Mooncakes – Demand and Supply 4S Gigi Leung (25) Florence Li (27) Konny Tang (33) Cherry Yeung (39) Content 1. Introduction – What Are Mooncakes? 2. Demand – Mooncakes before/during MidAutumn Festival 3. Comparison of Different Mooncakes – Traditional Mooncakes VS. Jelly Mooncakes 4. Case Study – Mooncakes Sellers’ Profit/Loss (Law of Demand & Elasticity of Demand) UFO Mooncake Introduction Mooncakes • Traditional food eaten during the Mid-Autumn Festival • The most important item in the Festival Mooncakes during normal days P($) S1 D1 P1 0 Q/t Q1 Mooncakes during normal days P($) D1 Before Mid-Autumn Festival, there isS1no change in both the demand and supply for mooncakes. As shown in the diagram, the supply S and demand D remain constant. The equilibrium price is P1 and quantity transacted is Q1. P1 0 Q/t Q1 Mooncakes during Mid-Autumn Festival P($) D2 S1 D1 S2 P2 P1 0 Q/t Q1 Q2 Mooncakes during Mid-Autumn Festival During P($) Mid-Autumn Festival, people will buy mooncakes for bothDself-consumption and gifts, leading 2 to an increaseD in demand for mooncakes, the demand S S 1 1 2 curve shifts rightwards from D1 to D2. Mooncake suppliers will also increase their supply of mooncakes, P2 to an increase in supply of mooncakes, the leading supply curve shifts rightwards from S1 to S2. Since the P1 in demand is greater than the increase in increase supply, the price of mooncakes rise from P1 to P2. The quantity transacted increases from Q1 to Q2. 0 Q/t Q1 Q2 Mooncakes during Mid-Autumn Festival During Mid-Autumn Festival, people will buy mooncakes for bothDself-consumption and gifts, leading 2 to an increaseD in demand for mooncakes, the demand S S 1D 2 1 increase 21 D2. curve shifts rightwards from to D1Dto Mooncake S1 increase increase to supply S2 of mooncakes, suppliers will also their P2 to an increase in supply of mooncakes, the leading P1 increase to P2 supply curve shifts rightwards from S1 to S2. Since the Q1 increase Q2 the increase in P1 in demand increase is greatertothan supply, the price of mooncakes rise from P1 to P2. The quantity transacted increases from Q1 to Q2. 0 Q/t Q1 Q2 Traditional Mooncakes vs. Jelly Mooncakes • • • • Jelly (冰皮) mooncakes are becoming more popular due to the change in trend, e.g. advertisement/ fashion Its demand has greatly increased in the previous years We are going to look into the relationship between traditional mooncakes and modern jelly mooncakes Number of Mooncake Products Provided by the Major Producers*1 in the Market *1 Wing Wah, Maxim's, Tai Pan HAHA, jelly mooncakes are more popular now. I am selling more mooncakes than you, so I am gaining more profit than you! Not necessarily… Cherry A seller of jelly mooncakes Henry A seller of traditional mooncakes, also an expert in Economics Jelly Mooncakes P($) D2 S1 D1 P2 P1 0 Q1 Q2 Q/t Jelly Mooncakes P($) D2 S1 D1 The demand for jelly mooncakes increases. As shown in the diagram, the demand curve for jelly mooncakes P2 shifts rightwards from D1 to D2. The equilibrium price for traditional mooncakes increases from P1 to P2, and P1 the quantity transacted increases from Q1 to Q2. 0 Q1 Q2 Q/t Jelly Mooncakes P($) D2 S1 D1 The demand jelly mooncakes D1 for increase to D2 increases. As shown in the diagram, the demand curve for jelly mooncakes Supply remains unchanged P2 shifts rightwards from D1 to D2. The equilibrium price P1 increase toincreases P2 for traditional mooncakes from P1 to P2, and P1 the quantity Q1transacted increaseincreases to Q2 from Q1 to Q2. 0 Q1 Q2 Q/t Traditional Mooncakes P($) D1 S1 D2 P1 P2 0 Q2 Q1 Q/t Traditional Mooncakes P($) D1 Since jelly mooncakes are substitutes for traditional S1 mooncakes, people now buy fewer traditional D2 mooncakes. There is a decrease in demand for P1 traditional mooncakes. As shown in the diagram, the demand curve for traditional mooncakes shifts leftwards P2 D1 to D2. The equilibrium price for traditional from mooncakes drops from P1 to P2, and the quantity transacted decreases from Q1 to Q2. 0 Q2 Q1 Q/t Traditional Mooncakes P($) D1 Since jelly mooncakes are substitutes for traditional S1 mooncakes, people now buy fewer traditional D2 D1 decrease D2 mooncakes. There is atodecrease in demand for Supply remains unchanged P1 traditional mooncakes. As shown in the diagram, the demand curve for traditional mooncakes shifts leftwards P decrease to P 1 2 P 2 from D1 to D2. The equilibrium price for traditional Q1drops decrease to Q mooncakes from P1 to2 P2, and the quantity transacted decreases from Q1 to Q2. 