Health and Health Care Demand The Determinants of Health • • • • • • Medical Care and Health Education and Health Income and Health Inequality and Health Lifestyle and Health Environment and Health Grossman Grossman Model • Investment in health as a form of human capital the Grossman model • Pure Consumption Model Grossman Model Age Wage Effect Education Uncertainty Practice • What happens to MEI if someone gets goes to college? What happens to the optimal health stock H? And what happens to demand for health inputs? • What does this mean for expanding health insurance to less educated? Practice • What happens to MEI if someone gets cancer? What happens to the optimal health stock H? And what happens to demand for health inputs? • Using the Grossman Model what would you predict the differences would be between US citizens and A Citizen of SubSaharan Africa (Botswana, Lesotho, etc) in terms of their demand for HIV prevention? The Consumption Model • Pure Investment model vs. Pure consumption model Grossman Model • Additional factors that affect health in pure consumption model – Age – Wages – Education Age • Optimal Health stock demanded still falls with rise in d • Demand for health care (investment in health) still rises with age. Health and Wealth Wage Education Research • Studies using the Grossman model • Critiques of the Model All Death is Suicide Since health capital is one component of human capital, a person inherits an initial stock of health that depreciates with age - at an increasing rate at least after some stage in the life cycle - and can be increased by investment. Death occurs when the stock falls below a certain level, and one of the novel features of the model is that individuals "choose" their length of life. Consumer Utility Theory • Utility maximization – Income as the Budget Constraint – Change in Relative Prices – Income and Substitution effects Consumer Utility Theory • Utility Maximization – Time as the Budget Constraint – The importance of Time – Labor Leisure trade-off Practice The Demand for Health Care • Derived from Consumer Utility Maximization • Price elasticity of demand for medical care – Insert tables on price elasticity Elasticity • Elasticity is a general concept that can be used to quantify the response in one variable when another variable changes. % A elasticity of A with respect to B % B Price Elasticity of Demand Margin • Extensive versus Intensive. • Prescription drugs – Getting prescriptions vs number of prescriptions Negative inputs into health production function • Lifestyle • Chemical dependency – Rational Addiction Demand for Unhealthy Goods • Chart on alcohol drugs, etc • Rational Addiction – http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rational_addiction Time • Time cost and time price elasticities. Income Elasticity • Is medical care normal or superior good? (luxury good?) Total expendit. on health /capita, $ PPP $8,000 US $6,000 $4,000 France $2,000 Korea $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 GDP Per Capita $PPP $40,000 $50,000 Total expendit. on health /capita, $ PPP $8,000 US $6,000 $4,000 France $2,000 Korea $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 GDP Per Capita $PPP $40,000 $50,000 Finkelstein, A., Luttmer, E. F. P., & Notowidigdo, M. (2008). What Good Is Wealth Without Health? The Effect of Health on the Marginal Utility of Consumption.Unpublished manuscript. http://youtu.be/D8VZqxcu0I0 Bayesian analysis of testing Costs? Expenditures = Price X Quantity Can we rein in the growth of health care expenditures? Not Likely. The Race to Death Cancer Heart Disease Stroke Diabetes Car Accident The Race to Death X Cancer Heart Disease Stroke Diabetes Car Accident The Race to Death Cancer X Heart Disease Stroke Diabetes Car Accident “Cut half of all medical spending” ~Robin Hanson