SCALING MOBILE BROADBAND CAPACITY – A FRESH LOOK IEEE-USA PRESENTATION TO FCC NOVEMBER 6, 2012 Arogyaswami Paulraj Broadcom Corporation & Stanford University Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 1 BROADCOM CORP. AND PRESENTER INFO Broadcom Corporation Arogyaswami Paulraj Headquartered in Irvine, CA Sr. Advisor to Broadcom Corp. A global leader in semiconductors for wired and wireless communications Professor (Emeritus), Stanford University ~ 11,200 staff worldwide 75 design centers globally 2011 net revenue of $7.39 billion Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 2 WIRELESS – CONNECTING EVERYTHING Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 3 MOBILE BROADBAND DRIVERS Richer Media Lower Latency Higher Network Capacity Greater User Density Service Criticality Higher Availability Expectation Higher Areal Reliability Greater Geographic Penetration Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 4 MOBILE BROADBAND DEMAND GROWTH Traffic Relative to 2009 Industry Forecasts of Mobile Data Traffic Cisco Coda Yankee Group Average 80% CAGR Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. Source: FCC, October 2010 5 GROWING NETWORK CAPACITY Capacity (BPS / Sq. Mile) = Spectrum x Spectrum (Hz) Efficiency x No. of Cells / Sq. Mile (BPS / Hz / Cell) Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 6 ADD MOBILE SPECTRUM Capacity (BPS / Sq. Mile) = Spectrum x Spectrum (Hz) Efficiency x No. of Cells / Sq. Mile (BPS / Hz / Cell) FCC Goal: 300 MHz by 2015 and additional 500 MHz by 2020 in the “mobile” bands – optimistic ?? Allocating spectrum Exclusively licensed Shared Rights Unlicensed Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 7 WHAT CAN SPECTRUM BUY? Signal (Power per Hz) Bandwidth x Log (1 + BPS / User = (Hz) ) Noise (Power per Hz) At low SNRs (typical), we cannot increase BPS / User by adding bandwidth without proportionally adding power Uplink: Power in handsets already at Max (SAR) – so more spectrum mainly buys more users, unless we shrink cell size or add antennas Downlink: Power in BS is not at max (as yet) so more spectrum allows scaling BPS/user and number of users Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 8 MORE SPECTRUM EFFICIENCY Capacity (BPS / Sq. Mile) = Spectrum x Spectrum (Hz) Efficiency x No. of Cells / Sq. Mile (BPS / Hz / Cell) 1.36-1.5 1.5 1.08-1.29 1.0 0.72 0.48 0.5 0.03 0.09 GPRS EDGE 0.16-0.24 0.0 WCDMA HSDPA, Rel 5 HSPA, Rel 6 Better reuse, adaptive modulation Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. HSPA, Rel 7 LTE Early MIMO 9 ADD CELLS Capacity (BPS / Sq. Mile) = Spectrum x Spectrum (Hz) Efficiency x No. of Cells / Sq. Mile (BPS / Hz / Cell) Challenges in adding cells High CAPEX + OPEX costs (US cell growth 7-8% recent years) Zoning / access Backhaul: Fiber is prohibitive in some areas, DSL/Cable do not scale (500 MBPS/Cell), small cell radio back haul faces many technology issues Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 10 MOBILE BROADBAND CAPACITY GROWTH TO 2017 Cell Type Add Cells Macro + 50 % Add Spectrum (Low Band) +30% Outdoor Micro-Pico Indoor + 400% Add Spectrum Efficiency +50% - MIMO - CoMP - Higher QAM - ICIC Covered by Indoor Networks x10 capacity growth – optimistic Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 11 A New Approach 12 Range Km. 2.0 Rx Aperture Sq. M 1.0 Tx Aperture Sq. cm Frequency GHz FREQUENCY VS. RANGE (FIXED APERTURE) 1 1 1 0.25 0.25 0.5 0.25 1 1 1 1 2 Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. UPLINK 13 No. of Rx Antennas Capacity Mbps 1.0 No. of Tx Antennas Frequency GHz FREQUENCY VS. CAPACITY (FIXED APERTURE) 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 8 UPLINK 2.0 Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 14 HYPER MIMO (H–MIMO) Adding Antennas Current (Small) Aperture Higher Frequency Band Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. Current (Low) Frequency Band Larger Aperture 15 ATTENUATION LOSS – HIGH BAND Attenuation Loss from Atmosphere, Rain and Foliage is Acceptable in Small Cells Atmospheric Rain Foliage Weissberger’s Mode Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. where, L = The loss due to foliage (dB) f = The transmission frequency (GHz) d = The depth of foliage ‘’’along’’’ the path (m) 16 H-MIMO PROPAGATION – HIGH BAND High shadowing and low diffraction – so only LOS or Near LOS propagation will work – ball parks Foliage loss is manageable with “look down” rather than “look through” deployments Small cells keeps atmospheric and rain loss manageable Handset antennas can be switched to avoid hand / head shadowing Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 17 H-MIMO: ANTENNA AND RF HARDWARE Long history in military radar applications Wi-Fi 802.15c and .11ad already building multi element arrays Broadcom, IBM, Cybeam, … have built low-cost integrated array modules Low band large aperture arrays need multi-use models – bill boards, architectural structures 16 element Active Array 802.15c Low cost high band RF array technology is possible Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 18 H-MIMO: BASEBAND AND NETWORK COMPLEXITY With Multi-User(MU)-MIMO, a 50 user baseband complexity is lower than Single User 4x4 MIMO Other layer 2 and 3 technologies are no different from current systems – data rates are just scaled up But strong shadowing will require rapid multi-cell coordination Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 19 H-MIMO: SMALL APERTURE – HIGH BAND Use Case: Elevated base station antenna array, small cell, for high density outdoor pedestrian subscribers Scale up frequency by Kf No. of BTS antennas up by Kf2 No of handset antennas 1 (or more) Technology – MU-MIMO Capacity scales by Kf2 Range unaffected (ignoring absorption loss) Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 20 H-MIMO: LOW BAND – LARGE APERTURE Use Case: Large array base stations for nomadic and vehicular subscribers Aperture = Ka times wider and taller No. of BS antennas up by Ka2 No. of handset antennas 1 (or more) Technology – MU-MIMO Capacity scales by Ka2 Range “doublings” = log (Ka2) Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 21 LOW BAND – LARGE APERTURE (MOBILE STATION) Use Case: Vehicular subscribers in macro cell environment No of vehicular antennas = N Technology – Up Link and Down Link beam forming Range “doublings” = log (N) Technology – MU-MIMO / COMP Capacity scale up by x10 ? Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 22 H-MIMO REGULATORY ISSUES New spectrum allocation in high bands for “mobile” use Spectrum licensing models in high bands – exclusive, shared, unlicensed RF bio-safety in high and low bands High gain beam forming increases EIRP Multi-User MIMO – multiple beams Near field Base station zoning in low bands (for physically large arrays) Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 23 MOBILE BROADBAND POTENTIAL CAPACITY GROWTH 2017 – 2022 Cell Type Add Cells Add Spectrum Add Spectrum Efficiency Low band High Mobility + 50 % +30% +100% Vehicular Backhaul High band Low Mobility + 50% 150% +10,000% H-MIMO Outdoor x500 capacity Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 24 SUMMARY Mobile broadband capacity will severely lag demand if we rely only on current approaches Huge capacity gains can come from H-MIMO Needs significant spectrum, regulatory and technology initiatives Broadcom Proprietary and Confidential. © 2012 Broadcom Corporation. All rights reserved. 25 Thank You 26