Research methodology in management sciences DBA IMI / GOLESTAN 1 RM1 Research Methodology (1) 2 INTRODUCTION • What is research? • Ways of knowing • Characteristics of research • What is “good” research? • Approaches to research • Research process overview 3 What is research? • The systematic, controlled, empirical, and critical examination of hypothetical propositions about a phenomenon in order to enhance knowledge 4 Ways of knowing • Authority • Intuition • Experience • Research 5 Characteristics of common sense • Unless we decide not to, we usually observe inaccurately • We usually generalize from only a few cases • We observe selectively to see what we’re looking for • We make things up to fill in the gaps • We believe in luck and fate • We get personally and emotionally involved 6 Characteristics of research • We consciously decide how to observe • We explicitly sample for generalizing • We consciously decide what to observe • We base conclusions only on the evidence • We believe in probability • We have to respect scientific norms regardless of opinions 7 In summary Research is more conscious and more careful than knowing through authority, intuition or experience 8 What is “good” research? • Thoughtful • Carefully planed • Theoretically grounded • Carefully conducted 9 Deductive approach • Theory generates… • Hypotheses, which are then subjected to… • Observation and possibly lead to… • Confirmation 10 Inductive approach • Observation generates… • Patterns leading to… • Tentative hypothesis, that is next integrated within a… • Theory 11 Positivism • The world does exist • It is possible to study it objectively 12 Constructivism/Interpretivism • The world does not exist • It is impossible to study it objectively 13 Other “isms” • Post-positivism • Relativism • Post-modernism • Critical realism 14 The research process (1) • A. Plan the research – Define the research question(s) – Define the population and sampling method – Determine variables of interest and measures – Determine model /set of hypothesis – Select research design and statistical tests – Write proposal 15 The research process (2) • B. Conduct the research – Identify sample – Conduct experiment/ collect data – Analyze data – Test hypotheses / research questions • C. Report the results – Write research report – Write academic paper 16 RM2 Research Methodology (2) 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Ad. Cost Independent variable Customer ability Intervening variable Price Moderator variable Sell quantity Dependent variable Media Control variable 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 2 n= Z pq d 2 43 44 Response rate is… # that answered # you contacted The proportion of people who return the survey questionnaire. It is calculated by dividing the number of returned surveys by the total number of surveys distributed. Example: If you distribute 250 questionnaires and you get 85 questionnaires back, your response rate is 34%. 45 Low response to our surveys We often send out surveys and find that few are returned. Response rates of 30% and lower are common in Extension. Often, the number of returned surveys is too small to aggregate in a meaningful way or make any comparisons. Best practice says that a response rate under 70% should be a warning. 46 Why is response rate important? It’s the only way to know if your survey results are representative. High response rate promotes confidence in results. Low response rate increases the probability of biased results. a higher response rate is preferable because the missing data is not random 47 Comparing Early, Late, and NonRespondents • Identify subjects who responded to the first mailing within the deadline date, and label them as early. Similarly, identify all other subjects who responded to subsequent mailings, and label them as late. After the data collection is complete, identify and label the non-respondents. According to Miller and Smith (1983), nonrespondents tend to be similar to late respondents in responding to surveys. Therefore, compare the early and late respondent groups on key variables (Figure 1). If you find no significant differences between early and late respondents, you can statistically conclude that non-respondents are perhaps similar to late respondents and thus generalize the findings to the population. The other accepted procedure is to follow-up with a telephone call to 15-20% of the non-respondents, and collect data from them on key variables. Then do a comparison between early and late, early and nonrespondents, and late and non-respondents. 48 Logic of Comparing Early, Late, and Non-Respondents 49 • If the comparison indicates no differences between these three groups of respondents, then you can generalize the findings to the population. On the other hand, if you find significant differences, you cannot generalize the findings to the population. Therefore, use your judgment as to whether or not to include the differed variables for final analysis. Normally, the differed variables are eliminated from further analysis. Explain why the subjects differed on the key variables. Otherwise, provide justification for including the differed variables in the final analysis. • Use independent t-test to compare early and late respondents; early and non-respondents; and late and non-respondents. Use ANOVA if you want to compare all three (early, late, and non respondents) response types and conduct a post-hoc analysis to determine group (early, late, and non respondents) differences. 