Development of a coupled soil erosion and large-scale hydrology modeling system Dazhi Mao, Keith A. Cherkauer Ag. & Biological Engineering Purdue University Dennis C. Flanagan NSERL Outline Introduction Concerns in coupling processes Coupling scheme Preliminary single cell analysis Development afterwards Current status Introduction Soil erosion by water is a major concern for resource management Frozen soil modifies surface runoff generation and erodibility of the soil Large-scale hydrology model to represent the impact of frozen soil on erosion at management scale Introduction (continued) Macro-scale hydrologic model The Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model • • • Mosaic-type representation of soil and vegetation Infiltration curve to control spatial variability in soil moisture and infiltration Improved representation of cold season processes Erosion models USLE, RUSLE, MUSLE • • Based on field-scale observations Lumped approach The WEPP model • • Continuous process-based model Capable of estimating spatial and temporal distribution of soil loss Coupling possibilities The VIC model improved representation of cold season processes (Cherkauer and Lettenmaier, 1999) The stand-alone WEPP-Hillslope Erosion (WEPP-HE) code (Flanagan et al. 2005) provide basis for coupling with hydrology model Predicts soil loss for single storm event Needs only soil texture, slope profile, adjusted daily erodibility and friction factors, and hydrologic pass files Use basic erosion algorithms from the WEPP model to represent soil erosion in the VIC model Concerns Different scales Different parameters WEPP Spatial scales VIC WEPP field scale large scale Temporal scales VIC 0.16 0.14 Rainfall depth 1.2 Intensity 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.12 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.2 0 0 0 0.16 0.21 0.27 0.34 0.42 0.53 0.66 0.84 1.16 4.09 Time WEPP disaggregated rainfall intensity 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Hour VIC sub-daily rainfall depth 21 23 Soil texture, management options, slope profile, erodibility, friction factors, rainfall intensity, duration, peak runoff, etc. Soil parameters, vegetation type, precipitation depth, runoff depth Approach Downscale VIC model I/O to run WEPP-HE code Represent topographic variability Statistical/stochastic presentation of output from WEPP-HE in a VIC grid cell Conceptual coupling scheme VIC model output DEM processing Hydrologic pass file Slope profile WEPP-HE code WEPP integrated algorithms VIC model soil Soil texture Annual soil Erosion Soil erosion probability in VIC cell Adjustment parameters Preliminary coupling scheme 30 arc-sec DEM WEPP model Daily climate forcing 30m DEM Soil & vegetation ArcGIS Hourly precipitation VIC Precipitation & runoff output - original input data - intermediate data - data for WEPP-HE - data processing - iterated process Slope profile Adjusted erodibility, friction factors, & random roughness WEPP-HE Code Soil loss Iterated for sampled slopes Preliminary single cell test Watonwan watershed 30 arc-second DEM Minnesota wat30arc_DEM wat30arc_DEM Value High : 471 Value Low :High 271 : 471 Low : 271 Selected VIC grid cell at 1/8 degree Agricultural land use (corn, no-till) Nearest station climate file 30m DEM Random sample 25 slopes (spatial analyst) for single cell test evaluation Preliminary results Preliminary results WEPP model Coupled model Soil loss (kg/m2) Sediment Yield (t/ha) 0.14 1.481 0.054 0.576 Complex data extraction and processing steps Coupled model under-predict soil loss and sediment yield due to underestimation of hydrology parameters Difference in rainfall disaggregation WEPP-breakpoint VIC-uniformly distributed by hours of duration Adjustments needed Break down precipitation (daily-subdaily) using WEPP code Extract soil erodibility adjustment code from WEPP model to remove the intermediate process Reinvestigate and solidify slope profile rescale method Develop soil loss probability distribution Application in larger study area/multiple cells Adjusted coupling scheme WEPP disaggregated precipitation Hourly precipitation Soil & vegetation VIC Precipitation & runoff output - original input data - intermediate data - data for WEPP-HE - data processing - iterated process 30 arc-sec DEM CLIGEN 30m slope Extracted WEPP model Source code ArcGIS Slope profile Generate adjustment parameters WEPP-HE Code Soil loss Iterated for sampled slopes Current development Rainfall disaggregation Regrid study domain to create .PAR file for each VIC grid cell based on existing CLIGEN PAR stations (inverse distance) Use CLIGEN to generate .CLI file for each cell Extract disaggregation code from WEPP source code to generate daily disaggregated storm Integrate disaggregated rainfall into hourly precipitation Hourly precipitation and daily TMIN, TMAX, and WIND are used to create VIC climate forcing files Current development Soil adjustment code Extracted soil texture, friction, erodibility adjustment codes from WEPP source code Compiled to form a new Fortran program that reads in VIC soil and climate input data and output adjustment variables for each day Still need to work Slope profile rescale Monofractal scaling method (Bowling et al, 2004) where fractal dimension is estimated using variogram technique (Zhang et al. 1999; Xu et al. 1993) The VIC grid cell is divided into subregions (3x3 30arc) to maintain local fracal properties The distribution of slope for the whole watershed fits a Laplace distribution 30arc-DEM 30m slope Improved result Soil loss (kg/m2) Sediment yield (t/ha) Mean Std Mean Std WEPP 0.1007 0.0424 1.0384 0.4248 Coupled model 0.0993 0.0479 0.9936 0.479 Average annual (1980-1990) Still need to work Rescale issue, validation Erosion estimation under different vegetation cover/land-use Statistical analysis of results, distribution fit, etc. Thank you Questions? 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