814 sub-analysis) SWOG 8814 SUB ANALYSIS Postmenopausal, node-positive, ER-positive breast cancer N = 1477 Tamoxifen × 5 yrs n = 361 CAF × 6 + tamoxifen n = 550 CAF × 6 tamoxifen n = 566 Patients with samples (n = 666) RT-PCR obtained (n = 601) •Tamoxifen alone (n = 148) •CAF + T (n = 243) •CAF T (n = 219) Sample for primary analysis •148 + 219 = 367 (40% of parent trial) Superior disease-free survival and overall survival over 10 years 59 Albain KS, et al. Lancet Oncol. 2009; [Epub ahead of print]. Recurrence Score® result is prognostic for node-positive patients (tamoxifen arm) OS by risk group (tamoxifen-alone arm) DFS by risk group (tamoxifen-alone arm) 1.00 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.50 0.50 Stratified log-rank P = 0.017 at 10 years 0.25 Stratified log-rank P = 0.003 at 10 years 0.25 RS < 18 (n = 55) RS 18-30 (n = 46) RS ≥ 31 (n = 47) 0.00 RS < 18 (n = 55) RS 18-30 (n = 46) RS ≥ 31 (n = 47) 0.00 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 6 8 Years since registration Years since registration 10-Year DFS: 60%, 49%, 43% 10-Year OS: 77%, 68%, 51% RS, Recurrence Score result Albain KS, et al. Lancet Oncol. 2009; [Epub ahead of print]. 10 60 High Recurrence Score® result predictive of chemotherapy benefit in node-positive patients DFS BY TREATMENT & RS GROUP RS ≥ 31 RS 18-30 RS < 18 1.00 0.75 0.50 Stratified log-rank P = 0.97 at 10 years Stratified log-rank P = 0.033 at 10 years Stratified log-rank P = 0.48 at 10 years 0.25 CAF T (n = 91, 26 events) Tam (n = 55, 15 events) CAF T (n = 46, 22 events) Tam (n = 57, 20 events) CAF T (n = 47, 26 events) Tam (n = 71, 28 events) 0.00 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 Years since registration 2 4 Albain KS, et al. Lancet Oncol. 2009; [Epub ahead of print]. 8 Years since registration No benefit to CAF over time if low or intermediate RS RS, Recurrence Score result 6 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 Years since registration Strong benefit if high RS 61 Risk of Distant Recurrence Using Oncotype DX® Assay in Postmenopausal Primary Breast Cancer Patients Treated with Anastrozole or Tamoxifen: a TransATAC Study Dowsett M et al on behalf of the ATAC Trialists’ Group San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium. 2008; Abstract 53. Study overview ATAC study population (N = 9366) Tamoxifen Anastrozole Tamoxifen + Anastrozole (combination arm not examined) Primary Analysis: To determine whether Oncotype DX® assay significantly adds to a proportional hazards model for time to distant recurrence (age, tumor size, grade, treatment) in node-negative, HR+, patients with no adjuvant chemotherapy • Secondary analyses: – Determine whether the relationship between continuous Recurrence Score® result and time to distant recurrence differs by nodal status or treatment arm – Determine the relationship of predefined Recurrence Score groups with time to distant recurrence by nodal status and treatment arm – Evaluate whether Recurrence Score result adds to the Adjuvant! Online estimate of risk 63 Dowsett M, et al. SABCS 2008; abstract 53. Number of evaluable patients and distant events by nodal status Node negative Node positive Node unknown Total 890 363 55 1308 Adjuvant chemo –9 –55 –1 –65 HR negative –4 –0 –0 –4 Didn’t start T or A –5 –2 –1 –8 872 (71%) 306 (25%) 53 (4%) 1231 (100%) 72 74 6 152 All Evaluable patients Number of distant events Distributions of the clinical variables in the 1231 evaluable (non-N Am) patients were similar to those in the 2929 ATAC (non-N Am) patients who were not included in this study 64 Dowsett M, et al. SABCS 2008; abstract 53. Primary analysis: time to distant recurrence and Recurrence Score® value adjusted for clinical covariates (node-negative patients, both treatment arms) Variable HR (95% CI)* P value Recurrence Score / 50* 5.25 (2.84, 9.73) < 0.001 Tumor Size: > 2 vs ≤ 2 cm 2.78 (1.70, 4.57) < 0.001 Central grade Moderate vs Well Poor vs Well 