Crossover Design in a Modified Latin Square Design Irrigation Water Usage and Corn Growth over 6 Seasons in 4 Quadrants for 4 Irrigation Schedules D.D. Steele, E.C. Stegman, and R.E. Knighton (2000). "Irrigation Management for Corn in the Northern Great Plains, USA," Irrigation Science, Vol19, pp.107-114. Experimental Summary • Goal: Compare the effects of 4 Irrigation Schedules in terms of Water Usage and Corn Growth over 6 Seasons on 4 quadrants. • Irrigation Schedules/Methods: A=Tensiometer & Infra-red, B&C=H2O Balance, D=CERES • Seasons: Years 1=1900 to 6=1995 • Quadrants: 1=SW, 2=SE, 3=NE, 4=NW • Modified Latin Square (Rows=Years,Cols=Quads): Year 1: All Quadrants receive schedule A Years 2-5: Traditional Latin Square Year 6: Repeat of Year 5 Design Summary/Data Year\Quad 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 SW A A B D C C SE A D A C B B NE A C D B A A NW A B C A D D • Modifications allow for each treatment to follow each treatment (including itself) at least once, and for independent estimates of direct and carryover effects of approximately equal precision. • Effects to be estimated/tested: • Year (6 levels, 5 degrees of freedom) • Quad (4 levels, 3 degrees of freedom) • Direct Scheduling Effect (4 levels, 3 df) • Carryover Scheduling Effect (4 levels, 3 )df year 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 quad 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 sched 1 1 2 4 3 3 1 4 1 3 2 2 1 3 4 2 1 1 1 2 3 1 4 4 water 193 199 138 91 108 155 192 134 80 52 209 132 197 117 51 40 152 207 179 104 98 43 131 205 corn 93.5 90.4 58.4 50.8 115.0 95.4 92.9 90.4 57.8 42.1 119.0 99.2 83.5 83.5 50.2 36.4 96.0 75.3 81.6 79.7 45.8 34.5 96.0 81.0 Statistical Model/Formulation yij i j k l ij i 1,..., 6 j 1,..., 4 where: Overall Mean i Effect of Year i j Effect of Quad j 6 i 1 i 0 4 j 1 j 0 k Direct Effect of Schedule k 4 k 1 l Carryover Effect of Schedule l k 0 4 l 1 l 0 ij Random error term ij ~ NID 0, 2 Note that the indices (i,j) refer to year and quad. Only one schedule appears in each year/quad (see previous slide), and only one schedule appears in the previous year/same quad. There are no carryover effects in year 1. Matrix Form – Y = X X 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 2 0 1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 3 0 0 1 0 0 -1 0 0 1 0 0 -1 0 0 1 0 0 -1 0 0 1 0 0 -1 4 0 0 0 1 0 -1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 5 0 0 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0 0 1 -1 X4 X3 X2 X1 X0 Y 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 0 -1 0 0 1 -1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 -1 -1 2 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -1 3 0 0 0 -1 1 1 0 -1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1 1 0 1 1 0 -1 0 0 1 -1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -1 2 0 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 3 0 0 0 0 -1 1 0 0 -1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 Water 193 199 138 91 108 155 192 134 80 52 209 132 197 117 51 40 152 207 179 104 98 43 131 205 Corn 93.5 90.4 58.4 50.8 115 95.4 92.9 90.4 57.8 42.1 119 99.2 