Antibiotics and Risk of New Onset Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Meta-Analysis Ryan Ungaro1, Charles Bernstein2, Richard Gearry3, Anders Hviid4, Kaija-Leena Kolho5, Matthew Kronman6, Souradet Shaw2, Herbert Van Kruiningen7, Jean-Frédéric Colombel1, Ashish Atreja1 2013 CCFA Advances in Inflammatory Bowel Diseases Conference 1. Ichan School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 2. University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada 3. University of Otago, Christchurch, New Zealand 4. Statens Serum Institut, Coopenhagen, Denmark 5. University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland 6. Seattle Children’s Hospital, Seattle, Washington 7. University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut Disclosures Nothing to Disclose Background ● Medications emerging as risk factor for IBD ● Antibiotics may increase risk of CD and UC1 ● However some studies have found no association2,3 ● Few studies have reported risk associated with specific antibiotic classes 1. De Vroey et al. Am J Gastroenterol. 2010;105(12) 2. Castiglione F et al. J Crohns Colitis. 2012;6(3) 3. Van Kruiningen et al. Inflamm Bowel Dis. 2005;11(4) Study Aims 1. To examine antibiotic use as a risk factor for new onset IBD, CD and UC 2. To evaluate if effect of antibiotics different in children versus adults 3. To determine IBD risk with specific antibiotic classes Methodology ● Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE)1 ● Search strategy ○ Medline, Embase and Cochrane databases ○ Search keywords: ■ Inflammatory bowel disease, Crohn’s disease, ulcerative colitis, antibiotics, penicillin, cephalosporin, tetracycline, fluoroquinolone, macrolide, sulfonamide, metronidazole 1. Stroup DF, et al. JAMA 2000;283. Methodology ● Inclusion criteria ○ Cohort or case-control ○ Data on exposure to antibiotics prior to new diagnosis of IBD (CD, UC, or both) ● Data collection ○ Two reviewers extracted data ○ Authors contacted if data not available in published manuscript (7 studies) ● Data analysis ○ Random-effects model to determine overall pooled estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) ○ The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) to assess study quality1 1. Wells et al. Accessed at: http://www.ohri.ca/programs/clinical_epidemiology/oxford.asp. Search Results 4508 Citations Retrieved 2558 from Pubmed 1798 from Embase 149 from Cochrane 3 from Backward Snowballing 1234 Review Articles Excluded 3274 Original Articles 3259 Articles Excluded by Title and Abstract Review 16 Original Articles 11 Articles Included ● 8 Case-Control ● 3 Cohort 5 Studies Excluded After Full Text Review ● 3 used surrogate for antibiotic use ● 1 without controls ● 1 insufficient data available Case-Control Studies Study Year Country Cases, n Controls, n Population Age, years Quality Score (NOS)1 Card et al 2004 UK 587 CD 1460 41.64 (mean) 8 Van Kruiningen et al* 2005 Belgium 74 CD 140 24 (mean) 7 Gearry et al* 2010 New Zealand 638 CD, 653 UC 600 20 or older (no average given) 8 Han et al 2010 New Zealand 315 CD 536 45.6 (mean) 5 Shaw et al* 2010 Canada 27 CD, 9 UC 360 8.4 (mean) 7 Shaw et al* 2011 Canada 1025 CD, 1218 UC 22,346 43.4 (mean) 6 Castiglione et al 2012 Italy 468 CD, 527 UC 562 36 (median, CD) 37 (median, UC) 3 Virta et al* 2012 Finland 233 CD, 362 UC 2380 9.7 (mean, CD) 8.5 (mean, UC) 8 * provided extra data Pediatric studies highlighted 1. Wells et al. Accessed at: http://www.ohri.ca/programs/clinical_epidemiology/oxford.asp. Cohort