0.270 1.70 (0.75, 3.86) 2.06 (0.82, 5.17) Multivariate analysis adjusted for treatment arm and patient age *Hazard Ratio for a 50-point increment in Recurrence Score value Multivariate analysis confirms that the Oncotype DX® Recurrence Score result as a continuous variable is a highly significant predictor of time to distant recurrence 65 Dowsett M, et al. SABCS 2008; abstract 53. Time to distant recurrence by Recurrence Score® group Node positive (n = 306) (both treatment arms) 1.0 96% 88% 0.9 0.8 75% Log-rank P < 0.001 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 N (%) Low 513 (59%) Int 229 (26%) High 130 (15%) 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 Events 20 24 28 5 6 7 8 Proportion distant recurrence-free Proportion distant recurrence-free Node negative (n = 872) (both treatment arms) 9 1.0 0.9 83% 0.8 Log-rank P < 0.001 0.7 72% 0.6 51% 0.5 0.4 0.3 N (%) Low 160 (52%) Int 94 (31%) High 52 (17%) 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 1 2 3 Years 4 Events 25 25 24 5 6 7 8 RS group HR* (95% CI) RS group HR* (95% CI) High vs Low 5.2 (2.7-10.1) High vs Low 2.7 (1.5-5.1) Int vs Low 2.5 (1.3-4.5) Int vs Low 1.8 (1.0-3.2) *Hazard ratio for RS group adjusted for tumor size, grade, age and treatment Dowsett M, et al. SABCS 2008; abstract 53. RS, Recurrence Score result 9 Years 66 Percent with distant recurrence at 9 years (node negative) No. of events 20 24 28 72 All patients, low RS (n = 513) All patients, int. RS (n = 229) All patients, high RS (n = 130) All patients (n = 872) Tamoxifen, low RS (n = 245) 8 12 21 Tamoxifen, int. RS (n = 117) Tamoxifen, high RS (n = 70) 41 All tamoxifen (n = 432) Anastrozole, low RS (n = 268) 12 Anastrozole, int. RS (n = 112) 12 7 31 Anastrozole, high RS (n = 60) All anastrozole (n = 440) 0 RS, Recurrence Score® result Dowsett et al., SABCS 2008, Abstract # 53 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Percent with distant recurrence at 9 years 67 Percent with distant recurrence at 9 years (node positive) No. of events 25 25 24 74 All patients, low RS (n = 160) All patients, int. RS (n = 94) All patients, high RS (n = 52) All patients (n = 306) Tamoxifen, low RS (n = 79) 11 13 11 Tamoxifen, int. RS (n = 47) Tamoxifen, high RS (n = 26) 35 All tamoxifen (n = 152) Anastrozole, low RS (n = 81) 14 Anastrozole, int. RS (n = 47) 12 13 29 Anastrozole, high RS (n = 26) All anastrozole (n = 154) 0 RS, Recurrence Score® result Dowsett et al., SABCS 2008, Abstract # 53 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Percent with distant recurrence at 9 years 68 90 100 ≥4 Positive nodes Mean 50 60 70 80 95% CI 30 40 1-3 Positive nodes 20 Node negative 0 10 9-Year risk of distant recurrence (%) Rate of distant recurrence increases with the number of positive nodes for all Recurrence Score® results 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Recurrence Score value Dowsett M, et al. SABCS 2008; abstract 53. 40 45 50 69 ATAC conclusions • Confirms performance of Oncotype DX® Recurrence Score® result in postmenopausal HR+ patients treated with tamoxifen in a large contemporary population • Demonstrates for the first time that the Oncotype DX Recurrence Score result is an independent predictor of distant recurrence in node negative and node positive HR+ patients treated with anastrozole • The established relationship between Oncotype DX Recurrence Score result and distant recurrence for tamoxifen may be applied for anastrozole with adjustment for the lower risk of distant recurrence with the aromatase inhibitor 70 Dowsett M, et al. SABCS 2008; abstract 53. Reproducible clinical validation essential in changing standard of care: more than 4000 patients studied in 12 trials Type No. Pts Nodal status Providence Exploratory 136 Neg Rush* Exploratory 78 Pos NSABP B-20 Exploratory 233 Neg NSABP B-14* Prospective 668 Neg MD Anderson* Prospective 149 Neg Prospective case-control 790 cases/controls Neg Prospective placebo vs Tam 