THE AFRICA AGENDA Country Analysis Part 2 Elsenburg A.G. Partridge 06 November 2013 Overview Areas of Analysis: Country Focus Economy SADC • Angola • Mozambique • Zambia Governance Population Infrastructure East Africa • Kenya • Tanzania Investment Trade Agriculture Technology & Innovation Consumption Water West Africa • Nigeria • Ghana North Africa • Egypt • Tunisia © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 2 Economy European Union 19 395 (2010) Economy Korea, Republic 16 219 (2010) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita (constant 2000 US$) South Africa 3 753 (2010) 3500 1960 3000 1970 2500 China 2 427 (2010) 2000 1980 1500 1990 1000 500 2000 India 804 (2010) 2010 0 Mozambique Angola Zambia Kenya Tanzania Nigeria Ghana Egypt Tunisia Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 4 Economy Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth Country GDP 2001 (constant 2000 US$ billion) GDP 2011 (constant 2000 US$ billion) % Change 2001-2011 5 year Average Annual Growth Rate 2001-2006 5 year Average Annual Growth Rate 2006-2011 10 year Average Annual Growth Rate 2001-2011 4.29 12.36 188.33 % 13.43 % 8.96 % 11.17 % 103.37 163.14 57.83 % 4.18 % 5.16 % 4.67 % Ghana 5.18 10.05 94.00 % 5.52 % 8.20 % 6.85 % Kenya 13.19 19.90 50.91 % 4.14 % 4.26 % 4.20 % 4.82 9.75 102.12 % 7.71 % 6.87 % 7.29 % Nigeria 47.41 91.96 93.97 % 6.76 % 6.94 % 6.85 % Tanzania 10.80 21.25 96.85 % 7.20 % 6.82 % 7.01 % Tunisia 22.53 32.58 44.59 % 4.55 % 2.96 % 3.76 % Zambia 3.41 5.98 75.28 % 5.08 % 6.47 % 5.77 % Angola Egypt Mozambique © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 5 Economy Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth Country GDP 2001 (constant 2000 US$ billion) GDP 2011 (constant 2000 US$ billion) % Change 2001-2011 5 year Average Annual Growth Rate 2001-2006 5 year Average Annual Growth Rate 2006-2011 10 year Average Annual Growth Rate 2001-2011 4.29 12.36 188.33 % 13.43 % 8.96 % 11.17 % 103.37 163.14 57.83 % 4.18 % 5.16 % 4.67 % Ghana 5.18 10.05 94.00 % 5.52 % 8.20 % 6.85 % Kenya 13.19 19.90 50.91 % 4.14 % 4.26 % 4.20 % 4.82 9.75 102.12 % 7.71 % 6.87 % 7.29 % Nigeria 47.41 91.96 93.97 % 6.76 % 6.94 % 6.85 % Tanzania 10.80 21.25 96.85 % 7.20 % 6.82 % 7.01 % Tunisia 22.53 32.58 44.59 % 4.55 % 2.96 % 3.76 % Zambia 3.41 5.98 75.28 % 5.08 % 6.47 % 5.77 % Angola Egypt Mozambique © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 6 Economy Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth Country GDP 2001 (constant 2000 US$ billion) GDP 2011 (constant 2000 US$ billion) % Change 2001-2011 5 year Average Annual Growth Rate 2001-2006 5 year Average Annual Growth Rate 2006-2011 10 year Average Annual Growth Rate 2001-2011 4.29 12.36 188.33 % 13.43 % 8.96 % 11.17 % 103.37 163.14 57.83 % 4.18 % 5.16 % 4.67 % Ghana 5.18 10.05 94.00 % 5.52 % 8.20 % 6.85 % Kenya 13.19 19.90 50.91 % 4.14 % 4.26 % 4.20 % 4.82 9.75 102.12 % 7.71 % 6.87 % 7.29 % Nigeria 47.41 91.96 93.97 % 6.76 % 6.94 % 6.85 % Tanzania 10.80 21.25 96.85 % 7.20 % 6.82 % 7.01 % Tunisia 22.53 32.58 44.59 % 4.55 % 2.96 % 3.76 % Zambia 3.41 5.98 75.28 % 5.08 % 6.47 % 5.77 % Angola Egypt Mozambique © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 7 Economy Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Per Capita Forecasts 50 45 USA 2010 Constant 2005 PPP$ Thousands 40 35 30 