Carilion Clinic’s Journey on the Population Health Management and Big Data Highways June 5, 2014 Tom Denberg, MD Chief Strategy Officer Executive Vice President Carilion Clinic 1 Greetings from Western Virginia 2 3 Tonight’s Topic Health IT And Population Health 4 Big Data and Healthcare-behind but catching up Health Catalyst Big Data and Healthcare • Big data is a term used for massive amounts of information that can be interpreted by analytics to provide an overview of trends or patterns. • Organizations leverage big data by gathering records and information captured and then interpreting it with analytics. • Common in other industries, big data has only recently begun to become a factor in healthcare. It has applications range from provider-specific business intelligence to scouring over an entire state's health records to pinpoint people who are at risk for certain ailments. • Many believe that big data can help target early warning signs and improve patient safety Healthcare IT News 2014 Enterprise Data Warehouse CLAIMS/Plan Data Sources EPIC EMR Operational Database (Cache) Web-based User Interface LY HT G L NI ET Aetna Employee Group, ACO (Wholehealth) Claims Lab Rx Eligibility Cloud-Based/ASP services CARILION CLINIC Claims Data Population Advisor Premier/Verisk CMS Medicare Shared Savings Temporary Claims Staging Database sk Ri s, p a a / G Dat rns ion e t n Co fica re trati a C S Clarity Relational Database ETL TMG Medicare Advantage Claims EPIC EMR QNTX Medicare HMO (Majesticare) Other Plans - TBD SAP/ Business Objects Enterprise Enterprise Data Warehouse 7 Healthcare IT and ACOs The Critical List • • • • • • • • • • Population identification - attribution Identification of care gaps – Decision Support Risk Stratification Cross Continuum Care management Quality and Outcomes measurement Patient engagement Telemedicine Mixing claims and clinical data Predictive modeling Clinical information exchange 8 Excess Cost Domain Estimates Cost in Billions of $$$ Unnecessary Services ($210 B) $75 $210 $55 $105 $130 $190 IOM. The Healthcare Imperative, 2010. Inefficiently Delivered Services ($130 B) Excess Administrative Costs ($190 B) Excessive Pricing ($105 B) Missed Prevention Opportunities ($55 B) Fraud ($75 B) Clinician-Driven Sources of Excessive Health Care Costs (Population Health Management Focus) • Preventable/avoidable hospital (re-)admission and ED visits (Case Management, Readmission Reduction) • Missed prevention (Pay-for-performance) • Unnecessary care (Utilization Management) Key patient populations Ambulatory Case Management Sickest and/or highestutilizing 5-10% Patient engagement, care coordination, Extensivists, palliative care, transitions of care protocols Advanced CHF, COPD, IHD, DM, asthma, cancer, psychosocial problems Rising-risk 40-50% Patients with less severe chronic illnesses or behaviors that significant elevate morbidity or mortality risks; HTN, DM, hyperlipidemia, tobacco use, obesity Ambulatory Quality / Pay for Performance (P4P) Cancer screening, BP, lipid, A1c, etc.; various patient engagement and contact components Low risk 45-55% Patients without medical problems; focus on prevention, wellness, and connectivity to health system Behavioral Health / Psychosocial Key Strategic Initiatives Pay-for-performance • Core measures, value-based purchasing (Hospital) • HCAHPS (Hospital) • HEDIS, NQF (Ambulatory) • CGCAHPS (Ambulatory) CLBSI CAUTI CHF Readmission rate… … BP control A1c control Breast CA screening… Utilization Management “Off hand, I’d say you’re suffering from an arrow through your head, but just to play it safe, let’s get an echo.” % CBCs ordered without apparent clinical indication during preventive exams % CBCs ordered without apparent clinical indication during preventive exams The Future- Proactive Care • Identify patients at risk before they develop symptoms of heart failure • Maximize treatment of underlying conditions • Closer follow up • Delay or prevent the onset of severe heart failure • Bend the disease curve CHF Onset Project • • • • Collaboration ( Carilion, IBM, Epic) 3 years data / 500,000 records reviewed NLP used to obtain unstructured data (20M) 8500 patients at risk • 3500 identified with NLP • Risk score generated based on clinical , social and demographic data • Score available in EMR • Develop treatment protocols to address at risk patients. Big Data – Lessons Learned • • • • • • • A journey, not a project Hard work Expensive New skill sets Organizational discipline Executive support Dividends can be huge