Systems analysis of innate immune mechanisms in infection – a role for HPC Peter Ghazal What is Pathway Biology? Pathway biology is…. A systems biology approach for understanding a biological process - empirically by functional association of multiple gene products & metabolites - computationally by defining networks of cause-effect relationships. Pathway Models link molecular; cellular; whole organism levels. FORMAL MODELS --- ALLOW PREDICTING the outcome of Costly or Intractable Experiments Focus and outline of talk • High through-put approaches to mapping and understanding host-response to infection. • Targeting the host NOT the “bug” as anti-infective strategy • Making HPC more accessible: SPRINT a new framework for high dimensional biostatistic computation Story starts at the bed side Differentially expressed genes in neonates control vs Infected (FDR p>1x10-5, FC±4) Sterol/ lipogenic Dealing with HTP data: Impact of data variability • Model for introducing biological and technical variation: i Patien y b , i j i i jwhere j Repli 2 ~ N ( 0 , ) ij 2 b ~ N ( 0 , ) i b 2 2 b 2 T ical echnical Total Biolog v ariation variation variati on Modelling patient variability and biomarkers for classification How different data characteristics affect the misclassification errors? Factors investigated: Data variability (biological and technical variations) Training set size Number of replications Correlation between RNA biomarkers Machine Learning methods: Random Forest (RF) Support Vector Machine (SVM) Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) K-Nearest Neighbour (K-NN) Mizanur Khondoker Error rate vs. (number of biomarkers, total variation) An example of a simulation model to quantify number of biomarkers and level of patient variability Conclusions from simulations • There is increased predictive value using multiple markers – although there is no magic number that can be recommended as optimal in all situations. • Optimal number greatly depends on the data under study. • The important determining factors of optimal number of biomarkers are: • The degree of differential expression (fold-change, p-values etc.) • Amount of biological and technical variation in the data. • The size of the training set upon which the classifier is to be built. • The number of replication for each biomarkers. • The degree of correlation between biomarkers. • Now possible to predict optimal number through simulation. Rule of five: Criteria for pathogenesis based biomarkers • Readily accessible • Multiple markers • Appropriately powered statistical association • Physiological relevance • Causally linked to phenotype Key challenge is mapping biomarkers into: biological context and understanding Requires an experimental model system Bone Marrow Blood ? Tissue Monocyte ? Resident Macrophage (immature) Promonocyte Lymphokines Activated T-Lymphocyte Myeloid Stem Cell (Primary Signal) Inflammation IFN-gamma Primed Macrophage (Secondary Signal) Endotoxin, IFN-gamma Pluripotent Stem Cell “Activated” Cytolytic Macrophage Transcriptional profile of MΦ activated by Ifng How do we tackle this? A sub-system study of cause effect relationships with a defined start (input) and end (output). Literature Data-mining PATHWAY BIOLOGY Modelling Network analysis Experimentation genetic screens microarrays Y2H mechanism based studies Mapping new nodes Literature Data-mining PATHWAY BIOLOGY Experimentation Transcriptional profile of MΦ infected with CMV Hypothesis generation • Blue zone vs red zone Down regulation of sterol pathway BUT… recorded changes are small – Do they have any effect? Next step modelling PATHWAY BIOLOGY Experimental data Pure and applied modelling Network inference analysis Workflow Literature derived model Known parameters Order of magnitude estimation ODE model Unknown parameters Vary parameters by an order of magnitude Ensemble average Ensemble of ODE models Results Cholesterol Synthesis Modelling ODE model, Michaelis-Menten interactions • 57 Parameters • 25 Known Parameters • 32 Unknown Parameters Algorithm • Using the first three time points, calculate an equilibrium state • Release model from equilibrium and simulate using enzyme data • For each unknown, consider this model across 3 orders of magnitude, holding the other