Directed therapy for fungal infections - latest advances Rosemary Barnes Focus on aspergillosis Problem Total UK antifungal expenditure c £112 million Rising by 9% pa Antifungal expenditure is completely out of proportion with the scale of the problem Incidence of IFD in ICU (candida) <0.6% Aspergillus infection in haematological malignancy (0.5-12%) Aspergillus in SOT <5% Harrison D et al Fungal Infection Risk Evaluation (FIRE) Study. Health Technol Assess 2013; 17(3). Pagano L et al. Haematologica 2006; 91: 1068-1075 Pagano L et al. Clin Infect Dis 2007; 45: 1161-1170 Reasons Infection associated with significant morbidity and mortality Signs and symptoms of systemic infection are nonspecific Conventional diagnostic techniques are suboptimal Delays in treatment associated with poorer outcome Choices choices choices Febrile despite antibiotics Empirical therapy Diagnosis Change antibiotics Decision tree yes Fever no Decision tree yes yes no No diagnosis Fever no yes no Decision tree yes no yes yes no yes no No diagnosis Anxiety Fever no yes yes no no yes no Decision tree yes no yes no yes yes no yes no yes no yes no yes no No diagnosis Anxiety Out of hours Fever no yes yes no no yes no yes no yes no yes no yes no Decision tree yes no yes no yes yes no yes no yes no yes no yes no No diagnosis Anxiety Out of hours Fever no yes yes no no yes no Empirical therapy yes no yes no yes no yes no No therapy Aim of a directed strategy include all patients likely to have invasive fungal infection and treat them with the safest and most effective drug exclude all patients unlikely to have invasive fungal disease and adopt a WAIT-andSEE policy Maertens et al. (2012) Haematologica 97(3): 325-327. Consensus criteria Aimed to provide definitions for proven, probable and possible fungal infection that could facilitate clinical research Designed for use in clinical trials Highly selective population Not representative of real life clinical practice Focus on specific radiological signs Focus on defining DISEASE needs to shift towards INFECTION Needs a diagnostic approach biomarkers De Pauw et al CID 2008, 46 The biomarkers Antigen tests Galactomannan (aspergillus) Beta D glucan (pan-fungal-ish) Lateral flow device Molecular Aspergillus specific Panfungal Commercial (…….) Galactomannan - in serum useful test in surveillance: high NPV Performance in haematological malignancy better than in SOT neutropenic > corticosteroid treated group Adults >children Influenced by pre-test probability (ie sensitivity increases with prevalence) EORTC/MSG criteria heavily dependent on test being performed Recommended by ECIL Galactomannan – meta-analyses 30 studies > 7000 patients cut-off 0.5: 100 patients: 2 patients with IA, will be missed, 17 patients will be treated unnecessarily cut-off 1.5 OD: Prevalence 7.7% sensitivity78% (61% to 89%) specificity 81% (72% to 88%). 3 IA patients will be missed 5 patients will be treated unnecessarily results were very heterogeneous. Insufficient data to look at clinical utility http://www.thecochranelibrary.com BAL 0.5 approved by FDA On the basis of clinical validity PUO PPV of GM BAL is 100% at an OD index cutoff of ≥3 only 76% at ≥ 0.5 (but NPV is high) GM pos CT BAL Pre test probability Maertens et al CID 2009 Beta D Glucan 4 different commercial tests Sensitivity, specificity variable but NPV high Heterogenous data : retrospective vs. prospective; Different