volume of offences

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MOPAC CHALLENGE
QUARTERLY PEFORMANCE OF THE MPS
APRIL 2013
POLICE AND CRIME PLAN
After the successful launch of the Police and
Crime Plan in March 2013, future quarterly
performance MOPAC Challenges will review
London crime figures against the targets set out
in the Plan:
• Reduce key neighbourhood crimes by
20%, which means up to 250,000 fewer
crimes.
• Boost public confidence in the police by
20%, up to 75%.
2
NEIGHBOURHOOD CRIME
NEIGHBOURHOOD CRIME REDUCTION TARGET
MOPAC’s challenge to the Metropolitan Police Service over
the next four years is to cut seven key neighbourhood crimes
by 20%
Category
FY2012/13
Volume
% change vs.
FY2011/12
Total MOPAC 7
384,474
-6%
Violence with Injury
Robbery
Burglary
Vandalism (Criminal Damage)
Theft From the Person
Theft of Motor Vehicle
Theft From Motor Vehicle
57,836
34,764
92,644
59,910
49,265
22,139
67,916
-6%
-11%
-4%
-18%
+17%
-15%
-7%
3
MPS QUARTERLY CRIME FIGURES
NEIGHBOURHOOD CRIME
3-month trend
Jan 12 –
Mar 12
Jan 13 –
Mar 13
Violence with
Injury
14,077
Robbery
12-month trend
Volume
Change
%
change
Apr 11 –
Mar 12
Apr 12 –
Mar 13
13,027
-1,050
-7.5%
61,346
9,336
7,824
-1,512
-16.2%
Burglary
25,068
23,882
-1,186
Vandalism
(Criminal
Damage)
16,667
13,726
Theft From
the Person
11,211
Theft of Motor
Vehicle
Theft From
Motor Vehicle
Crime
Category
Volume
Change
%
change
57,836
-3,510
-5.7%
38,914
34,764
-4,150
-10.7%
-4.7%
96,224
92,644
-3,580
-3.7%
-2,941
-17.6%
72,928
59,910
-13,018
-17.9%
12,372
+1,161
+10.4%
42,081
49,265
+7,184
+17.1%
5,669
5,103
-566
-10.0%
26,188
22,139
-4,049
-15.5%
18,661
17,163
-1,498
-8.0%
73,352
67,916
-5,436
-7.4%
Trend
Trend
4
BURGLARY
QUARTERLY BOROUGH PERFORMANCE JAN 2013–MAR 2013
10 Highest Boroughs (volume of offences)
Total Offences
Rank Previous Quarter
(Oct 12 – Dec 12)
Barnet
1264
1
2
Croydon
1059
3
3
Ealing
1047
2
4
Lambeth
983
6
5
Lewisham
975
10
6
Brent
955
5
7
Enfield
929
4
8 
Westminster
925
8
9
Redbridge
902
7
10 
Bromley
882
11
Rank
Borough
1 
Boroughs 11-22(volume of offences)
10 Lowest Boroughs (volume of offences)
11 
Hounslow
808
12
23 
Greenwich
630
27
12 
Southwark
799
18
24 
Hackney
630
21
13 
Newham
782
13
25 
Richmond
610
25
14 
Havering
781
17
26 
Islington
586
26
15 
Wandsworth
779
9
27 
Merton
475
24
16 
Camden
775
20
28 
Bexley
456
31
17 
B&D
761
22
29 
K&C
414
29
18 
Hillingdon
759
14
30 
H&F
357
32
19 
Tower Hamlets
745
19
31 
Sutton
345
28
20 
Waltham Forest
728
16
32 
Kingston
332
30
21 
Harrow
727
23
22 
Haringey
680
15
5
BURGLARY
QUARTERLY BOROUGH PERFORMANCE JAN 2013–MAR 2013
The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 3 months (Jan
2013– Mar 2013) as compared with the same 3-month period last year
Borough
Westminster
B&D
Barnet
Lewisham
Camden
Havering
Richmond
Lambeth
Redbridge
Hounslow
Ealing
Brent
Harrow
Enfield
Tower Hamlets
Croydon
Bromley
Islington
Waltham Forest
Southwark
Hillingdon
Haringey
K&C
Hackney
Newham
Wandsworth
Greenwich
Merton
Kingston
Bexley
H&F
Sutton
MPS Average
Rate per 1000
population
4.22
4.09
3.55
3.53
3.52
3.29
3.26
3.24
3.23
3.18
3.09
3.07
3.04
2.97
2.93
2.91
2.85
2.84
2.82
2.77
2.77
2.67
2.61
2.56
2.54
2.54
2.47
2.38
2.07
1.97
1.96
1.81
2.92
BURGLARY
FINANCIAL YEAR 2012/13 BOROUGH PERFORMANCE
The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 12 months (Financial Year 2012/13) as compared
with the same 12-month period last year. The smaller triangles on the map represent percentage change over the last quarter (Jan
2013 – Mar 2013) as compared to the same period last year.
