LOUISIANA ASSOCIATION OF PUBLIC
RETIREMENT SYSTEMS
Actuarial Standards and Required Disclosure
Shelley R. Johnson, ASA, MAAA
SEPTEMBER 7, 2014
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Spotlight on Public Pension Funding
Public pension plan funding has received increased national attention in the past few years as a result of the recent recession and the emerging focus on financial economics in the pension community
Result has been an influx of committees, panels, studies, formal recommendations regarding public pension plan funding
Less obvious to Boards are the changes affecting actuaries hired to value plan liabilities and assets and determine contribution requirements
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Actuarial Standards Board (ASB)
ASB issues Actuarial Standards of Practice (ASOPs) to provide guidance to actuaries when performing professional services
ASOPs identify what the actuary should consider, document, and disclose when performing an actuarial assignment
Our Code of Conduct requires us to follow guidance in ASOPs, or be prepared to justify use of other procedures
There are currently 47 ASOPs, many of which are specific to actuarial services regarding pension plans
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Actuarial Standards Board (ASB)
Recent ASOP Changes
ASOP #4: Measuring Pension Obligations and Determining
Pension Plan Costs or Contributions (revised effective
12/31/2014)
Key changes:
Modifications to language pertaining to disclosure of funded status
Disclosure of rationale for changes in cost or contribution allocation procedure (such as actuarial cost method or asset valuation method)
Qualitative description of the implications of the current funding policy on future contributions and funded status
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Actuarial Standards Board (ASB)
Recent ASOP Changes
ASOP #4: Measuring Pension Obligations and Determining
Pension Plan Costs or Contributions (revised effective
12/31/2014)
Key changes (continued):
Prescribed assumptions or methods o Previously required the actuary to state if a prescribed assumption/method was unreasonable unless set by law o Revised to specify prescribed assumption method set by law is
NOT deemed to be prescribed if the plan sponsor set the law
(now must opine if actuary believes law requires unreasonable assumption/method)
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Actuarial Standards Board (ASB)
Recent ASOP Changes
ASOP #4: Measuring Pension Obligations and Determining
Pension Plan Costs or Contributions (revised effective
12/31/2014)
Key changes (continued):
For plan provisions that are difficult to measure (e.g. gain-sharing funding of benefit increases), the actuary should consider using alternative valuation procedures and must disclose a description of methods used so that another actuary could make a reasonable appraisal of the reasonableness of the actuary’s work.
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Actuarial Standards Board (ASB)
Recent ASOP Changes
ASOP #27: Selection of Economic Assumptions for Measuring
Pension Obligations (revised effective 9/30/2014)
Key Changes
Guidance regarding reasonability of an economic assumption has been changed from the “best-estimate” standard
Incorporates changes made in ASOP #4 (regarding provisions that are difficult to measure and assumptions/methods prescribed by law)
Requires disclosure of rationale used in selecting each nonprescribed assumption
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Actuarial Standards Board (ASB)
Recent ASOP Changes
ASOP #35 Selection of Demographic and Other Noneconomic
Assumptions for Measuring Pension Obligations
Key Changes
Consider likelihood and extent of mortality improvement in the future
If choose not to project mortality improvement, must disclose it was intentionally not projected
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Mortality Improvement
Future trends in mortality improvement is currently the subject of extensive study/debate
Expect possible changes to ASOP in the future
Some pushing for required use of generational vs. static tables, which are significantly more complicated
May add administrative cost without providing corresponding improvement in results
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Actuarial Standards Board
Recent Request for Comments Regarding Potential
Future Changes to ASOPs
Beginning a comprehensive review of the ASOPs as they pertain to public plan actuarial valuations
Currently soliciting the views various parties interested in the application of the ASOPs to public plan actuarial valuations
(comments due in November)
Asking questions such as:
– Should current ASOPS be revised to provide additional guidance (beyond recent revisions) regarding appropriate public plan actuarial valuation practice and advice regarding funding levels?
– In general, the ASOPs are principles based and not rules based, therefore are generally not highly prescriptive. Should the ASOPs related to public plan actuarial valuations be more prescriptive? If so, in what areas?
