Chapter 20 The ISLM Model Determination of Aggregate Output T he total quantity dem and ed o f an econo m y's output is the sum o f four types of sp ending Y ad C I G NX E quilibrium occurs in th e eco nom y w hen the total quantity o f outp ut su pplied equals the total quantity of outpu t dem anded Y Y ad A nalysis assum es the p rice lev el is fix ed Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-2 Consumption Expenditure and the Consumption Function Incom e is the m ost im portant factor determ ining consum ption spending D isposable incom e (Y D ) is total incom e less taxes (Y - T) T he m arginal propensity to consum e (m pc ) is the slope of the consum ption function ( C / Y D ), the change in consum er expenditure that results from an ad ditional dollar of disposable incom e a is autom onous consum er expenditure, the am ou nt of consum er expenditure that is independent of disposable incom e (how m uch w ill be spent w hen disposable incom e is 0) C a m pc(Y D ) Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-3 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-4 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-5 Investment Spending • Fixed investment—always planned • Inventory investment—can be unplanned • Planned investment spending Interest rates Expectations Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-6 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-7 Expenditure Multiplier A change in planned investm ent spending leads to an even larger change in aggregate output A n increase in planned investm ent spending leads to an additional increase in consum er expenditure w hich raises aggregate dem and and output further Y ( 1 1 m pc Y / I ( Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. ) I 1 1 m pc ) 20-8 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-9 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-10 Changes in Autonomous Spending A n y ch an g e in auton o m o u s sp en d in g w ill lead to a m u ltiplied ch ang e in agg regate outp ut Y ( a I )( 1 1 mpc ) T he sh ift in th e ag gregate d em and fun ctio n can co m e from a ch an g e in p lan n ed in vestm ent, a ch an ge in au to no m ous co nsu m er spen ding , or b oth C han ges in au to no m ous spen din g are do m in ated by anim al spirits Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-11 Government’s Role G o v ern m en t sp en d ing an d tax es can b e u sed to ch an g e th e p o sitio n o f th e ag g reg ate d em an d fu n ctio n G o v ern m en t sp en d in g ad d s d irectly to ag g reg ate d em an d T ax es d o n o t affect ag g reg ate d em an d d irectly C a [ m p c (Y T )] a ( m p c Y ) ( m p c T ) If tax es ch an g e, co n su m er ex p en d itu re ch ang es in th e o p p o site d irectio n C -m pc T Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-12 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-13 Role of International Trade A change in net exports (exports - im ports) is positively related to changes in aggregate output Y NX ( Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 1 m pc ) 20-14 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-15 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-16 The ISLM Model • Includes money and interest rates in the Keynesian framework • Examines an equilibrium where aggregate output equals aggregate demand • Assumes fixed price level where nominal and real quantities are the same • IS curve is the relationship between equilibrium aggregate output and the interest rate • LM curve is the combinations of interest rates and aggregate output for which MD = MS Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-17 Equilibrium in the Goods Market: The IS Curve • Interest rates and planned investment spending Negative relationship • Interest rates and net exports Negative relationship • The points at which the total quantity of goods produced equals the total quantity of goods demanded • Output tends to move toward points on the curve that satisfies the goods market equilibrium Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-18 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-19 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-20 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-21 Equilibrium in the Market for Money: The LM Curve • Demand for money called liquidity preference • Md/P depends on income (Y) and interest rates (i) • Positively related to income Raises the level of transactions Increases wealth • Negatively related to interest rates Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-22 Equilibrium in the Market for Money: The LM Curve (cont’d) • Connects points that satisfy the equilibrium condition that MD = MS • For each level of aggregate output, the LM curve tells us what the interest rate must be for equilibrium to occur • The economy tends to move toward points on the LM curve Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-23 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-24 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20-25