0 Q2 Q1 Q/t See? Both of price and quantity transacted of jelly mooncakes increases while those of traditional mooncakes decrease, and that means I earn more than you! However, I can lower the price of the mooncakes to attract more buyers, so the quantity demanded will increase according to the law of demand. Cherry A seller of jelly mooncakes Henry A seller of traditional mooncakes, also an expert in Economics Quantity Demanded The amount of good or service consumers are willing to buy at a given price over a period of time, other things being constant. Law of Demand A decrease in the price of a good will result in an increase in its quantity demanded over a period of time and other things being constant, or vice versa. However, I can lower the price of the mooncakes to attract more buyers, so the quantity demanded will increase according to the law of demand. Henry A seller of traditional mooncakes, also an expert in Economics Traditional Mooncakes P($) D P1 Loss P2 Gain 0 Qd1 Qd2 Q/t Traditional Mooncakes P($) Traditional mooncakes have an elastic demand. As the price goes down from P1 to P2, the quantity demanded D for traditional mooncakes will increase from Qd1 to Qd2. P1 The percentage increase in quantity demanded is Loss the percentage decrease in price. The gain greater than in the increase in quantity demanded is greater than P2 the loss in decrease in price. Therefore, the total revenue of traditional mooncakes increase. Gain 0 Qd1 Qd2 Q/t Traditional Mooncakes P($) Traditional mooncakes have an elastic demand. As the P1 down decrease price goes from P1totoPP2, D 2 the quantity demanded for traditional mooncakesto will increase from Qd1 to Qd2. Qd1 increase Qd P1 2 The percentage increase in quantity demanded is in Qd > Decrease in P Loss the percentage decrease in price. The gain greaterIncrease than in > Loss in P in the Gain increase inQd quantity demanded is greater than P2 the loss in decrease price. Therefore, the total Total revenueinincreases revenue of traditional mooncakes increase. Gain 0 Qd1 Qd2 Q/t So in this case, my total revenue increases because I lowered the prices of my products. And since we are in competitive demand, the demand for jelly mooncakes will fall. So how does it affect my total revenue? Henry A seller of traditional mooncakes, also an expert in Economics Cherry A seller of jelly mooncakes Jelly Mooncakes P($) D1 S1 D2 P1 Loss P2 0 Q2 Q1 Q/t P($) Jelly Mooncakes D1 S1 Since theDtwo products are in competitive demand, the 2 increase in the quantity demanded of traditional P1 mooncakes will lead to a decrease in the demand for jelly mooncakes. There will be a leftward shift in the P2 demand curve from D1 to D2. Thus, there will be a decrease in the sales revenue of jelly mooncakes. 0 Q2 Q1 Q/t Jelly Mooncakes P($) D1 Substitutes for eachSother Since theDtwo products are in competition, the increase D1 decrease 2 in the quantity demandedto of D traditional mooncakes will unchanged P to a Supply lead decrease remains in the demand for jelly mooncakes. There willPbedecrease a leftward shift in the demand curve from to P 1 2 P D1 to D2. Thus, there will be a decrease in the sales to Q2 1 decrease revenue ofQjelly mooncakes. Total revenue decreases 1 2 1 2 0 Q2 Q1 Q/t Oh my! This is so confusing! So who is earning more? Cherry A seller of jelly mooncakes No worries, let me summarise all the ideas. Henry A seller of traditional mooncakes, also an expert in Economics Conclusion Since jelly mooncakes are becoming popular, demand for traditional mooncakes will decrease while the demand for jelly mooncakes increases. The price and quantity transacted of traditional mooncakes will decrease. Conversely, the price and quantity transacted of jelly mooncakes increases. Henry A seller of traditional mooncakes, also an expert in Economics However, the traditional mooncakes suppliers may lower their to attract more customers to increase their sales revenue. Then the demand for jelly mooncakes will decrease, so is the sales revenue of jelly mooncakes. The total revenue of both kinds of mooncakes are constantly affecting each other. There are also many other factors influencing the revenues. Therefore, it is hard to tell who is gaining more profit. I finally get it! Thanks Henry! Cherry Henry A seller of traditional mooncakes, also an expert in Economics A seller of jelly mooncakes References • http://www.jetsoguide.com/mooncake/ • SPCS economics notes