Methods of Research Psychology as a Science Uses the Scientific Method: appropriately identifies and frames a researchable event Can help identify fallacies in thinking Become critical of psychological findings; don’t accept everything Good Psychological Science Don’t accept ideas on faith or authority. Reliance on Empirical Evidence: Needs to be serious evidence based on careful observation or experimentation. Precision: Research based on a scientific hypothesis and testing a specific theory. Skepticism: Good Psychological Science Openess: Willing to tell others where they got their ideas, how they were tested, and what the results were so that they can be replicated. Willingness to make a risky prediction: Must state ideas in a way that they must be testable. Good Research must have… Hypothesis: A statement about the relationship between two variables. Must be testable, verifiable, and refutable. Operational definition: the exact procedures/description of the concept being tested Testable, Verifiable, Refutable, Risky? If you pick any day of the year, a famous person was born on it. Experiments Experiments are the only research method capable of showing cause and effect because experimenter can manipulate factors and control others. Experiments Independent Variable: Variable manipulated by the experimenter, everything else is held constant. Dependent Variable: Measured variable influenced by the independent variable. Experiments Confounding Variable: Any variable besides the independent variable that could influence the outcome of the experiment. (Unwanted) Controls: methods placed in the experiment to keep confounding variables to a minimum Experiments Subject: the person on whom the experiment is being done. Experimenter: the person conducting the research (does not have to be the researcher) Confederate: a person who acts as a subject but is actually helping the experimenter Experiments Sampling: a representative group of a larger population Random Assignment: Selection and assignment of participants of subjects to groups through random or chance procedure. Placebo: Drug with no medicinal value, usually a sugar pill, need not always be a drug, sometimes a situation. (placebo effect) Experiments Control Group: Group that does not take part in the critical part of the experiment. Serves as a comparison of results from the experimental group. Experimental Group: Group that receives the treatment. Experiments Single-Blind Study: The subjects do not know to which group they belong. Double-Blind Study: Neither the experimenter nor the subjects know to which group the subjects belong. Good Research must have… Theory: Organized explanation used to explain or predict human behavior after it has been tested empirically. • Useful if it effectively organizes a range of observations, and anyone can check. Good Research Must Have… Validity: test that measures what it is set out to measure. Reliability: test that yields consistent results from one time and place to another. Types of Research Naturalistic observation— watching behavior in a natural setting Survey method—using questionnaires to poll large groups of people (interviews) Types of Research Experimental method— investigating behavior through controlled experimentation, usually in a lab setting (psychological testing) Types of Experiments Clinical method—studying behavior in clinical settings (case study) Correlational method— measuring behavior to discover relationships (testing, longitudinal, or cross-sectional) Correlational Studies Statistical technique used to measure the strength and nature of a relationship between two variables. CORRELATION DOES NOT PROVE CAUSATION Correlation does not mean causation! Global warming has increased in the last 100 years. Pirating and the pirate lifestyle has significantly decreased in the last 100 years. The lack of pirates has obviously caused global warming. Are you kidding me?! Correlation does not mean causation! As ice cream sales increase, the rate of drownings increase. OBVIOUSLY, ice cream causes drowning! Are you still buying this?! Correlation does not mean causation! Compared to citizens of other countries, Americans and Brits have significantly more heart attacks. Americans and Brits drink red wine. Therefore, red wine must cause heart attacks. Nope, Italians drink more red wine and suffer fewer heart attacks. Statistics Descriptive Statistics: Statistics that organize and summarize data, frequently use graphs or charts. Statistics Arithmetic Mean: the average of a set of scores. Add all quantities together and divide by the total number of scores. Summarizes a mass of data, does not examine variation. Outliers—extreme scores that change or skew the mean Statistics: central tendency and variability Mode: The most frequently occurring score in a set of data. Median: The middle number in a collection of data. Range: Differences between the lowest and the highest scores in a distribution of scores. Measures of Variability Normal curve—a bellshaped distribution, with a large number of data in the middle tapering to lower scores on either side Skewness—asymmetry in a distribution of numbers Positive skew—the majority of the scores on the left side of the mean with the tail trailing to the right (the mean is greater than the median and mode) Negative skew—the majority of the scores appear on the right side of the mean with the tail trailing to the left (the mean is less than the median and mode) Inferential Statistics Statistics that tell the researcher the significance of the data. Show how likely the data were to have occurred by chance. Assist in making a statement about relationship in variables. Statistical Measure Variance: How clustered or spread out individual scores are around the mean. Standard Deviation: The average distance of scores around the mean. Significance Testing Significance Testing—used to draw conclusions about whole populations based upon samples. Alternative (Research) hypothesis— relationship is the result of a real effect. Null hypothesis—is tested to account for a chance; states that no relationship exists between variables. Significance Testing Type I Error—seeing a statistical difference when none is present. (Rejecting the null hypothesis when the null is true.) Type II Error—seeing no difference when one does exist. (Accepting the null when it is false.) PROBLEMS? Statistical Measure P-Value: a number from zero to one that represents the probability that an event occurred by chance. E.g. P=0.05, means 95 times out of 100 (or 95%) the results will be similar from one test to the next. Statistically Significant: A low chance of an event occurring by chance: P<0.05. Measures of Variability Z-score—a number that tells how many standard deviations above or below the mean a score is. Formula for computation: Score – mean/standard deviation Correlational Studies Illusory Correlation: The perception of a relationship where none exists. Coefficient of Correlation: Perfect positive correlation +1.00, perfect negative correlation -1.00, no correlation 0. Correlational Studies Positive Correlation: high values for one variable are associated with high values for the other variable. Highest +1.0. Negative Correlation: High values for one variable are associated with low values for the other variable. Highest -1.0. Types of Data Nominal: Numbers that are used to name or categorize. – – – driver’s license numbers on sports uniforms gender (#1 female; #2 male) Types of Data Ordinal: Numbers represent serial position: greater or less than. –Class rank –Age –Baseball standings Types of Data Interval Scale: Consistent units of measurement, equal spacing between, allows for mathematical operations. No true zero point (arbitrary) Thermometer, temperature Can’t say 20 degrees is twice as hot as 10 degrees; ratios don’t work! Types of Data Ratio Scale: Same consistent units of measurement as in the interval scale but with the added property of a true zero point. Compare scores in terms of ratios. –Four pounds is twice as heavy as two. –Time –Length Graphs Frequency Distribution A table that divides an entire range of scores into a series of classes and then records the number of scores that fall into each class (page A-4) Graphs Pie Graph: Circle in which all data is represented in the form of percentages pie chart Females Males Graphs Frequency Histogram: Bar graph with scores on the horizontal axis and frequencies on the vertical axis. (page A-4) Frequency Polygon: Line graph that has the same horizontal and vertical axis as the histogram. Each score marked with a point and then connected, can plot multiple data sets. (page A-4) Some data interpretation Find the mean, median, mode, and range for the salaries of the Indians, the Yankees, all baseball teams, and the Browns. What conclusions and/or correlations can you draw?