Studies Study Year Country Cases, n Cohort Size, n Population Age, years Quality Score (NOS) 1 Margolis et al 2010 UK CD 71, UC 94,487 99, 37 IBDU 22.1 (mean) 9 Hviid et al* 2011 Denmark 50 CD, 67 UC 577,627 3.4 (mean) 8 Kronman et al* 2012 UK 449 CD, 272 UC, 27 IBDU 1,072,426 17 or 9 younger (no average given) * provided extra data Pediatric studies highlighted IBDU = IBD, type unclassified 1. Wells et al. Accessed at: http://www.ohri.ca/programs/clinical_epidemiology/oxford.asp. Included Studies ● 11 total studies with 7,208 patients diagnosed with IBD ○ 3,937 patients with CD ○ 3,207 patients with UC ○ 64 patients with IBDU ● Majority studies (9 of 11) explicitly excluded some time period prior to new diagnosis of IBD ○ Range from 3.9 months to 4 years ○ Limit confounding by diagnostic delay IBDU = IBD, type unclassified Antibiotic exposure associated with increased overall risk of new onset IBD (CD) (UC) I2 = 82.35, p = 0.00 Antibiotic exposure and risk of new onset IBD in adults and children Adults OR 1.431 (95% CI 1.116-1.834) I2 = 90.07, p = 0.00 Children OR 1.894 (95% CI 1.237-2.989) (CD) (UC) I2 = 48.78, p = 0.099 I2 = 48.78, p = 0.099 Antibiotic exposure associated with increased risk of new onset CD I2 = 84.87, p = 0.00 Antibiotic exposure and risk of new onset CD in adults and children Adults OR 1.565 (95% CI 1.177-2.081) I2 = 89.97, p = 0.00 Children OR 2.747 (95% CI 1.723-4.379) I2 = 0.00, p = 0.63 Antibiotic exposure NOT associated with increased risk of new onset UC I2 = 47.41, p = 0.07 Antibiotic exposure and risk of new onset UC in adults and children Adults OR 1.058 (95% CI 0.851-1.316) I2 = 72.71, p = 0.012 Children OR 1.112 (95% CI 0.773-1.602) I2 = 0.00, p = 0.87 Most classes of antibiotics are associated with increased risk of new onset IBD Antibiotic Class Number of Studies Providing Data Pooled OR (95% CI) P value Heterogeneity I2 (p value) Metronidazole 3 5.010 (1.646 - 15.245) 0.005 I2 = 91.018 (0.000) Quinolones 3 1.789 (1.027 - 3.118) 0.040 I2 = 85.901 (0.001) Broad-spectrum penicillins 3 1.313 (1.143 - 1.509) 0.000 I2 = 70.824 (0.032) Tetracyclines 4 1.301 (1.173 - 1.443) 0.000 I2 = 0.000 (0.794) Cephalosporins 4 1.268 (1.143 - 1.407) 0.000 I2 = 6.703 (0.360) Macrolides 4 1.231 (1.112 - 1.363) 0.000 I2 = 20.012 (0.290) Sulfonamides 4 1.174 (1.058 - 1.302) 0.003 I2 = 0.000 (0.396) Penicillin 3 1.117 (0.761 - 1.639) 0.572 I2 = 74.191 (0.021) Limitations ● Data compiled from retrospective studies ○ Questionnaire studies subject to recall bias ● Range in the quality of studies (based on QOS scale) ● Significant heterogeneity in certain analyses ● Different antibiotic exposure exclusion time periods Summary ● Antibiotic exposure increases odds of new diagnosis IBD ● Antibiotic use increases risk new onset CD but not UC ● CD risk greatest in children ● Most antibiotic classes associated with IBD ○ Penicillin not associated ○ Metronidazole and quinolones most strongly associated Discussion • Antibiotics may increase IBD risk by altering microbiome • Alternatively, association may be surrogate marker for increased risk infections in CD 1. Manichanh C et al.Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2012;;9(10). 2. Perez-Cobas et al. Gut. 2013; 62(11). 3. Gradel KO et al. Gastroenterology. 2009;137. Thank You ● Ashish Atreja ● Jean-Frederic Colombel ● ● ● ● ● ● ● Charles Bernstein Richard Gearry Anders Hviid Kaija-Leena Kolho Matthew Kronman Souradet Shaw Herbert Van Kruiningen ● Crohn’s and Colitis Foundation of America