Long term trend: FY12/13, %
change vs previous year
Short term trend: Q4 Jan 13
– Mar 13, % change vs same
3-month period previous
year
7
BURGLARY NATIONAL COMPARISON
Crime in England and Wales, year ending December 2012
MPS % change
E & W % change
MPS rank in E & W
(1=best/ largest reduction)
MPS rank in MSF
(1=best/ largest reduction)
-2.7%
-8.6%
34th out of 43
4th out of 4
8
THEFT FROM THE PERSON
QUARTERLY BOROUGH PERFORMANCE JAN 2013–MAR 2013
10 Highest Boroughs (volume of offences)
Total Offences
Rank Previous Quarter
(Oct 12 – Dec 12)
Westminster
2599
1
2 
Camden
1049
2
3 
Lambeth
1025
3
4 
Islington
910
4
5 
Hackney
781
5
6 
Southwark
763
6
7 
Newham
565
7
8
K&C
468
10
9 
Tower Hamlets
423
9
10 
Wandsworth
351
8
Rank
Borough
1 
Boroughs 11-22(volume of offences)
10 Lowest Boroughs (volume of offences)
11 
Waltham Forest
280
16
23 
Greenwich
141
17
12 
H&F
276
12
24 
Kingston
130
23
13 
Ealing
267
14
25 
Hillingdon
118
24
14 
Haringey
266
11
26 
Merton
103
28
15 
Lewisham
217
20
27 
Havering
96
26
16 
Barnet
194
18
28 
Bromley
93
27
17 
Brent
191
15
29 
Harrow
93
29
18 
Croydon
183
13
30 
Richmond
77
31
19 
Redbridge
182
19
31 
Sutton
48
30
20 
Enfield
146
21
32 
Bexley
43
32
21 
B&D
142
25
22 
Hounslow
142
22
9
THEFT FROM THE PERSON
QUARTERLY BOROUGH PERFORMANCE JAN 2013–MAR 2013
The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 3 months (Jan
2013– Mar 2013) as compared with the same 3-month period last year
Borough
Westminster
Camden
Islington
Lambeth
Hackney
K&C
Southwark
Newham
Tower Hamlets
H&F
Wandsworth
Waltham Forest
Haringey
Kingston
Ealing
Lewisham
B&D
Redbridge
Brent
Hounslow
Greenwich
Barnet
Merton
Croydon
Enfield
Hillingdon
Richmond
Havering
Harrow
Bromley
Sutton
Bexley
MPS Average
Rate per 1000
population
11.85
4.76
4.42
3.38
3.17
2.95
2.65
1.83
1.66
1.51
1.14
1.08
1.04
0.81
0.79
0.79
0.76
0.65
0.61
0.56
0.55
0.54
0.52
0.50
0.47
0.43
0.41
0.40
0.39
0.30
0.25
0.19
1.51
THEFT FROM THE PERSON
FINANCIAL YEAR 2012/13 BOROUGH PERFORMANCE
The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 12 months (Financial Year 2012/13) as compared
with the same 12-month period last year. The smaller triangles on the map represent percentage change over the last quarter (Jan
2013 – Mar 2013) as compared to the same period last year.