unknowns parameters fixed. Where available, parameters obtained from the Brenda enzyme database http://www.brenda-enzymes.info/ Cholesterol (output of sterol pathway) results from simulation and expts Free intra-cellular cholesterol concentration in NIH-3T3 fibroblast Predictions: Experiments: 120 Relative quantity in % 100 80 Mock C3X moi 1 60 40 20 0H 6H 24h 48H 72H Hours post infection Cholesterol rate/flux Cholesterol levels Lipidomic – mass spec results • Infection down regulate cholesterol biosynthesis pathway and free intra-cellular cholesterol. • Can now predict the behaviour of the pathway. • But? • Just as a good as UK (Met Office) weather predictions……because…… Scalability issues related to increased complexity HPC for High Throughput Post-Genomic Data • Increasing complexity and size of biological data • Solution: High Performance Computing (HPC)? Problems with large biological data sets – Volume of data • Many research groups can now routinely generate high volumes of data – Memory (RAM) handling: • Input data size is too big • Algorithms cause linear, exponential or other growth in data volume – CPU performance: • Routine analyses take too long Limitation examples: Clustering • Gene clustering using R on a high-spec workstation: – 16,000 genes, k=12 gene clusters runs for ~30min – 16,000 genes, k=40 gene clusters runs for ~10hrs Partitioning-Around-Medoids, n genes, k=12 clusters requested Memory fail limit Outcome: Adverse effect on research • • • • • Arbitrary size reduction of input data Batch processing of data Analyses in smaller steps Avoidance of some algorithms Failure to analyse Solution: High Performance Computing • HPC takes many forms: – clusters, networks, supercomputer, grid, GPUs, “cloud”, ... • Provides more computational power • HPC is technically accessible for most: – Department own, Eddie, HECToR,... However! HPC Access Hurdles • Cost of access • Time to adapt • Complex, require specialist skills • Consultancy (e.g. EPCC) only feasible on ad-hoc basis, not routinely HPC Access Hurdles HPC is (currently) optimal for: - Specific problems that can be tackled as a project - Individuals who are familiar with parallelisation and system architectures HPC is not optimal for: - Routine/casual analyses of high-throughput data - Ad-hoc and ever-changing analyses algorithms - Data analysts without time or knowledge to sidestep into parallelisation software/hardware. Need a step change (up!) to broaden HPC access to all biologists Challenge two fold!! • Provide a generic solution • Easy to use SPRINT (DPM & EPCC)) A solution for analyses using R Post Genomic Data R Biological Results Very Large Post Genomic Data R Very Large Post Genomic Data HPC (Eddie) R Biological Results SPRINT SPRINT SPRINT has 2 components: 1. HPC harness manages access to HPC 2. Library of parallel R functions e.g. cor (correlation) pam (clustering) maxt (permutation Allows non-specialists to make use of HPC resources, with analysis functions parallelised by us or the R community. Code comparison data(golub) smallgd <- golub[1:100,] classlabel <- golub.cl resT <- mt.maxT(smallgd, classlabel, test="t", side="abs") quit(save="no") library("sprint") data(golub) smallgd <- golub[1:100,] classlabel <- golub.cl resT <- pmaxT(smallgd, classlabel, test="t", side="abs") pterminate() quit(save="no") Permutation Benchmark Input Array Data Size Permutation Count Estimated maxt 1 CPU Pmaxt on 256 CPUs (s) 36,612 x 76 500,000 6 hrs 73.18 36,612 x 76 1,000,000 12 hrs 46.64 73,224 x 76 500,000 10 hrs 148.46 100,000 x 320 1,000,000 20 hrs 294.61 Correlation Benchmark Input Array Data Size Output Array Data Size pcor() on 256 CPUs (s) 11,000 x 320 (27 MB) 923 MB 4.76 22,000 x 320 3.6 GB 13.87 9.1 GB 36.64 15 GB 42.18 (54 MB) 35,000 x 320 (85 MB) 45,000 x 320 (110 MB) Clustering Benchmarks Future • Cloud (confidentiality issues) • GPU (limitations is data size) Viral Interaction Networks Host Interaction Networks Bed-bench-models-almost back to bed Virus Antiviral Systemic Therapeutic Host New therapeutic and diagnostic opportunities THANK YOU & Acknowlegments to our sponsors Acknowledgement Mathieu Blanc Steven Watterson Mizanur Khondoker Paul Dickinson Thorsten Forster Muriel Mewissen EPCC Terry Sloan Jon Hill Michal Piotrowski Arthur Trew