Agricultural Finance Market Scoping Tanzania 2011 Sample & methodology Sample drawn by National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Data collected by Synovate Tanzania Listing & screening exercise provided the sampling frame Identified 2 015 742 agri-businesses of which 519 972 qualified 4 094 face-to-face interviews were conducted with agri-business owners 3 734 interviews with producers 104 interviews with processors 256 interviews with service providers The survey is representative at: National, urban-rural, and agricultural zonal levels (including Zanzibar) for producers National level for processors and service provide Land-size and income-based selection criteria applied $600 or 5 acres of land for producers $1,500 for non-producers ? Business types Service providers, 3.6% Processors, 1.6% Livestock farms, 8.3% Food crop farms, 48.7% Cash crop farms, 37.7% The problem … • Smallholder & agri-business finance perceived as risky • There is lack of financial services suited for agriculture • Limited penetration of financial services AgFiMS Tanzania 2011 Business Owner Profile Business owners demonstrate entrepreneurial characteristics … 3 in 5 are involved in agriculture because they see it as a business opportunity See activities as a business opportunity to grow 56.5 Love farming dont want to do anything else 7 in 10 have extensive experience in agribusiness 15.6 Dont have other options - will stay in business 24.9 15.6% 1.2% Do not want to grow the business 1.5 Want to leave agribusiness 1.5 10.4% Less than 2 years 6 to 10 years 72.8% 2 to 5 years More than 10 years Business owners manage their money wisely and are willing to take calculated risks Keep financial records 63.8% On any given day, know the business’s financial situation Save, or put money away for business use 93.1% 78.5% Willing to re-invest profits in the business 93.1% In bussiness it is neccesarry to take calculates risks 94.0% Would borrow money to start a new/expand bussiness 88.0% Would borrow money to improve the cash flow situation of the bussiness 81.2% Would borrow money for inputs 80.7% Business owners make sound financial decisions Criteria for choosing credit sources Best interest rates 62.4% Best repayment terms 58.5% Quickest access to money 54.4% Most convenient to get to 28.5% Easiest to use Having borrowed from them before Ability to meet minimum requirements 14.7% 3.5% 3.0% AgFiMS Tanzania 2011 Business Environment Is the environment conducive for these entrepreneurs to achieve business success? ‘Ownership’ of land is a perception for most producers 21.2% More than 90% producers claim land ownership although less than 10% have title deeds 8.7% 4.2% Food crops Cash crops Livestock Lack of access to irrigation systems inhibits productivity 10.9 Always enough for business needs 17.9 8.1 Always enough water for use but if more water business can grow 44.8 80.8 Intermittent water supply but enough for farming needs Not enough water 10.8 26.5 Water Systems Own irrigation system Drip irrigation Rely on nature only Level of access to infrastructure not conducive for business activities, but mobile phones provide connectivity Electricity 14.4 Tarmac roads 13.7 Rail 3.7 Mobile Internet Landline 67.4 1.8 .7 Limitations in the business environment results in distressed sales Preferred Market? Distressed sales? Sell to a co-op, wholesaler, trading company or government 48.3% Sell mainly in village or to public 32.1% Sell mainly to middlemen 19.5% 12% sell on contract 10% sell all products on contract Agri-businesses have virtually no coping mechanisms to rely on when faced with business risks Nothing in place 84.9 Savings 5.4 Borrow/sell an asset 4.9 Insurance/job Other .9 3.9 Income diversification offering protection? 86.1% diversify their income sources Has external regular income apart from agri 4.4 Diversify within agri but other lines 58.7 Diversify within main agri income line Additional income from family & friends No diversification 17.1 .2 13.9 Lack of access to networks & information increases vulnerability Network wth other agribusiness owners 30.1% Belong to groups that benefit the buiness Get financial advice from financial sources 22.8% 15.0% Dont get financial advice/dont have access Business advice from agri sources 78.0% 45.3% Dont get business advice/dont have access Get appropriate extension services Dont get extension services 48.9% 41.9% 45.3% AgFiMS Tanzania 2011 Financial Inclusion Business operations – Financial management Banked Business owners who have or use any product or service from any commercial bank for the purpose of the agri-business Served by formal nonbank and/or semiformal non-bank financial institutions Business owners who have or use any product or service from any regulated or registered financial institution which is not a commercial bank (e.g. SACCOS, MFIs) for the purpose of the agri-business Formally served Business owners who are banked AND/OR who are served by formal non-bank and/or semi-formal nonbank financial institutions for the purpose of the agribusiness Informally served Business owners who use informal mechanisms to manage the financial matters of the agri-business. This would include services offered by agricultural associations or groups, input providers, VICOBAs, VSLAs, ROSCAs etc. Financially served Business owners who are either formally AND/OR informally served for the purpose of the agriibusiness Financially unserved/excluded Business owners who are neither formally OR informally served for the purpose of the agriibusiness Sound financial decision-making does not result in high levels of financial inclusion for agri-businesses Financially served 45.7% Formally served 32.4% Banked Served by formal non-bank/semi-formal institutions Informally served Financially unserved 28.2% 8.6% 27.9% 54.3% Quantifying the amount of credit in the AgFiMS market ASSUMPTIONS • Once-off per source •Ts 3,1m Bank • Ts300k SACCO/MFI • Ts100k Informal • Ts50k Friends/fam Banks SACCOs MFIs Informal Friends/ family 4% business owners 7% business owners 27% business owners 14% business owners USD 36m 68.9% of credit 11.7% of borrowers USD 6m 12.2% of credit 21.3% of borrowers USD 8m 15.1% of credit 79.3% of borrowers USD 2m 3.8% of credit 40.2% of borrowers •USD 300 on average •20% of turnover of those who borrow USD 52m The role of the informal sector - Credit? Transactional products 40.0 30.0 20.0 26.1 10.0 Insurance products 28.8 .5 .0 31.3 Savings products 10.6 30.0 Credit products Total usage Formal product usage 96% of all business owners who use informal mechanisms use it for the purpose of credit AgFiMS Tanzania 2011 Identifying Development Needs Perceived obstacles to growth 84.2% Access to markets; toll fees; transport 55.6% 75.3% 58.3% Access to credit; loans and financial support; dont qualify Access to water 44.1% 58.8% 7.7% 13.0% 48.3% 28.6% 29.1% 26.1% Access to business advice and financial information Lack of labour Getting premises to operate from/Access to land Service providers 16.4% 18.0% 24.6% 37.2% 30.9% 13.3% Processors Producers AgFiMS identified capacities needed for formal financial services usage • Access to infrastructure • Access to markets • Access to/usage of credible financial advisory resources • Access to/usage of credible business advisory resources • Access to/exposure to appropriate agricultural advice/support • Social capital – Access to networks & support structures; coping mechanisms The Future of AgFIMS? Tanzania - first country where AgFiMS was undertaken The aim is that it will be adopted for other countries across Africa Who are behind AgFiMS? More information: www.agfims.org Financial Sector Deepening Trust (FSDT) Mwallu Mwachan’ga E: mwallu@fsdt.or.tz E: info@fsdt.or.tz T: +255 22 260 2873/5/6 Gatsby Charitable Foundation (GCF) Ian Anderson E: ian.anderson@gatsby.org.uk T: 44 20 7410 0330 Thank you…