Canadian Market Overview Presentation by: Louise Roberge, President, Tea Association of Canada AGENDA Introduction Market Place Overview Trends & Opportunities Barriers Tea Association of Canada Programs MARKET PLACE OVERVIEW Tea Imports Market Share by Country of Origin Consumption Grocery Sales Foodservice Sales Tea Imports Volume Metric Tons (000,000) 25 20 15 Green Tea 10 Black Tea 5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: International Tea Committee Tea Imports 2007 Category Percentage 22% Black Green 78% Source: International Tea Committee Imports from Major Producing Countries 2004-2008 2500 2000 1500 India Sri Lanka Kenya China 1000 500 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Producing Country Canadian Market Share Black 6000 5000 4000 India Sri Lanka Kenya 3000 China UK 2000 USA 1000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Producing Country Canadian Market Share Green 1800 1600 1400 1200 China 1000 Japan UK 800 USA 600 400 200 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Imports $ 160000 140000 120000 100000 Black Tea 80000 Green Tea Total 60000 40000 20000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Black Tea Imports Volume 6000 5000 4000 2003 2004 2005 3000 2006 2007 2000 1000 0 India Sri Lanka Indo China Japan VietnamKenya Malaw i &HK UK Germany oEU US ARG Papua Other New Guinea Black tea Imports $ 70000 60000 2001 50000 2002 40000 2003 2004 30000 2005 20000 2006 2007 10000 Ar SA ge nt in a O th er U EU th er an y O K er m U G In Sr dia iL an k In do a ne C si hi na a &H K Ja pa n Ke ny a M al aw i 0 Green Tea Imports Volume 1800 1600 1400 2001 1200 2002 2003 1000 2004 800 2005 2006 600 2007 400 200 0 China & HK Taiwan Japan Other Asia UK US Other Green Tea Import $ 12000 2001 10000 2002 8000 2003 2004 6000 2005 2006 4000 2007 2000 0 China & HK Taiwan Japan Other Asia UK US Other Consumption Litres Consumed Per Person Series1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 42 61 51 63 68 73 71 73 75 67 62 70 1991 1993 1995 1998 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Canadian Beverage Consumption Share of Throat (Litres per Person) 450 400 350 300 250 22 27 27 68 73 99 102 29 22 28 28 28 67 70 102 104 73 56 49 97 99 97 101 109 111 117 114 110 103 95 86 82 81 84 86 88 87 89 1991 1994 1996 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 42 105 200 150 100 50 0 Alchohol Soft Drinks Coffee Tea Juice Tea Sales by Category (Dollars) 450,000,000 400,000,000 350,000,000 300,000,000 Hot Tea 250,000,000 RTD 200,000,000 Total Tea 150,000,000 100,000,000 50,000,000 0 1997 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TOTAL READY-TO-DRINK SALES 1997-2008 CANADIAN DOLLARS 120,000,000 100,000,000 80,000,000 Ice Tea Mixes 60,000,000 RTD (ex cans) TRD (cans) 40,000,000 20,000,000 0 1997 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Tea Sales Yearly Trend (2003 – 2008) Dollars (000,000’s) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 National West Regular Tea Bags East Ontario Quebec Specialty Tea Bags Total Tea Sales Maritimes 2008 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 Hot Tea 15,000,000 RTD Total Tea 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 1 Tea Sales (Hot) Maritimes 14 8 Total Regular Tea Bags Total Specialty Tea Green Tea 6 Herbal Tea 12 10 4 2 0 2004 2006 2008 Flavoured incl. Decaf Unspecified Speacialty Tea Tea Sales (RTD) Maritimes 2008 5000000 4500000 4000000 3500000 3000000 Ice Tea Mixes 2500000 RTD (exc. cans) RTD (cans) 2000000 1500000 1000000 500000 0 1 Total Tea Sales Quebec 2008 70000000 60000000 50000000 40000000 Hot Tea RTD Total Tea 30000000 20000000 10000000 0 1 Tea Sales HOT- Quebec 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Total Regular Tea Bags Total Specialty Tea Green Tea Herbal Tea 2004 2006 2008 Flavoured incl. Decaf Unspecified Speacialty Tea Tea Sales RTD Quebec 2008 16000000 14000000 12000000 10000000 