EU (27) 2010 25 South Korea 2010 20 15 10 South Africa 2010 Latin America 2010 5 BRICS (5) 2010 0 Angola Egypt Ghana 2010 Kenya 2020 Mozambique 2030 2040 Nigeria 2050 Tanzania Tunisia Zambia 2060 © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field Source: International Futures Project, Pardee Centre for International Futures 8 Economy Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) 35 Mozambique 30 Angola 25 Zambia Kenya 20 Tanzania 15 Nigeria 10 Ghana 5 Egypt, Arab Rep. 0 2001 2011 Tunisia -5 Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 9 Economy Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 10 Economy Poverty Statistics Inequality (Gini Index) Prevalence of Undernourishment (% of population) Life Expectancy at Birth (years) 70 % (2000) 59 (2000) 58 % (2011) 39 (2011) 2 % (2008) 15 % (2008) 31 (2008) 5 % (2011) 73 (2011) Ghana 29 % (2006) 52 % (2006) 43 (2006) 5 % (2011) 64 (2011) Kenya 43 % (2005) 67 % (2005) 48 (2005) 30 % (2011) 57 (2011) Mozambique 60 % (2005) 82 % (2005) 46 (2008) 39 % (2011) 50 (2011) Nigeria 68 % (2010) 84 % (2010) 49 (2010) 9 % (2011) 52 (2010) Tanzania 68 % (2007) 88 % (2007) 38 (2007) 39 % (2011) 58 (2011) Tunisia 1 % (2008) 4 % (2008) 36 (2010) 5 % (2011) 75 (2011) Zambia 74 % (2010) 87 % (2010) 57 (2010) 47 % (2011) 49 (2011) Country Angola Egypt Poverty Headcount: $1.25 / day, PPP (% of population) Poverty Headcount: $2.00 / day, PPP (% of population) 54 % (2000) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 11 Economy Poverty Statistics Inequality (Gini Index) Prevalence of Undernourishment (% of population) Life Expectancy at Birth (years) 70 % (2000) 59 (2000) 58 % (2011) 39 (2011) 2 % (2008) 15 % (2008) 31 (2008) 5 % (2011) 73 (2011) Ghana 29 % (2006) 52 % (2006) 43 (2006) 5 % (2011) 64 (2011) Kenya 43 % (2005) 67 % (2005) 48 (2005) 30 % (2011) 57 (2011) Mozambique 60 % (2005) 82 % (2005) 46 (2008) 39 % (2011) 50 (2011) Nigeria 68 % (2010) 84 % (2010) 49 (2010) 9 % (2011) 52 (2010) Tanzania 68 % (2007) 88 % (2007) 38 (2007) 39 % (2011) 58 (2011) Tunisia 1 % (2008) 4 % (2008) 36 (2010) 5 % (2011) 75 (2011) Zambia 74 % (2010) 87 % (2010) 57 (2010) 47 % (2011) 49 (2011) Country Angola Egypt Poverty Headcount: $1.25 / day, PPP (% of population) Poverty Headcount: $2.00 / day, PPP (% of population) 54 % (2000) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 12 Economy Poverty Statistics Inequality (Gini Index) Prevalence of Undernourishment (% of population) Life Expectancy at Birth (years) 70 % (2000) 59 (2000) 58 % (2011) 39 (2011) 2 % (2008) 15 % (2008) 31 (2008) 5 % (2011) 73 (2011) Ghana 29 % (2006) 52 % (2006) 43 (2006) 5 % (2011) 64 (2011) Kenya 43 % (2005) 67 % (2005) 48 (2005) 30 % (2011) 57 (2011) Mozambique 60 % (2005) 82 % (2005) 46 (2008) 39 % (2011) 50 (2011) Nigeria 68 % (2010) 84 % (2010) 49 (2010) 9 % (2011) 52 (2010) Tanzania 68 % (2007) 88 % (2007) 38 (2007) 39 % (2011) 58 (2011) 1 % (2008) 4 % (2008) 36 (2010) 5 % (2011) 75 (2011) 74 % (2010) 87 % (2010) 57 (2010) 47 % (2011) 49 (2011) Country Angola Egypt Tunisia Zambia Poverty Headcount: $1.25 / day, PPP (% of population) Poverty Headcount: $2.00 / day, PPP (% of population) 54 % (2000) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 13 Economy Poverty Statistics Country Angola Egypt Poverty Headcount: $1.25 / day, PPP (% of