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Actuarial Standards Board
Recent Request for Comments Regarding
Potential Future Changes to ASOPs
The current definition within ASOPs of an “intended user” of an actuarial communication is “any person who the actuary identifies as able to rely on the actuarial findings” (very broad)
Should the ASOPs require actuaries for public pension plans to perform additional, significant work (which would be incorporated in the guidance provided in the ASOPs) that is not requested by the principal if that work provides useful information to individuals who are not intended users?
If so, should this requirement be extended to all pension practice areas? (emphasis added)
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Recent Publications
The American Academy of Actuaries (AAA) - Feb 2014
Issue Brief on Public Plan Funding
Society of Actuaries (SOA) - Feb 2014:
Report of the Blue Ribbon Panel on Public Pension Plan Funding
The Government Finance Officers Association (GFOA) - Mar 2013
Core Elements of a Funding Policy
The Conference of Consulting Actuaries (CCA) - Feb 2014
Actuarial Funding Policies and Practices for Public Pension and
OPEB Plans (Discussion Draft)
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Recent Publications
The reports have similar focus, which we can generally agree on:
Funding adequacy/Benefit security
Intergenerational Equity
Cost Stability
Devil is in the details:
Recommended disclosures
To be clear: Disclosure is not bad if you have nothing to hide
Concern here is excess information can be confusing to many users
Administrative expense, particularly for smaller plans
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Questions?
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Gary S. Curran , FCA, MAAA, ASA, EA
CONSULTING ACTUARY
G. S. Curran & Company, LTD.
10555 N. Glenstone Place
Baton Rouge, LA 70810 (225) 769-4825
Actuarial Science:
Marriage of
Probability &
Statistics
WITH Finance &
Economics
Fundamental Concept:
Actuarial Present Value
Value today of an amount to be paid in the future.
Financial Present Value:
You must pay $1,000 10 years from now.
If you can invest and earn 7.2% interest,
You would only need $500 today.
$500 compounded annually for 10 years
@ 7.2% interest = $1,000
Financial Present Value:
Year Beginning Amt. X interest = Accumulated Value
1 $500.00
1.072
$536
7
8
9
5
6
10
2
3
4
$536
$574
$616
$660
$707
$758
$812
$871
$933
1.072
1.072
1.072
1.072
1.072
1.072
1.072
1.072
1.072
$574
$616
$660
$707
$758
$812
$871
$933
$1,000
Financial Present Value:
The Financial Present Value of
$1,000 in 10 years @ 7.2% is
$500.
Actuarial Present Value:
Actuarial Present Value is similar to Financial Present Value, but it uses large groups and probability to produce a more realistic cost of a liability.
Ex: If you owe money to a large number of people at some point in the future, it is likely that not all of the people will survive to the time that the benefit is to be paid out.
Actuarial Present Value:
Suppose we have 100 people
(age 60), and we wish to pay each of them $1,000 in 10 years if they survive.
Now, suppose that the probability of surviving from age 60 to 70 is 90%.
Actuarial Present Value:
What is the Actuarial Present
Value of $1,000 to be paid to the 100 people if they survive from age 60 to 70?
Actuarial Present Value:
If we were to pay all 100 people, we would need:
100 X 500 = $50,000
But, we only need to pay 90% since only 90% of the group will survive.
Actuarial Present Value:
Therefore, the Actuarial Present
Value of $1,000 payable to 100 people currently age 60 who survive to age 70 is:
Actuarial Present Value:
Note: the $45,000 will grow to
$90,000 in 10 years, and of the original 100 people, only 90 will be alive at age 70, so we have
$1,000 for each survivor.
Actuarial Present Value for a Pension Plan
The Actuarial Present Value of benefits for the pension plan is the sum of all of the actuarial present values of all of the possible benefits to be paid to every member of the plan.
Actuarial Present Value for a Pension Plan
Included Expenses (i.e., benefits):
Retirement Benefit
Disability Benefit
Survivor Benefit
Vested Benefit
Refunded Benefit
Actuarial Present Value for a Pension Plan
Included Income:
Employee Contributions
Employer Contributions
Actuarial Present Value for a Pension Plan
Equation of Balance:
Actuarial Present Value of Future Benefits
=
Assets
+
Actuarial Present Value of Future Contributions
Actuarial Present Value of Future Benefits
Actuarial Value of
Assets
Present Value of Future
Employee
Contributions
Present Value of Future
Employer Contributions
Unfunded Accrued
Liability
Current
Amortization
Payment
Future Payments
Employer Cost
Current Normal
Cost
Future Normal
Costs