83.5 83.5 50.2 36.4 96 75.3 81.6 79.7 45.8 34.5 96 81 Note by the formulation: 6 1 2 3 4 5 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 Parameter Estimates X ' X X 'Y 1 Units: Water: Irrigation Totals (mm) Corn: Harvest yield (100s kg/hectare) “Extreme” Effects: Var W-Max W-Min C-Max C-Min Year 6,1 4 5 4 Quad 1 4 1 4 Irr (Dir) 1 3 2 1 Irr (Co) 1 4 3 1 Note by the formulation: Parm 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 6 4 4 4 Water 128.7 45.8 -4.0 -37.0 -72.2 21.3 17.0 -0.9 -8.9 15.7 2.5 -19.7 13.8 0.0 -3.7 46.0 -7.2 1.5 -10.0 Corn 78.2 12.6 11.9 -25.1 -37.2 28.3 6.9 6.1 -5.7 -2.9 2.5 0.1 -4.1 0.9 2.7 9.5 -7.3 0.3 0.5 6 1 2 3 4 5 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 Analysis of Variance • Goal: Test for Direct and Carryover Effects for Irrigation Methods. • Problem (often, as opposed to traditional Latin Square): Treatment Factors are not orthogonal. • Solution: Use Type I (Sequential) Sums of Squares SS(Year|) SS(Quad|Year,) SS(Trt Direct|Quad,Year,) SS(Trt Carryover|Trt Direct,Quad,Year,) SS(Trt Direct|Trt Carryover,Quad,Year,) • Due to Modified Latin Square, Direct and Carryover: SS(Trt Direct|Quad,Year,) = SS(Trt Direct|Trt Carryover,Quad,Year,) Computation of Sums of Squares SS Total Uncorrected Y ' Y R Y ' P0Y P0 X 0 X 0 ' X 0 X 0 ' R , Y ' P01Y 1 P01 X 01 X 01 ' X 01 X 01 ' X 01 X 0 | X 1 R , , Y ' P012Y 1 P012 X 012 X 012 ' X 012 X 012 ' X 012 X 0 | X 1 | X 2 1 R , , , Y ' P0123Y P0123 X 0123 X 0123 ' X 0123 X 0123 ' X 0123 X 0 | X 1 | X 2 | X 3 R , , , Y ' P0124Y P0124 X 0124 X 0124 ' X 0124 X 0124 ' X 0124 X 0 | X 1 | X 2 | X 4 1 R , , , , Y ' P01234Y 1 P01234 X 01234 X 01234 ' X 01234 X 01234 ' X 01234 X 0 | X 1 | X 2 | X 3 | X 4 Type I SS: SS (Year) R , R SS Quad R , , R , SS Irr Direct,Unadj R , , , R , , SS Irr Carryover, Adj R , , , , R , , , SS Irr Carryover, Unadj R , , , R , , SS Irr Direct, Adj R , , , , R , , , SS Error SS Total Uncorrected R , , , , SS Total Corrected SS Total Uncorrected R 1 Results for Irrigation Data Sum of Squares Total Uncorrected R() R(, ) R(, ,) R(, ,,) R(, ,, ) R(, ,,, ) Type I SS Year Quad Irr Direct, Unadj Irr Carr, Adj Irr Carryover, Unadj Irr Direct, Adj Error Total Corrected Water 501041 428535 480101 481758 484863 482970 486075 Corn 155900 142358 154589 155678 155748 155779 155849 51565 1657 3105 1213 1213 3105 14966 72506 12231 1089 71 101 101 71 51 13543 ANOVA-Water Source Year Quad Irr Direct Irr Carryover Error Total (Corr) df 5 3 3 3 9 23 SS MS F 51565 10313.08 1657 552.26 3105 1035.01 1213 404.17 14966 1662.88 72506 ANOVA-Corn Year Quad Irr Direct Irr Carr Error Total (Corr) df 5 3 3 3 9 23 SS MS F P-value 12231 2446.20 432.78 0.0000 1089 363.03 64.23 0.0000 71 23.54 4.17 0.0417 101 33.73 5.97 0.0160 51 5.65 13543 P-value 6.20 0.0093 0.33 0.8025 0.62 0.6181 0.24 0.8642 There is no evidence of direct or carryover effects with respect to water usage. Both type of effects are significant with respect to corn yield Note that SS(Irr Direct) and SS(Irr Carryover) are the same whether or they have been adjusted for the other, due to the modified design. In a traditional latin square, they would not have been