Measuring Poverty A Brief Update of Data Available through Statistics Canada Planning and Policy Support December 10, 2013 Topics • • • • • • • Statistics Canada and Measuring Poverty London’s numbers Threshold amounts Definitions Pros and Cons Current availability Recommended reading Statistics Canada & Measuring Poverty • “Statistics Canada does not define 'poor' nor does it estimate the number of poor families and individuals in Canada.” • Early 1960’s to today - published low-income statistics – key dimension of poverty – low income = at-risk of poverty Source: Statistics Canada. Income Research Paper Series. Low Income Lines 2011-2012. Catalogue no. 75F0002M — No. 002. Modified June 27, 2013. London’s Numbers % of People Below Low Income Lines: London CMA, 2011 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 % of People Below LIM: London, 2010 16.8 16.7 16.6 16.5 16.4 16.3 LICO LICO LIM (after MBM (after tax) (before tax) tax) Source: Statistics Canada CANSIM table 202-0802. Data must be used with caution. 16.2 NHS Taxfiler Source: Statistics Canada NHS Community Profile and Small Area Administrative Data provided through the Community Data Program. The Thresholds $50,000 $45,440 $45,000 $37,843 $40,000 $35,000 $39,860 $32,131 $31,335 $28,185 $30,000 $25,353 $23,799 $22,720 $25,000 $20,366 $19,930 $20,170 $20,000 $16,513 $16,829 $15,000 $33,657 $10,000 $5,000 $0 single 2 person Source: Statistics Canada. Low Income Lines 2011-2012 4 person before tax LICO after tax LICO before tax LIM after tax LIM MBM Measure #1 – Low Income Cut Off • First published in 1967; current thresholds based on 1992 spending patterns • If family income below LICO, then likely to be spending more than the average on food, shelter, clothing • Mixed consumption/equity measure Measure #2 – Market Basket Measure • Dates back to 2000 • Measure of consumption • Cost of nutritious diet, shelter, public transit, clothing and footwear, other necessary goods and services • If family income below the MBM line, unlikely to be able to afford all items Measure #3 – Low Income Measure • Used by Province to track progress • Measure of equity • Household considered poor if income is 50% below the median 50% have income below the median Poor = having income 50% below the LIM 50% have income above the median Median household income Before Tax or After Tax? • Before Tax – historic – does not take into account tax transfers and credits – Campaign 2000 • After Tax – 2006 Census – preferred by Stats Can as takes into account tax transfers and credits • Looking at both allows us to see impact of tax measures Pros and Cons Pros Cons LICO History Adjusts for family size Adjusts for community size Expenditure assumptions not being updated LIM Used by Province to track progress Community size and regional differences not accounted for MBM Adjusts for family size, regional differences Clarity Debate as to contents of basket Current Status of Data Availability for London Data source # below LICO # below LIM # below MBM Geography Timing Trend NHS by request City Census Not to be compared to previous years Taxfiler CANSIM CMA Annual, 2 to 3 year lag Yes NHS online City Census None Taxfiler – Community Data Program City Annual, 2 to 3 year lag Yes Taxfiler CANSIM CMA Annual, 2 to 3 year lag Yes Taxfiler CANSIM CMA Annual, 2 to 3 year lag Yes A Final Thought • “… low-income statistics are not intended to provide an indication of the success or failure of specific programs designed to assist the poor.” Source: Statistics Canada. Income Research Paper Series. Low Income Lines 2011-2012. Catalogue no. 75F0002M — No. 002. Modified June 27, 2013. Recommended Reading • Cutting Through the Fog by John Stapleton http://metcalffoundation.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/cuttingthrough-the-fog.pdf • Poverty. Where Do We Draw the Line by Chris Sarlo http://www.fraserinstitute.org/uploadedFiles/fraserca/Content/research-news/research/publications/Poverty-where-dowe-draw-the-line.pdf • A Measure of Poverty in Canada. A Guide to the Debate About Poverty Lines by Greg DeGroot-Maggetti http://action.web.ca/home/cpj/attach/A_measure_of_poverty.pdf • Research & Policy Development Poverty Links http://www.london.ca/About-London/community-statistics/socialissues/Pages/Poverty.aspx