population) Poverty Headcount: $2.00 / day, PPP (% of population) 54 % (2000) 70 % (2000) 2 % (2008) Inequality (Gini Index) Prevalence of Undernourishment (% of population) Life Expectancy at Birth (years) 59 (2000) 58 % (2011) 39 (2011) 15 % (2008) 31 (2008) 5 % (2011) 73 (2011) Ghana 29 % (2006) 52 % (2006) 43 (2006) 5 % (2011) 64 (2011) Kenya 43 % (2005) 67 % (2005) 48 (2005) 30 % (2011) 57 (2011) Mozambique 60 % (2005) 82 % (2005) 46 (2008) 39 % (2011) 50 (2011) Nigeria 68 % (2010) 84 % (2010) 49 (2010) 9 % (2011) 52 (2010) Tanzania 68 % (2007) 88 % (2007) 38 (2007) 39 % (2011) 58 (2011) Tunisia Zambia 1 % (2008) 74 % (2010) 4 % (2008) 36 (2010) 87 % (2010) 57 (2010) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 5 % (2011) 75 (2011) 47 % (2011) © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 49 (2011) 14 Governance Governance Worldwide Governance Indicators (Worldbank) Highs Consistent above par scores for Ghana Improved “Political Stability and Absence of Violence” Between 1996 and 2011: • Angola: Rock bottom in 1998 to a relatively average level in 2011 • Zambia: Significantly below average in 1996, significantly above average in 2011 Significant improvements in “Voice and Accountability” for Kenya Lows Nigeria performs poorly across the board • Bottom percentile for “Political Stability and Absence of Violence”, “Regulatory Quality” and “Control of Corruption” categories Angola still performing poorly on other measures of governance • Bottom percentile for “Control of Corruption” category Kenya performing poorly in most areas • Bottom percentile for “Political Stability and Absence of Violence” category Tunisia and Egypt show 2011 dip for all categories other than “Voice and Accountability” © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 16 Governance Ease of Doing Business Rankings (rankings of 174 countries) Tunisia 50 Ghana 64 Kenya 121 Zambia 94 Nigeria 131 Egypt 109 Tanzania 134 Mozambique 146 Angola 172 1 174 Source: IFC / Worldbank, Doing Business © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 17 Governance Biggest Barriers to Business 1 Source: World Economic Forum, Global Competitiveness Report 2010-2011 2 3 4 5 Mozambique Access to Financing Corruption Inefficient government bureaucracy Angola Inefficient government bureaucracy Inadequately educated workforce Inadequate supply Corruption of infrastructure Access to Financing Zambia Access to Financing Corruption Inadequate supply Tax Rates of infrastructure Inefficient government bureaucracy Kenya Corruption Access to Financing Inefficient government bureaucracy Tanzania Corruption Access to Financing Inadequate supply Tax Rates of infrastructure Nigeria Access to Financing Inadequate supply Corruption of infrastructure Policy Instability Government Instability / Coups Ghana Access to Financing Inadequate supply Inflation of infrastructure Inefficient government bureaucracy Corruption Egypt Tunisia Inflation Inadequate supply of infrastructure Inadequate supply Crime and Theft of infrastructure Tax Regulations Inadequately Access to Corruption Inflation educated Tax Regulations Financing workforce Inefficient Inadequately Access to Restrictive labor Foreign Currency government educated Financing regulations Regulations bureaucracy workforce © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 