By Eugenie W. H. Maïga African Center for Economic Transformation (ACET) Background on Burkina Faso Land area = 274,000 km2, Population =15.21 million (2008), GNI per capita =$480 (2008). In Burkina Faso, the prevalence rate for stunting (height-for-age) was 39% in 2003. In 2009 the gross school enrolment rate for primary, secondary, and higher education were 78%, 20%, and 3%, respectively. Gross enrollment rates in primary school by province in 2004-2005 Source: Ministere de l’Enseignement de Base et de l’Alphabetisation, 2005 Research problem Child health and nutrition outcomes in developing countries are disappointing (prevalence of stunting in preschool children was 33% in 2000, De Onis et. al., rates between 30% and 39% are considered high). Link between child health and child nutrition: malnourished children are more likely to develop illnesses that can have long lasting effects throughout their lives. Mothers play an important role in child nutrition. How does her education come into play? Why are child health outcomes important? Costs of related illnesses (physical suffering, time costs and monetary costs). Impacts on ability to learn i.e. on schooling outcomes. Impacts on productivity later in life which could adversely affect economic growth Objectives General objective: • Examine the relationship between maternal education and child health in Burkina Faso Specific objectives: • Verify whether a strong causal relationship exists • Understand the channels through which mother’s education affects child health • investigate whether threshold effects exist, that is, whether specific years or levels of mothers’ education have unusually large impacts on children’s health. Change in education policy in Burkina Faso Primary education: construction of 3-year primary schools Ecoles Satellites, ES) in areas of 28 provinces (out of 45) where enrolment rates are low. As of 2008, there were 304 ES. Became effective in the school year 1995-1996. Instruction is done in two languages, French and language spoken in the area. Trying to favor girls enrollment in those schools Evolution of enrollment rates in provinces with and without the program Provinces with program Provinces without program Previous Evidence Empirical studies without pathways (did not use natural experiment): Baya (1998), Appoh and Krekling(2005). Empirical studies without pathways (used natural experiment): Breierova and Duflo (2004) and Chou et. al. (2007). Empirical studies with pathway(s): Thomas et al. (1991), Glewwe (1999), Handa (1999), and Webb and Block (2004). Contribution Many have studied the subject but few studies have used natural experiments (change in policy) in identifying the relationship between mother’s education and child health in developing countries Use of distance to school as IV for mother’s education in a study of the impact of mother’s education on child health Use of both natural experiment and pathways Conceptual framework Draws on Becker’s model of the family, and Rosenzweig and Schultz (1983) health production function Consider the following equations: U u (X, H ) H h(Z , I, ) M p1 X p 2 Z p 3 I Where X is market goods, Z represents goods that affect child health, H is child health, I represents inputs that affect utility only through their effect on H and μ is child health endowment. Conceptual framework Estimating H requires detailed data on health inputs, data which are not available to this study. A way out of that, is to use reduced form equations. Maximizing U subject to the health production and the budget constraint yields reduced-form demand functions for X, Z, H and I. Data Main source: Burkina Faso 2007 Enquete sur les conditions de vie des menages (survey of living standards). Additional data sources include the ministry of primary education (policy change data: number, location, and year of construction of the schools, and enrollment information) and Internet sources (distance calculator). Distance between the closest school (village/city name) and the household village/city of residence computed using distance calculator at www.infoplease.com/atlas/calculate-distance.html Descriptive Statistics: Child Characteristics Variable Child’s age in months Male Obs Mean 2,003 27.3 2,007 52.7% Std. Dev. 16.8 0.50 Min 0 0 Max 59 1 HAZ Stunting Moderate stunting Severe