Loanable Funds Market [*Use this graph if there is a chg in savings by consumers or chg in fiscal policy] Real Interest Rate, (percent) [*Use the Money Market graph when there is a change in MS] D Borrowers 1 D S 2 Lenders r= 8 % E2 r= 6 % E1 F1 Use the “real interest rate” with LFM, because it is long-term. Use “nominal interest rate” with money market, as it is short-term. Starting from a balanced budget, if the G incr spending or decr T to get out of a recession, they would now be running a deficit and have to borrow, pushing up demand in the LFM and increasing the interest rate. F Quantity of Loanable Funds 2 $2.2 tril. $2 tril. $2 tril. G T Balanced Budget [G&T=$2 Tr.] Loanable Funds Market [Incr G; Decr T] Start from a PL Balanced Budget G & T = $2 Trillion $2.2 tril. $2 tril. G $2 tril. PL2 T AD2 LRAS AD1 PL1 E1 D2 S D1 r=8% r=6% F1 F2 “Now, this is better.” “I can’t get a job.” E2 Real GDP $2.2 $2.2 AD Y/Empl./PL; G LFM I.R. $1.8 $1.8 T In. Rate SRAS YR YF G Real DI C AD Y/Emp./PL; T LFM IR Loanable Funds Market D1 Real D2 S In. Rate r=6% [Decr G; Incr T ] PL SRAS Start from a Balanced Budget G & T = $2 Trillion $2.2 T tril.PL1 $2 tril. $1.8 tril.. G r=3% LRAS AD2 F2 F1 E1 $2 T tril. PL2 T E2 AD1 YF YI Real GDP $1.8 $1.8 G Y/Empl./PL; AD G LFM I.R. $2.2 $2.2 T [like we have “money trees”] DI C AD Y/Emp/PL; T LFM IR AP Macro FRQ Practice 1 1. Government cuts defense spending by $75 billion. As a result the following occur: - Unemployment increases from 6% to 9% LRAS SRAS - GDP drops 3% PL - Inflation drops from 3% to 1% AD2 AD1 E1 Based on this info, draw AD1 to AD2 on the graph. PL1 ……………………………………………………………… PL2 E2 A. Now “G” decreases taxes, which (incr/decr) DI, which (incr/decr) C, which (incr/decr) AD. [starting a balanced budget] The result is an (incr/decr) in GDP, employment & PL. With the increase of government’s demand for loanable funds, because they now have less tax revenue, the interest rate (increase/decrease). Draw the new AD1 to AD2 curves on the graph. B. Due to the change in interest rates, the dollar (appreciates/depreciates) and our exports (incr/decr). YR Y* Real Y 9% PL PL2 PL1 LRAS SRAS AD1 AD2 E2 E1 YR Y* 9% AP Macro FRQ Practice 2 2. Net exports increase by $50 billion due to a depreciated dollar, resulting in the following: - Unemployment stays at 3% - GDP stays the same - Inflation increases from 8% to 10% Based on this info, draw AD1 to AD2 on the graph. ……………………………………………………………… PL PL2 PL1 LRAS AD2 SRAS AD1 E2 E1 Y*YI A. Now government decreases spending by $100 bil. 3% LRAS which leads to an (increase/decrease) in AD. SRAS PL AD2 AD1 The result is an (incr/decr) in GDP, employment, E1 PL1 and PL. With the reduction of “G”’s demand for dollars in the LFM, because of the decrease in PL2 “G”, the interest rate (increases/decreases). E2 Draw the new AD1 to AD2 curves on the graph. Real GDP Y* YI B. Due to the change in price level, the dollar 3% (apprec/deprec) and our imports (increase/decrease). AP Macro FRQ Practice 3 3. Government spends $99 billion on a war with Cuba. As a result the following occur: - Unemployment decreases from 14% to 10% - GDP increases 10% - Inflation is 0% Based on this info, draw AD1 to AD2 on the graph. PL AD1 AD2 SRAS LRAS ……………………………………………………………… A. Now government decreases taxes by $150 billion which (incr/decr) DI, which (incr/decr) C, which (incr/decr) AD. The result is an (incr/decr) in GDP, employment, & PL. With the increase of government’s demand for LF, because they now have less tax revenue, the interest rate (increases/decreases). B. Due to the increase in the growth rate, the dollar (apprec/deprec) and our imports (increase/decrease). PL E2 E1 Real GDP YR YR Y* 14% 10% LRAS PL AD1 SRAS AD2 PL2 E1 PL1 Real GDP E2 YR Y* 10% AP Macro FRQ Practice 4 4. Government spends $100 billion on the infrastructure. As a result the following occur: PL - Unemployment decreases from 6% to 3% - GDP increases 5% - Inflation increases from 2% to 6% PL2 Based on this info, draw AD1 to AD2 on the graph. PL1 ……………………………………………………………… LRAS AD1 AD2 SRAS E2 E1 Y* YI A. Now government increases taxes by $100 billion, LRAS3% which (incr/decr) DI, which (incr/decr) C, which PL AD2 AD1 SRAS (incr/decr) AD. The result is an (incr/decr) in GDP employment, and PL. With the decrease of “G”’s PL1 E1 demand for dollars in the LFM, because of the PL2 increase in “T”, the