Results

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Results of Sentinel Sites

Study

Dr Karin Denton

• HPV testing as a triage for women with low grade cytological abnormalities: results from the sentinel sites studies.

Kelly R, Patnick J, Kitchener HC, Moss SM

Br J Cancer.

2011 Sep 27;105(7):983-8.

Results

• Study took place between 1 Jan 2008 and

1 April 2009

• Data collected until September 2009

• Analysis conducted independently at

Cancer Screening Evaluation Unit,

Institute of Cancer Research

• Over 90% of women attended colposcopy

North Bristol NHS Trust/Avon Cervical screening programme

HPV positive rates by age group and initial cytology result

Age Grp

25-34

35-49

50-64

Total

Borderline

No of women

3121

2783

603

6507

HPV + n

(%)

No of women

2144

(68.7)

1165

(41.9)

187

(31.0)

3496

(53.7)

2203

1129

212

3544

Mild

HPV + n

(%)

No of women

1964

(89.2)

869

(77.0)

141

(66.5)

2974

(83.9)

5324

3912

815

10051

Total

HPV + n

(%)

4108

(77.2)

2034

(52.0)

328

(40.2)

6470

(64.4)

North Bristol NHS Trust/Avon Cervical screening programme

C

D

E

A

B

F

Site

SSS Results from different centres

HPV positive rate by site and initial cytology 1

Borderline n HPV +ve

(%)

1263

643

2557

789

663

592

866 (68.6)

224 (34.8)

1111 (43.4)

455 (57.7)

406 (61.2)

434 (73.3) n

Mild

HPV +ve

(%)

404

523

1507

420

557

133

370 (91.6)

384 (73.4)

1232 (81.8)

372 (88.6)

500 (89.8)

116 (87.2)

1667

1116

4064

1209

1220

7255 n

Total

HPV +ve

(%)

1236 (74.1)

608 (52.1)

2343 (57.7)

827 (68.4)

906 (74.3)

550 (75.9)

North Bristol NHS Trust/Avon Cervical screening programme

Site

SSS

Results from different centres

HPV positive rate by site and initial cytology 2

Borderline n HPV +ve

(%)

Mild n HPV +ve

(%) n

Total

HPV +ve

(%)

1188 543 (47.7) 798 669 (83.8) 1986 1236 (61.0)

Centre C

(Thinprep® LBC)

Centre C

(BD Surepath TM LBC)

426 216 (50.7) 241 204 (84.6) 667 420 (63.0)

Total

(Thinprep® LBC)

Total

(BD Surepath TM LBC)

3903 2270 (58.2) 2179 1911 (87.7) 6082 4181 (68.7)

1661 874 (52.6) 897 704 (78.5) 2558 1578 (61.7)

North Bristol NHS Trust/Avon Cervical screening programme

Sentinel Site Study

Results at colposcopy

BL

Mild

25-34

35-49

50-64

Total

25-34

35-49

50-64

Total

Total

*Includes 3 invasive cancers

CIN 1 n (%)

394 (20.4)

173 (16.3)

27 (15.8)

594 (18.8)

468 (26.7)

236 (29.6)

31 (23.8)

735 (27.5)

1239 (22.8)

North Bristol NHS Trust/Avon Cervical screening programme

CIN2 n (%)

193 (10.0)

88 (8.3)

4 (2.3)

285 (9.0)

217 (12.4)

87 (10.9)

8 (6.2)

312 (11.7)

597 (10.2)

CIN3+ n (%)

142* (7.4)

65 (6.1)

5 (2.9)

212 (6.7)

111 (6.3)

30 (3.8)

3 (2.3)

144 (5.4)

356 (6.1)

Sentinel Site Study

PPV of colposcopy by site 1

D

E

F

A

B

C

Site Borderline

No attending colposcopy

803

PPV

CIN2+

21.5

178 11.2

978

430

355

417

11.6

16.5

9.3

20.9

PPV

CIN3+

7.8

6.2

5.0

7.4

2.5

11.5

No attending colposcopy

350

Mild

PPV

CIN2+

25.4

317 9.1

1104

354

440

112

15.9

21.8

10.9

30.0

PPV

CIN3+

7.1

3.5

4.8

7.6

2.5

15.2

North Bristol NHS Trust/Avon Cervical screening programme

Sentinel Sites Study

Rate of disease at 1, 2 3 and >3 years after negative colposcopy in

956 women with long term follow-up

Time since negative colposcopy

1 year

2 years

3 years

>3 years

Abnormal cytology

No.

%

10

19

25

30

1.0

2.0

2.6

3.1

No.

CIN1

%

18

33

38

49

1.9

3.5

4.0

5.1

No.

CIN2

%.

6

16

19

23

0.6

1.7

2.0

2.4

No.

