ADMS 3.3 Modelling (Atmospheric Dispersion Model System) Summary of Model Features ADMS 3.3 • Comprehensive models – “New Generation” Model – Detailed description of atmosphere based on boundary layer properties • Features – – – – – – – – Point, area, line, volume and jet sources Multiple sources and pollutants Buildings and Topography Plume rise Single condition or statistical meteorology Odours, radioactivity, plume visibility Deposition (Wet and Dry) Statistics, long and short term, percentiles Factors Influencing Dispersion – Meteorology • Wind Speed and direction • Atmospheric stability (Monin–Obukhov Length and Boundary Layer Height) – Release point and conditions • Elevation (排放高度) • Velocity • Temperature • Ground roughness – Buildings • If > 1/3 stack height – Topography • If steeper than 1:10 slope Meteorology • Older Models – Passive dispersion model • Pasquill-Gifford Stability Classes (A – G) • Wind speed, direction • ADMS – Boundary Layer Model • Boundary layer height • Monin – Obukhov length • Wind speed, direction Meteorological Parameters • Boundary Layer Height – Height at which surface effects influence dispersion – ADMS calculates boundary layer properties for different heights based on meteorology • Monin-Obukhov Length – Measure of height at which mechanical turbulence (机械 湍流) is more significant than convection or stratification (层流) – ADMS calculates M-O length based on meteorology and ground roughness Meteorology Options • Specific Data • Wind speed, wind direction, date, time, latitude(纬 度), boundary layer height, cloud cover • Met Office Data • Statistical data (10 years) – 2200 lines of data (medium run times) • Hourly sequential data (1 – 5 years) – Can be used to identify specific conditions for known dates and times – 8760 lines of data per year (long run times) – Use to compare releases against environmental standards (preferred option (首选) by EA) Meteorology Effects • Typical atmospheric conditions within the UK. • Pasquill - Gifford Stability Classes as modelled in ADMS • No exact correlation between boundary layer parameters Stability Class Wind Speed (m/s) Boundary Layer Height (m) Monin – Obukhov Length (m) A 1 1300 -2 Convective - Hot Still Day B 2 900 -10 Convective C 5 850 -100 Convective D 5 800 ∞ E 3 400 100 Stable F 2 100 20 Stable - Still Night G 1 100 5 Stable Conditions Neutral - Normal UK Day Example of A – G Conditions • Stack Release – – – – – SO2,150 g/s 50 m stack 5 m diameter, 20 m/s velocity 15°C A – G conditions Centre Line Ground Level Concentrations A1 Conditions Contour Plot Convective - Hot Still Day Stability Class= A; Wind Speed =1m/s; Boundary Layer Height= 1300m; Monin – Obukhov Length =-2) SO2 Concentration (ug/m3) 1000 800 600 600 Metres 400 200 500 0 400 -200 300 -400 200 -600 100 -800 -1000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Metres 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 D5 Conditions Contour Plot Neutral - Normal UK Day Stability Class= D; Wind Speed =5m/s; Boundary Layer Height= 800m; Monin – Obukhov Length = ∞ SO2 Concentration (ug/m3) 1000 800 600 160 400 140 Metres 200 120 0 100 80 -200 60 -400 40 -600 20 -800 -1000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Metres 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 F2 Conditions Contour Plot Stable - Still Night Stability Class= F; Wind Speed =2m/s; Boundary Layer Height= 100m; Monin – Obukhov Length = 20 S02 Concentration (ug/m3) 1000 800 600 10 400 9 Metres 200 8 0 7 6 -200 5 -400 4 -600 3 -800 -1000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Metres 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Buildings • Can have significant effects – – – – – Entrain (夹卷)pollutants into leeward (下风向) Increased concentrations close to building Decreased concentrations further away