interest rate (incr/decr). E2 Draw the new AD1 to AD2 curves on the graph. Real GDP B. Due to the change in interest rate, the dollar Y* YI 3% (apprec/deprec) and our exports (increase/decrease). The economy is guilty of breaking the “FE 4% Speed Limit.” We are going to have to raise interest rates. Wait a minute – this is monetary policy. We’ll attack this on the next test. Let’s look again at fiscal policy. AP Macro FRQ Practice 5 5. Net exports decrease by $60 billion due to an appreciated dollar, resulting in the following: - Unemployment stays at 3% - GDP stays the same - Inflation drops from 10% to 6% Based on this info, draw AD1 to AD2 ……………………………………………………………. A. Now government decreases spending by $90 billion which leads to an (incr/decr) in AD. The result is an (incr/decr) in GDP, employment, & PL. With the reduction of “G”’s demand for LF, because of the decrease in “G”, the interest rate (increases/decreases). Draw the new AD1 to AD2 curves on the graph. B. Due to the change in PL, the dollar (apprec/deprec) and our imports (incr/decr). PL PL1 PL2 LRAS AD1 SRAS AD2 E1 E2 Y* YI 3% PL PL1 PL2 LRAS SRAS AD1 AD2 E1 E2 Y* YI 3% AP Macro FRQ Practice 6 6. Rising U.S. tariffs cause Xn to drop by $30 billion. As a result the following occur: - Unemployment increases from 10% to 12% - GDP decreases 8% - Inflation is 0% Based on this info, draw AD1 to AD2 on the graph. LRAS SRAS PL AD2 AD1 ………………………………………………………………. A. Now government decreases taxes by $125 billion which PL (incr/decr) DI, which (incr/decr) C, which (incr/decr) AD. The result is an (incr/decr) in GDP, employment, and PL. With the increase of government’s demand for LF, because they now have less tax revenue, the interest rate PL (incr/decr). Draw the new AD1 to AD2 on the graph. B. Due to the increase in the growth rate, the dollar (apprec/deprec) and our exports (increase/decrease). PL2 PL1 YR YR 12%10% Y* LRAS SRAS AD1 AD2 E2 E1 YR 12% Y* Fiscal Policy FRQ Practice Question 1 1. Suppose the following conditions describe the current state of the economy. -The unemployment rate is 3.5% -Real GDP is growing at the rate of 5% -The inflation rate is 9% (a) Identify the main problem this economy faces [inflation] (b) Now Congress votes to increase personal income taxes. Using AD/AS analysis [graph this], explain what effect this policy will have on each of the following. (i) AD, & thus output & employment (ii) The price level (iii) The interest rate Answers: (i) The increase in personal taxes will decrease DI, which will decrease C, which will decrease AD, which will decrease output and employment. (ii) The decrease in AD will result in a lower equilibrium [AD1 to AD2 & E1 to E2] and a lower price level. (iii) The increase in personal taxes results in more tax revenue v. government spending, which decreases the demand for money in the LFM & a decrease in interest rates. Fiscal Policy FRQ Practice Question 2 2. Assume that in the U.S., nominal wage rates rise faster than labor productivity. Using AD/AS analysis [graph this], analyze the shortrun effects of this situation on each of the following. [Base your (b) answer on what the price level does] (a) The general price level (b) The international value of the dollar [based on PL] (c) The level of exports Answers: (a) As shown (graph), nominal wage rates rising faster than labor productivity would decrease the AS curve from AS1 to AS2. The decrease in AS would change equilibrium from E1 to E2, which would result in a higher general price level. (b) The higher price level would make our exports more expensive relative to foreign goods, thus decreasing demand for the U.S. dollar and depreciating the dollar. (c) The depreciated dollar would make our goods cheaper than the previous period and increase our exports. nominal Interest Rate Price level If there is a RECESSION MS will be increased. DI MS MS2 1 8% 8 6% 6% 4% 4 0 DM Buy Money Market AD AD 1 2 0 Investment Demand QID1 QID2 AS I want a job as a Rockette PL2 PL1 E2 E1 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF THE U.S. Real GDP Buy Bonds MS YR I.R. Y* QID AD Y/Emp/PL Price level If there is INFLATION, MS will be decreased. Nominal Interest Rate “It’s cheaper to burn money than wood.” 10 Dm Bonds 8% 6 6% Sell Money Market AS AD2 AD1 0 like “money trees” QID2 QID1 E1 PL1 PL2 MS Investment Demand 10% E2 Y* YI FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF THE U.S. Sell MS2MS1 8 0 DI I.R. QID AD Y/Empl./PL Free Response 2005 1. [13 total pts] Assume that the U.S. economy is currently in equilibrium at the full-employment level of real GDP. (a) [3 pts] Draw a correctly labeled graph of AD/AS showing each of the following in the U.S. (i) Output level (ii) Price level LRAS SRAS AD1 AD2 PL1 PL2 E1 E2 YR Y* Real GDP (b) [3 pts] Japan is a major importer of U.S. products. Assume that the Japanese economy goes into a recession. (i) Explain the impact of the Japanese recession on the U.S. equilibrium output and price levels. (ii) Show these effects on your graph in part (a). Answer (b)(i) & (ii): The Japanese recession would cause job losses in Japan, lowering prices and incomes there, which would reduce U.S. exports to Japan. This would decrease aggregate demand in the U.S, which would decrease PL, output, and employment. (c) [5 pts] Assume that the Fed takes action to curb the effects of the Japanese recession on the U.S. economy. (i) What open-market operation would the Fed undertake? FR 2005 Answer (c) (i): The Fed would buy bonds which would increase the MS and decrease interest rates. (ii) Use a correctly labeled graph of the money market to show how the Fed policy action will affect the nominal interest rate. Answer (c) (ii): The Fed buying bonds would mean a bigger MS, which would lead to lower nominal interest rates. (iii) Explain how the change in the nominal interest rate in part (c) (ii) will affect AD, price level, and real output in the U.S. Answer (c) (iii): As seen in the graphs above, the decrease in the nominal interest rate would increase investment, which would increase AD. The increase in AD would increase price level and real output in the U.S. FR 2005 (d) [1 pt] Define the real interest rate. Answer 1 (d): The real interest rate is the nominal interest rate less the expected rate of inflation. (e) [1 pt] Indicate the effect of the open-market operation you identified in part (c) on the real interest rate in the U.S. Answer (e): The buying of bonds by the Fed would increase the MS, which would decrease the interest rate, which would increase Ig and increase AD and price level. The increase in PL would be subtracted from the nominal interest rate, which would decrease the real interest rate. Real Interest Rate Loanable Funds Market S upply of Funds D1 D2 r=10% FR 2005 E2 E1 r=8% Demand for Funds F1 F2 Quantity of Funds 2. [8 total pts] The graph above shows the loanable funds market for a country. (a) [2 pts] Assume that now the country’s government increases deficit spending. Explain how the increase in deficit spending will affect the real interest rate. Answer 2. (a): The increase in deficit spending means the government has to borrow more in the LFM. The increase in demand in the LFM increases the real interest rate. (b) [1 pt] Indicate how the real interest rate change you identified in part (a) will affect the investment in plant and equipment. Answer 2. (b): The increase in the real interest rate will make plant & equipment projects less profitable and will decrease investment in those projects. That is, there is “crowding-out” of investment, due to the higher interest rate. FR 2005 (c) [2 pts] Explain how the real interest rate change you identified in part (a) will affect long-term economic growth. Answer 2. (c): Because the real interest rate increased in part (a), there will be lower investment in plant & equipment that make up that country’s national factory, therefore making its citizens less productive. This will result in slower long-term economic growth and shift the LRAS curve left. However, unless there is negative net investment, there could still be economic growth. (d) [3 pts] Explain how the real interest rate change you identified in part (a) will affect each of the following in the foreign exchange market. (i) The demand for the country’s currency (ii) The value of the country’s currency Answer 2. (d), (i) & (ii): With real interest rates increasing in part (a), the demand for financial capital (CDs, bonds, etc.) in that country will increase because of the greater relative return on them. (i) This will result in more demand for its currency. (ii) The increase in demand, caused by better return on its financial capital, will increase the value of that nation’s currency, appreciating it. FR 