Ice Tea Mixes 8000000 RTD (excl canx) RTD (cans) 6000000 4000000 2000000 0 1 Total Tea Sales Ontario 2008 180,000,000 160,000,000 140,000,000 120,000,000 Hot Tea 100,000,000 RTD Tea 80,000,000 Total Tea 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 0 1 Tea Sales - Ontario 45 40 Total Regular Tea Bags Total Specialty Tea Green Tea 35 30 25 20 Herbal Tea 15 10 5 0 2004 2006 2008 Flavoured incl. Decaf Unspecified Speacialty Tea Total Sales RTD Ontario 2008 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 Ice Tea Mixex 20,000,000 RTD ( excl cans) RTD(cans) 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 1 Total Tea Sales West 2008 180,000,000 160,000,000 140,000,000 120,000,000 Hot Tea 100,000,000 RTD Tea 80,000,000 Total Tea 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 0 1 Tea Sales – Western Canada 40 Total Regular Tea Bags Total Specialty Tea Green Tea 35 30 25 20 Herbal Tea 15 10 5 0 2004 2006 2008 Flavoured incl. Decaf Unspecified Speacialty Tea Tea Sales RTD West 2008 50,000,000 45,000,000 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 Ice Tea Mixex 25,000,000 RTD(excl cans) RTD (cans) 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 1 Tea rebounded in shelf presence at Grocery retailers driven by Green Tea and Flavoured Black Tea SKUs 1999 Avg. # of Items 2005 Avg. # of Items 71.0 106.6 109.7 $1,271,167 Total Regular Tea 11.0 18.1 17.6 $4,017,706 Total Specialty Tea 60.0 88.5 91.3 $742,998 Flavoured Black Tea Green Tea Herbal Tea 16.0 6.0 36.0 16.7 18.4 41.6 18.6 21.2 40.1 $551,820 $950,105 $640,917 Total Tea Bags 2006 Avg. # of $/Avg. # of Items Items Source: ACNielsen MarketTrack, National Grocery Banner - Latest 52 Weeks Ending January 20, 2007 Penetration is growing faster among households who associate Hot Tea with health benefits Household Penetration (Home Purchases) 2006 61.6 2007 61.7 Total Tea 35.0 40.2 +5.2 Total Tea Drinkers Regular Black Specialty Green 35.3 43.5 20.2 35.4 44.3 22.9 Health Associated +0.1 +0.8 +2.7 19.9 25.3 12.2 22.8 29.7 15.8 +2.9 +4.4 +3.6 Note: Health Associated penetration is a percentage of total Hot Tea Drinkers household penetration Source: ACNielsen Homescan – 52 wks to July 7, 2007 vs YAG Foodservice Sales Restaurants in Canada served 406,459,000 cups of Hot Tea in the past 12 months $ Hot Tea sales at Restaurants in Canada were approx. $609,688,000 * in the past 12 months *Based on AEC multiplied by servings Regular Tea in slight decline while Specialty Tea experiencing strong volume gains on the year Servings Volume Hot Tea (000’s) 80000 70000 Tea-Hot Regular 60000 50000 40000 30000 Tea-Hot Specialty 20000 10000 0 MAM'07 JJA'07 CREST® YE May 2008 SON'07 Total Canada DJF'07 MAM'08 Proprietary & Confidential for NPD clients Tea occasions outside the home peak in the afternoon whereas evening is the peak for inside the home. Tea Consumption (Time of Day) - % Inside versus Outside the Home 100% 80% 74% 60% 40% 59% 45% 39% 41% 28% 20% 0% Morning Afternoon Inside the home Base = Hot tea drinkers, N=11,234 Evening Outside the home Almost ¾’s of respondents consume tea at home in the evening Three out of ten hot tea drinkers have consumed hot tea at the workplace or family restaurant. Thinking about the last three months, where have you consumed Hot Tea when you are outside of your home?* Workplace 30 Family restaurant 30 Coffee/donut shop 27 21 Fine dining 13 Specialty shops 7 Fast food Tea room 6 Base = Hot tea drinkers that drink hot tea outside of their home, N=7,497 *Multiple mentions Source NPD Group Canada REST® Who is the Hot Tea Consumer? 