Product Quality and Robust Design Wnter 2015 1 What is your definition of a Quality Product? Is there a difference between Quality and Manufacturability? What are some of the “quality” concerns about your senior project? How does product quality tie back into Functional Specs? How are you going to validate your critical design specs? Wnter 2015 2 Why is Product Quality Important? There is only one excuse not to invest time in improving your Product Development process: You do not have now and will never have any competition (i.e., you are in a permanent monopoly situation), and your customers must, out of necessity for all time, continue purchasing your good(s) or service(s) in sufficient quantity that your company can continue to make adequate profit even in the face of cost inflation. Wnter 2015 3 How Do You Select Among Competing Suppliers? 1. Customer buys on value 2. Value = Quality relative to Price 3. Quality includes all non-price attributes Product Customer service 4. Quality, Price and Value are relative Product Quality Value Wnter 2015 Price Customer service 4 How Successful is an Average Launch? For every 11 serious ideas…… 10 IDEAS Screening and Evaluation 3 enter development, 1.3 are launched, and 1 succeeds Business Analysis 5 Development Testing Commercialization 0 0 50 % SUCCESS 100 1 Successful Product PDMA New Product Development Survey: Performance and Best Practices. Chicago; 1991 Wnter 2015 5 Where do the Winners Invest Their Time? 500 S t a f f D a y s 400 300 200 100 0 s t n h is ll is st is g st ss dy es en tio nc ys Se ys Te Te se l lys l tu nin As s c u l r m s t a a a S e e c n ia n A t La du op re An et Tr du ke ro lA om ch et e A ev el n k r t o Sc a P r k e c r i o a s l r a T c P ti M D an ial t ia Cu er Ma uc rn e-M elim ct Tr m d e Ini Fin u t o r Pr m In P od Pr Co Pr Wnter 2015 Winners Losers 6 Quality Lever 1000:1 PRODUCT DEFINITION 100:1 PRODUCT DESIGN 10:1 PROCESS DESIGN 1:1 PRODUCTION PRODUCT IMPROVEMENT LOW VISIBILITY HIGH RETURNS HIGH VISIBILITY LOW RETURNS When do you add Quality in the Design Process? Wnter 2015 7 In the last 50 years, there has been a dramatic improvement in product quality. Before that time, much of product quality was in the ease of repair. Examples? •How many TV Repairs shops exist now vs. 1960? •How many auto-mechanics shops now exist? •How many of you have ever had a wrist watch repaired? •What has changed? •How do insure your product has high quality? Wnter 2015 8 Escaping Defects You can try and inspect for quality Total Defects/Unit No matter how good your inspection and test processes are, the more defects you create, the more defects escape to the customer Wnter 2015 9 The Inspection Exercise Count the number of times the 6th letter of the alphabet appears in the following text. You have 45 Seconds to complete your inspection. The necessity of training farm hands for the first class farms in the fatherly handling of farm live stock is foremost in the eyes of the farm owners. Since the forefathers of the farm owners trained the farm hands for first class farms in the fatherly handling of farm live stock, the farm owners felt they should carry on with the family tradition of training farm hands of the first class farmers in the fatherly handling of farm live stock because they believe it is the basis of good fundamental farm management. Wnter 2015 10 What is your answer? 36 What does this tell you about trying to inspect in quality? Wnter 2015 11 The Inspection Exercise The necessity of training farm hands for the first class farms in the fatherly handling of farm live stock is foremost in the eyes of the farm owners. Since the forefathers of the farm owners trained the farm hands for first class farms in the fatherly handling of farm live stock, the farm owners felt they should carry on with the family tradition of training farm hands of the first class farmers in the fatherly handling of farm live stock because they believe it is the basis of good fundamental farm management. Wnter 2015 12 The effect of designed-in quality s 2 3 4 5 6 Process Capability Wnter 2015 PPM 308,537 66,807 6,210 233 3.4 Defects per Million Opp. 13 A 3s Process means that you will have 93.6% good units coming out of the process. That