Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models Purpose • Illustrate different loss models in a HECHMS precipitation-runoff simulation – The example is “minimal” in the sense that only a small set of HEC-HMS capabilities are employed – Realistic parameter values are employed from public-domain references, but the example is fabricated for pedagogical simplicity. Learning Objectives • Learn how to copy a “project” so can modify without damage to original files. – Reinforce the concepts of “Projects” as a datastorage paradigm. • Learn how to import observations. – Use of measured rainfall and discharge. Where available can use to “calibrate” a watershed model. • Learn how to parameterize different loss models – Initial loss and constant rate loss model – NRCS CN runoff generation (loss) – Green-Ampt loss model Problem Statement • Simulate the response of the Ash Creek watershed at Highland Road for a the XXXX historical conditions. – Use Example 2 as the base “model”, modify by substitution of the real rainfall time series and the observed runoff time series. – Treat the entire watershed as a single subbasin. Background and Data • Watershed Outlet – Highland Road and Ash Creek, Dallas, TX. – Area is residential subdivisions, light industrial parks, and some open parkland. – White Rock Lake is water body to the North-West Physical Properties • Watershed Properties – AREA=6.92 mi2 – MCL=5.416 mi – MCS=0.005595 – CN=86 – R=0 This was used in IaCl specification -- will examine source of number -- will also need GA values Historical Data • Precipitation and Runoff – May 20, 1978 – Total depth about 3-inches, close to Example 2 depth (much different time scale) Historical Data • Precipitation – Note start time • Runoff – Note start time Start Time • Start time is important – The start time of rainfall time series and runoff time series should be same – A common error is time mismatch, usually obvious in the simulation but not always. Using “Real” Data • Need to prepare the data – Uniform time steps (no 17 hour gap) – Rainfall and runoff data should have same start times, use zero-padding to make happen • Data become “time-series” elements – Rainfall => With a “rain-gage” in HEC-HMS – Runoff => With a “discharge-gage” in HEC-HMS Building The Model – Create a New Project • Use Example 2 as the base model – Start Example 2 – Select “Save-As” – Save to a new project name and file Building The Model – Create a New Project • Use Example 2 as the base model – Start Example 2 – Select “Save-As” – Save to a new project name and file Name Path Check these to create duplicate files Building The Model Verify the copy • Run a simulation – Convince self that have a working copy Data Preparation • Now prepare the external hyetograph from the historical data – Use Excel to prepare the time series – Specify a long enough time window in the time-series manager – Use HEC-HMS “fill” to fill in the 17 hours Data Preparation: Rainfall • Use Excel to prepare the time series • Specify a long enough time window in the time-series manager – 5-20-1978 to 5-221978 should cover the rainfall and allow an entire day for runoff – Can refine if needed Data Preparation:Rainfall • Specify a long enough time window in the time-series manager – 5-20-1978 to 5-221978 should cover the rainfall and allow an entire day for runoff Data Preparation: Rainfall • Use Excel to prepare the time series – Identify non-uniform time step sections – line up with input table in HEC-HMS – One-time only is easiest to enter blocks, then use HMS tools to fill in values – Many storms, worth writing code to interpolate (external to HMS) Not every 15 minutes here Data Preparation: Rainfall • Use Excel to prepare the time series – Identify non-uniform time step sections – line up with input table in HEC-HMS – One-time only is easiest to enter blocks, then use HMS tools to fill in values – Many storms, worth writing code to interpolate (external to HMS) Data Preparation: Rainfall • One-time only is easiest to enter blocks, then use HMS tools to fill in values – Enter value first line (not displayed) – Highlight fill block – Right-click block and select fill method Data Preparation: Rainfall • One-time only is easiest to enter blocks, then use HMS tools to fill in values – Enter value first line (not displayed) – Highlight fill block – Right-click block and select fill method Completed data fill (zero padding in t Data Preparation: Rainfall • Continue for remaining non-uniform spaced blocks. – When complete, plot the time-series and Excel and HEC-HMS; should look the same (padded the Excel file to start/end same elapsed time) • This plot is QA/QC only, once data are entered, won’t need further Excel plots. Loss Model Parameters • IaCl model in TxDOT 0-4193-7 Data Preparation: Runoff • Use Excel to prepare the time series • Specify a same time window as rainfall • Copy, paste, fill by same process. Data Preparation: Runoff • Create discharge gage – Time series manager. Data Preparation: Runoff • Specify time window