18 Governance Biggest Barriers to Business 1 Source: World Economic Forum, Global Competitiveness Report 2010-2011 2 3 4 5 Mozambique Access to Financing Corruption Inefficient government bureaucracy Angola Inefficient government bureaucracy Inadequately educated workforce Inadequate supply Corruption of infrastructure Access to Financing Zambia Access to Financing Corruption Inadequate supply Tax Rates of infrastructure Inefficient government bureaucracy Kenya Corruption Access to Financing Inefficient government bureaucracy Tanzania Corruption Access to Financing Inadequate supply Tax Rates of infrastructure Nigeria Access to Financing Inadequate supply Corruption of infrastructure Policy Instability Government Instability / Coups Ghana Access to Financing Inadequate supply Inflation of infrastructure Inefficient government bureaucracy Corruption Egypt Tunisia Inflation Inadequate supply of infrastructure Inadequate supply Crime and Theft of infrastructure Tax Regulations Inadequately Access to Corruption Inflation educated Tax Regulations Financing workforce Inefficient Inadequately Access to Restrictive labor Foreign Currency government educated regulations Regulations Financing bureaucracy workforce © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 19 Governance Biggest Barriers to Business 1 Source: World Economic Forum, Global Competitiveness Report 2010-2011 2 3 4 5 Mozambique Access to Financing Corruption Inefficient government bureaucracy Angola Inefficient government bureaucracy Inadequately educated workforce Inadequate supply Corruption of infrastructure Access to Financing Zambia Access to Financing Corruption Inadequate supply Tax Rates of infrastructure Inefficient government bureaucracy Kenya Corruption Access to Financing Inefficient government bureaucracy Tanzania Corruption Access to Financing Inadequate supply Tax Rates of infrastructure Nigeria Access to Financing Inadequate supply Corruption of infrastructure Policy Instability Government Instability / Coups Ghana Access to Financing Inadequate supply Inflation of infrastructure Inefficient government bureaucracy Corruption Egypt Tunisia Inflation Inadequate supply of infrastructure Inadequate supply Crime and Theft of infrastructure Tax Regulations Inadequately Access to Inflation educated Tax Regulations Corruption Financing workforce Inefficient Inadequately Access to Restrictive labor Foreign Currency government educated Financing regulations Regulations bureaucracy workforce © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 20 Population Population 412 million people 6% of world population Total Populations (million people) 180 162 160 140 120 100 83 80 60 51 46 42 40 24 20 25 11 20 0 South Africa Tunisia Angola Mozambique Ghana Kenya Tanzania Egypt Nigeria Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 22 Population Urban Population (% of total population) 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Angola Egypt Ghana Kenya Mozambique Nigeria Tanzania Tunisia Zambia Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 23 Population Age Distributions (% of population) 60 + years, 5% Mozambique 0-4 years, 17% 60 + years, 4% Angola 0-4 years, 18% 15-29 years, 27% 60 + years, 4% 5-14 years, 28% 0-4 years, 16% 0-4 years, 18% 30-59 years, 21% 15-29 years, 27% 60 + years, 5% Nigeria 30-59 years, 24% 60 + years, 5% Zambia 30-59 years, 22% 30-59 years, 24% Kenya Source: World Bank, Health Nutrition and Population Statistics 5-14 years, 29% 0-4 years, 17% 15-29 years, 28% 60 + years, 8% Egypt 5-14 years, 28% 0-4 years, 11% 5-14 years, 20% 30-59 years, 24% 30-59 years, 32% 15-29 years, 30% 60 + years, 5% Tanzania 5-14 years, 26% 0-4 years, 18% 30-59 years, 23% 15-29 years, 27% 60 + years, 6% Ghana 5-14 years, 26% 0-4 years, 14% Tunisia 60 + years, 10% 30-59 years, 27% Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 15-29 years, 28% 15-29 years, 29% 5-14 years, 27% 15-29 years, 28% 5-14 years, 0-4 years, 8% 5-14 years, 15% 30-59 years, 38% © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter 24% presentation name into footer field 15-29 24 years, 29% Infrastructure Infrastructure Roads Paved (% of total road network) 100% 92% 76% 67% 22% 21% 15% 14% 13% 10% 0% Egypt Tunisia Tanzania Zambia Mozambique Nigeria Kenya Ghana © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field Angola 26 Infrastructure Telephone Landlines Communications Infrastructure (users per 100 people) 100 0 0.5 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.3 Angola Ghana Kenya Nigeria Mozambique Zambia Tanzania 10.1 11.5 8.1 10.6 Tunisia Egypt Internet Subscriptions Cellular Phone Subscriptions 116.9 101.1 100 84.8 67.5 60.6 58.6 48.4 55.5 32.8 0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 Angola Ghana Kenya Nigeria 0.3 Mozambique 1.0 Zambia 2.0 1.3 0.3 Tanzania Tunisia Egypt 100 14.8 0 14.1 0.1 0.2 Angola Ghana 0.3 39.1 28.4 28.0 0.1 0.1 4.3 0.2 11.5 0.1 12.0 2.8 © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field Kenya Nigeria Mozambique Zambia Tanzania Tunisia 38.7 0.6 Egypt 27 Infrastructure Electricity Infrastructure Access (% of population) Power Outages in a Typical Month Angola 26 % (2009) 5 (2010) Egypt 100% (2009) 0 (2008) Ghana 61 % (2009) 10 (2007) Kenya 16 % (2009) 7 (2007) Mozambique 12 % (2009) 3 (2007) Nigeria 51 % (2009) 26 (2007) Tanzania 14 % (2009) 12 (2006) Tunisia 100% (2009) [no data] Zambia 19% (2009) 3 (2007) © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 28 Infrastructure Electricity Infrastructure Access (% of population) Power Outages in a Typical Month Angola 26 % (2009) 5 (2010) Egypt 100% (2009) 0 (2008) Ghana 61 % (2009) 10 (2007) Kenya 16 % (2009) 7 (2007) Mozambique 12 % (2009) 3 (2007) Nigeria 51 % (2009) 26 (2007) Tanzania 14 % (2009) 12 (2006) Tunisia 100% (2009) [no data] Zambia 19% (2009) 3 (2007) © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 29 Infrastructure Electricity Infrastructure Access (% of population) Quality of Electricity Supply (/7) Power Outages in a Typical Month 0 Angola 26 % (2009) 5 (2010) Egypt 100% (2009) 0 (2008) Ghana 61 % (2009) 10 (2007) Kenya 16 % (2009) 7 (2007) Mozambique 12 % (2009) 3 (2007) Nigeria 51 % (2009) 26 (2007) Tanzania 14 % (2009) 12 (2006) Tunisia 100% (2009) [no data] Zambia 19% (2009) 3 (2007) 1 2 3 4 5 © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 6 7 30 Investment Investment Key Points Focus on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) FDI Data Patchy Limiting Cross-Country Comparisons Data used: UNCTAD, Investment Map Past Decade Has Seen Significant Rise in FDI flows into Africa South Africa Biggest Contributor to