sounds pretty good until you think about the consequences of the failures. What types of products can be successful with 95% quality? What products require higher quality? Would you ride on an airplane that had 95% quality? Wnter 2015 14 What Causes Defects? Excess variation due to: Manufacturing processes and measurement systems Supplied material variation Unreasonably tight specifications (tighter than the customer requires for a robust design) Inadequate Design Margin Unstable Parts and Materials Wnter 2015 Insufficient Process Capability 15 Dissecting Design Process Capability Inadequate Measurement Capability Inadequate Functional Capability Supplied Material Variation LSL USL Design Overly Sensitive to “Noise” Poor Support of Robust Product Functionality Way off Target Wnter 2015 Process Capability Out of Spec. 16 A Three Sigma Process Lowe r Spe c 35 Upper Spec 45 55 Process Spread 3s Tolerance 3s Wnter 2015 65 17 A Six Sigma Process Lower Spec 20 Process Spread Tolerance Wnter 2015 Upper Spec 30 40 50 60 70 80 3s 6s 18 Ford (Batavia Plant) Produced Ford-Designed Transaxle Built in Batavia, OH and in Japan (Mazda) Both met engineering specifications but…… Fleet owners stated that some Escorts shifted smoothly while others were not so good (based on small sample size). Analysis: Wnter 2015 All “Smooth” shifting Transaxles were built in Japan Both met specs, but……. 19 Batavia Process Capability Analysis for Batavia LSL Process Data USL ST LT 30.0000 Target * LSL 20.0000 Mean 25.0521 Sample N USL 500 StDev (ST) 1.21562 StDev (LT) 1.20660 Potential (ST) Capability Cp 1.37 CPU 1.36 CPL 1.39 Cpk 1.36 Cpm * Overall (LT) Capability Wnter 2015 22 23 Observed Performance 24 25 26 27 Expected ST Performance 28 Expected LT Performance Pp 1.38 PPM < LSL 0.00 PPM < LSL 16.19 PPM < LSL 14.13 PPU 1.37 PPM > USL 0.00 PPM > USL 23.48 PPM > USL 20.60 PPL 1.40 PPM Total 0.00 PPM Total 39.67 PPM Total 34.73 Ppk 1.37 20 Mazda - Japan Process Capability Analysis for Mazda LSL Process Data USL ST LT 30.0000 Target * LSL 20.0000 Mean 24.9810 Sample N USL 500 StDev (ST) 0.442690 StDev (LT) 0.444599 Potential (ST) Capability Cp 3.76 CPU 3.78 CPL 3.75 Cpk 3.75 Cpm * Overall (LT) Capability Wnter 2015 23.524.0 24.525.025.5 26.026.5 Observed Performance Expected ST Performance Expected LT Performance Pp 3.75 PPM < LSL 0.00 PPM < LSL 0.00 PPM < LSL 0.00 PPU 3.76 PPM > USL 0.00 PPM > USL 0.00 PPM > USL 0.00 PPL 3.73 PPM Total 0.00 PPM Total 0.00 PPM Total 0.00 Ppk 3.73 21 Robust Design How do components effect your design? V+ 1K Ώ 1K Ώ Vout Vin What is the Gain of this circuit? 100 Ώ Wnter 2015 100 Ώ 22 Robust Design What about Resistor tolerances? If you specify 10% resistors what range of gain should you expect to see? .9K< 1K < 1.1K and 90 > 100 > 110 1.1 / .09 = 12.2 : 12.2 * 12.2 = 150 .9 / 110 = 8.18 ; 8.18 x 8.18 = 66.9 Therefore your gain could vary from 66.9 – 150; 2.24 to 1 How would you reduce the process variation? Wnter 2015 23 How do you improve Quality? •The Design •The Components •The Process •It is difficult to test-in Quality. It is also very expensive. What do you do with failed units? •It usually costs at least twice as much to repair failed units. Why is this true? •What are some of the things you are going in your designs to make them more robust? Wnter 2015 24 Homework assignment Develop a test plan for at least one of the critical specifications of your senior project. Describe why you chose these specs. Describe the test, including test equipment involved, measurement technique, and expected results. This plan should also be included in the final report with actual numbers from the test process. Due next Tuesday, Mar. 3rd. Get your website or alternate team management site up to date, so that I can review it next week. Each team leader needs to send me a valid URL and password if required to get on your site. Send me the URL information by end of day on Friday. Wnter 2015 25 Discussion topic for next lecture—email me with answer 1. 2. 3. Vote as a team on the following: Which would you choose? A sure $100, or a coin flip for $200 or nothing. Which would you now choose? A sure loss of $100, or a coin flip for a loss of $200 or $0? What is the difference in the two scenarios? Wnter 2015 26