645 Neg Exploratory 89 Neg/Pos NSABP B-20* Prospective Tam vs Tam+Chemo 651 Neg ECOG 2197* Exploratory and prospective 776 Neg/Pos SWOG 8814 Prospective Tam vs Tam+Chemo 367 Pos Prospective Tam vs AI 1231 Neg/Pos Study Kaiser Permanente* NSABP B-14 Milan* ATAC 71 *Published studies TAILORx study Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment • Primary objective is to determine whether adjuvant hormonal therapy is not inferior to adjuvant chemohormonal therapy for patients with a Recurrence Score® result 11-25 – Correlates with 10-20% risk of distance recurrence at 10 years • Potential implications – Reduce chemotherapy overtreatment in those likely to be treated with hormonal therapy alone – Reduce inadequate treatment by identifying individuals who derive great benefit from chemotherapy – Evaluate benefit of chemotherapy where uncertainty still exists about its utility 72 TAILORx schema Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment Recurrence Score® result ≤ 10 Hormone therapy registry Patients with node-negative, hormonepositive breast cancer Oncotype DX® assay Recurrence Score result 11-25* Randomize to either hormone therapy or chemotherapy + hormone therapy Register specimen banking Recurrence Score result > 25 Chemotherapy + hormone therapy *Primary study group: Recurrence Score result 11-25 correlates with a 10-20% risk of distance recurrence at 10 years (upper 95% CI) 73 Single-gene reporting Quantitative hormone receptor analysis Oncotype DX® assay also provides quantitative data for ER, PR, HER2 Provides additional insight into the biology of individual tumors ER score PR score HER2 score 75 Continuous measurement of ER/PR is reflective of tumor biology Overall PR range 1000-fold NSABP B-14 (N = 645) 12 ER+ PR+ ER– PR+ PR expression by RT-PCR (relative to reference genes; log 2) 11 10 9 8 7 6 ER+ range 200-fold 5 4 Overall ER range 3000-fold 3 2 ER– PR– 2 3 4 ER+ PR– 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ER expression by RT-PCR (relative to reference genes; log 2) Reproducibility of the assay has a standard deviation of less than 0.4 units Data on file compiled from Paik S, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. 76 Oncotype DX® clinical validation: NSABP B-14 • Objective: Prospectively validate Recurrence Score® result as predictor of distant recurrence in nodenegative, ER+ patients Placebo—not eligible Randomized Registered Tamoxifen—eligible Tamoxifen—eligible • Multicenter study with prespecified 21-gene assay, algorithm, endpoints, analysis plan 77 Paik S, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2817-2826. Quantitative ER expression is not strongly prognostic but is predictive of tamoxifen benefit in ER+ patients Proportion without distant recurrence 1.0 0.9 Large tamoxifen benefit in highest / mid-ER tertiles 0.8 Little tamoxifen benefit in lowest ER tertile 0.7 0.6 Quantitative ER expression in ER+, placebo-treated patients is not strongly prognostic (P = 0.54) 0.5 0.4 Placebo – highest ER tertile Placebo – mid ER tertile Placebo – lowest ER tertile Tamoxifen – highest ER tertile Tamoxifen – mid ER tertile Tamoxifen – lowest ER tertile 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 Years Baehner FL, et al. SABCS 2006. Abstract #510. 10 N 105 117 113 99 88 94 12 14 16 78 Quantitative PR expression is strongly prognostic in ER+, placebo-treated patients 1.0 P value = 0.002 0.9 0.8 DRFI 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 Placebo – highest ER tertile Placebo – mid-ER tertile Placebo – lowest ER tertile 0.1 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 Years Baehner FL, et al. SABCS 2006. Abstract #510. N 127 94 114 10 12 14 16 79 Concordance between RT-PCR and IHC for estrogen & progesterone receptors E2197 and Northern California Kaiser Permanente Studies ECOG 2197 & Kaiser studies: methods for ER/PR assessment ECOG 2197 Kaiser study • • • • • • • • • • • • Nested, case-control study