Long term trend: FY12/13, %
change vs previous year
Short term trend: Q4 Jan 13
– Mar 13, % change vs same
3-month period previous
year
11
THEFT PERSON NATIONAL COMPARISON
Crime in England and Wales, year ending December 2012
MPS % change
E & W % change
MPS rank in E & W
(1=best/ largest reduction)
MPS rank in MSF
(1=best/ largest reduction)
+19.7%
+8.4%
38th out of 43
4th out of 4
12
PUBLIC CONFIDENCE
PUBLIC CONFIDENCE DRIVERS
MOPAC’s challenge to the MPS over the next four years is to boost public confidence in the MPS from 62% to 75% of Londoners
thinking the MPS are doing a good or excellent job.
The MPS have carried out robust analysis of their Public Attitude Survey and identified four key drivers of public confidence:
14
PUBLIC CONFIDENCE – TREND
CSEW Sep 2012:
62% of Londoners think the police do a good job in the local area
MOPAC Challenge
Boost public
confidence
to 75% in CSEW
This places the MPS top of its MSF and 19th in the country on this measure.
Overall Public Confidence and a selection of key drivers
(Rolling 12 months per point)
PAS Confidence
(%
Excellent/good)
75
70
65
60
64
63
62
60
66
65
64
67
68
66
64
63
65
65
66
66
60
60
60
59
69
67
60
60
68
66
68
66
65
61
61
66
62
66
64
62
64
62
46
47
47
65
64
CSEW
Confidence (%
Excellent/good)
56
55
52
50
Percentage (%)
67
45
45
40
Q62F Deal with
things that matter
(% agree)
35
30
Q131 How well
informed about
police in this
area (% well
informed)
25
20
15
13
11
10
9
10
11
Q2 12.13
11
Q1 12-13
12
Q3 11-12
Q2 10-11
12
Q2 11-12
12
Q1 11-12
12
Q1 10-11
13
10
5
ASB composite
measure (% high
disorder) *note
upward trend on
ASB is negative
0
Q3 12.13
Q4 11-12
Q4 10-11
Q3 10-11
Q4 09-10
Quarter/year
15
PUBLIC CONFIDENCE – NATIONAL COMPARISON
16
CRIME AND CONFIDENCE TARGET
The graph below illustrates current MPS performance on the following targets:
• Drive down crime in seven key neighbourhood crime categories by at least 20% over 4 years;
• Boost confidence over the next four years from 62% to 75% of Londoners thinking the MPS are doing a good or excellent
job.
17
VICTIM SATISFACTION – NATIONAL COMPARISON
The MPS performance in this area is poor (lowest across all 43 forces for victim satisfaction).
18
VICTIM SATISFACTION – TREND
User Satisfaction Survey Quarter 3 12/13:
Overall satisfaction has increased by 2% since the same time last year, as has 'ease of contact‘.
Overall Satisfaction & Service Areas
Rolling 12 months per point
100%
93%
% CVF Satisfied
95%
93%
93%
93%
90%
92%
85%
87%
87%
87%
88%
87%
87%
87%
77%
77%
77%
77%
76%
75%
76%
91%
91%
91%
87%
87%
86%
87%
74%
74%
74%
75%
75%
74%
74%
74%
75%
74%
70%
65%
67%
67%
67%
67%
93%
93%
87%
88%
76%
76%
93%
93%
80%
92%
66%
73%
66%
73%
71%
66%
70%
69%
69%
66%
66%
65%
71%
71%
65%
66%
67%
60%
55%
Ease of Contact
Police Actions
Follow Up
Police Treatment
Overall Satisfaction
50%
Q4 12/13
Q3 12/13
Q2 12/13
Q1 12/13
Q4 11/12
Q3 11/12
Q2 11/12
Q1 11/12
Q4 10/11
Q3 10/11
Q2 10/11
Q1 10/11
Q4 09/10
19
OTHER CRIME
MPS QUARTERLY CRIME FIGURES
OTHER KEY CRIME TYPES
3-month trend
Jan 12 –
Mar 12
Jan 13 –
Mar 13
Serious Youth
Violence
1602
Rape
Offences
12-month trend
Volume
Change
%
change
Apr 11 –
Mar 12
Apr 12 –
Mar 13
1214
-388
-24.2%
6899
818
786
-32
-3.9%
Serious
Sexual
Offences
1858
1962
104
Domestic
Violence
11432