FDI to Tanzania, 3rd Biggest Contributor to Mozambique © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 32 Trade Trade Key Points Trade discussed in detail in market attractiveness section Non-Tariff Barriers © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 34 Agriculture Agriculture Agricultural Production Agriculture Share in GDP (%) 1990 50 40 30 20 2010 10 0 % Change in Agriculture Value Added, 1990-2010 Angola Egypt Kenya Angola Egypt Kenya Mozambique Tanzania Tunisia Zambia 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% Mozambique Tanzania Tunisia © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field Zambia 36 Agriculture Food Security: Agricultural Production less Agricultural Demand Angola Egypt Ghana Kenya Mozambique Nigeria Tanzania Tunisia Zambia 60 50 40 Million Tons 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field Source: International Futures Project, Pardee Centre for International Futures 37 Agriculture Land Resources (Ha millions) Country Area Agricultural Land % of Land Used for Agriculture Angola 124.7 57.7 46.3 % Egypt 100.1 3.7 3.7 % Ghana 23.9 15.9 66.7 % Kenya 58.0 27.5 47.3 % Mozambique 79.9 49.4 61.8 % Nigeria 92.4 36.0 82.5 % Tanzania 94.7 37.3 39.4 % Tunisia 16.4 10.1 61.6 % Zambia 23.4 75.3 31.1 % © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 38 Technology & Innovation Technology & Innovation Public Expenditure on Agricultural R&D, 2008 (million 2005 PPP $) 450 404 400 350 300 250 200 172 150 95 100 77 59 50 8 18 0 Zambia Mozambique Tunisia* Tanzania Ghana Kenya Nigeria * 2001 data used for Tunisia (latest available data) © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 40 Technology & Innovation Public Expenditure on Agricultural R&D per capita, 2008 (2005 PPP $) 7 6.03 6 5 4.42 4.05 4 3 2.16 2 1.44 1 0.64 0.86 0 Zambia Mozambique Tunisia* Tanzania Ghana Kenya Nigeria * 2001 data used for Tunisia (latest available data) © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 41 Consumption Consumption Egyptian Main Fruit Consumption in the Face of Rapid Economic Growth 1961 2009 Apples 0% Apples 6% Lemons, Limes 4% Lemons, Limes 9% Bananas 7% Grapes 11% Dates 43% Oranges, Mandarines 25% Bananas 12% Fruits, Other 14% Grapes 14% Oranges, Mandarines 21% Fruits, Other 20% Dates 14% © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 43 Consumption Egyptian Main Fruit Consumption in the Face of Rapid Economic Growth Annual Consumption of Dates, 1961-2009 Total Consumption (thousand tonnes) 1200 2009 21 Apples 0% Apples 6% Lemons, Limes 4% Bananas 7% 1000 18 15 Lemons, Limes 9% 800 12 Grapes 600 11% Dates 43% 400 9 Bananas 12% 6 Fruits, Other 14% 200 3 Grapes 14% 0 1960 Oranges, Mandarines 21% 1970 1980 1990 per capita Consumption (t per person) 1961 1400 0 2000 Source: FAO, Food Balances Total Consumption Oranges, Mandarines 25% per capita Consumption Fruits, Other 20% Dates 14% © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 44 Consumption Roots, Other 3% Cassava 0% Yams 0% Kenya Egypt Starchy Root Consumption, 2009: Country Comparison Potatoes 13% Roots, Other 1% Yams 0% Sweet Potatoes 10% Sweet Potatoes 44% Sweet Potatoes 13% Potatoes 2% Roots, Other 0% Potatoes 87% Yams 0% Ghana Mozambique Cassava 42% Roots, Other 12% Sweet Potatoes 1% Potatoes 0% Cassava 52% Yams 35% Cassava 85% © Western