cut offs “panfungal” – except cryptococcus and mucoracous moulds High false-positives: up to 30% - bacteraemia, antibiotics, pre-/analytical contaminations complex analytical procedures Analytical validity established Utility data limited Included in EORTC/MSG criteria Beta D Glucan-meta-analysis 16 studies in 2979 patients Included case-controlled studies Included critical care, HM and solid organ cancer patients Cut off 10-1000 pg/ml Sensitivity 76.8% (67.1%–84.3%) specificity 85.3% (79.6%–89.7%) “area under ROC curve 0.89” “good diagnostic accuracy” Karageorgopoulos et al Clin Infect Dis 2011;52(6):750 PCR The UK Fungal PCR consensus group 2004 technically validated candida PCR Made recommendations for aspergillus PCR 2006 European Aspergillus PCR Initiative set up 86 participants in 69 centres in 24 countries defined a standard for PCR for Aspergillus Whole blood Serum plasma optimal methodology to evaluate the performance and impact QCMD available White et al J Molec Diagn 2006; 8: 376 White et al J Clin Micro 2010: 48 1231 www.eapcri.eu/ PCR Study ID PCR=>2pos Williamson 2000 Ferns 2003 Buchheidt 2004 Kawazu 2004 Florent 2006 Halliday 2006 Stenghele 2006 White 2006 Jordanides 2005 Subtotal (I-squared = 52.9%, p = 0.030) . PCR=>1pos Hebart 2000 BJH Hebart 2000 JID Williamson 2000 Buchheidt 2001 Raad 2002 Ferns 2003 Buchheidt 2004 Kawazu 2004 Lass-Floerl 2004 Scotter 2005 Halliday 2006 Stenghele 2006 El-Mahallawy 2006 Subtotal (I-squared = 62.4%, p = 0.001) . Overall (I-squared = 57.1%, p = 0.001) OR (95% CI) % Weight 325.00 (12.25, 8623.71) 0.75 (0.05, 11.31) 6.86 (1.65, 28.50) 11.92 (3.13, 45.34) 15.17 (6.00, 38.34) 81.00 (4.54, 1443.84) 12.50 (2.58, 60.45) 211.50 (24.37, 1835.39) 7.97 (1.52, 41.74) 15.97 (6.83, 37.34) 2.57 3.32 6.14 6.39 7.54 3.08 5.73 4.32 5.51 44.60 139.92 (7.21, 2716.71) 53.28 (2.87, 989.20) 93.00 (4.58, 1889.51) 47.88 (13.87, 165.35) 177.29 (8.35, 3765.07) 1.33 (0.09, 20.11) 3.04 (0.84, 11.06) 7.61 (0.94, 61.24) 1.43 (0.34, 6.08) 55.00 (2.44, 1238.39) 24.51 (1.39, 430.66) 8.66 (1.02, 73.47) 33.75 (8.90, 128.02) 16.41 (6.43, 41.88) 2.96 3.02 2.90 6.66 2.84 3.32 6.51 4.48 6.07 2.77 3.10 4.37 6.40 55.40 16.00 (8.60, 29.79) 100.00 Single negative PCR to exclude disease 2 consecutive PCRs to diagnose IA Sensitivity 88% Specificity 75% DOR22 NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis .0001 1 10000 Mengoli et al Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2009; 9: 89-96 “Directed/pre-emptive” therapy References Country Clinical HRCT GM Micro- biological PCR Non-comparative studies Maertens 2005 Belgium X X X Girmenia 2010 Italy X (X) X Aguilar-Guisado 2010 Spain X Barnes 2009 UK X Dignan 2009 UK X X X X X X Randomised, comparative studies Cordonnier 2009 Hebart 2009 France X X (X) Germany X Observational studies Pagano 2012 Italy X (X) Galactomannan EIA Open study 136 episodes of neutropenia Patients receiving flucon prophylaxis daily EIA GM + early CT scanning in neutropenic febrile episodes Antifungal given if 2 consecutive EIA GM results +ve (index ≥ 0.5) and confirmed by BAL or CT Maertens et al. Clin Infect Dis 2005; 41: 1242 Maertens et al 35% of episodes met criteria for empirical antifungal but only7.7% treated on basis of preemptive therapy Duration of fever not affected 22 cases of IFD only one missed 3 breakthrough infections 2 candidaemias 1 mucorales No excess mortality or fungal related death No