18 to 24 Year Olds 25 to 34 Year Olds 9% 15% 35 to 44 Year Olds 15% YE May 2008 Total Canada 45+ Year Olds 57% Proprietary & Confidential for NPD clients Snapshot of the Hot Tea consumer: Specialty Tea Regular Tea 30% under the age of 34 38% between ages 45-64 59% Females 61% Females 35% consumed at Supper 38% consumed at Morning Meal Friday is the most popular day of the week to consume Hot Tea! Key Learning's For Tea in Commercial Foodservice… Key Trends in Commercial Foodservice: Ethnic Health Snacking Tea, more so than any other beverage, can capitalize on these influential trends Trends & Opportunities Green Tea Tea as an ingredient in cooking and cocktails Tea as a health and beauty aid Fancy Tea bags Cause related Tea Organic Tea & foods in general Size of the Tea Market in Canada 1997 91% Increase in 11 years DOLLAR S $(000’s) 2008 DOLLARS $(000’s) %increase since 1997 IMPORTS 77.1 IMPORTS (ITC 2007) 137.5 78.3 SALES HOT 115.2 SALES HOT 191.3 66 REGULAR 73 REGULAR 89.2 22 SPECIALTY 42.2 SPECIALTY 102.1 142 217.1 208 SALES RTD 70.4 SALES RTD RTD (excld cans) 10.9 RTD (excld cans) 98.8 806 RTD Cans 35 RTD Cans 69.4 98 Ice Tea Mixes 24.5 Ice Tea Mixes 48.8 99 TOTAL HOT & RTD 185.6 TOTAL HOT & RTD 408.5 120 SALES FOODSERVICE (est.) 340 SALES FOODSERVICE (est.) 609.6 79 TOTAL 602.7 TOTAL 1,155.5 91 Size of the Tea Market in Canada 2007 11% Increase over last year DOLLAR S $(000’s) 2008 DOLLARS $(000’s) %increase IMPORTS 123.7 IMPORTS 137.5 11 SALES HOT 181.4 SALES HOT 191.3 5.4 REGULAR 88.8 REGULAR 89.2 .4 SPECIALTY 92.6 SPECIALTY 102.1 10 217.1 4.8 SALES RTD 207.1 SALES RTD RTD (excld cans) 92.2 RTD (excld cans) 98.8 7 RTD Cans 65.7 RTD Cans 69.4 5.6 Ice Tea Mixes 49.1 Ice Tea Mixes 48.8 -.6 TOTAL HOT & RTD 388.5 TOTAL HOT & RTD 408.5 5.1 SALES FOODSERVICE (est.) 527.5 SALES FOODSERVICE (est.) 609.6 15.5 TOTAL 1,039.7 TOTAL 1,155.5 11 Health Claim • After a period of extensive review, Health Canada as granted us with a health Claim for Green Tea: • The consumption of green tea helps to protect blood lipids from oxidation • Green Tea increases antioxidant capacity in blood • Green tea has an antioxidant effect in blood ( blood lipids) • We are pursuing to have a similar claim for Black tea Barriers Regulatory Issues HIGH Priority MEDIUM Priority Healthy Living PESTICIDE MRL’S CBSA-CFIA NHP’s Product Specific Health Claims WHO report Organic regulation Generic Health Claim MANDATORY NUTRITION LABELLING Allergen Regulation Codex Stewardship Ontario LOW Priority Health &Safety Act Caffeine Labelling On the Radar Pest Management Regulatory Agency (PMRA) • Canadian MRL’s (default 0.01 ppm) • We are actively pursuing our efforts for Global Harmonisation with the Pest Management Regulatory Agency keeping them inform of the progress from the Global Initiative Working New Regulations • • New Organic Regulations will be in effect in June 2008 www.inspection.gc.ca • New Allergen Regulation:The proposed amendments to the Food and Drug Regulations- Enhanced Labelling for Food Allergens, Gluten Sources and added sulphites was published in Canada Gazette, Part I on Sat. July 26th. They are available at the Canada Gazette website: http://canadagazette.gc.ca/partI/index-e.html. • Labelling regulation Guide to Food Labelling and Advertising for CFIA contacts for other labelling enquiries – Organic Regulation • Organic Products Regulations: • CFIA Website: www.inspection.gc.ca • Canada Gazette Website: www.canadagazette.gc.ca • Organic Production Systems Standards: • Canadian General Standards Board Website: • www.pwgsc.gc.ca/cgsb • Contact: • Michel Saumur, Manager, Canada Organic Office • (613) 221-7165 msaumur@inspection.gc.ca Future Challenges • • • • • • • • • Consumer 2012 Health and well being Higher Quality and premiumisation Stronger convenience More demanding More out-of-home consumption Greater environmental awareness of products More experience driven Price led value • Exploring new tastes • • • • • • • • • Industry 2012 Health and nutrition Growing importance of environmental and social factors Constant innovation Continuing industry consolidation The rise of the hard discounters An even tougher regulatory environment Service excellence Technology and value chain integration The role of private equity