Ebola Virus Disease (EVD)

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Ebola Virus Disease,

West Africa outbreak 2014

An update on cases

20/02/2015

To update slides with most recent figures, please follow links and instructions provided in the notes section of the relevant slides

Background – Ebola Virus Disease

• First discovered in 1976; two simultaneous human outbreaks

– South Sudan

– Northern Zaire

(now Democratic Republic of the Congo)

– Latter in village near Ebola river, from which disease takes its name

• 1976-2012: Several outbreaks in African regions

Ebola outbreaks, 1976-2014

www.nytimes.com

How does EVD outbreak 2014 compare with past outbreaks?

EVD Outbreak 2014 – Key events

06-Dec: Death of index case

2 year old, Meliandou village,

Guéckédou, Guinea.

Followed by deaths of his mother, sister, grandmother

All retrospectively identified

18 Mar: Guinea announces outbreak

20 Mar: Lab tests confirm Ebola

23 Mar: WHO notified of outbreak in Guinea

25 Mar: First WHO report released

31 Mar: Liberia reports confirmed case

01 Apr:

MSF warns outbreak unprecedented

Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014

EVD Outbreak 2014 – Key events

12 May: EVD cases in

Guinean capital, Conakry

17 Jun: EVD cases now in

Liberian capital, Monrovia

25 Jul: Nigeria reports first

EVD case

08 Aug: WHO declares PHEIC

12 Aug: Deaths >1,000

(WHO)

21 Aug: Two medically evacuated cases in US, successfully treated with experimental therapy ZMapp

29 Aug: Senegal reports first

EVD case

May 2014 Jun 2014 Jul 2014 Aug 2014

EVD Outbreak 2014 – Key events

06 Oct: First EVD case in Europe (nurse in

Spain)

08 Oct: Death of first US EVD case

12 Oct: Nurse tests positive in US

(2 o case)

15 Oct: 2 nd nurse tests positive in US

17 Oct: Outbreak declared over in Senegal

20 Oct: Outbreak declared over in Nigeria

23 Oct: First EVD case in Mali

02 Dec: Outbreak declared over in Spain

29 Dec: First EVD case diagnosed in UK

(Scottish nurse)

28 Sept: First

EVD case in US

12 Nov: Three more cases in Mali; no links to first case

18 Jan : Outbreak declared over Mali

Sept 2014 Oct 2014 Nov 2014 Dec 2014 Jan 2015

How EVD outbreak has grown since

March 2014

Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/

Ebola Outbreak 2014 in West Africa

Affected countries

• Widespread transmission

– Sierra Leone

– Liberia

– Guinea

• Outbreak declared over

– Nigeria

– Senegal

– Mali

Number of EVD cases and deaths, 2014/2015

WHO update 18 February 2015

Guinea

Liberia

Sierra Leone

Mali

Nigeria*

Senegal*

Spain

UK

USA

Total

1

0

1

0

8

6

20

8

1

0

4

1

3108

2057

3900

3408

9007

11103

Widespread and intense transmission

23253

9380

*Outbreaks declared over, Senegal (17 Oct) and Nigeria (20 Oct)

Cases

Deaths

Cases of EVD by country, 2014/2015

WHO Update 18 February 2015

Country

Guinea

Liberia

Sierra Leone

Mali

Nigeria

Senegal

Spain

United Kingdom

United States

Total

Cases*

3108

9007

11103

8

20

1

1

1

4

23253

*Confirmed, probable or suspected but not repatriations

Deaths*

2057

3900

3408

0

0

6

8

0

1

9380

Geographical distribution of new cases and total cases in

Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone

WHO Update 18 February 2015

FIGURE 3. Number of new cases of Ebola virus disease reported —

Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, November 9 –30, 2014

Clinically compatible cases Guinea, Liberia and

Sierra Leone as of 20 Feb 2015

Source: Public Health England, 20 February 2015

Cases in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone,

2014/2015

WHO update 18 February 2015

9000

8000

7000

6000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

2727

374

7

Guinea

3149

1876

3982

Liberia

8212

287

2604

Sierra Leone

Confirmed

Probable

Suspected

Number of new confirmed cases per report week,

23 November 2014 – 15 February 2015

Graphs from Public Health England EVD Epidemiological Update 20 February 2015

Case fatality rate, EVD outbreak 2014

WHO (10 Dec 2014):

• Case fatality rate 71%

Sierra Leone*:

• 74% CFR overall

• 57% CFR < 21 years

• 94% CFR >45 years

• Positive correlation between viral load and risk of death

*Clinical illness and outcomes in patients with Ebola in Sierra Leone,

Schieffelin et al, NEJM, 29 Oct 2014

Clinical illness in first 106 patients with EVD,

Sierra Leone, May-June 2014 (n=106)

Schieffelin et al, NEJM, 29 Oct 2014

EVD cases and deaths in healthcare workers

WHO Update 18 February 2015

Deaths Country

Guinea

Liberia

Sierra Leone

Mali

Nigeria

Spain

United Kingdom*

United States†

Total

*Case infected in Sierra Leone

†Two cases infected in US, one in Guinea

Cases

167

372

294

2

11

3

851

1

1

488

Non-repatriated cases of EVD outside of

West Africa, as of 19 February 2015 (n=6)

Date of diagnosis

Country of diagnosis

30 Sep 2014 USA

06 Oct 2014 Spain

11 Oct 2014

15 Oct 2014

23 Oct 2014

29 Dec 2014

USA

USA

USA

UK

Country of infection

Type

Liberia

Spain

USA

USA

Imported

Local transmission

Local transmission

Local transmission

Guinea Imported

Sierra Leone Imported

HCW Status

No

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Died

EVD free

EVD free

EVD free

EVD free

EVD free

Medical evacuations and repatriations from West Africa, as of 19 Feb 2015

36 individuals evacuated or repatriated (includes confirmed cases or those with an Ebola exposure)

26 evacuated to Europe

12 confirmed EVD cases

Germany 3 ; Spain 2

France 2; UK 1

Norway 1; Netherlands 1

Italy 1; Switzerland 1

14 tested negative

10 evacuated to US

Countries involved in the management of

EVD cases www.wikipedia.com

Ongoing updates on the EVD situation available at: http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situati on-reports/en/

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