impact on overall antifungal usage despite deceased empirical use Cordonnieret al CID 2009 48:1043 293 patients randomised empirical or pre-emptive therapy empirical arm received antifungals if they had persistent/recurrent fever after 4 days pre-emptive patients given antifungal only if they showed clinical and radiological signs of pneumonia/sinusitis positive GM index ≥ 1.5 Aspergillus colonization Septic shock CNS signs/periorbital inflammation Diarrhoea/mucositis ≥ grade 3 fever > 14 days Cordonnieret al Survival was not significantly “Non inferiority” demonstrated pre-emptive patients had more IFI 9.1% vs 2.7% pre-emptive patients received significantly less antifungals no significant cost savings were achieved Used ampho B deoxycholate first -line Empirical vs. pre-emptive antifungal therapy Empirical Pre-emptive IFI in Preemptive IFI in Empirical Cordonnier et al, Clin Infect Dis, 2009; 48: 1042-1051 Pagano et al Haematologica 2011; 96:1363 Observational: Empiric versus “pre-emptive” Data collection 397 HM patients 190 empiric ; 207”pre-emptive” More IFD in pre-emptive arm Increased mortality and antifungal use in “preemptive arm” Fever driven, no screening, diagnostic work up not standardized some GM usage, no PCR Pre-emptive group largely diagnosed on basis of HRCT PCR Nested PCR to guide antifungal therapy 42 patients with cancer, neutropenia AmB required in only 2 patients randomised study of a PCR directed versus an empirical antifungal Lin et al. Clin Infect Dis. 2001;33:1621-1627 more than 400 SCT patients Safe Improved survival at 30 days (not 100) No reduction in antifungal drug use. Hebart et al. Blood 2004;104: 59A. In Cardiff 549 high-risk haematology patients entering neutropenic pathway 2005-2010 audited and followed up for a minumum of 12 months Twice weekly antigen and PCR testing (or GvHD) Itraconazole prophylaxis or AmBisome 7mg/kg/weekly Empiric antifungals not used unless Clinical/mycological evidence of disease Itraconazole levels were subtherapeutic or unmeasured First 125 patients analysed for safety and proof of concept Data collected on compliance, incidence of IFD and efficacy of prophylaxis Barnes et al Journal of Clinical Pathology 2009 Incidence of IFD (2005-2011) Invasive aspergillosis 9.6% 6 histologically proven (2 postmortem) 4 pulmonary (2 with dissemination) 2 invasive sinusitis 47 probable (23 possible IA) Invasive Candidal infection 2% 12 proven 4 C. albicans, 3C. glabrata, 2C. tropicalis, 1C. parapsilosis, 1C. guilliermondii, 1 mixedC. albicans + C. glabrata 1 probable 2 non-aspergillus moulds 1 Mucoraceous mould, 1 Scedosporium prolificans Incidence of proven/probable IFD 12.3% IA disease status of subjects By EORTC/MSG diagnostic criteria Proven – 6 Probable – 47 Possible – 23 NEF – 473 • 248 of NEF showed some signs suggestive of IA •EIA positive n=36 •PCR positive n=136 •EIA and PCR positive n=75 •Aspergillus isolated n=5 Diagnostic accuracy Explore analytical validity. Clinical validity, clinical utility Sensitivity specificity PPV, NPV, LR, DORs Use ROC analysis to explore different thresholds for defining “cases” EORTC/MSG EORTC – GM EIA EORTC + PCR Dual biomarker positivity Multiple positives versus single Positivity Population Assay Provena, probableb vs No IFDc EIA Provena, probableb, possibled vs No IFDc EIA Provena, probable incorporating PCRe vs No IFDc EIA Provena, probableb vs No IFDc PCR