11268
Business
Crime
14619
Drugs
Offences*
17746
Crime
Category
Volume
Change
%
change
4968
-1931
-28.0%
3342
3042
-300
-9.0%
+5.6%
7983
7894
-89
-1.1%
-164
-1.4%
46401
48897
2496
+5.4%
12520
-2099
-14.4%
61510
51326
-10184
-16.6%
17408
-338
-1.9%
73138
70370
-2768
-3.8%
Trend
Trend
*NB: Recorded crime figures for drugs offences will reflect police activity in an area
21
GANG-RELATED CRIME
FY 12/13
(01 April - 31 Mar)
% change
SD Rate offences
Offences
SDs
Offences
SDs
13
7
5
8
200.0%
-61.5%
Violence with Injury
61346
1539
57836
1642
34.3%
-5.7%
Knife Crime Offences
14169
3234
11376
2698
23.7%
-19.7%
Knife used to injure
3968
1219
3218
973
30.2%
-18.9%
Gun Crime
2404
595
1913
548
28.6%
-20.4%
Gun Discharge Crime
496
94
397
89
22.4%
-20.0%
6899
-
4968
-
-
-28.0% 800
1905
-
1380
-
-
-28.0%
In custody (not top 2000)
In custody (top 2000)
700
Trend
550
500
570
561
573
592
466
372
381
Aug-12
320
376
Jul-12
400
Jun-12
432
Target
340
300
217
200
100
Mar-13
Oct-12
Sep-12
May-12
Apr-12
0
Mar-12
Gang members in custody have increased from 217
to 803, an additional 586 nominals.
Numbers in Custody
600
Feb-13
Serious Youth Violence
Victims
Knife injury victims
under 25, non-DV
Jan-13
Trident Murders
Dec-12
Offence
Nov-12
FY 11/12
(01 April - 31 Mar)
22
SERIOUS YOUTH VIOLENCE
FINANCIAL YEAR 2012/13 BOROUGH PERFORMANCE
The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 12 months (Financial Year 2012/13) as compared
with the same 12-month period last year. The smaller triangles on the map represent percentage change over the last quarter (Jan
2013 – Mar 2013) as compared to the same period last year.
Long term trend: FY12/13, %
change vs previous year
Short term trend: Q4 Jan 13
– Mar 13, % change vs same
3-month period previous
year
2
3
RECORDED RAPE OFFENCES
2012/13 target: increase the number of rape sanction
detections by 6%
700
643
575
600
537
588
492
500
458
406
400
327
261
300
192
200
143
87
100
38
0
Apr 12
May 12
Jun 12
Jul 12
Aug 12
Sep 12
Target SD's
Oct 12
Nov 12
Dec 12
Jan 13
Feb 13
Mar 13
MPS SD's achieved
24
BUSINESS CRIME
Headlines
• Effective governance & partnership
• Strategy to be published by end of 2013
• Support & development of business crime reduction partnerships (West End pilot)
• SPOC's at SLT level on all 32 boroughs for business crime
• Better use of private sector resources (MSC – employer supported, Project Griffin,
Oxford Street pilot with local BID)
• Technology (Information & Intelligence Sharing) – various partners trialling apps
and software at pilot sites
• Strong relationship with British Retail Crime Consortium – MPS highlighted as
best practice in national crime survey 2012
• Crime reduction hub bringing together licensing, business partnership and crime
prevention design advisors has been approved
Business Crime Hotspots
• Identified Top 10 Hotspots
• Shared data and analysis with business community
• 6 of Top 10 have seen reductions in crime (last six months of 2012)
• Business crime down 1% in the last six months of 2012 (and 5% on
2011 levels)
• One major retailer has seen a 20% reduction in shoplifting offences
following effective crime prevention design and partnership activity
• Ethos of "Every Opportunity, Every Tactic"
25
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