Budgeting for Grass Fed Success Joe Colyn, Originz Gary Matteson, Farm Credit Council Allen Williams, Livestock Management Consul Business & Financial Skill Needs of Beginning Farmers & Ranchers • EIEIO Project – Evaluating and Improving Educational Instruments and Outreach for Beginning Farmers and Ranchers • Community of Practice – Southeastern USA…and wider Looking to the Future • What are your skills? • What is your tolerance for risk? • What is your capacity to deal with ambiguity? • What is your capacity to lead others? • What is your capacity for self-discipline? What is your capacity to gather information? define success acres tractors cows gross sales yield/acre net profit define success enough net profit to meet your goals for your family and your business know your business • • • • Plan to succeed, plan to be happy Tell your story in a business plan A budget is a plan in numbers Plan for contingencies The 5-Line Income Statement Historical Dollars % of Sales Sales (total income) $367,200 100% - Cost of Goods Sold: $312,600 85% $54,600 15% $7,800 2% $46,800 13% (variable costs) = Gross Margin: - Overhead(fixed costs) = Profit (Net Margin) Showing Annual Business Results This 5-Line Income Statement Historical Dollars % of Sales Sales (total income) $367,200 100% - Cost of Goods Sold: $312,600 85% $54,600 15% $7,800 2% $46,800 13% (variable costs) Becomes the basis of this Cash Flow Analysis Spreadsheet = Gross Margin: - Overhead(fixed costs) = Profit (Net Margin) The Concept of Cash Flow Budgeting Grass Fed Cash Flow Analysis Summary of Annual Results from Spreadsheet (the 5-Line Income Statement) GROSS RETURNS PER 200 HEAD also called Total Sales, Total Income: As % Annual Total Sales $ 367,200.00 100% A. TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS also called Cost of Goods Sold or COGS $ 312,600.00 85% 15% 15% GROSS MARGIN (Total Sales-Variable Costs=Gross Margin) B. TOTAL FIXED COSTS or Overhead: NET MARGIN (Sales-Variable Costs-Fixed Costs=Net Return) Also called net profit $ 7,800.00 $46,800.00 2% 13% Grass Fed Cash Flow Analysis Monthly Results Spreadsheet GROSS RETURNS PER 200 HEAD also called Total Sales, Total Income: $ - $ Jan A. TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS also called Cost of Goods Sold or COGS $ 116,033.33 - $ Feb $ 9,033.33 - $ Mar $ 9,033.33 - $ April $ 7,633.33 36,720.00 $ 73,440.00 $ 73,440.00 June July May $ 7,633.33 $ 114,633.33 $ 7,633.33 $ - $ Aug $ 7,633.33 - $ Sept $ 7,633.33 - $ Oct $ 7,633.33 73,440.00 $ 110,160.00 Nov $ 9,033.33 As % Total Sales $ 367,200.00 100% Dec $ 9,033.33 Annual $ 312,600.00 85% 15% 15% GROSS MARGIN (Total Sales-Variable Costs=Gross Margin) This is based on results from previous year of operation, or it is estimated from a benchmark B. TOTAL FIXED COSTS or Overhead: $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ 650.00 $ NET MARGIN (Sales-Variable Costs-Fixed Costs=Net Return) Also called net profit or net income in dollars, or net profit margin when described as a percentage E. MONTHLY CASH FLOW (D-C) $ (116,683.33) $ (9,683.33) $ (9,683.33) $ (8,283.33) G. Beginning Cash (Checking Account) $175,000.00 $58,316.67 $48,633.33 $38,950.00 H. Ending Cash (Checking