N = 769 Used tissue microarrays with 2 1.0-mm cores per tumor Contained ER+ and ER– tumors ER antibody was 1D5 (Dako Cytomation) PR antibody was 636 (Dako Cytomation) ECOG central laboratory did IHC staining Staining assessed by 2 expert anatomic breast pathologists Quantitation used Allred Score (0-8) with positive AS ≥ 3 • • • • • • Case-control study N = 607 Used fixed paraffin whole-tumor tissue sections Confined to ER+ tumors ER antibody was SP1 (LabVision) PR antibody was 636 (Dako Cytomation) Phenopath central laboratory did IHC staining Staining assessed by 2 expert anatomic pathologists Quantitation used semiquantitative scoring method: 0%, 0-25%, 25-75%, > 75% 81 High degree of concordance between RT-PCR and IHC for ER/PR status ER and PR concordance between central IHC vs RT-PCR Oncotype DX® assay Central IHC vs Oncotype DX ECOG study (n = 769) concordance (95% CI) Kaiser study (n = 607) concordance (95% CI) ER status 93% (91-94%) 96% (94-97%) PR status 90% (88-92%) 90% (87-92%) Hormone receptor status 93% (91-95%) 95% (93-97%) ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; IHC, immunohistochemistry; RT-PCR, reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; CI, confidence interval Badve SS. ASCO Breast Cancer Symposium 2007. Abstract #87. Baehner FL, et al. ASCO Breast Cancer Symposium 2007. Abstract #88. 82 E2197: ER & PR expression by central RT-PCR & central IHC ER • 14% of ER-negative cases by IHC are ER positive by RT-PCR • For these discordant cases, RT-PCR measurements range from 6.5 to 10.4 units Badve SS. ASCO Breast Cancer Symposium 2007. Abstract #87. PR • 15% of PR-positive cases by IHC are PR negative by RT-PCR • For these discordant cases, RT-PCR measurements range from 2.4 to 5.4 units 83 Kaiser: ER & PR expression by central RT-PCR & central IHC ER PR + - + corr.=0.68 corr.=0.68 p-value=<0.0001 p-value=<0.0001 - corr.=0.85 corr.=0.85 p-value=<0.0001 p-value=<0.0001 • Of the 7 discordant pairs ER positive by IHC but • Of the 22 discordant pairs PR positive by IHC but ER negative by RT-PCR, 6 (86%) are within 1 unit PR negative by RT-PCR, 19 (86%) are within 1 unit of the 6.5 cutoff. of the 5.5 cutoff . • Of the 20 discordant pairs ER negative by IHC but • Of the 38 discordant pairs PR negative by IHC but ER positive by RT-PCR, 17 (85%) are within 1 unit PR positive by RT-PCR, 23 (61%) are within 1 unit of the 6.5 cutoff. of the 5.5 cutoff. 84 Baehner FL, et al. ASCO Breast Cancer Symposium 2007. Abstract #88. Concordance between RT-PCR and IHC/FISH for HER2 receptor E2197 and Northern California Kaiser Permanente Studies ECOG 2197 & Kaiser studies: methods for HER2 assessment ECOG 2197 • Used tissue microarrays • HER2 assessed using HercepTest • ECOG central laboratory • Positive result defined by ASCO guidelines Kaiser study • Used fixed paraffin whole-tumor tissue sections • HER2 assessed using Vysis PathVysion HER2/neu DNA Probe Kit • Phenopath central laboratory • Positive result defined by ASCO guidelines 86 No. of cases HER2 distribution by RT-PCR, IHC & FISH E2197 study 600 RT-PCR IHC 400 200 0 Negative Equivocal Positive *By IHC: Neg: 0 or 1+ staining, Equiv: 2+ staining or 3+ staining in < 30% cells, Pos: 3+ staining in > 30% cells **By RT-PCR: Neg: < 10.7, Equiv: ≥ 10.7-< 11.5, Pos: ≥ 11.5 Kaiser study No. of cases 500 RT-PCR 400 FISH 300 200 100 0 Negative Equivocal Positive 87 HER2 (by RT-PCR – log2) Patients had continuous expression levels for HER2 and ER (E2197 study) 16 HER2+/HR15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 HER2-/HR2 3 4 5 HER2+/HR+ + HER2+ by IHC (3+ with > 30 staining) HER2– or equivocal by IHC (0-3+ with < 30% staining) HER2-/HR+ 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 ER by RT-PCR (expression units) • • • The overall range of HER2 expression in this study is approximately 1000-fold Range of HER2 expression for HER2 positive is approximately 16-fold Separate reproducibility studies indicate that