Provena, probableb, possibled vs No IFDc PCR Provena, probable incorporating PCRe vs No IFDc PCR Provena, probableb vs No IFDc Provena, probableb, possibled vs No IFDc Provena, probable incorporating PCRe vs No IFDc Provena, probableb vs No IFDc PCR or ELISA PCR or ELISA PCR or ELISA Both PCR and ELISA Provena, probableb, possibled vs No IFDc Both PCR and ELISA Provena, probable incorporating PCRe vs No IFDc Both PCR and ELISA Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) LR+ LR- DOR Single 96.2 (87.3-99.0) 76.7 (72.7-80.3) 31.7 (25.0-39.2) 99.5 (98.0-99.9) 4.14 0.05 84.15 Multiple 62.3 (48.8-74.1) 91.8 (88.9-93.9) 45.8 (34.8-57.3) 95.6 (93.3-97.1) 7.55 0.41 18.36 Single 67.1 (55.9-76.6) 76.7 (72.7-80.3) 31.7 (25.0-39.2) 93.6 (93.7-97.6) 2.89 0.43 6.73 Multiple 43.4 (32.9-54.6) 91.8 (88.9-93.9) 45.8 (34.8-57.3) 91.0 (88.1-93.2) 5.27 0.62 8.54 Single 72.9 (61.5-81.9) 76.7 (72.7-80.3) 31.7 (25.0-39.2) 95.0 (92.4-96.8) 3.13 0.35 8.86 Multiple 47.1 (35.9-58.7) 91.8 (88.9-93.9) 45.8 (34.8-57.3) 92.1 (89.4-94.3) 5.72 0.58 9.93 Single 92.5 (82.1-97.0) 55.6 (51.1-60.0) 18.9 (14.6-24.1) 98.5 (96.2-99.4) 2.08 0.14 15.34 Multiple 73.6 (60.4-83.6) 79.9 (76.1-83.3) 29.1 (22.1-37.3) 96.4 (94.1-97.9) 3.66 0.33 11.08 Single 86.8 (77.5-92.7) 55.6 (51.1-60.0) 23.9 (19.3-29.3) 96.3 (93.4-98.0) 1.96 0.24 8.27 Multiple 65.8 (54.6-75.5) 79.9 (76.1-83.3) 34.5 (27.2-42.5) 93.6 (90.7-95.6) 3.28 0.43 7.65 Single 94.3 (86.2-97.8) 55.6 (51.1-60.0) 23.9 (19.3-29.3) 98.5 (96.2-99.4) 2.12 0.10 20.66 Multiple 71.4 (60.0-80.7) 79.9 (76.1-83.3) 34.5 (27.2-42.5) 95.0 (92.4-96.7) 3.56 0.36 9.95 Single 98.1 (93.4-100) 47.8 (42.0-53.5) 17.4 (11.9-22.9) 99.6 (98.5-100) 1.88 0.04 47.6 Multiple 79.2 (65.3-93.2) 76.7 (71.9-81.6) 27.6 (0.19-36.7) 97.1(94.9-99.2) 3.41 0.27 12.6 Single 90.8 (82.5-99.1) 47.8 (42.0-53.5) 21.8 (16.0-27.6) 97.0 (94.2-99.8) 1.74 0.19 9.0 Multiple 69.7 (56.6-82.9) 76.7 (71.9-81.6) 32.5 (23.341.7) 94.0 (91.0-97.1) 3.00 0.39 7.6 Single 98.6 (92.3-100) 47.8 (42.0-53.5) 21.8 (0.17-0.28) 99.6 (96.1-100) 1.89 0.03 63.13 Multiple 90.0 (80.8-95.1) 76.7 (71.9-81.6) 36.4 (27.6-46.2) 98.1 (95.5-99.3) 3.87 0.13 29.7 Single 90.6 (79.8-95.9) 84.4 (80.8-87.4) 39.3 (31.1-48.2) 98.8 (97.1-99.5) 5.79 0.11 51.76 Multiple (1 assay) 71.7 (56.2-87.2) 87.7 (84.0-91.5) 39.6 (27.1-52.1) 96.5 (94.3-98.7) 5.85 0.32 18.13 Multiple (both assays) 56.6 (43.3-69.1) 94.9 (92.6-96.6) 55.6 (42.4-68.0) 95.1 (92.8-96.7) 11.16 0.46 24.40 Single 63.2 (51.9-73.1) 84.4 (80.8-87.4) 39.3 (31.1-48.2) 93.4 (90.7-95.4) 4.04 0.44 9.24 Multiple (1 assay) 50.0 (35.7-91.5) 87.7 (84.0-91.5) 39.6 (27.1-52.1) 91.6 (88.4-94.90 4.08 0.57 7.16 Multiple (both assays) 39.5 (29.3-50.7) 94.9 (92.6-96.6) 55.6 (42.4-68.0) 90.7 (87.8-93.0) 7.78 0.64 12.20 Single 68.6 (57.0-78.2) 84.4 (80.8-87.4) 39.3 (31.1-48.2) 94.8 (92.2-96.5) 4.38 0.37 11.76 Multiple (1 assay) 54.3 (39.4-69.2) 87.7 (84.0-91.5) 39.6 (27.1-52.1) 92.8 (89.8-95.9) 4.43 0.52 8.5 Multiple (both assays) 42.9 (31.9-54.5) 94.9 (92.6-96.6) 55.6 (42.4-68.0) 91.8 (89.1-93.9) 8.45 0.60 14.03 Threshold Statistical parameters PCR or GM EIA PCR and GM EIA Specificity Sensitivity Proven, probable vs No IFD PPV NPV LR+ LR- DOR Single 98.1 47.8 17.4 99.6 1.88 0.04 47.6 multiple 79.2 76.7 27.6 97.1 3.41 0.27 12.6 single 90.6 84.4 39.3 98.8 5.79 0.11 51.76 multiple 56.6 94.9 55.6 95.1 11.16 0.46 24.4 By EORTC/MSG criteria EORTC EORTC minus GM EORTC plus PCR EIA and PCR multiple (I assay) EIA