Account) $58,316.67 $48,633.33 $38,950.00 $30,666.67 $ Cash flows are highlighted in yellow 28,436.67 7,800.00 $46,800.00 $ (41,843.33) $ 65,156.67 $ (8,283.33) $ (8,283.33) $30,666.67 $59,103.33 $17,260.00 $82,416.67 $74,133.33 $59,103.33 $17,260.00 $82,416.67 $74,133.33 $65,850.00 $ (8,283.33) $ 63,756.67 $ 100,476.67 $65,850.00 $57,566.67 $121,323.33 $57,566.67 $121,323.33 $221,800.00 $ 46,800.00 2% 13% Grass Fed Monthly Cash Flow Analysis GROSS RETURNS PER 200 HEAD also called Total Sales, Total Income: $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 36,720.00 $ 73,440.00 $ 73,440.00 $ - $ - $ - As % Total Sales $ 73,440.00 $ 110,160.00 $ 367,200.00 100% VARIABLE COSTS PER 200 HEAD: Purchase Price Transport Summer Pasture Winter Hay - Forage Other Feed Protein & Mineral Hired Labor Veterinary & Supplies Utilities, Fuel, Oil Facility & Equip Repair Breeding Charge Marketing Misc Interest A. TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS Jan $ 105,000.00 $ 2,000.00 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 6,200.00 500.00 333.33 333.33 250.00 583.33 166.67 Feb Mar April May $ 4,800.00 $ $ 6,200.00 $ 6,200.00 $ 500.00 $ 500.00 $ 500.00 $ $ 333.33 $ 333.33 $ 333.33 $ $ 333.33 $ 333.33 $ 333.33 $ $ 250.00 $ 250.00 $ 250.00 $ $ 583.33 $ 583.33 $ 583.33 $ $ 166.67 $ 166.67 $ 166.67 $ 333.33 $ 166.67 $ 333.33 $ 166.67 $ 333.33 $ 166.67 $ 333.33 166.67 $ $ $ 166.67 $ 166.67 $ 166.67 $ 166.67 $ $ 116,033.33 $ 9,033.33 $ 9,033.33 $ 7,633.33 $ June $105,000.00 $ 2,000.00 4,800.00 $ 4,800.00 July Aug $ 4,800.00 $ 4,800.00 $ 4,800.00 $ 4,800.00 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 500.00 333.33 333.33 250.00 583.33 166.67 $ $ $ $ $ $ 500.00 333.33 333.33 250.00 583.33 166.67 $ $ $ $ $ $ 500.00 333.33 333.33 250.00 583.33 166.67 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 6,200.00 500.00 333.33 333.33 250.00 583.33 166.67 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 6,200.00 500.00 333.33 333.33 250.00 583.33 166.67 333.33 $ 166.67 $ 333.33 166.67 $ $ 333.33 166.67 $ $ 333.33 166.67 $ $ 333.33 166.67 $ $ 333.33 166.67 166.67 $ 166.67 $ 166.67 $ 166.67 7,633.33 $114,633.33 $ 7,633.33 $ 7,633.33 $ $ 166.67 7,633.33 $ $ 166.67 7,633.33 $ $ 166.67 9,033.33 $ $ 500.00 333.33 333.33 250.00 583.33 166.67 $ $ $ $ $ $ 500.00 333.33 333.33 250.00 583.33 166.67 333.33 166.67 $ $ 333.33 $ 166.67 $ 500.00 333.33 333.33 250.00 583.33 166.67 Sept Oct Nov Dec Annual $ 210,000.00 $ 4,000.00 $ 33,600.00 $ 31,000.00 $ 6,000.00 $ 4,000.00 $ 4,000.00 $ 3,000.00 $ 7,000.00 $ 2,000.00 $ $ 4,000.00 $ 2,000.00 166.67 $ 2,000.00 9,033.33 $ 312,600.00 GROSS MARGIN (Total Sales-Variable Costs=Gross Margin) This is based on results from previous year of operation, or it is estimated from a benchmark FIXED COSTS PER 200 HEAD: Depreciation Interest Insurance Death Loss B. TOTAL FIXED COSTS or Overhead: $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 15% 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ 166.67 150.00 333.33 650.00 $ $ $ $ NET MARGIN (Sales-Variable Costs-Fixed Costs=Net Return) Also called net profit or net income in dollars, or net profit margin when described as a percentage C. TOTAL COSTS PER 200 HEAD: (A+B) $ 116,683.33 $ 