Cape Government 2012 | 45 Consumption Citrus, Other 0% Ghana Apples 6% Pineapples 0% Grapefruit 0% Lemons, Limes 9% Dates 25% Bananas 12% Grapes 14% Nigeria Grapes Oranges, 0% Mandarines 0% Bananas 0% Apples 0% Pineapples 9% Fruits, Other 26% Pineapples 1% Apples 0% Grapes Citrus, Other 0% 0% Dates 0% Grapefruit 0% Fruits, Other 4% Plantains 81% Oranges, Mandarines 20% Fruits, Other 14% Lemons, Limes Grapefruit 0% 0% Dates 0% Lemons, Limes 1% Bananas 1% Oranges, Mandarines 12% Citrus, Other 34% Angola Egypt Fruit Consumption, 2009: Country Comparison Oranges, Lemons, Limes Plantains 0% 0% Mandarines 0% Apples 1% Pineapples 7% Dates 0% Grapes 0% Grapefruit 0% Fruits, Other 8% Citrus, Other 17% Bananas 67% Plantains 31% © Western Cape Government 2012 | 46 Consumption What is an Apple? © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 47 Water Water Annual Water Withdrawal (billion m³) Renewable Water Resources Total Water Withdrawals % Water Resources Being Withdrawn 148 0.7 0.5 % Egypt 57 68.3 119.2 % Ghana 53 1.0 1.9 % Kenya 31 2.7 8.9 % Mozambique 217 0.9 0.4 % Nigeria 286 13.1 4.6 % 96 5.2 5.4 % Tunisia 5 2.9 62.0 % Zambia 105 1.6 1.5 % Angola Tanzania © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 49 Water Annual Water Withdrawal (billion m³) Renewable Water Resources Total Water Withdrawals % Water Resources Being Withdrawn Angola 148 0.7 0.5 % Egypt 57 68.3 119.2 % Ghana 53 1.0 1.9 % Kenya 31 2.7 8.9 % Mozambique 217 0.9 0.4 % Nigeria 286 13.1 4.6 % Tanzania 96 5.2 5.4 % Tunisia 5 2.9 62.0 % Zambia 105 1.6 1.5 % © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 50 Water Annual Water Withdrawal (billion m³) Renewable Water Resources Total Water Withdrawals % Water Resources Being Withdrawn 148 0.7 0.5 % Egypt 57 68.3 119.2 % Ghana 53 1.0 1.9 % Kenya 31 2.7 8.9 % Mozambique 217 0.9 0.4 % Nigeria 286 13.1 4.6 % 96 5.2 5.4 % 5 2.9 62.0 % 105 1.6 1.5 % Angola Tanzania Tunisia Zambia © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 51 Water Annual Water Withdrawal (billion m³) Renewable Water Resources Total Water Withdrawals % Water Resources Being Withdrawn 148 0.7 0.5 % Egypt 57 68.3 119.2 % Ghana 53 1.0 1.9 % Kenya 31 2.7 8.9 % Mozambique 217 0.9 0.4 % Nigeria 286 13.1 4.6 % 96 5.2 5.4 % Tunisia 5 2.9 62.0 % Zambia 105 1.6 1.5 % Angola Tanzania © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 52 Water Irrigation Water Use (thousand Ha) Irrigation Potential Area Equipped for Irrigation Area Equipped as % of Potential 3 700 86 2.3 % Egypt 44 200 3 422 7.7 % Ghana 1 900 31 1.6 % Kenya 539 103 19.2 % Mozambique 3 072 118 3.8 % Nigeria 2 331 293 12.6 % Tanzania 2 132 184 8.6 % Tunisia 560 397 62.0 % Zambia 523 156 29.8 % Angola © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 53 Concluding Remarks… Concluding Remarks… African future is very promising Significant barriers which need to be considered Can be utilised to gain competitive advantage No one country is better in every aspect, each has its pros and cons Early bird catches the worm © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 55 Thank you Work Available for Download… http://www.elsenburg.com/economics/africaagenda.html Email: andrewp@elsenburg.com louwpp@elsenburg.com © Western Cape Government 2012 | Go to Insert > Header & Footer > Enter presentation name into footer field 57