Galaxy Clusters as Cosmic Probes Subha Majumdar Cluster Cosmology - A flavour of decades old results Pre WMAP - 1999 Science article Bahcall, Ostriker, Steinhardt DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 1 DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 2 In this era of CMB, SNe, etc Why do we need clusters? LSST forecast: Strengths of different approaches within one single survey DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 3 Cluster surveys / observational programs (incomplete list) Red Sequence Cluster Survey (RCS) Spitzer Adaptation of the RCS (SpARCS) Spitzer Legacy Extremeley Wide Survey (SLEWS) Gemini Cluster Astrophysics Spectroscopic Survey (GCLASS) South Pole Telescope (SPT) APEX-SZ Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) Blanco Cosmology Survey Sunyaev-Zeldovich Array (SZA) ROSAT XMM-LSS Serendipitous Survey XMM-Cluster Survey Pan-Starrs Dark Energy Survey (DES) Hyper SuprimeCam (HSC) Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) eROSITA, Wide Field Xray Telescope AMIBA, SuZIE, Cluster Imaging Experiment, Cluster Cosmology Atacama Telescope DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 4 South Pole Telescope papers are rolling in… 6+1 paper since June 2009 Results are full of surprises!! DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 5 Atacama Cosmology Telescope papers are not behind… DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 6 What are clusters? How do they form? What do they contain? AND How are they distributed? DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 7 The WMAP Sky DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 8 QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 9 Counting clusters: mass function, growth fn & 8: Universality when written in terms M Seth-Tormen: ellipsoidal collapse & Nbody Jenkins etal, bestfit to simulations Also Warren etal, Lukic etal latest. [8 for R=8h-1 Mpc] Cosmology with Cluster Number Counts (with apologies to) 1. with Xray luminosity function 2. Xray temperature function 3. Xray gas mass fraction 4. Optical/Xray cluster 3D corr fn 5. Optical/Xray 2D angular correlations 6. SZ+XR method of Hubble Const DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 11 Cosmology affects cluster counts - DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 12 Almost 10 years back… Weller, Battye & Kneissi 2002 Fixed Mlim --> so NO uncertainty in cluster physics --> unrealistic , good as first attempt. Ncl = 13600 SNAP Ncl = 5200 Ncl = 1972 Ncl =90 Problem is we have to deal with real clusters! Large peak in matter density – Dark matter clump (~80% of mass) – Many luminous galaxies (~2%: 10% of baryons) Chandra Image of Zw38 • BCG and red sequence • Additional galaxies • Diffuse light – Hot gas (~18%: 90% of baryons) • Emits X-rays • Causes SZ decrement in microwave background DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 14 Cluster Physics Interplay Example SZ scaling: f x z 4 d L2 AM E 2 z 1 z DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 15 Example - Lets talk about scatter… Scatter can boost signal, ex: Cl’s or n(z) Reason : shape of the mass function. Widens the range of possible masses for fixed value of the observable Include it by convolving the mass fn with distribution of the scatter scaling mass fn Distribution of observable Probability of assigning obs mass-true mass Standard assumption: gaussian scatter in loglog plane DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 16 Scatter and cosmology : Scatter – 8 degeneracy in dn/dz Pdf of 8 with priors on scatter DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 17 Self-Calibration - A paradigm shift in cluster cosmology Use complimentary information from the survey itself e.g. the mass dependence of bias / spatial distribution 1. 2. 3. Using the cluster power spectrum and P(k) oscillations Adding information from counts-in-cell Shape of mass-function in redshift slices (Majumdar & Mohr, Lima & Hu) Unbiased parameter estimation with small error bars in the presence of systematics. This idea has now propagated to other fields in cosmology Weak Lensing Galaxy Bias BAO Photo-z Non-gaussianity from LSS etc DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 18 Self Calibration using Cluster Power Spectrum Power spectrum of dark matter density fluctuations P(k) – Clusters are biased: 20,000 clusters comparable to ~5x105 galaxies – Turnover on large scales- “standard rod” calibrated by primary From redshift surveys, we CMB fluctuations will get P(k) for free ! DUET P(k) Unfortunately, only P(k) gives almost no constraints on `w’. Combined with CMB priors, one can constraint w ~ 25-30% Things become interesting when dn/dz and P(k) are Combined. SM & J.Mohr 2003 DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 19 Prospects for Self-Calibrating Cluster Survey… SM & J Mohr, 2003 DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 20 Some ideas on what to expect on DE … Xray - < 5-10% for eROSITA ~ 1% like from WFXT Similar constraints from optical with similar cluster numbers Ignore SZE for now! DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 21 `The Proof of the Pudding