standard deviation for the assay is less than 0.4 units 88 Patients had continuous expression levels for HER2 and ER (Kaiser study) HER2 expression (relative to ref genes) 16 HER2+/HR- HER2+/HR+ 15 + HER2+ by FISH HER2– by FISH 14 Cutoff = 2.2 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 HER2-/HR+ HER2-/HR- 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 ER by RT-PCR (expression units) • • • The overall range of HER2 expression in this study is approximately 500-fold Range of HER2 expression for HER2 positive is approximately 16-fold Separate reproducibility studies indicate that standard deviation for the assay is less than 0.4 units 89 High degree of concordance between RT-PCR and FISH for HER2 HER2 concordance 2×2 Equivocal cases excluded by both assays (according to ASCO/CAP guidelines) Central IHC + Central IHC – Total Oncotype DX + 94 (78%) 4 (1%) 98 Oncotype DX – 27 (22%) 439 (99%) 466 121 443 564 ECOG 2197 Total CONCORDANCE 95%* [95% CI (92%,96%) Kappa 83%, 95% CI (77%,88%)] *Concordance calculated as (94+439)/564 Central FISH + Central FISH – Total Oncotype DX + 55 (98%) 11 (3%) 66 Oncotype DX – 1 (2%) 408 (97%) 409 56 419 475 Kaiser Study Total CONCORDANCE 97%* [95% CI (96%,99%), Kappa 89%, 95% CI (82%,95%)] *Concordance calculated as (55+408)/475 Sparano JL, et al. ASCO Breast Cancer Symposium. 2008; Abstract 13. Baehner FL, et al. ASCO Breast Cancer Symposium. 2008; Abstract 41. Wolff AC, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2007;25:118-45. 90 Single-Gene Testing in the Oncotype DX® assay addresses limitations with current methodologies • Both IHC and FISH are associated with variability that can affect the accuracy of test results. • The impact of variability can be minimized by “normalization” strategies used in quantitative gene expression assessment as performed by quantitative RT-PCR in the Oncotype DX assay. • By minimizing variability, hormone-receptor status can be more accurately reported, and treatment decisions that depend on ER or HER2 status can be made with greater confidence. 91 Single-Gene Testing in the Oncotype DX® assay addresses limitations with current methodologies • There is a high degree of overall concordance between local and central IHC and central RT-PCR for ER, PR, and hormone-receptor status. • The relatively high incidence of IHC-negative hormonereceptor status positive by RT-PCR is notable and deserves further study. • Quantitative RT-PCR using the Oncotype DX assay is an alternative method for determining hormone-receptor status. 92 Single-Gene Testing in the Oncotype DX® assay addresses limitations with current methodologies • For HER2 status, there is a high degree of overall concordance between central FISH for gene amplification and central RT-PCR for quantitative gene expression. • For HER2 status, there is a high degree of overall concordance between central IHC for protein expression and central RT-PCR for quantitative gene expression. • Quantitative RT-PCR by the Oncotype DX assay for HER2 status is an alternative to FISH. • Quantitative Single-Gene Testing results may be used by local pathology laboratories as an external concordance standard for ER, PR, and HER2. 93 Prospective Multi-center Study of the Impact of Oncotype DX® Assay on Medical Oncologist and Patient Adjuvant Breast Cancer Treatment Selection Lo SS, Mumby PB, Norton J, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28. doi:10.1200/JCO.2008.20.2119. Background • A multi-center study was designed to prospectively examine whether the Oncotype DX® Recurrence Score® result can affect medical oncologist and patient adjuvant treatment selection Lo SS, Mumby PB, Norton J, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28. doi:10.1200/JCO.2008.20.2119. 