PREDICTION MODELS FOR SITE SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS Agriculture Extension View Point Dr. Muhammad Anjum Ali Director General Agriculture (Extension & AR) Punjab, Lahore FERTILIZER OFFTAKE BY NUTRIENTS PAKISTAN (000 TONS) Year 2010-11 N 3134 P2O5 767 K2O 32 Total 3933 2010-11 19.50% 0.81% 79.68% N P2O5 K2O NFDC Reports FERTILIZER OFFTAKE BY NUTRIENTS PUNJAB (000 TONS) Year 2010-11 N 2231 P2O5 548 K2O 24 Total 2803 2010-11 19.55 0. 85 79.59 N P2O5 K2O CROP USAGE OF FERTILIZER IN PAKISTAN (000 NUTRIENT TONS) Year Wheat 2010-11 1966.5 Cotton Sugarcane 983.25 314.64 Rice Maize Others Total 235.98 59 373.64 3933.01 2010-11 9.5% 8.0% 50 % Wheat Rice Maize 25.0% Cotton Sugarcane 1.5% 6.0% Others TOTAL NITROGEN USE ALL SOURCES FERTILIZER UREA CAN DAP NP MAP NPK 000 TONS 5765 595 1325 335 38 70 PERCENTAGE ON NUTRIENT BASIS 84.26 4.92 7.58 2.45 0.13 0.67 PERCENTAGE UREA 0.13 2.45 0.67 4.92 CAN 7.58 DAP 84.26 NP MAP NPK TOTAL PHOSPHORUS USE ALL SOURCES FERTILIZER DAP SSP TSP NPK MAP NP 000 TONS 1325 224 18 70 38 335 PERCENTAGE ON NUTRIENT BASIS 78.55 5.20 1.07 2.71 2.55 9.93 PERCENTAGE DAP 2.71 5.20 2.55 9.93 SSP TSP 1.07 78.55 NPK MAP NP TOTAL POTASH USE ALL SOURCES FERTILIZER SOP MOP NPK 000 TONS 27 11 10 PERCENTAGE ON NUTRIENT BASIS 56.02 27.39 16.60 PERCENTAGE 27.39 56.02 16.60 SOP MOP NPK FERTILIZER OFF TAKE (000 N/TONS) 4000 Economic Survey of Pakistan 2011-12 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 N P K USE EFFICIENCY OF DIFFERENT NUTRIENTS MACRO-NUTRIENTS MICRO-NUTRIENTS Parameter Use Efficiency (%) Parameter Use Efficiency (%) N 40 – 60 Zn 4–5 P 20 – 30 B 6–8 K 75 – 85 Fe 11 – 15 Kg Grains per Kg of N used FERTILIZER USE EFFICIENCY India China Pakistan Long term study conducted by IFA for India, China and Pakistan revealed less grain yield due decline in N use efficiency because of imbalance use of fertilizer nutrients BALANCED USE OF FERTILIZER (Ha) Kg/ha Crop N Only NPK % Increase Wheat 2,521 4,120 63 Rice 2,800 4,494 60 Maize 2,110 5,084 14 Sugarcane 56,515 126,334 123 NFDC Reports FERTILIZER VALUE Total Cost Million US $ Fertilizer Use efficiency (% age) Deficit Million US $ 425 2,450.12 50 1,225.60 1,325 515 682.37 25 170.59 38 595 22.61 80 4.52 Fertilizer Annual Consumption (000 Tons) Value (US $ per Ton) Urea 5,765 DAP Potash COST OF PRODUCTION AND FERTILIZER SHARE (Rs. / acre) COTTON Years SUGAR CANE MAIZE Total Cost. Fert. %Age Total Cost. Fert. %Age Total Cost. Fert. %Age 2003-04 14,336 1,823 12.72 23,636 3,825 16.18 9,249 1,442 15.59 2004-05 15,671 2,213 14.12 24,492 4,048 16.53 9,755 1,702 17.45 2005-06 17,319 2,289 13.22 25,008 3,630 14.52 11,010 1,777 16.14 2006-07 18,847 2,431 12.90 29,600 3,965 13.40 18,216 3,698 20.30 2007-08 19,505 2,620 13.43 30,428 3,675 12.08 18,827 3,571 18.97 2008-09 24,676 5,130 20.79 42,006 8,180 19.47 31,839 12,240 38.44 2009-10 27,509 4,065 14.78 43,549 8,227 18.89 33,547 11,025 32.86 2010-11 32,360 5,175 15.99 47,744 7,370 15.44 39,496 13,240 33.52 2011-12 43,850 7,888 17.99 57,282 9,446 16.49 49,093 19,305 39.32 2012-13 48,923 8,775 17.94 70,054 12,905 18.42 57,506 22,275 38.74 COST OF PRODUCTION AND FERTILIZER SHARE (Rs. / acre) Years WHEAT RICE Total Cost. Fert. %Age Total Cost. Fert. %Age 2003-04 9,028 1,316 14.58 11,741 1,463 12.46 2004-05 10,198 1,650 16.18 12,469 1,723 13.82 2005-06 11,524 1,847 16.03 13,716 1,779 12.97 2006-07 12,264 1,910 15.57 15,087 1,874 12.42 2007-08 15,626 3,614 23.13 16,154 2,005 12.41 2008-09 19,547 4,195 21.46 22,064 3,760 17.04 2009-10 24,187 3,332 13.78 24,898 3,110 12.49 2010-11 24,428 5,098 20.87 29,240 4,000 13.68 2011-12 29,149 6,280 21.54 36,351 5,992 16.48 2012-13 31,490 6,550 20.80 41,810 6,670 15.95 FERTILIZER USE EFFECIENCY SOIL ANALYSIS SITE SPECIFIC FERTILIZER APPLICATION! BALANCED NUTRITION SITE-SPECIFIC NUTRIENT MANAGEMENT FOR CROPPING SYSTEMS Nutrient Expert for Hybrid Maize Software Extension Viewpoint • Develop and deploy latest communication tools to raise farmers’ awareness about the economic, social and environmental benefits of adoption of IPNM. • Conduct field demonstrations applying locally-adapted IPNM techniques and prepare literature/media campaign with the results from the local demonstrations. • Assist farmers in making the best decisions for managing crop nutrients at the field and farm levels. • Provide farmers with all necessary products, services and information to successfully implement IPNM. • Training of the extension agents for best use of modern gadgets and techniques to assist farmers THANKS