Cover Page The handle http://hdl.handle.net/1887/29596 holds various files of this Leiden University dissertation. Author: Meerts, Paul Willem Title: Diplomatic negotiation : essence and evolution Issue Date: 2014-11-04 Diplomatic Negotiation Diplomatic Negotiation Essence and Evolution PROEFSCHRIFT ter verkrijging van de graad van Doctor aan de Universiteit Leiden, op gezag van Rector magnificus prof. mr C.J.J.M. Stolker, volgens het besluit van het College voor Promoties te verdedigen op dinsdag 4 november 2014 klokke 16.15 uur door Paul Willem Meerts geboren te ’s-Gravenhage in 1946 Promotiecommissie: Promotores: Prof. dr. A. van Staden Prof. dr. I.W. Zartman (Johns Hopkins University, Washington D.C., USA) Overige leden: Prof. dr. N.M. Blokker Prof. dr. M.O. Hosli Prof. dr. J. Melissen (University of Antwerp, Belgium) Prof. dr. N.J. Schrijver Cover photo: bpk Photo Agency / Erich Salomon; source: De Vries and Hunter, 1963 Layout: Textcetera, Den Haag Print: Gildeprint, Enschede ISBN 978-94-610-8781-2 NUR 805 Copyright: P.W. Meerts / Clingendael Institute, The Hague 2014 pmeerts@clingendael.nl All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, translated, stored in a retrieval system of any nature, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronically, mechanically, by photocopying, microfilming, recording, or otherwise, without prior permission from the author. Dedication: To my ancestors, who negotiated for survival. Table of Contents Preface11 Chapter I: Introduction and Disquisition The Architecture of International Negotiation Academics and Practitioners Parties and Interests Process and Power Bashing or Bargaining Approaches to International Negotiation Approaches from ‘International Negotiation’ Approaches from Other Sources In Conclusion 17 21 22 24 27 29 31 32 37 42 PART ONE: THE NATURE OF DIPLOMATIC NEGOTIATION 45 Chapter II: Aspects of Diplomatic Negotiation The Development of Diplomatic Negotiation The Problem of Establishing Outcomes Changes over the Centuries Characteristics of Diplomatic Negotiation Conflict of Interest and Power Relationships Inter-state Negotiations The Diplomat and Negotiation Behaviour In Conclusion 47 50 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 Chapter III: Process and Context 67 Boundaries in Bargaining 71 Geography: Bargaining Borders 72 Systems as Boundaries in Bargaining Processes 74 Needs: the role of interests and positions 75 Resources: Human, Immaterial and Material 76 Regulators: Law, Procedures, and Diplomatic Norms and Values 77 The Time Factor 79 Order through Organization 80 Regimes80 Regimes and Negotiations 82 Shifts in Multilateralism 84 Coping with Challenges 85 Possible Future Developments 87 In Conclusion 88 8 Diplomatic Negotiation Chapter IV: Entrapment in Negotiation 91 Characteristics: Choice, Uncertainty, Investment, Repetition94 Levels: Intrapersonal, Internpersonal, National, International101 Factors: Planning, Information, Communication, Control106 Case Study: Four Lessons110 In Conclusion 113 Chapter V: Negotiation and Warfare 115 The utility of War and Words 118 Historical Background 119 Commonalities121 Divergences125 Synergies127 Mediation130 In Conclusion 133 PART TWO: THE CONDUCT OF DIPLOMATIC NEGOTIATION 137 Chapter VI: The Seventeenth Century: Forward- and Backward-Looking Outcomes139 Parties and Positions 143 Procedures and Processes 148 People and Posture 151 Prevention and Prospectiveness 157 In Conclusion 161 Chapter VII: The Eighteenth Century: Behaviour of Negotiators 163 What was it about? 165 The Political Context 167 Pre-negotiations169 Negotiations170 Negotiators172 Other Congresses on Dutch Soil 174 The Peace of Utrecht in a Broader Perspective 175 Past and Present: The Effective Negotiator 178 In Conclusion 180 Chapter VIII:The Nineteenth Century: Inclusiveness and Exclusiveness 183 Choice187 Context190 Counterparts193 Structure199 Conversations202 Convergence206 In Conclusion 212 Table of Contents 9 Chapter IX: The Twentieth Century: Reputation and ‘Egotiation’ Closure of the First World War The Outer Ring The Inner Ring Opening and Closure of the Second World War Munich, 1938 Yalta, 1945 During the Cold War Vienna, 1961 Beijing and Moscow, 1972 Geneva, 1985 In Conclusion 217 222 223 224 228 229 232 234 234 236 239 240 Chapter X: The Twenty-First Century: Structure and Negotiation Uniqueness and Strength of the Organization The Role of the Negotiation Process Characteristics of the EU as a Negotiations Arena Member States in the EU Negotiation Process Procedures of the EU Negotiation Process Institutions in the EU Negotiation Process EU Enlargement and External Negotiations Strategies and Tactics in EU Negotiation Processes The Future of the EU Negotiation Process In Conclusion 243 246 247 249 252 254 254 261 263 265 268 Chapter XI: Simulating Diplomatic Negotiation 271 Unilateral Lessons for Chairing 274 Chairing in the European Union 276 Effective Chairing 278 Bilateral Lessons for Practice 281 The Nature of Negotiation in an OSI Context 283 Training for On-site Inspection Negotiations 287 CTBTO Table-Top Exercises: What Are They About? 289 CTBTO Table-Top Exercises: What Happened and Why? 291 Multilateral Lessons for Practice 295 Substance296 Rules of the game 298 Processes and Outcomes 300 Comparable Games 302 In Conclusion 303 Chapter XII: Summary and Conclusions 307 The Nature of Diplomatic Negotiation 311 The Conduct of Diplomatic Negotiation 315 Cross-Cutting Findings: Actors, Factors, Process, Control321 Recommendations328 10 Diplomatic Negotiation Samenvatting331 Bibliography341 Glossary367 Acknowledgements371 Curriculum Vitae 375