is in Eating’ or Real Results from Real Survey (RCS1 and RCS2) DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 22 DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 23 We are in a little spot with recent SZE results… • • • Pre 2009 SPT/ACT surveys forecasted to yield 4-7clusters/deg (Planck ~ 1000 to few 1000) • • • Post 2009 SPT/ACT finds 0.05-0.12 clusters/degsq Also finds less SZ power in SZ Cl’s Implication - Cosmological constraints are washed out ! So, will doing cosmology with clusters become secondary science for these SZ surveys ? Need to do something More with these surveys! Our Options 1. Come up with new ideas for cluster surveys 2a) Make progress with understanding of cluster physics (for cases wherecluster modeling cannot be avoided) 2b) Make atleast a useful ‘working’ model of cluster 3) Fall back on some old ideas of combining diff SZE outputs DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 25 Quick Thinking 1 - Change Survey Design tobs 2000 deg2 Example ACT - 2000 deg2 survey with tobs~107 s ftime = fractional time spent on the smaller patch. 1800 deg2 200d eg2 tS = ftimetobs tL = (1-ftime)tobs Magic of a ‘tiered’ survey (in numbers) … (from Satej’s talk) Single area survey (2000) deg2. A, α, γ unkown γ unkown with follow-up Ωm 0.676 0.019 0.032 w 1.343 0.400 0.147 σ8 2.849 0.121 0.028 factor of 4 BIG improvement! improvement! Wedding Cake survey (200+1800) deg2. better than mass follow-up Ωm 0.105 0.009 0.030 w 0.115 0.095 0.088 σ8 0.116 0.019 0.028 Bottomline - A simple change of survey plan can do wonders Overlapping areas for SZE+Xray surveysAn ensemble of dual detected clusters for free XRay clusters Temp Sizes Common SZ clusters mock catalog of 430 clusters created from ACT/SPT+eROSITA for Nbeam=2 with minimum 20% errors in dA(z). dA from clusters ‘CAN BE LIKE’ dL from Sne !! 100 mass follow-up: 30-100 % error ACT/SPT dN/dz + dA(430) ACT/SPT dN/dz only ACT/SPT dN/dz + SNe(307) Use flux counts with SZ Cl to remove cluster uncertainties … Diego & SM DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 30 Higher - z and Larger Surveys - 1. Completed Optical 2. Proposed (and failed) Optical 3. Upcoming and funded Xray 4. Proposed XRay DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 31 PI - G Wilson (USA) DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 32 …more DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 33 What about masses? - For the cluster in SpARCS SOUTH Vdisp = 1050 +/- 230 km/s M = 9.4 +/- 6.2 x 1014 Msun 5.7 x 1014 Msun (from scaling) z = 1.34 This cluster just should not exist !! Or maybe a sign of non-gaussianity We are working on it now. DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 34 DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 35 A comparison of survey volumes … SDSS: 10000 deg, z<0.5, Vol ~ 7 Gpc3 SPT/ACT : 2000- 4000deg, z=0.1 -1, Vol ~ 7-14 Gpc3 RCS2: 900 deg, z=0.2-0.9, Vol ~ 2.4 Gpc3 & SpARCS ~ 0.5 Gpc3 350 deg, z=1-2 Vol ~ 3.6 Gpc3 high-z survey having smaller area has same leverage due to Its higher volume! DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 36 Becoming more ambitious - More with Spitzer Proposed, for ~3000 hours (i. e., 4 months of Spitzer time) making it a legacy class survey: The Spitzer Legacy Extremely Wide Survey (SLEWS) PI: Jonathan Gardner (NASA) & Gillian Wilson (UCRiverside) (Multi country, multi supportive PI from other surveys, huge team Total members : 84 (with different backgrounds and expertise) Roughly 59 (USA), 24 (Europe + Japan), 1 (India) Basic coverage: 350 deg2 , 1< z < 2 Basic aim: a) To do clusters at high z b) To do quasars at z>6.5 when reionization is about to occur and there are probable stromgen spheres Passed initial stages but finally lost to a ExoPlanet Survey :-( DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 37 Into the ‘not too distant future’ - Wide Field Xray Telescope (Mission pushed ahead by R. Giacconi , 2010 Decadal Survey) If funded, this will be the mother of all cluster surveys DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 38 Forecast for WFXT - using N(z) + P(k) DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 39 Cluster constraints on ‘generalised’ modified gravity models with = 0.55 for standard model (GR+LCDM) DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 40 Can India have a world class optical survey ??? A comparison Telescope RCS on 4m CFHT 2m in Hanle Seeing 0.7 arc sec <1 arc sec Resolution 0.187 arc sec 0.45 arc sec FOV 1 deg sq 0.7 arc-min sq 30 arc-min sq RCS1 (100 degsq) Equivalent time ~ 27 - 40 hrs ~ 1350-2000 hrs or 54 - 80 hrs I think its possible with a little effort !! Technology additions are easy and cheap. DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 41 Thanks Thanks also to Ravi Subrahmanyan, Biman Nath, Joe Mohr Martin White, Dick Bond, Wayne Hu, Nabila Aghanim, Joe Silk, Christoph Pfrommer, Nick Battaglia, Jon Sievers, Sudeep Das, Jose Diego,Bhuvnesh Jain, Howard Yee, Mike Gladders, Henk Hoekstra, Gillian Wilson, Adam Muzzin, Yen Ting Lin , Alexey Vikhlinin, Salman Habib, David Gilbank Zoltan Haiman + Satej Khedekar & Anya Chaudhuri. DTP Colloquium, TIFR, 29 June 2010 42