1 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Chapter 17 Option Valuation Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 2 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Option Values • _______ value – Call: stock price - exercise price – Put: exercise price - stock price • ______ value - Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 3 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Time Value of Options: Call Option value Value of Call _______Value Time value X Irwin / McGraw-Hill Stock Price © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 4 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Factors Influencing Option Values: Calls Factor Effect on value Stock price Volatility of stock price Time to expiration Interest rate Dividend Rate Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 5 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Binomial Option Pricing: Text Example ____ 100 ___ C ___ Stock Price Irwin / McGraw-Hill ___ Call Option Value X = 125 © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Binomial Option Pricing: Text Example Alternative Portfolio Buy ___ share of stock at $100 Borrow $_____ (8% Rate) 53.70 Net outlay $53.70 Payoff Value of Stock Repay loan Net Payoff Irwin / McGraw-Hill 150 0 Payoff Structure is exactly 2 times the Call © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Binomial Option Pricing: Text Example ____ 53.70 75 C 0 0 2C = $53.70 C = $____ Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 8 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Another View of Replication of Payoffs and Option Values Alternative Portfolio - _____ share of stock and ____ calls written (X = 125) Portfolio is perfectly hedged Stock Value Call Obligation Net payoff Hence Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 9 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Black-Scholes Option Valuation Co = Soe-dTN(d1) - Xe-rTN(d2) d1 = [ln(So/X) + (r – d + s2/2)T] / (s T1/2) d2 = d1 - (s T1/2) where Co = Current call option value. So = Current stock price N(d) = probability that a random draw from a normal dist. will be less than d. Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 10 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Black-Scholes Option Valuation X = Exercise price. d = Annual dividend yield of underlying stock e = 2.71828, the base of the nat. log. r = Risk-free interest rate (annualized continuously compounded with the same maturity as the option. T = time to maturity of the option in years. ln = Natural log function s = Standard deviation of annualized cont. compounded rate of return on the stock Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 11 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Call Option Example So = ____ X = ____ r = .10 T = .25 (quarter) s = .50 d = 0 d1 = [ln(100/95)+(.10-0+(.5 2/2))]/(.5 .251/2) = ____ d2 = .43 - ((.5)( .251/2) = ____ Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Probabilities from Normal Dist. N (.43) = .6664 Table 17.2 d N(d) .42 .6628 .43 Interpolation .44 .6700 Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 13 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Probabilities from Normal Dist. N (.18) = .5714 Table 17.2 d N(d) .16 .5636 .18 .5714 .20 .5793 Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 14 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Call Option Value Co = Soe-dTN(d1) - Xe-rTN(d2) Co = 100 X .6664 - 95 e- .10 X .25 X .5714 Co = 13.70 Implied Volatility Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 15 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Put Option Value: Black-Scholes P=Xe-rT [1-N(d2)] - S0e-dT [1-N(d1)] Using the sample data P = $95e(-.10X.25)(1-.5714) - $100 (1-.6664) P = $_____ Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 16 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Put Option Valuation: Using Put-Call Parity P = C + PV (X) - So = C + Xe-rT - So Using the example data C = ____ X = ___ S = ____ r = .10 T = .25 P = 13.70 + 95 e -.10 X .25 - 100 P = ____ Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 17 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Using the Black-Scholes Formula Hedging: Hedge ratio or delta Call = N (d1) Put = N (d1) - 1 Option Elasticity Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 18 Bodie • Kane • Marcus Essentials of Investments Fourth Edition Portfolio Insurance - Protecting Against Declines in Stock Value • Buying Puts • Limitations Irwin / McGraw-Hill © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.