Data Preparation: Runoff • Use same process as for rainfall – Insert blocks – Use fill tool to insert missing values – Plot results to compare Data Preparation: Runoff • Continue for remaining non-uniform spaced blocks. – When complete, plot the time-series and Excel and HEC-HMS; should look the same (padded the Excel file to start/end same elapsed time) • This plot is QA/QC only, once data are entered, won’t need further Excel plots. Example 3: IaCl Loss Model • Leave remainder of model unchanged – Represents the IaCl model – Represents the NRCS DUH transformation model • Run the simulation using the real rainfall (in contrast to a hypothetical input) – Compare simulation output with discharge gage – Assess how well the estimation methods worked – Try different loss models (Run 2 and Run 3) Example 3: IaCl Loss Model • Instruct the program to plot the observed gage with the simulation gage. – Basin/Options Example 3: IaCl Loss Model • Dotted curve is observed runoff, solid is simulation – Timing ~ 70 minutes late – Peak ~ 50% low – Volume ~ 20% high • One could “calibrate” but that is for a later module. • Stipulate that simulation is a bit off, and explore different loss models. Example 3B : Green-Ampt • Requires some added knowledge about the Ash Creek locale – Soil types and tables of values – Prior study (if lucky – in this example available) Example 3B : Green-Ampt • Soil Types – Texas available from TAMU – Nationwide from NRCS • This example will download the NRCS map, it is more assessable to hydrologists, the TAMU database is specialized for soil scientists. Example 3B : Green-Ampt • NRCS Soil Map Zoom to this area Read description Example 3B : Green-Ampt • NRCS Soil Map : Type 2 Example 3B : Green-Ampt • NRCS Soil Map : Type 2 – Loamy and clayey soils Example 3B : Green-Ampt • Compare description with published soil behavior – Use middle description. – Other arrows indicate reasonable bounding ranges Loss Model: Green-Ampt • Parameter estimation – Initial water content. 0.187 – Saturated water content: 0.464 – Saturated hydraulic conductivity: 0.04 in/hr – Soil suction: 8.27 inches Example 3B: Green-Ampt • Results – Timing ~ 70 minutes late – Peak ~ 50% low – Volume ~ 9% high (good!) Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model • Example 3A will substitute the NRCS Loss Model for the IaCl model • Clone the project again (Save As …) to preserve structure and reduce chance of a data specification error • Change the loss model specification, enter curve number and re-simulate. Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model • Curve number selection – Determine hydrologic soil classification – Uses same soil map as in Green-Ampt – Soil Group C or D appropriate based on saturated hydraulic conductivity. Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model •Make an assessment of “open space”, residential, and commercial industrial. •Then decide fraction impervious for a composite number. •Subjective, but most analysts will be within +/- 10. Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model • Look up CN for the different parts, I choose lowest value in C group soil. – 10% of area is the stream drainage, essentially open space CN ~ 79, %IC=0 – 30% of area is commercial-business (note the general aviation airport is included) CN ~ 91, %IC ~ 85 – 60% of area is some kind of residential, CN ~ 83, %IC~40 • Composite these to a value of CN=90 for the watershed, IC is already considered. Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model • Clone the project again (Save As …) to preserve structure and reduce chance of a data specification error • Change the loss model specification, enter curve number and re-simulate. Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model • Results with different loss model. – Timing ~ 70 minutes late – Peak ~ 50% low – Volume ~ 50% high HEC-HMS Example 3 • Learning Points – Copy entire projects to keep different models organized. – Used Excel to prepare data for import into Time-Series-Manager; allows use of measured values where available. – IaCl, Green-Ampt, NRCS CN perform differently but require similar data preparatory effort. HEC-HMS Example 3 • Learning Points – Used external data sources • NRCS soil maps (internet) • Texas A&M Soil Database (didn’t use, but know available) • Used a Green-Ampt soil property correlation in SWMM (but from the soils literature) • Used TxDOT hydraulic design manual for CN estimation. NEH 630 Chapter 9-10 would have produced similar values. HEC-HMS Example 3 • Learning Points – Assembly of external data sources is vital to the hydrologist • Most practicing hydrologist’s offices are a mess of old reports – that’s where they find the data. • Many useful external data sources are available in PDF reports from a variety of sources, need to get in the habit of citing the data source should one need to defend input value choices. HEC-HMS Example 3 • Learn more – HEC HMS user manual – FHWA-NHI-02-001 Highway Hydrology • Next example – Calibration tools