50 Response rate (RR) •How to achieve a high response rate? •Getting a high response rate (>80%) from a small, random sample is considered preferable to a low response rate from a large sample. 51 There is no standard response rate “The higher, the better.” While it is not actually the % that matters but WHO responds, a higher response rate means that you can be more sure that the answers reflect the population. So, we want to remove barriers and motivate as many people as possible to complete and return the questionnaire. How can we do that? 52 Most important things that influence response rate: Importance of the topic – interest in the topic of the survey Personalized request and communications Multiple follow-up contacts Sponsor of the survey is respected, trusted Questionnaire is brief and easy to complete 53 Checking Representativeness • Early vs. late Respondents • Respondents vs. non- Respondents 54 55 10 Ways to increase response rate 1. Generate positive publicity for your survey. 2. Appeal to people’s helping tendencies – ask them to help by providing their input. 3. Make the survey topic salient – important • • Ensure that respondents see the value of the survey and their response. Point out their personal connection to the topic 4. Tailor, personalize communications 5. Make the questionnaire attractive and easy to complete AND easy to return 56 10 ways to increase response rate, cont. 6. Provide incentives (token of appreciation) 7. Show positive regard; Say thank you 8. For mail survey, provide 1st class postage/return postage 9. Make (multiple) follow-up contacts – by mail, email, telephone, in person… 10. Use a combination of survey modes – telephone plus mail; internet plus mail. 57 RM3 Research Methodology (3) 58 59 60 61 62 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Temperature in Celsius degrees (from 10°C to 20°C) ? Age (from 0 to 99 years) ? Date (from 1457 BC to AD 2013) ? beautiful vs. ugly? male vs. female? 63 64 The term "level of analysis" points to the location, size, or scale of a research target 65 66 67 True Score Theory 68 True Score Theory is a theory about measurement. Like all theories, you need to recognize that it is not proven it is postulated as a model of how the world operates. Like many very powerful model, the true score theory is a very simple one. Essentially, true score theory maintains that every measurement is an additive composite of two components :true ability (or the true level) of the respondent on that measure; and random error. 69 True Score Theory • We observe the measurement -- the score on the test, the total for a self-esteem instrument, the scale value for a person's weight. We don't observe what's on the right side of the equation (only God knows what those values are!), we assume that there are two components to the right side. • The simple equation of X = T + eX has a parallel equation at the level of the variance or variability of a measure. That is, across a set of scores, we assume that: Var (X) = var (T) + var (eX) 70 71 Respondent error • In survey sampling, respondent error refers to any error introduced into the survey results due to respondents providing untrue or incorrect information. It is a type of systemic bias . • Several factors can lead to respondent error : • Misunderstanding (Language and educational ) • Recall bias can lead to misinformation (misrecalling the facts in question) • Social desirability bias(he or she thinks is correct or better or less embarrassing, rather than providing true and honest responses) 72 Administrative error • Improper administration or execution of a survey results in administrative errors. Such errors can be caused by carelessness, confusion, neglect, omission or another blunder. There are four types of administrative errors. 73 1- Data-processing error A category of administrative error that occurs in data processing because of incorrect data entry, incorrect computer programming or other error during data analysis. 2- Interviewer error This type of administrative error is caused by failure of an interviewer to correctly pose questions or record responses. Interviewer error generally leads to biased results, and perhaps to an increase in variability 3- Interviewer cheating The practice of filling in fake answer or falsifying questionnaire while working as an interviewer. 4- Sample selection error Selection bias : an administrative error caused by improper selection of a sample during a survey , resulting in accidental bias in the results. 74 75 76 Same time : consistency Different time : stability/consistency 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 Construct validity • • • • • What is construct? Construct is a trait or attribute You cant measure it. But you can evaluate it by theories bakground Intelligence , creativity , love 85 86 • Construct validity seeks agreement between a theoretical concept and a specific measuring device or procedure. Construct validity can be broken down into two sub-categories: 1- Convergent validity 2- Discriminate validity 87 88 Construct validity • Convergent validity • Discriminate validity 89 1. Predictive 2. Concurrent 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 Issues with unstructured format • • • • Can generate unpredictable responses Dependent on number of respondent Requires content analysis Places a greater load on the respondent – important issues not occur to them 112 113 114 115 116 117 RM5 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184