2005 3. [4 total pts] Assume that the table below shows the unemployment and inflation data in Country X as a result of a shift in AD. Period Unemployment Rate Inflation Rate Last Year 2% 8% This Year 5% 4% (a)[2 pts] Draw a correctly labeled graph of a short-run Phillips curve for Country X, showing the actual unemployment and inflation rates for both years. Label the Phillips curve as SRPC. (b) [2 pts] Now assume that the SRAS curve has shifted to the left. (i) Identify one factor that could cause the AS curve to shift to the left. cost could shift the AS curve left. [Other OK answers would be increase in bus. regs., increase in business taxes, decrease in subsidies, or an increase in expected inflation.] (ii) On the graph, show how this shift would affect the short-run Phillips curve. SRPC* 8% Inflation Answer 3 (b) (i): An increase in input SRPC 4% 2% 5% Unemployment FR 2005 (c) [1 pt] Assume that the natural rate of unemployment in Country X is 5%. Draw a correctly labeled graph of the long-run Phillips curve and label it as LRPC. Inflation SRPCLRPC 8% 4% 2% 5% Unemployment (d) [1 pt] What is the relationship between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate in the long run? Answer 2. (d): There is no relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation in the long run. As can be seen in the graph above. If there is unanticipated inflation or disinflation, although PL increases or decreases, unemployment ends up at the natural rate. 2004 Macro Free Response 1. Assume our economy is operating at less than full employment. (a) Using a correctly labeled AD & AS graph, show the following. (i) Full-employment output LRAS SRAS (ii) Current output (iii) Current price level My InfoTech job was outsourced to India. Need Job AD1 PL1 E1 YR YYFF Real GDP (b) Identify an open-market operation that could restore full employment in the short run. Answer: An open-market operation to increase AD would be the Fed buying bonds. Nominal Interest Rates Dm MS1 Di MS2 IR1 IR2 Money Market Demand Money 2004 LRAS SRAS IR1 IR2 PL2 PL1 QID1 QID2 Quantity of Investment AD1 This job is more like it. AD2 E2 E1 YR RY YFF Y (c) Using a correctly labeled graph of the money market, show how the open market operation you identified in part (b) affects the I.R. in the SR. Answer: See the above graph. The increase in MS decreases the I.R. in the SR. (d) Explain how the change in the interest rate you identified in part (c) will affect AD. Answer: The decrease in the interest rate will increase QID and consumption which will increase AD. (It will also increase Xn because it depreciates the dollar, making our products cheaper.) (e) Show on the graph in part (a) how the change in the IR you identified in part (c) will affect output and price level. Answer: The lower IR will increase QID, which will increase AD which will increase output and price level as shown by the movement from AD1 to AD2. (f) Instead of the open-market in part (b), suppose that no policy actions are taken to address the unemployment problem. With flexible prices & wages, explain how each of the following will eventually change. (i) Short-run AS (ii) Output and price level PL AD1 LRAS SRAS1 SRAS2 AD -20% $10 Surplus $8 YR Y* RGDP Answer: As price level drops, workers will accept lower wages. With cheaper resource cost, firms will hire more workers shifting the SRAS curve to the right, decreasing price level and increasing output. 2. (a) Assume that national saving in the U.S. increases. Explain the effect of this increase on the real interest rate in the U.S. Answer: If national savings increase, then banks have more loanable funds. More LF would lead to a decrease in the real interest rate. or Money Market? (b) Suppose that realLFM interest rates in the rest of the world Use theremain “Money Market” model, with the vertical MS, when the Fed changes the MS. unchanged. (i) Explain the effect of the real interest rate change in the U.S. Use the “LFM” model, with the upward sloping supply curve, if there is a that you identified in part (a) on the demand for the U.S. dollar “change savings” or “change in demand for loanable funds”, such as in theinforeign exchange market. expansionary or contractionary fiscal policy. Answer: Because the U.S. real interest rate is going down and they are unchanged in the rest of the world, foreign investors would decrease their demand for U.S. financial assets because of less return on the lower real I.Rates. (ii) As a result of the effect you identified in (i), what will happen to the international value of the U.S. dollar? Answer: The decrease in foreign demand for U.S. financial assets because of the decreasing interest rate would depreciate the dollar. (c) Given your answer in part (b), indicate how each of the following will change. (i) U.S. imports (ii) U.S. exports Answer: U.S. imports would decrease because the depreciated dollar would make imports more expensive. U.S. exports would increase because the depreciated dollar would make U.S. exports cheaper. 