One Sample Hypothesis Tests for Means (t-test) T-Test Calculating r values Formulas: statistic - parameter test statistic standard deviationof statistic t= x m s n Calculating p-values • For t-test statistic – Using the calculator [STAT] [TESTS] 2. [T-Test] Writing Conclusions: 1) A statement of the decision being made (reject or fail to reject H0) & why (linkage) AND 2) A statement of the results in context. (state in terms of Ha) Example 1: Drinking water is considered unsafe if the mean H0: m = 15 concentration of lead is 15 ppb (parts Ha: m > 15 or greater. Suppose a per billion) t=2.1 Where m is the true mean concentration community randomly selects of 25 of leadsamples in drinking water water and computes Since the p-value < a, I reject Ha0. t-test There is statistic 2.1. Assume that lead sufficient evidence to suggest that the P-value =of tcdf(2.1,E99,24) concentrations are of normally mean concentration lead in drinking =.0232 water is greater thanthe 15 ppb. distributed. Write hypotheses, calculate the p-value & write the appropriate conclusion for a = 0.05. Example 2: A certain type of frozen dinners states that the dinner H0: m240 = 240calories. A random contains Ha: of m > 12 240of these frozen dinners sample t=1.9 Where m is the mean caloric was selected fromtrue production to see Since the p-value <frozen a, I reject H0. There is content of the dinners if the caloric content was greater sufficient evidence to suggest that the than stated on the box. The t-test P-value = tcdf(1.9,E99,11) true mean caloric content of these frozen statistic was calculated to be 1.9. =.0420 dinners is greater than 240 calories. Assume calories vary normally. Write the hypotheses, calculate the p-value & write the appropriate conclusion for a = 0.05. Example 3: The Degree of Reading Power (DRP) is a test of the reading ability of children. The national average of DRP scores in 3rd grade is 34. The DRP scores for a random sample of 44 third-grade students in a suburban district had a mean score of 35.091 with a standard deviation of 11.189. If a = .1, is there sufficient evidence to suggest that this district’s third graders reading ability is different than the national mean of 34? • I have an SRS of third-graders SRS? Normal? •Since the sample size is large, the sampling distribution How do you is approximately normally distributed (or) know? •Since the histogram is unimodal with no outliers, the Do you sampling distribution is approximately normally know s? What are your distributed hypothesis • s is unknown statements? Is H0: m = 34 where m is the true mean reading there a key word? Ha: m = 34 ability of the district’s third-graders Plug values 35 . 091 34 Data, m0: 34, L1, Freq 1 tT-Test, .List: 6467 OR…STAT, into formula. 1 1.1 89 TEST, T-Test / 0, Calculate mm 44 rp-value .5212 = tcdf(.6467,1E99,43)=.2606(2)=.5212 Use t-test to calculate p-value. a = .1 Compare your p-value to a & make decision Since p-value > a, I fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is not sufficient evidence to suggest that the true mean reading ability of the district’s third-graders is different than the national mean of 34. Conclusion: Write conclusion in context in terms of Ha. Example 4: The Wall Street Journal (January 27, 1994) reported that based on sales in a chain of Midwestern grocery stores, President’s Choice Chocolate Chip Cookies were selling at a mean rate of $1323 per week. Suppose a random sample of 30 weeks in 1995 in the same stores showed that the cookies were selling at the average rate of $1208 with standard deviation of $275. Does this indicate that the sales of the cookies is different from the earlier figure? Assume: •Have an SRS of weeks •Distribution of sales is approximately normal due to large sample size • s unknown H0: m = 1323 where m is the true mean cookie sales per week 1208 1323 2.29 p value .0295 Ha: m ≠ 1323 t 275 30 Since p-value < a of 0.05, I reject the null hypothesis. There is sufficient to suggest that the sales of cookies are different from the earlier figure. Review of Confidence Intervals: President’s Choice Chocolate Chip Cookies were selling at a mean rate of $1323 per week. Suppose a random sample of 30 weeks in 1995 in the same stores showed that the cookies were selling at the average rate of $1208 with standard deviation of $275. Compute a 95% confidence interval for the mean weekly sales rate. CI = ($1105.30, $1310.70) Based on this interval, is the mean weekly sales rate statistically different from the reported $1323?