Only relevant if building >1/3 stack height ADMS allows 10 buildings Building Effects – Tall Stack • Tall Stack – Release of NOx from a 50 m stack (3 m diameter, 5 m/s velocity, 30°C, 1 g/s NOx) – Unstable weather conditions – Stack is at the centre point of the building – Building is 30 m high, 30 m wide, 67 m long Tall Stack – No Building NOx Concentration (ug/m3) 400 300 12 11 200 10 Metres 100 9 8 0 7 6 -100 5 -200 4 3 -300 2 -400 0 100 200 300 400 500 Metres 600 700 800 900 1000 Tall Stack – With Building NOx Concentration (ug/m3) 400 300 10 200 9 Metres 100 8 0 7 6 -100 5 -200 4 -300 2 -400 0 100 200 300 400 500 Metres 600 700 800 900 1000 Building Effects – Short Stack • Short Stack – Release of NOx from a 35 m stack (3 m diameter, 5 m/s velocity, 30°C, 1 g/s NOx) – Unstable weather conditions – Stack is at the centre point of the building – Building is 30 m high, 30 m wide, 67 m long Short Stack - Without Building NOx Concentration (ug/m3) 400 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 300 200 Metres 100 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 0 100 200 300 400 500 Metres 600 700 800 900 1000 Short Stack - With Building NOx Concentration (ug/m3) 400 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 300 200 Metres 100 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 0 100 200 300 400 500 Metres 600 700 800 900 1000 Topography • Can effect dispersion – – – – Changes plume trajectory May increase or decrease concentrations Include if terrain exceeds 1:10 (maximum 1:3) Terrain data available Topography Example – – – – – – Release of NOx from a 65 m stack 5 m diameter 5.25 m3/s flowrate 69°C, 1 kg/s NOx Neutral weather conditions • 10 m/s wind • Boundary layer 1000 m – Simple hill 2.6 km to the East and 1 km South of the release Without Hill NOx Concentration (ug/m3) 4000 3000 1600 1500 1400 2000 1300 1200 Metres 1100 1000 1000 900 800 700 0 600 500 400 -1000 300 200 -2000 -2000 -1000 0 1000 Metres 2000 3000 4000 With Hill NOx Concentration (ug/m3) 4000 3000 1600 1500 1400 2000 1300 1200 Metres 1100 1000 1000 900 800 700 0 600 500 400 -1000 300 200 -2000 -2000 -1000 0 1000 Metres 2000 3000 4000 3D Hill Statistical Meteorology • 10 years statistical data • 1 – 5 years hourly sequential data • Can calculate – Annual averages – Percentiles (百分位数) (worst case conditions) – No of exceedences/year (年超标数) – Areas affected (影响区域) • Direct comparison with NAAQS (Legislation) Statistical Results Long Term SO2 Concentration 376000 375800 1.6 375600 1.5 375400 1.4 1.3 Metres 375200 1.2 1.1 375000 1 374800 0.9 0.8 374600 0.7 0.6 374400 374200 442000 442200 442400 442600 442800 443000 443200 443400 443600 443800 Metres Statistical + Topography Reproduced from Ordnance Survey® Panorama Digital Data, by permission of Ordnance Survey® on behalf of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationary Office. © Copyright 1990. All rights reserved. Licence No. 100040193 Digital Maps • Available from Ordnance Survey (UK) • 1:50000 or 1:10000 • Can overlay (覆盖)release contours onto maps Digital Map Example Reproduced from Ordnance Survey® 1:10K Raster Data, by permission of Ordnance Survey® on behalf of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationary Office. © Copyright 1990. All rights reserved. Licence No. 100040193 Digital Map + Topography + Concentrations Reproduced from Ordnance Survey® Panorama Digital Data and1:10K Raster Data, by permission of Ordnance Survey® on behalf of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationary Office. © Copyright 1990. All rights reserved. Licence No. 100040193 Odours (气味) • Model as Odour Units – ou: Number of times the mixture must be diluted at STP (Place) to reach detection limit of 1 ou. – ouE: The mass of pollutant that when evaporated into 1 m3 of gas at