and PCR multiple (both assays) EIA and PCR single EIA or PCR multiple EIA or PCR single PCR multiple PCR single EIA multiple EIA single Proven/probable disease versus no IFD Diagnostic odds ratio Ascertainment bias 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Positive likelihood ratio 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 15.8 10.5 11.2 EORTC EORTC minus GM EORTC plus PCR Negative likelihood ratio 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.05 0.03 0.2 0.1 0 EORTC EORTC minus GM EORTC plus PCR ROC plot PCR + EIA Proven/prob/poss Proven/prob curve (AUC): 0.910 (95% CI: 0.872-0.948) Performance of PCR Utility in proven/probable n=53 First marker positive PCR in 23 EIA in 15 PCR and EIA simultaneously positive in 7 radiological features in 8 In 85% biomarkers preceded specific radiological signs (range 1-118d) Diagnostic accuracy Screening by PCR AND GM EIA can enable a diagnosis of IA to be excluded Positive PCR +GM EIA or multiple positive PCRs or EIAs can be used to accurately diagnosis IA specificity 84.4%; sensitivity >90% DOR>50 Biomarkers are earliest markers in 85% of cases Use antifungals more cost effectively Antifungal expenditure £400,000.00 £350,000.00 £300,000.00 Total Antifungal expenditure £250,000.00 Cost of testing £200,000.00 Linear (Total Antifungal expenditure) £150,000.00 £100,000.00 Linear (Cost of testing) £50,000.00 £0.00 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Similar units typically spending £1-2 mill pa Use of biomarkers Regular screening throughout period or risk Screening during fever only Diagnostic testing during refractory fever only Confirmation when specific radiological signs are present None - empiric therapy Strategy Used Influenced by Risk of IFD Prevalence affects utility of diagnostic tests Prophylaxis used ECIL recommend screening if IFD 5-10% Mould active reduces utility of diagnostic tests Availability of Diagnostic tests Protective environments/HEPA filtered air Incidence of IFD after posaconazole therapy Pagano et al Haematological 2012; 97:963 Effect of antifungal therapy Days post infection 1 Group 2 3 4 5 PCR GM PCR GM Test qPCR GM PCR GM PCR GM Infected controls 2/3 0/3 3/3 1/3 3/3 3/3 3/3 3/3 Amphotericin B 2/3 1/3 3/3 3/3 3/3 3/3 3/3 3/3 Caspofungin 1/3 1/3 1/3 3/3 2/3 3/3 3/3 2/3 Posaconazole 1/3 0/3 1/3 2/3 3/3 3/3 1/3 2/3 Uninfected controls McCulloch et al J Clin Path 2012; 65:83 0/3 0/3 Marr K A et al. Clin Infect Dis. 2005;40:1762-1769 Example *For example: PCR and GM, or Multiple GM High risk patient Prevalence8- ≥10% No Mould active prophylaxis – Screening regime Mould active prophylaxis used – Diagnostic regime Twice weekly screening of blood samples: Galactomannan, And Aspergillus PCR HRCT and BAL when infection suspected Diagnostic testing during refractory fever with Beta D glucan (serum) and Aspergillus PCR (BAL and blood or serum), galactomannan (BAL and serum) Single Positive biomarker Continue screening process >1 biomarker positive* triggers diagnostic workup to include relevant radiology and BAL if indicated No consistent clinical signs or symptoms indicates need for possible pre-emptive therapy Targeted antifungal therapy for clinically diagnosed infection only with biomarker confirmation Any consistent clinical signs or symptoms indicates need for antifungal therapy at risk Prophylaxis exposure infection Pre-emptive disease Targetted Any Questions?