stunting 2,003 2,003 2,003 2,003 -1.8 47.6% 19.4% 28.3% 2.05 0.50 0.40 0.45 -5.98 0 0 0 5.8 1 1 1 WHZ Wasting Moderate wasting Severe wasting 1,932 1,932 1,932 1,932 -0.3 20.7% 9.5% 11.2% 2.04 0.40 0.29 0.32 -4.96 0 0 0 5 1 1 1 Descriptive Statistics: Regressors Variable Zero to 5km of program school Five to 10km of program school Number of years ES was available Mother’s years of education Mother’s age Father’s years of education Father’s age Monthly expenditures (1,000 FCFA) Urban residence Television Radio Refrigerator Bicycle Moped Car Electricity Cell phone Mother’s health knowledge Mother’s bargaining power Obs 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,004 2,005 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 2,007 Mean Std. Dev. 6.9% 0.25 10.1% 0.30 0.4 1.05 1.4 3.12 24.3 3.29 2.1 4.15 35.7 11.44 8.2 12.44 24.5% 0.43 20.1% 0.40 74.9% 0.43 5.4% 0.23 86.8% 0.34 38.5% 0.49 2.4% 0.15 15.8% 0.37 25.0% 0.43 3.7 1.80 65.4% 0.48 Min Max 0 1 0 1 0 5 0 17 14 29 0 17 15 97 0 225 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 8 0 1 .8 .6 0 .2 .4 Fraction .4 .2 0 Fraction .6 .8 Descriptive Statistics: Histogram of parents education 0 5 10 momedu_years 15 20 0 5 10 dadedu_years 15 20 Selected child health outcomes by parents’ education Stunting Wasting 50.7% 21.5% Some schooling Father’s schooling No schooling 36.1% 17.5% 51.2% 21.2% Some schooling Total 38.4% 19.2% 47.6% 20.7% Mother schooling No schooling Methods and Procedures Parents’ education and child health maybe affected by many ‘unobservables’. To identify the effect parents education on child health, I will use a system of equations: S i k Z X i H i k S i X i Methods and procedures Use two-stage –least –squares to estimate the system (education equation and child health equation) with the primary education program as an instrument for mother’s education. Add income, mother health knowledge, mother’s bargaining power, etc. to the child health equation and estimate it. Table 1: OLS Estimates of Mother’s Health Knowledge, Bargaining Power, and Household Expenditures on Mother’s Education and other Variables. VARIABLES Mother’s education (log) OLS Per capita expenditures OLS Health knowledge Bargain power 0.300*** (0.031) -0.001 (0.007) -0.125*** (0.021) -0.007*** (0.002) 0.370*** (0.052) 0.541*** (0.064) 0.084* (0.049) 0.041*** (0.013) -0.158*** (0.043) -0.001 (0.004) 0.499*** (0.117) 0.225* (0.128) 0.416*** (0.094) -0.023 (0.018) -0.022 (0.014) 0.018*** (0.004) -0.028** (0.013) -0.000 (0.001) -0.137*** (0.037) -0.064 (0.041) -0.016 (0.026) 1,934 0.164 1,934 0.173 1,934 0.056 Per capita expenditures (log) Mother’s age Father’s education (log) Father’s age Urban residence Has a television Has a radio Observations R-squared OLS Table 2: Reduced Form Estimates for Child Height-for-Age (HAZ): Pathways Added VARIABLES Mother’s education (log) Child’s age (months) Father’s education Base FE HAZ Income HAZ Health Knowledge HAZ 0.133** (0.064) -0.204*** (0.035) -0.008 (0.053) 0.083 (0.061) -0.203*** (0.035) -0.005 (0.054) 0.123* (0.064) -0.204*** (0.035) -0.008 (0.053) Per capita expenditures (log) Bargaining power HAZ 0.139** (0.065) -0.204*** (0.035) -0.006 (0.053) 0.143 (0.122) Within 30 minutes of a health clinic 0.079 (0.062) -0.203*** (0.035) -0.004 (0.054) 0.170*** (0.061) 0.012 (0.027) 0.152 (0.119) 0.017 (0.027) Bargaining power Number of provinces 0.130* (0.065) -0.203*** (0.035) -0.008 (0.054) 0.169*** (0.060) Health knowledge Observations R-squared Community services All pathways HAZ HAZ 0.044 (0.107) 0.035 (0.105) 2,000 0.101 1,998 0.104 2,000 0.101 2,000 0.102 2,000 0.101 1,998 0.105 43 43 43 43 43 43 Table 3: Reduced Form Estimates for Child Weight-for-Height (WHZ): Pathways Added VARIABLES Mother’s education (log) Age in months Father’s education Base FE WHZ Income WHZ 0.164* (0.086) 0.011*** (0.003) -0.140** (0.058) 0.157* (0.087) 0.011*** (0.004) -0.142** (0.059) 0.008 (0.072) Per capita expenditures (log) Health Knowledge Health Knowledge WHZ Bargaining power WHZ Community services WHZ All pathways WHZ 0.165* (0.087) 0.011*** (0.003) -0.140** (0.057) 0.156* (0.086) 0.012*** (0.003) -0.143** (0.059) 0.166* (0.082) 0.011*** (0.003) -0.140** (0.058) 0.154* (0.087) 0.012*** (0.004) -0.145** (0.059) 0.004 (0.071) -0.003 (0.037) -0.218** (0.096) -0.021 (0.111) -0.029 (0.117) -0.002 (0.038) Bargaining power -0.221** (0.097) Within 30 minutes of a health clinic Observations R-squared Number of provinces 1,925 0.020 1,923 0.020 1,925 0.020 1,925 0.022 1,925 0.020 1,923 0.022 43 43 43 43 43 43 Table 4: First Stage IV Regression for Child Weight-for-Height (WHZ) VARIABLES Zero to 5km of ES (d1) Five to 10km of ES (d2) Number of years ES was available (ESyears) Interaction d1*ESyears Interaction d2*ESyears Mother’s education -0.041 (0.066) 0.157** (0.076) Mother’s education -0.008 (0.049) 0.163** (0.071) Per capita expenditures 0.068 (0.092) 0.010 (0.079) -0.016 (0.020) 0.349*** (0.107) -0.049 (0.045) -0.003 (0.019) 0.407*** (0.124) -0.020 (0.042) 0.072*** (0.010) -0.023 (0.030) 0.031 (0.035) 0.368*** (0.027) 1923 0.299 0.007 (0.027) -0.168** (0.066) 0.048 (0.045) 0.028** (0.013) -0.035 (0.044) -0.007 (0.041) 0.320*** (0.026) 1923 0.161 Health knowledge Bargaining power Within 30 minutes of a health clinic Wealth index Observations R-squared 1925 0.117 Table 5: Second Stage IV Regressions for Child Weight-for-Height (WHZ) VARIABLES Mother’s education (log) Age in months Father’s education Basic model WHZ Full model without income WHZ Full model with income WHZ 1.735*** (0.579) 0.016*** (0.004) -0.163** (0.071) 1.736*** (0.551) 0.016*** (0.004) -0.157** (0.071) -0.162*** (0.062) -0.163 (0.129) 1.287*** (0.326) 0.012*** (0.004) -0.177** (0.070) -0.065 (0.040) -0.287** (0.126) -0.145 (0.149) -0.033 (0.130) Health knowledge Bargaining power Within 30 minutes of a health clinic Per capita expenditures (log) Observations R-squared Number of provinces -1.113*** (0.394) 1,925 -0.244 43 1,925 -0.224 43 1,923 -0.227 43 Threshold effects WHZ threshold regression coefficients 2 0 -2 -2 -1 -1 0 1 Parameter estimate 1 2 3 HAZ threshold regression coefficients 0 _Imomedu_ye_5 _Imomedu_ye_10 Mother's years of education log_pce 0 _Imomedu_ye_5 _Imomedu_ye_10 Mother's years of education log_pce Summary of results • Strong positive coefficient of mother’s education on WHZ (IV/FE estimation) • Positive but insignificant coefficient of mother’s education for HAZ (OLS estimation). • Household per capita expenditures are a pathway for impact on HAZ. Counterintuitive sign of father’s education, bargaining power and household expenditures in WHZ regression. Summary of results Evidence of existence of threshold effects but need to consider the cost. Keep girls in school as long as possible; design nutrition programs targeted at girls/women. Limitations: could not IV mother’s health knowledge, quality of bargaining power and health knowledge variables, no information on religion and ethnicity. Questions? Thank you! Table A1: First Stage IV Regressions for Child Height-for-Age (HAZ) VARIABLES Zero to 5km of ES (d1) Five to 10km of ES (d2) Number of years ES was available Interaction d1*ESyears Interaction d2*ESyears Mother’s education -0.045 (0.063) 0.155** (0.074) Mother’s education -0.001 (0.059) 0.169** (0.074) Mother’s education -0.006 (0.047) 0.156** (0.069) Per capita expenditures 0.025 (0.091) 0.023 (0.076) -0.013 (0.020) 0.326*** (0.106) -0.051 (0.044) -0.007 (0.019) 0.329*** (0.112) -0.042 (0.044) 0.095*** (0.011) -0.084** (0.033) -0.001 (0.019) 0.380*** (0.123) -0.019 (0.042) 0.070*** (0.010) -0.026 (0.030) 0.001 (0.027) -0.165** (0.067) 0.049 (0.045) 0.030** (0.013) -0.029 (0.044) 0.108*** (0.037) 0.030 (0.034) 0.362*** (0.027) 1,998 0.296 32.45 0.000 -0.004 (0.040) 0.314*** (0.026) 1,998 0.157 27.03 0.000 Health knowledge Bargaining power Within 30 minutes of a health clinic Wealth index Observations R-squared F (test of excluded instruments) P-value of F-test 2,000 0.116 3.11 0.008 2,000 0.177 2.91 0.013 Table A2: Second Stage IV Regressions for Child Height-for-Age (HAZ) VARIABLES Mother’s education Child’s age (months) Father’s education Urban residence Basic model HAZ Full model without income HAZ Full model with income HAZ -0.637 (0.514) -0.206*** (0.029) 0.028 (0.061) 0.726* (0.387) -0.739 (0.521) -0.207*** (0.029) 0.024 (0.061) 0.713** (0.331) 0.093 (0.058) 0.130 (0.114) -0.355 (0.301) -0.199*** (0.028) 0.034 (0.061) 0.030 (0.204) 0.020 (0.034) 0.217** (0.106) 0.118 (0.128) 0.030 (0.111) Health knowledge Bargaining power Within 30 minutes of a health clinic Per capita expenditures Observations R-squared 0.713* (0.364) 2,000 0.047 2,000 0.038 1,998 0.054