95 Methods • 17 medical oncologists at 1 community and 3 academic practices participated. Each medical oncologist consecutively offered enrollment to eligible women with node-negative, ER-positive breast cancer. • Each medical oncologists and consenting patient completed pre- and post-Oncotype DX® questionnaires. • Medical oncologists stated their adjuvant treatment recommendation and confidence in it pre- and post-Oncotype DX testing. • Patients indicated treatment choice pre- and post-Oncotype DX testing. In addition, patients completed measures for quality of life, anxiety, and decisional conflict pre and post assay. • Oncotype DX results were returned to the medical oncologist and shared with patients for routine clinical care. Lo SS, Mumby PB, Norton J, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28. doi:10.1200/JCO.2008.20.2119. 96 Change in medical oncologist treatment recommendation by Recurrence Score® result PreRecurrence Score PostRecurrence Score Number (%) Mean RS Number (%) Mean RS CHT 42 (47.2) 21 23 (25.8) 29 HT alone 46 (51.7) 18 60 (67.4) 16 Equipoise 1 (1.1) 19 6 (6.7) 19 Treatment recommendation CHT, chemo and hormonal therapy; HT, hormonal therapy; equipoise defined as either chemo and hormonal therapy, hormonal therapy alone, or enrollment onto the TAILORx clinical trial; RS, Recurrence Score result Lo SS, Mumby PB, Norton J, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28. doi:10.1200/JCO.2008.20.2119. 97 Medical oncologist treatment recommendations changed 31.5% of the time Medical oncologist treatment recommendation pre- to post-Oncotype DX® assay Number of cases (%) CHT HT 20 (22.5) HT CHT 3 (3.4) CHT or HT Equipoise 5 (5.6) Treatment plan did not change 61 (68.5) Total 89 (100) • Treatment recommendation changed for 28 (31.5%) cases after results of the Oncotype DX assay were known • The most common change was recommendation from CHT to HT (22.5% of cases) Lo SS, Mumby PB, Norton J, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28. doi:10.1200/JCO.2008.20.2119. 98 Clinical summary Oncotype DX® assay • Oncotype DX assay provides: – An individualized prediction of 10-year distant recurrence risk for patients who receive 5 years of tamoxifen – An individualized prediction of tamoxifen benefit – An individualized prediction of chemotherapy benefit to inform adjuvant treatment decisions in women with early stage breast cancer • Quantitative RT-PCR for ER/PR/HER2 is highly concordant with both IHC and FISH (using ASCO/CAP guidelines for determination of concordance). – 93-96% concordant with IHC for ER – 90% concordant with IHC for PR – 95% and 97% concordant with IHC and FISH for HER2, respectively • Oncotype DX assay is the only multi-gene expression assay recommended in both ASCO and NCCN clinical practice guidelines. 99 Reproducible clinical validation essential in changing standard of care: more than 4000 patients studied in 12 trials Type No. Pts Nodal status Providence Exploratory 136 Neg Rush* Exploratory 78 Pos NSABP B-20 Exploratory 233 Neg NSABP B-14* Prospective 668 Neg MD Anderson* Prospective 149 Neg Prospective case-control 790 cases/controls Neg Prospective placebo vs Tam 645 Neg Exploratory 89 Neg/Pos NSABP B-20* Prospective Tam vs Tam+Chemo 651 Neg ECOG 2197* Exploratory and prospective 776 Neg/Pos SWOG 8814 Prospective Tam vs Tam+Chemo 367 Pos Prospective Tam vs AI 1231 Neg/Pos Study Kaiser Permanente* NSABP B-14 Milan* ATAC 100 *Published studies Case study revisited • A 55-year-old post-menopausal woman presents with an infiltrating ductal carcinoma – – – – – Tumor size 1.0 cm ER/PR IHC positive HER2 IHC negative Sentinel lymph node negative Excellent overall health How should this patient be evaluated for treatment? What is her risk of disease recurrence? How likely is she to benefit from hormonal or chemotherapy? 101 Oncotype DX® Recurrence Score® result RESULTS Recurrence Score = 11 CLINICAL EXPERIENCE Patients with a Recurrence Score of 11 in clinical validation study had an Average Rate of Distant Recurrence at 10 years of 7.4% (95% CI: 4.9%, 9.8%) 102 Oncotype DX® assay: quantitative hormone receptor analysis 103