3. The Fed buys $5,000 in bonds from Clark Consulting Services, which then deposits the money in a checking account at First Generation Bank. (a) As a result of the Fed’s action, what is the change in MS if RR is 100%? Answer: The change in MS would be the $5,000 DD. (b) If the RR is reduced to 10%, calculate the following. (i) The maximum amount this bank could lend from this deposit. Answer: With 10% or $500 in RR, the bank could loan out $4,500. (ii) The maximum increase in the total MS from the Fed’s bond purchase. Answer: Potential money creation in the banking system could be as much as $45,000 [10x$4,500=$45,000]. Clark Consulting has a DD of $5,000. Adding these two together gives a TMS of $50,000. (c) If banks keep some of the deposit as ER, how will this influence the change in the MS that was determined in part (b)(II)? Explain. Answer: If the bank doesn’t loan out all of the $4,500 ER, then the 1st loan would not be as much as $4,500, therefore reducing PMC. (d) If the public decides to hold some money in the form of currency rather than in demand deposits, how will this influence the change in the money supply that was determined in part (b)(ii)? Explain. Answer: If the public gets the loan and holds part of it as currency, then this is a leakage in the PMC of the banking system. If the person who takes the $4,500 loan from First Generation Bank takes $500 in cash, then only $4,000 gets deposited in the next bank, thus reducing the PMC of the system. Inflation 1. Assume the U.S. economy is operating at full-employment output and the government has a balanced budget. A drop in consumer confidence reduces consumption spending, causing the economy to enter into a recession. (a) Using a correctly labeled graph of the short-run Phillips curve, show the effect of the decrease in consumption spending. Label the initial position “A” and the new position “B”. SRPC 2 pts – 1 pt for correctly labeled SRPC graph. 1 pt for initial & new pt on SRPC graph. 4% 2% A. W. Phillips 1914-1975 A B 5% 7% Unemployment (b) What is the impact of the recession on the federal budget? Explain. Answer to 1. (b): The decrease in consumption would result in a decrease in AD and a decrease in GDP. This would result in an increase in unemployment and an increase in transfer payments. Due to the job losses, there would be a decrease in tax revenues, resulting in an increase in government red ink for the federal budget. So a federal budget deficit would increase or a federal budget surplus would decrease. 2 pts - 1 pt for budget deficit and 1 pt for explanation. (c) Assume current real GDP falls short of full-employment output by $500 billion and the MPC is 0.8. (i) Calculate the minimum increase in government spending that could bring about full employment. Answer to 1. (c) (i): The expenditure multiplier [ME] would be 5 [1/.2 = ME of 5]. Because current output falls short by $500 billion, it would take a minimum increase in government spending of $100 billion to get to full employment. [5 X $100 = $500] (ii) Assume that instead of increasing government spending, the government decides to reduce personal income taxes. Will the reduction in personal income taxes required to achieve full employment be larger than or smaller than the government spending change you calculated in part (c) (i)? Explain why. Answer to 1. (c) (ii): Because the tax multiplier [MT] is smaller, or [MPC/MPS = .8/.2 = 4], it will take a larger tax cut then the increase in government spending. Because current output is $500 bil. short of FE Y, and the MT is 4, it would take a tax cut of $125 billion. [4 X $125 = $500] 3 pts – 1 pt – $100; 1 pt – larger Tax reduction; 1 pt – smaller MT or not all increased Y