9,683.33 $ 9,683.33 Jan Feb Mar GROSS RETURNS PER 200 HEAD: $ 8,283.33 $ July Aug $ 8,283.33 $ 9,683.33 9,683.33 $ 320,400.00 $ (116,683.33) $ (9,683.33) $ (9,683.33) $ (8,283.33) $ 28,436.67 $ (41,843.33) $ 65,156.67 $ (8,283.33) $ (8,283.33) $ (8,283.33) $ 63,756.67 $ 100,476.67 $ 46,800.00 G. Beginning Cash (Checking Account) $175,000.00 $58,316.67 $48,633.33 $38,950.00 $30,666.67 $59,103.33 $17,260.00 $82,416.67 $74,133.33 $65,850.00 $57,566.67 $121,323.33 H. Ending Cash (Checking Account) $58,316.67 $48,633.33 $38,950.00 $30,666.67 $59,103.33 $17,260.00 $82,416.67 $74,133.33 $65,850.00 $57,566.67 $121,323.33 $221,800.00 - $ - $ 36,720.00 $ 73,440.00 $ 73,440.00 $ - $ - $ Nov $ E. MONTHLY CASH FLOW (D-C) $ $ 73,440.00 $ 73,440.00 Oct $ $ $ 36,720.00 Sept 8,283.33 $ 73,440.00 $ 110,160.00 $ $ $ $ $ 73,440.00 $ 110,160.00 $ - June $ 8,283.33 $46,800.00 Steers Heifers Cull Cows Cull Heifers D. GROSS RETURNS/200 HEAD (Sales): $ May $ 8,283.33 2,000.00 1,800.00 4,000.00 7,800.00 Total Income 367,200.00 367,200.00 - April 8,283.33 $115,283.33 85% - Dec 2% 13% how quickly can you make money? • • • • Goal of producing cash in 6 months Budget to accomplish goal Pay your bills Family living expenses Managing inventory/expense…the time factor… 24-36 months 1-2 months plan your business • • • • Record keeping is required for taxes Ultimate goal is to manage from records Need up-to-date and accurate records Create budget with expectations and measurable results starting in the beef business Like any small business: income expenses cash flow things to do before starting • • • • • Save money Protect credit rating Gain experience Network Plan Livestock…a 3, 6, 12, 24, 30 month cycle… Riding it out…to succeed. • Cycle for cash flow… North Dakota: Returns Per Cow • 2012 Returns: Cow/Calf Operation* – Average : $171.70 Net return per cow – Low 20%: -$34.65 – High 20%: $347.25 – *Based on 527 wwt @ $157.34/cwt. North Dakota: Backgrounding Returns • 2012 Backgrounding Operation Net Returns* – Average: $17.31/cwt – Low 20%: -$73.12/cwt – High 20%: $66.64/cwt – *Based on avg gain of 154 lbs and sale price of $143.46/cwt. North Dakota: Corn Net Returns • 2012 Net Corn Returns Per Acre: – Region 2 • Average: $252.40 • Low 20%: $52.74 • High 20%: $447.97 – Region 3 • Average: $383.96 • Low 20%: $93.07 • High 20%: $554.06 Grass Fed Beef Net Returns • Return Per Head – Average Range: $150 - $350 – Low 20%: $10 - $80 – High 20%: $380 - $450 • Return Per Acre – Average Range: $180 - $300 – Low 20%: $15 - $65 – High 20%: $325 - $400 Business Cycle ~ Cash Flow Cycle • Plan, prepare – avoid surprises, achieve success Helpful Resource Links • • • • • • • • www.finbin.umn.edu www.ndfarmmanagement.com www.iowabeefcenter.org www.grazinghandbook.com www.bcscd.com www.Mccc.msu.edu www.Mandan.ars.usda.gov www.greencoverseed.com manage your business Three basic business skills: 1. Financial 2. Production 3. Marketing If you are lucky you have two of these skills. Partner with or hire the skill you don’t have. .www.annualcreditreport.com Thank You • Contact us: • Joe Colyn – 616 581 1360 joe.colyn@originz.com • Gary Matteson – 202 879 0840 matteson@fccouncil.com • Allen Williams – 662 312 6826 beefrepro@aol.com –