STP is 1 ou – Information on detection limit is required. • ADMS – Input and output in terms of ou or ouE. Odour Example • Release from landfill site – Odours in ouE – Two area sources, one line source • Landfill 1: 100 m x 100 m, 10 ouE/m2/s • Landfill 2: 100 m x 100 m, 5 ouE/m2/s • Line 1: 200 m, 2 ouE/m/s – Flat terrain (平原地形), no buildings – Neutral conditions • 10 m/s wind • Boundary layer 1000 m – Short term hourly average concentration Odour Example - Sources Landfill Site 600 400 200 0 -200 LANDFILL1 LINE1 LANDFILL2 -400 -600 Output grid Area/line/volume source 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Odour Example - Results Landfill Odour Release (ouE) 600 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1 400 Metres 200 0 -200 -400 -600 0 200 400 600 Metres 800 1000 1200 1400 Time Varying Releases (时变源) • Release rates often vary with production • Time varying releases – Hourly sequential meteorological data – Details of release for each hour of meteorological data • flow, temperature, concentration, velocity • Results can differ considerably when compared to average releases Fluctuations • Meteorology usually stable over 1 hour • Turbulence causes short duration fluctuations • Interest in lower times for exposure – Odours – NAQS (UK)(SO2, 15 minute mean) • ADMS turbulence calculations – Percentiles – Probability distribution function – Toxic response (毒性反应) Other Features • • • • • • Variable surface roughness Treatment of land sea internal boundary layer Puffs NOx Chemistry Radioactive decay Plume visibility (condensed plume) AERMOD model • AERMOD- AMS/EPA Regulatory Model • AERMOD was introduced by the US EPA as a Replacement for (取代) Industrial Source Complex (ISC) model for estimating the air quality impact of sources for source– receptor distances of kilometers. • AERMOD is designed to use vertical profiles of wind speed and turbulence measured at the site where the model is applied. AERMOD model AERMOD can accept the following turbulence measurements: • standard deviation of the horizontal wind component, sy, and standard deviation of the vertical wind component, sw. There are future plans to include other turbulence parameters. Such meteorological observations are usually not available at most sites of interest, and insisting on site-specific measurements is not practical. AERMOD model • Thus, AERMOD uses a processor (处理模块) to construct inputs from routinely available National Weather Service (NWS) surface and upper air data from nearby locations. Meandering (扩散) in AERMOD • AERMOD accounts for meandering by defining the horizontal concentration distribution, H(x,y), as a linear combination of Gaussian and uniform distributions: • • where the plume distribution is and the uniform distribution is given by where r is the source–receptor distance. The weighting factor, fp, is taken as the square of the ratio of the mean vector wind speed, U, to the scalar transport wind, Ueff: Meandering in AERMOD • For a source at height hs, the vertical concentration distribution, S(z), is • where the vertical plume spread is given by the linear expression Meandering in AERMOD where the random components u and v are chosen from a normal distribution with a zero mean and a standard deviation of : FROM : A. Venkatram et al. / Atmospheric Environment 38 (2004) 4633–4641; V. Isakov et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 1689–1705 • • • • • • • • • • 大气新导则会议(2009-3-6) 陕西环境保护局 王厅长讲话 4月1日执行新导则(报告书,审批) 徐大海 Screen 3a model screen3A.exe (dos版)极端情况 确定评价等级 Aermod model 平坦地形,no2, 输入o3浓度 • 地形,源点,极坐标(r,角) • DOS 版,需探空资料,没探空,用地面资料形成;稳态 的烟流模式; • 高空(无),计算地面浓度较低; • 第三代模式;静态模式,老导则的后代产品;探空资料问 题?2倍误差 • Calpuf模式 • 完整;考虑地形;50km;复杂流畅;下地面不均匀; Calmet 边界层气象模式;mm5资料(中尺度模式);下 地面类型;KSP颗粒模式;光化学模式;能见度模式;流 场模式;CALPOST后处理模式 • 空气质量模式(calpuff,calpost);