spent. (d) Using a correctly labeled graph of the loanable funds market, show the impact of the increased government spending on the real interest rate in the economy. Real Interest Rate, (percent) Answer to 1. (d) As can be seen on the LF graph, the RIR would increase as the government has to borrow more than previously, increasing demand in the LFM, which pushes up the RIR. 2 pts – 1 pt – correctly labeled LFM graph; 2 1 1 pt – rightward shift of D Lenderscurve Borrowers or leftward supply shift. D D S rir=8% E2 rir=6% (e) How will the real interest rate change in part (d) affect the growth rate of the U.S. economy? Explain. Answer to 1. (e): The increase in RIR will decrease real Ig, decreasing capital stock. This will decrease AD and decrease GDP or growth rate in the U.S. economy. 2 pts – 1 pt – growth rate falls; 1 pt – Ig decreases, slowing capital E1 formation. $2.1 Tril. after $100 B increase $2 F1 F2 T $2 T G T Balanced Budget [G&T=$2 Tr.] 2. Balance of payments accounts record all of a country’s international transactions during a year. (a) Two major subaccounts in the balance of payments accounts are the current account and the capital account. In which of these subaccounts will each of the following transactions be recorded? (i) A United States resident buys chocolate from Belgium. Answer to 2. (a) (i): Chocolate from Belgium would go in the current account as it includes the import of goods. 1 pt – current account (ii) A United States manufacturer buys computer equipment from Japan. Answer to 2. (a) (ii): Computer equipment by a U.S. manufacturer would also be classified as an import so it also go on the current account. 1would pt – current account (b) How would an increase in the real income in the United States affect the United States current account balance? Explain. Answer to 2. (b): An increase in real income would make U.S. citizens richer. We would buy more imports, decreasing net exports, and increasing the deficit on the current account. 2 pts - 1 pt – imports increase or Xn decrease. 1 pt – current account balance decreases or current account balance goes into deficit. Rupee Price of Dollar Price D1$ R looking for $’s S1$ $’s looking for R R100 R50 Rupee A S2$ E1 appreciates R25 D E2 Quantity of Dollars (c) Using a correctly labeled graph of the foreign exchange market for the U.S. dollar, show how an increase in U.S. firms’ direct investment in India will affect the value of the U.S. dollar relative to the Indian currency (the rupee). Answer to 2. (c): The increase in investment in India will increase demand for the rupee & appreciate that currency. This would result in an increase in supply of the U.S. dollar for more rupees, 2 pts - 1 pt –the correctly depreciating dollar. labeled foreign exchange graph for the dollar. 1 pt – rightward shift in supply and depreciation of 3. The PPCs for Artland & Rayland are shown. Using equal amounts of resources, Artland can produce 600 hats or 300 bicycles, & Rayland can produce1,200 hats or 300 bicycles. (a) Calculate the opportunity cost of a bicycle in Artland. Answer to 3. (a): The Domestic Comparative (opportunity cost) of a bicycle in Artland is 2 units of hats. [1 bicycle = 2 hats or 600/300=2] 1 pt for “1 B = 2 H” (b) If the two countries specialize and trade, which country will import bicycles? Explain. Answer to 3. (b): Rayland will import bicycles. Domestically, they have to give up 4 hats to get a bicycle but with trade they have to give up only 3 hats. 2 pts for “Rayland will import bicycles” DCC: Rayland 1B=4H ¼ B= 1 H DCC: Artland 1B=2H ½ B= 1 H Terms of Trade 1B=3H 1/3 B = 1 H (c) If the terms of trade are 5 hats for 1 bicycle, would trade be advantageous for each of the following? 1 pt for “Yes, 5 H is better than 2 H” (i) Artland Answer to 3. (c) (i): Yes, 5 hats is better than 2 hats they are getting domestically. cost (ii) Rayland Answer to 3. (c) (ii): No, Rayland is going to export hats so opportunity 1 pt for is ¼ bicycle. So 1/5 of a bicycle would not benefit them. “No” (d) If productivity in Artland triples, which country has the comparative advantage in the production of hats? Answer to 3. (d): 300 bicycles would become 900 and 600 hats would become 1,800, so the DCC would still be 1 bicycle = 2 hats, same as before. Rayland still has a C.A. in hats. 1 pt for “No change, so Rayland still has a comparative advantage in hats”