Basic age-modelling Find ages for dated and undated depths E.g., linear interpolation, regression, spline (gaps) Choose which one looks nicest... How treat point estimates? (mid/max, multimodal) Bayesian age-modelling Bayesian = combine data with other info 14C dates and depth info stratigraphical ordering / position • e.g., wiggle-match dating Constraints on e.g. likely accumulation rates Other dates, e.g. pollen events, 210Pb (…) Outlier analysis Usually done by millions of simulations Wiggle-match dating Outlier analysis • • • • • • • Reasons: site, error, lab? Give prior outlier probabilities to dates Iteration i: is date within 2 lengths sd? If not, label date and shift to fit [Labelled / total] posterior outlier prob. No need to remove outliers! Fit F: 1 – mean(posterior outlier prob.) OxCal • Extract OxCal directory to C:\Program Files • Open .../OxCal/Index.html in Firefox • R_Date( “test”, 2450, 50); • Save file, run • Run examples from manual Bpeat • Extract Bpeat.zip somewhere • Open R there (or change dir) • source(“Bpeat.R”) • SetCore(“MSB2K”,2) • TestRun() • FinalRun( 0.1 ) # just a short run... • DepthChron() The future of Bpeat: Bacon Bacon Muscles and fat – robust, yet flexible Floppy/crusty – flexibility can be adapted Can be cut to your liking – hiatuses Cured – Bpeat bugs repaired MacBacon – multi-platform Pigs are smart – combine prior info + new data Pigs can fly – workshop in Mexico Age-modelling … your own data? Try the different software pieces What are best settings for your site? Do you agree with the age estimates? Differences between approaches