CIN3

%

10

19

23

28

1.0

2.0

2.4

2.9

North Bristol NHS Trust/Avon Cervical screening programme

Test of Cure

• Preliminary data only in un-triaged women

• 3203 women had test of cure

• Failed test of cure by 18.3%

– 6.2% by abnormal cytology

– 12.1% by HPV +ve with normal cytology

• Increased ‘failure’ rates with lower CIN grade

• Persistent CIN2+ in 7%

– 3% in HPV +ve

– 13% in cytology +ve

North Bristol NHS Trust/Avon Cervical screening programme

Bristol experience

Bristol Outcome Lletz histology for mild and borderline HPV positive smears with CIN 2/3 on

PB(%)

Histol

Smear\

Nil HPV/ inflam

CIN1 CIN2 CIN3 Micro

B’line

HPV

3 13 10 35 38 1

Mild

HPV

8 8 12 29 41 2

National outcomes

• 90% attendance

• Half had PB (47% negative histology)

• 2.4% had LLETZ ( 28% neg histology)

• 1/3 of identified CIN1 were not treated

• Apparent overall cytological progression was 3.4% at 12 months

Role for HPV testing

Test of cure

Cytology negative

HPV negative

3 year recall

Colp satisfactory

3 year recall

Smear + hpv test

6 months after treatment

Cytology negative and HPV positive

– recall colp (12%)

Colp unsatisfactory

Cytology positive

Recall colp (6%)

Biopsy/treat

Colp abnormal

Biopsy and retreat

(4.8%)

Management outcome in women referred to Colposcopy following HPV

Test of Cure (TOC)

Mohini Vachhani, Mary Brett*,

Anne Vaughton, Vikki Finch, John Murdoch

Colposopy Clinic and *Cellular Pathology Dept,

Southmead Hospital

Presented 22/06/2011

(Also, poster at BSCCP meeting 31.3-1.4/2011)

Results

• No of samples with HPV TOC test = 2369

• HPV negative = 2017 (85%)  routine recall

• HPV positive = 352 (15% - National rate

18%)  colposcopy

• Referred to Southmead = 141

• Referred to St Michael’s = 211

Outcome

• TZ seen; NAD –> Cytology follow up in

Community (n = 66)

• TZ seen; abnormality seen (n = 22):

2 LLETZ (CIN 1, CIN2)

16 biopsy (3 CIN1, 13 neg)

4 rpt cytology (all negative)

Outcome

• Colposcopy was unsatisfactory in 30% of cases (i.e.TZ not seen): n = 38

• 6 had further LLETZ (all negative)

• 13 had Bx (1 CIN 1, 12 neg)

Outcome

• Total no with repeat LLETZ = 8 cases

• 7 had involved margins in index LLETZ

• 2/8 with satisfactory colp and abnormality seen (Histo: CIN1, CIN2)

• 6/8 with unsatisfactory colp (Histo: all negative)

Conclusion

• Women with positive TOC are at minimal risk of residual CIN (6/126 =4.8%)

• 5/126 (4%) = CIN1

• 1/126 (0.8%) = CIN2

• Nationally PPV for CIN2 or worse = 2.9% and for CIN3 or worse = 0.4%

Other studies

H Kitchener et al. BJOG 2008, 15(8): 1001-1007

• Of cyto neg/HPV pos referrals to colp,

9/75 had CIN (at 6, 12 or 24 months follow up post-LLETZ; 4 CIN1, 4 CIN2, 1 CIN3)

• = 12% treatment failure rate.

(Compared with Southmead data: 6/126 had residual CIN = 4.8%)

Changes to KC61?

Don’t panic, no change to data collection or categories

Longer term impact on KC61 data

• BC rate will fall (due to loss of 2 nd and 3 rd bc)

• Mild rate will also fall depending on previous policy

• Will be visible effect from year 1

• High grade rate will also fall slightly because women will be referred on a prior low grade result

• PPV should remain unaffected

Caution

• You must decide on a diagnosis and stick to it regardless of HPV result

• Do not use BC?HG in order to get an HPV test

• Follow the management protocol

ABC3

• ? Launch date

• Will abolish BC?HG

KEY TO CODES & ABBREVIATIONS

Action codes

• A routine recall

• Rm early repeat in 'm' months

• S suspend from recall

• M

• 4

• 5

• 6

• 7

• 8

• B

• 9

• E

PROVISIONAL Result codes

• Ø * ?glandular neoplasia (non cervical)

• G * ?glandular neoplasia (non cervical) (HPV tested)

• 1 inadequate

• 2

• N

• 3 negative (not HPV tested) negative (HPV tested) low grade dyskaryosis (not HPV tested) low grade dyskaryosis (HPV tested) high grade dyskaryosis (severe) high grade dyskaryosis ?invasive squamous carcinoma

?glandular neoplasia of endocervical type high grade dyskaryosis (moderate) borderline change in squamous cells (not HPV tested) borderline change in squamous cells (HPV tested) borderline change in endocervical cells borderline change in endocervical cells (HPV tested)

• * non-cervical neoplasia treated as negative for CSP management

• Infection codes

• Ø (zero) HPV negative

• 9 (nine) HPV positive

• U HPV result inadequate/unreliable

• Miscellaneous

• NTDD Next Test Due Date

• BLUE indicates codes used on NHAIS in format

Cytology result – HPV infection code – Action code

• RED indicates manual action required to reset NTDD

Questions?

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